Disadvantage in the ACT

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Transcription:

Disadvantage in the ACT Report for ACT Anti-Poverty Week October 2013

Disadvantage in the ACT Report for ACT Anti-Poverty Week Prepared by Associate Professor Robert Tanton, Dr Yogi Vidyattama and Dr Itismita Mohanty The National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling (NATSEM) Prepared for ACT Anti-Poverty Week Committee October 2013

About NATSEM The National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling was established on 1 January 1993, and supports its activities through research grants, commissioned research and longer term contracts for model maintenance and development. NATSEM aims to be a key contributor to social and economic policy debate and analysis by developing models of the highest quality, undertaking independent and impartial research, and supplying valued research services. It must be emphasised that NATSEM does not have views on policy. All opinions are the authors own and are not necessarily shared by NATSEM. National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling University of Canberra ACT 2601 Australia 170 Haydon Drive Bruce ACT 2617 Phone + 61 2 6201 2780 Fax + 61 2 6201 2751 Email natsem@natsem.canberra.edu.au Website www.natsem.canberra.edu.au Suggested Citation: Tanton, R, Vidyattama, Y and Mohanty, I (2013), Disadvantage in the ACT: Report for ACT Anti-Poverty Week, NATSEM: Canberra Acknowledgements This report is based on findings from research undertaken by NATSEM commissioned by the ACT 2013 Anti-Poverty Week Committee. The Anti-Poverty Week Committee would like to acknowledge contributions provided by the following organisations: ACT Government Community Services Directorate ACT Council of Social Service (ACTCOSS) Anglicare ACT Australian Red Cross Belconnen Community Service Northside Community Service St Vincent de Paul Society Canberra/Goulburn Central Council The Smith Family Woden Community Service YWCA of Canberra Author Notes Associate Professor Robert Tanton is a Research Director, Dr Yogi Vidyattama is a Senior Research Fellow and Dr Itismita Mohanty is a Research Fellow at the National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling (NATSEM) at the University of Canberra. i

Contents About NATSEM... i Acknowledgements... i Author Notes... i Key Findings...iii Introduction...1 Cost of Living...2 Poverty Rates...3 Inequality...5 Financial Stress...8 Housing...10 Homelessness...12 Socio-Economic Index for Individuals...14 Conclusions...15 Appendix 1 - Definitions of all the measures...16 References...18 ii

Key Findings The ACT does have less disadvantage than other States. This is a good thing. The ACT is a great place to live if you are not suffering disadvantage. There are disadvantaged people in the ACT, but disadvantage in the ACT is being masked by many people in an area that are not disadvantaged. In 2013, these disadvantaged people face one of the highest costs of living of all capital cities in Australia. This is partly due to high rents paid in the ACT. Households in the ACT faced the highest rent prices of any State or Territory in Australia, higher than Sydney or Melbourne rental prices. In 2011, there were 21,528 people living in poverty; 9,910 households experiencing housing stress; 14,148 people experiencing financial stress; 1,785 experiencing homelessness; and 28,639 disadvantaged people according to the ABS SEIFI Index in the ACT. Many of these will be the same people, so there will be a number of people experiencing multiple disadvantage (for example, in poverty and homeless; or in poverty, in financial stress and in housing stress). In terms of suburb level data, there were suburbs that experienced worse poverty, housing stress and financial stress than the Australian average. In terms of disadvantage over time, levels of disadvantage have been steadily decreasing over time, except for a large increase in 2007/08 during the Global Financial Crisis. Something many people in Canberra don t realise, in 2011, the ACT had the second highest rate of homelessness (besides the Northern Territory) of all Australian States and Territories iii

Introduction There is an assumption in the rest of Australia that the ACT streets are paved with gold everyone has permanent jobs with high incomes, no-body is homeless, and we all live in middle class suburbia. This report shows that when looking at averages, life in Canberra is good. However there are areas and people in Canberra who are disadvantaged. This is not surprising talk to anyone working with disadvantaged people in Canberra and they will tell you that they know families living in their cars or not knowing how they will pay for their next meal. Because of the large number of advantaged people in Canberra, being disadvantaged is even harder, as people don t tend to recognise it. Many of the indicators used to identify disadvantage are area level indicators, and advantaged people can mask any disadvantage in an area. The reason that this masking of disadvantage occurs is that the easiest way to summarise a value for an area is to use an average. However, when looking at disadvantage, we aren t really interested in averages. The averages hide extreme disadvantage as an example, the average of the series of numbers 1, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10 is 9.1, which looks good except for the very low first number. So what we are interested in is the extremes. These are where the true stories lie. There are a number of ways we could look at the extreme values. One is to only look at the area with the highest rate in the State or Territory, so the maximum. This is a fairly crude but effective method the area may be an odd area, and may be the only area in the State with such a high rate (what statisticians call an outlier ). Another way is to graph the distribution of our indicators for the ACT only, and compare the distribution to a national average. This will give some idea of how many areas in the ACT are above or below the national average. To do this, we have sorted and then plotted our indicators for every suburb in the ACT; and then also shown on the plot the Australian average. We have used both these methods in this report. The measures we have looked at in this report are cost of living; poverty rates; inequality; housing (rental affordability and housing stress); financial stress; homelessness; and finally the ABS SEIFI (Socio-Economic Index for Individuals) index. This index is similar to the ABS SEIFA (Socio-Economic Index for Areas) index, but it uses individual level data, rather than area level, so the disadvantage isn t masked. This report uses two ways to look at differences in disadvantage over space and over time. In looking at disadvantage over space, we have looked at how areas in Canberra compare to an Australian average, and highlight that there are pockets of disadvantage in the ACT. We are not interested in highlighting where this disadvantage is, so we haven t named suburbs in this report or presented maps. We have also looked at what has happened over time, to see if Canberra is getting better or worse over time compared to an Australian average. 1

We have put the definitions of all our indicators and a technical description of the methods used in an appendix while they are important to some, for most readers of this report, a short description of the indicators will suffice. Cost of Living A recent report by NATSEM (Phillips, 2013) showed that Canberra had one of the highest costs of living of any Australian city (see Figure 1). This cost of living was calculated using a typical basket of goods and services, so it isn t that people in Canberra choose to eat at more expensive restaurants because we have higher incomes. The basket of goods is exactly the same for each capital city, and the higher cost applies to everyone in the city, rich or poor. Figure 1: Capital City cost of living, $ per year, June 2013 Source: NATSEM, ABS These high costs are partly due to high rent costs in the ACT. Figure 2 shows that households in the ACT face higher rents than Sydney or Melbourne, and the median rent in the ACT is much higher than the National median. 2

Figure 2: Rent payments in 2011, $ per week Source: 2011 Census Data So the first story for the ACT is that the cost of living is high, partly because rents are high. Poverty Rates Given this high cost of living, people with high incomes can afford to live in the ACT; but what about people on low incomes? Poverty rates are a measure of income disadvantage, and are calculated as the proportion of people living in households with a low income. This calculation does not take into account the high cost of living shown in Figure 1, but we can say that it is people in poverty who will suffer most because of these high costs of living - the poverty rate shows how many people may have difficulty paying the high cost of living in Canberra. Figure 3 shows poverty rates for all States in Australia; the Australian average; and the maximum suburb level poverty rate. Overall, there were 21,528 people in poverty in the ACT. Looking at particular areas in the ACT, the maximum suburb level values show that there were pockets of poverty in Canberra, and the poverty rate in the area with the highest poverty rate (25.9 per cent) was similar to the maximum in other States. So while there is a difference in the averages, there is little difference in the extremes. 3

Figure 3: Poverty Rates by State, Suburb maximums and Australian average, 2011 Source: NATSEM modelled figures using SpatialMSM13 This is shown clearly in Figure 4, which shows the distribution of poverty in the ACT by suburb. It can be seen that there are four suburbs with above national average poverty rates; and two suburbs areas with very high poverty rates. Figure 4: Poverty by Suburb in the ACT, 2011 Source: NATSEM modelled figures using SpatialMSM13 Figure 5 shows poverty rates for the ACT over time compared to Australian poverty rates. It can be seen that poverty rates in the ACT are always below the national level, but they tend to follow the national trend. The increase in poverty rates for Australia from 2003-04 to 2005-06 was not seen in the ACT, but there was a large increase from 2005/06 to 2007/08 in the ACT, possibly due to the global financial crisis in 2008. From 2002/03 to 2005/06, poverty rates in the ACT were decreasing. 4

Figure 5: Poverty rates over time, 2002-03 to 2009-10 Source: ABS Survey of Income and Housing Inequality One of the problems with being poor is that if everyone around you is rich, your low income is more noticeable. Children may be wearing hand-me-downs rather than new school clothes, while all their friends have new clothes; or they might not be able to afford the school camp that all their friends are going on. Inequality is a measure of the difference between the highest incomes and the lowest incomes in an area. There are many measures of inequality, but the one we have used in this report is one of the easiest to understand. It is simply the income of the person earning the top 90 per cent of incomes divided by the income of the person earning the bottom 10 per cent of incomes. It is called the P90/P10 ratio. A lower P90/P10 ratio is good, as it shows the gap between the rich and poor is not great. The P90/P10 ratio is calculated using the top and bottom incomes in the State, so it is interesting to look at these. Figure 6 shows the P90 and P10 incomes for each State and Australia. It can be seen that there isn t much variation in the bottom 10 per cent of incomes; but there is in the top 10 per cent (the P90). This is possibly due to the benefit payments system and the minimum wage in Australia. The ACT has the highest P90 income at $1,710 and the highest P10 income at $346. 5

Figure 6: Top (P90) and Bottom (P10) Incomes by State, 2011 Source: NATSEM modelled figures using SpatialMSM13 The P90/P10 Ratio for all Australian States and Territories is shown in Figure 7. It can be seen that the ACT has one of the highest rates of inequality so the bottom 10 per cent of salaries for everyone in the ACT is $346, and the top 90 per cent of salaries is $1,710 per week, so the ratio between the top and the bottom is 4.9. It can be seen that there is not much variability in inequality by State the range is from 4.3 in Tasmania to 4.9 in the ACT and NSW. The highest rates of suburb level inequality are in NSW and Victoria, where older suburbs in Sydney and Melbourne can have families with high incomes in the same suburb as retirees living on low incomes. The ACT suburb level inequality is equivalent to levels in the NT and Queensland, and lower than SA, WA, NSW and Victoria. Figure 7: Inequality (P90/P10) by State, Suburb maximums and Australian average, 2011 Source: NATSEM modelled figures using SpatialMSM13 6

Looking at suburb level inequality, Figure 8 shows that about a third of suburbs in the ACT have inequality rates below the National level, and about 2/3 have rates above the national level. There are 8 suburbs with inequality above 6, which suggests very high maximum incomes. Figure 8: Inequality (P90/P10) by Suburb in the ACT, 2011 Source: NATSEM modelled figures using SpatialMSM13 Looking at inequality over time, Figure 9 shows inequality for Australia and the ACT from 2002-03 to 2009-10. It can be seen that inequality in the ACT is very similar to the Australian levels. Inequality is much more variable in the ACT than it is across Australia, possibly reflecting the fact that there are fewer people in the ABS survey in the ACT. Overall, the ACT seems to follow broadly the Australian trends in inequality, showing increased inequality since 2003/04, and a strong increase in 2007/08 possibly due to the Global Financial Crisis reducing the bottom (P10) incomes more than the top (P90) incomes, but reducing in 2009/10. 7

Figure 9: Inequality (P90/P10) over time, 2002-03 to 2009/10 Source: ABS Survey of Income and Housing So in terms of inequality, it looks like the ACT is not doing too badly the State level inequality is high in 2011, but has been above and below the Australian average from 2002-03. Generally, the ACT value is similar to the Australian average. When looking at suburbs, there are some areas of very high income and high inequality, but the low incomes are also fairly high, so levels of inequality overall are reasonable. Financial Stress Poverty is very much associated with the next indicator, financial stress. This is the proportion of households who cannot find $2,000 for an emergency in a week. Figure 10 shows the proportion of households in financial stress in each State, the maximum suburb values for each State and the National average. The ACT has 14,148 households in financial stress, or 11.1 per cent of the total households in the ACT. While the ACT has a low proportion of households in financial stress, it has the third highest suburb maximum of 29.6 per cent, well above the values for NSW and Victoria. This supports the idea that there are pockets of financial stress in the ACT. 8

Figure 10: Financial Stress by State, Suburb maximums and Australian average, 2011 Source: NATSEM modelled figures using SpatialMSM13 Figure 11 shows the graph of suburb level financial stress, and it can be seen that the levels for some suburbs in the ACT are much higher than the Australian average. Overall, there were 14 areas with levels of financial stress above the national average. This does suggest that while other indicators have not shown the ACT as having particularly high levels of poverty, housing stress and inequality, there is an issue with financial stress. Figure 11: Financial stress by Suburb in the ACT, 2011 Source: NATSEM modelled figures using SpatialMSM13 Unfortunately, time series data for financial stress at the State level are not available from the ABS as the indicator is not available on historical surveys used for the other indicators in this report. 9

Housing Housing is an important part of any family as it provides shelter, stability and safety. The affordability of housing is therefore an important indicator of disadvantage. For most low income people, renting is the only option for housing as a mortgage is difficult to secure on a low income. When we were looking at the cost of living in the first section, Figure 2 showed that rent costs in the ACT are some of the highest in Australia, higher than Sydney and Melbourne. While rents are high in the ACT, incomes are also high for many people. However, with high rents, those who do not have high incomes need to pay a higher proportion of their incomes on rent. So one measure of housing disadvantage would be to look at how affordable rent is in the ACT for a low income person. Figure 12 shows how much rental stock is affordable on the minimum wage. It can be seen that for those on the minimum wage in the ACT, about 20 per cent of the total housing stock is affordable compared to 25 per cent nationwide. The rate in the ACT was just above rates in Sydney and Melbourne. Figure 12: % Affordable housing in 2011 Source: 2011 Census Data Another way to look at housing costs is to use the concept of housing stress. Housing stress is calculated as the proportion of households in an area paying more than 30 per cent of their income on housing costs (either rent or loan repayments) while also being in the bottom 40 per cent of Australian incomes. Appendix 1 has a detailed description of the calculation. The proportion of households in housing stress for each Australian State and Territory for 2011, along with the Australian average and the maximum suburb level housing stress in each State, is shown in Figure 13. It can be seen that while the ACT has one of the lowest rates of housing stress, the maximum rate in the ACT is equivalent to 10

the maximum rate in WA. The maximum rates in NSW, Victoria, Queensland and SA are very high, possibly reflecting high house prices in the large capital cities. In terms of number of households in housing stress, there were 9,910 households in the ACT experiencing housing stress. Figure 13: Housing Stress by State, Suburb maximums and Australian average, 2011 Source: NATSEM modelled figures using SpatialMSM13 Figure 14 shows the graph of suburb level housing stress in the ACT and the Australian average. It can be seen that one area in the ACT is above the national average, suggesting there are pockets of high housing stress in the ACT. Figure 14: Housing stress by Suburb in the ACT, 2011 Source: NATSEM modelled figures using SpatialMSM13 Figure 15 shows housing stress over time. It can be seen that the rate of housing stress in the ACT is well below the national average. This may be because the 30/40 rule 11

used excludes middle and high income earners, reducing the rate of housing stress in Canberra as there are more middle and high income earners in Canberra. While nationally the rate of housing stress has been up and down, it seems to be on a long term upward trend from 2003/04. For the ACT, it was rising to a peak in 2007/08, and then fell dramatically in 2009/10. Figure 15: Housing stress over time, 2002-03 to 2009-10 Source: ABS, Survey of Income and Housing The overall story around housing is that while housing stress is low, this hides the fact that rents in Canberra are much higher than average, and are the highest of any capital city in Australia. Because of this, there is a lower than national average proportion of properties that are affordable to those on the minimum wage. Homelessness Associated with housing stress is homelessness. Housing stress is one of the many pathways into homelessness (see D Souza et al, 2013), and given the high rents in Canberra, may be one of the pathways into homelessness for low income people. Rates of homelessness were taken from the ABS publication Estimating Homelessness, Australia (see ABS, 2012a). The estimates were from the 2011 Census, and are shown in Figure 16. This graph excludes the Northern Territory, where homelessness rates are 730.7 per 10,000 population, so off the scale of Figure 16. Estimates were not available for suburbs, so the maximum rate for the smallest geography available was provided. In Canberra, this equates to town centres. It can be seen that the ACT has one of the highest homelessness rates in Australia, only behind the Northern Territory (not shown on the graph). In total, there were 1,785 people homeless on Census night in Canberra. This is more than there were homeless in Tasmania (1,579) for a smaller population. The maximum rate of homelessness in a suburb in the ACT was similar to that in NSW and Victoria, but lower than areas in Queensland, WA, SA and the NT. 12

Figure 16: Homelessness per 10,000 population by State, Suburb maximums and Australian average, 2011 Source: ABS, 2012a; ABS, 2012b The homelessness rates for town centres in the ACT are shown in Figure 17. It can be seen that the homelessness rate for some town centres in Canberra are above the National average, and for some areas the rate is triple the national average. Figure 17: Homelessness in Canberra by town centre per 10,000 population, 2011 Source: ABS, 2012b Table 1 shows homelessness rates from 2001 to 2011. It can be seen that the rate of homelessness in the ACT increased dramatically in 2011. In 2001 and 2006, it was about 60 per cent of the Australian average; in 2011, it increased to just above the Australian average. So something happened in the ACT between 2006 and 2011 that increased significantly the ACTs rate of homelessness. 13

Table 1: Rates of Homelessness, ACT, 2001-2011 Homeless per 10,000 population ACT Aus Ratio 2001 30.4 50.8 0.6 2006 29.3 45.2 0.6 2011 50.0 48.9 1.0 Source: ABS, 2012a The ABS publication shows that the high homelessness rate in the ACT is mainly associated with people in supported accommodation (30.9 per 10,000 population in the ACT compared to a 9.9 per 10,000 population Australian average). The reason for this appears to be because of the provision of homelessness services in the ACT as more services are provided, more people will use them. Socio-Economic Index for Individuals The Socio-Economic Index for Individuals (SEIFI) is an index calculated by the ABS which is similar to the Socio-Economic Index for Areas (SEIFA) but based on individual attributes rather than area level attributes. The SEIFA index summarises disadvantage for an area, so individual level disadvantage is masked. The SEIFI index is calculated at an individual level, so rather than using % People aged 15 years and over with no qualifications it assigns a 1 to each individual with no qualifications and then aggregates to an area using weights derived through the same method as used for SEIFA. Because the SEIFI indexes reveal the hidden disadvantage, we have used them in this report to show disadvantage in the ACT. The SEIFI index shows that there are 28,639 ACT residents in the most disadvantaged 20 per cent of Australians. This is 12.6 per cent of all ACT residents. Many of these people are living in areas that are not disadvantaged Table 2 shows the SEIFA decile that these people live in. This shows up the problem of hidden disadvantage in the ACT the most disadvantaged people according to SEIFI don t live in disadvantaged areas, they are in less disadvantaged areas. Table 2: SEIFA and SEIFI (15 64 year old population) SEIFI Group 1 (Bottom 20%) SEIFA Decile 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total (Most (Least Disadvantaged) Disadvantaged) 944 783 1,074 2,183 1,851 4,052 5,026 5,479 4,115 3,132 28,639 Source: ACT Government, 2012 Unfortunately, the SEIFI index has only been calculated for one year so far (2011), so there is no over time comparison of the SEIFI index. 14

Conclusions This report has shown that disadvantage does exist in the ACT. Given the high cost of living in the ACT, and the high rental payments, this should come as no surprise. Using data from ABS surveys and the Census, we have identified 21,528 Canberran s in poverty; 9,910 Canberra households experiencing housing stress; 14,148 Canberran s experiencing financial stress; and 1,785 homeless people in Canberra in 2011. We have also identified areas in Canberra where disadvantage is above the National average. When looking at these indicators over time, we find that the ACT was not immune to the Global Financial Crisis. Many of the indicators shot up in 2007/08, and then settled back down in 2009-10. Generally the ACT has been experiencing reducing poverty rates and housing stress over time, but increasing inequality. The number of homeless in the ACT also spiked upwards in 2011. Looking at the SEIFI index really shows up the problem of disadvantage in the ACT that there are many disadvantaged people living in less disadvantaged areas. The disadvantaged households are masked when looking at averages by overall lower disadvantaged households in our suburbs. Overall, we find that Canberra is a rich area, and most Canberran s are doing well, and doing better over time. This means that those who cannot afford school uniforms for their children, or holidays, or new computers and ipads see themselves and their children suffer greater exclusion as they play with and relate to friends who do have access to these luxuries of life. What s more, we can do something about this. For those of us who are on middle to high incomes, we can donate to institutions who help the poor; or we can get involved volunteering for not-for-profit organisations that help the disadvantaged in Canberra. Anti-Poverty week is a time to think about disadvantage in our own communities, and do something practical about it. 15

Appendix 1 - Definitions of all the measures Cost of Living NATSEM s Cost of Living index is calculated using ABS Household Expenditure Surveys and detailed capital city Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The method is an extension to the ABS Living Cost index and is described in Phillips (2013). Poverty Rates Poverty rates are a measure of income disadvantage, and are calculated as the proportion of people living in households with a low income. Low income is defined as half the median household equivalised income. Household income is used because incomes tend to be shared across everyone in the household. It is then equivalised to take into account the number of people in the household so a household with 5 people needs less money than a household with 1 person. The equivalising takes into account the number of adults in the house (with a weight of 1 for the first adult and 0.5 for each additional dependent person aged over 15); and the number of dependent children (dependent children aged under 15 receive a weight of 0.3). The median income is the middle income of all the households with someone earning an income so if there are 138,400 households in the ACT, it would be the income of the 69,200 household. Inequality Inequality is a measure of the difference between high and low incomes in an area. It is calculated as the income received by someone earning the top 90% of income divided by the income of someone earning the bottom 10% of incomes. All incomes are weekly equivalised disposable incomes. So assuming an area with 11 people, with incomes (sorted from low to high) of $40, $100, $370, $400, $460, $500, $670, $800, $950, $1020 and the maximum income is $1100, the P10 income is $100 and the P90 income is $1020. When the income of the 10 th percentile is divided by the income of the 90 th percentile, a measure of inequality can be calculated. This is called the P90/P10 ratio. For income, we have used the current weekly disposable household income. So if the top 90% of income starts at an income of $2,919.60 per week, and the bottom 10% of incomes starts at $429.20, then the P90/P10 ratio is 6.8. Note that for the National and State and Territory figures, we have separately calculated the P90 income and P10 income for Australia and each State and Territory; whereas to calculate the maximum suburb level P90/P10 rate, we have calculated the P90 income and P10 income for each suburb, calculated the P90/P10 ratio, and then identified the maximum. Affordable Housing Affordable housing is defined as housing that costs less than 30% of the minimum wage in rent. Housing Stress Housing stress is defined as those who are paying more than 30% of their household gross income on housing, whether in loan repayments or rent, and are earning in the 16

bottom 40% of household disposable equivalised incomes. This is calculated as a proportion of total households in the area. Financial Stress Financial stress is calculated as the proportion of households who would not be able to raise $2,000 in a week for an emergency. It is estimated using NATSEM s SpatialMSM model, which uses data from the ABS Survey of Income and Housing Costs and the ABS Census. SEIFI The Socio-Economic Index for Individuals (SEIFI) is an index recently calculated by the ABS for the ACT Government. It uses the 2011 Census data to calculate a number of indicators of disadvantage for individuals, including income, education and occupation. An overall index is then calculated from these indicators using a technique called Principal Components Analysis, the same technique used to calculate the Socio-Economic Index for Areas using area level data. More information on the SEIFI index can be found in ABS (2007) and ACT Government (2012). Homelessness Homelessness is from the ABS Estimating Homelessness report (ABS, 2012a) which uses the 2011 Census data to identify people who are homeless. Homeless includes people who are in improvised dwellings, tents or sleeping out; people in supported accommodation for the homeless; people staying temporarily with other households; people staying in boarding houses; people in other temporary lodging; and people living in 'severely' crowded dwellings. Source of Data All time series data in this report comes from the ABS Surveys of Income and Housing. Note that for the time series graphs, a slightly different version of Income was used from 2005/06 earlier. The ABS provides a consistent definition of income from 2005/06 onwards, but before 2005/06, the income collected in the surveys excluded some income components. So the incomes used to calculate poverty rates, inequality and housing stress in 2002/03 and 2003/04 used a slightly different definition of income. This will have little effect on the indicators calculated in this report. The suburb and State level data in this report referenced as SpatialMSM13 comes from NATSEM s modelling using our spatial microsimulation model (SpatialMSM). This model uses ABS Census and the Survey of Income and Housing data from 2009-10 to derive small area estimates of equivalised disposable income. More information can be found in Tanton et al. (2011). Because this is modelled data, the State and National averages from this modelled data are slightly different to the State and National averages from the SIH, so the modelled data is not directly comparable to the ABS survey data. The suburb level data used was for the SA2 ABS Geography. In the ACT, this equates to suburbs, but this is not the same in every State or capital city. We have made no attempt in this simple analysis to standardise geographies we are mainly comparing geographies across the ACT. For homelessness, the smallest geography available was the SA3 classification. 17

References ACT Government (2012), Detecting Disadvantage in the ACT, ACT Government: Canberra Australian Bureau of Statistics (2007), Socio-Economic Indexes for Individuals and Families, ABS Cat # 1352.0.55.086, Canberra Australian Bureau of Statistics. (2012a), Census of Population and Housing 2011: Estimating Homelessness. ABS Cat # 2049.0, Canberra. Australian Bureau of Statistics. (2012b), Census of Population and Housing 2011: Estimating Homelessness SA3 data download. ABS Cat # 2049.0, Canberra. D Souza, Tanton, Abello, Mohanty & Thurecht (2013), Geographical analysis of the risk of homelessness, NATSEM, Canberra Phillips, B (2013), NATSEM Household Budget Report: Cost of Living and Standard of Living Indexes for Australia, June 2013, NATSEM: Canberra Tanton, R., Vidyattama, Y., Nepal, B., & McNamara, J. (2011), Small area estimation using a reweighting algorithm. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 174(4), 931 951. 18

Disadvantage in the ACT Report for ACT Anti-Poverty Week October 2013