SHERRITT 2018 ANNUAL MEETING

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Transcription:

SHERRITT 2018 ANNUAL MEETING June 12, 2018 1

SHERRITT 2018 ANNUAL MEETING David Pathe President and CEO June 12, 2018 2

Forward-looking statements The material and presentations comprising the Sherritt International Corporation ( Sherritt or the Corporation ) Annual General Meeting on June 12, 2018 contain certain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can generally be identified by the use of statements that include such words as believe, expect, anticipate, intend, plan, forecast, likely, may, will, could, should, suspect, outlook, potential, projected, continue or other similar words or phrases. Forward looking statements are not based on historical facts, but rather on current expectations, assumptions and projections about future events, including commodity and product supply, demand and prices; the level of liquidity and access to funding; share price volatility; production results; Net Direct Cash Costs; realized prices for production; earnings and revenues; market potential for electric vehicles and bitumen upgrading;; capital spending; capital projects, costs and timelines; equipment availability; development and exploration wells and enhanced oil recovery in Cuba, including in relation to Block 10; environmental rehabilitation provisions; availability of regulatory approvals; compliance with applicable environmental laws and regulations; debt repayments; collection of accounts receivable; and certain corporate objectives, goals and plans. By their nature, forward looking statements require the Corporation to make assumptions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. There is significant risk that predictions, forecasts, conclusions or projections will not prove to be accurate, that those assumptions may not be correct and that actual results may differ materially from such predictions, forecasts, conclusions or projections. The Corporation cautions those attending today s meeting not to place undue reliance on any forward looking statement as a number of factors could cause actual future results, conditions, actions or events to differ materially from the targets, expectations, estimates or intentions expressed in the forward looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to, changes in the global price for nickel, cobalt, oil and gas or certain other commodities; share price volatility; level of liquidity; access to capital; access to financing; risks related to the liquidity of the Ambatovy Joint Venture; the risk to Sherritt s entitlements to future distributions from the Ambatovy Joint Venture; risk of future non-compliance with debt restrictions and covenants; risks associated with the Corporation s joint venture partners; variability in production at Sherritt s operations in Madagascar and Cuba; potential interruptions in transportation; uncertainty of gas supply for electrical generation; uncertainty of exploration results and Sherritt s ability to replace depleted mineral and oil and gas reserves; the Corporation s reliance on key personnel and skilled workers; the possibility of equipment and other failures; the potential for shortages of equipment and supplies; risks associated with mining, processing and refining activities; uncertainty of resources and reserve estimates; uncertainties in environmental rehabilitation provisions estimates; risks related to the Corporation s corporate structure; political, economic and other risks of foreign operations; risks related to Sherritt s operations in Cuba; risks related to the U.S. government policy toward Cuba, including the U.S. embargo on Cuba and the Helms-Burton legislation; risks related to Sherritt s operations in Madagascar; risks associated with Sherritt s development, construction and operation of large projects generally; risks related to the accuracy of capital and operating cost estimates; reliance on significant customers; foreign exchange and pricing risks; compliance with applicable environment, health and safety legislation and other associated matters; risks associated with governmental regulations regarding greenhouse gas emissions; maintaining the Corporation s social license to grow and operate; risks relating to community relations; credit risks; shortage of equipment and supplies; competition in product markets; future market access; interest rate changes; risks in obtaining insurance; uncertainties in labour relations; uncertainty in the ability of the Corporation to enforce legal rights in foreign jurisdictions; uncertainty regarding the interpretation and/or application of the applicable laws in foreign jurisdictions; legal contingencies; risks related to the Corporation s accounting policies; risks associated with future acquisitions; uncertainty in the ability of the Corporation to obtain government permits; risks to information technologies systems and cybersecurity; failure to comply with, or changes to, applicable government regulations; bribery and corruption risks, including failure to comply with the Corruption of Foreign Public Officials Act or applicable local anti-corruption law; uncertainties in growth management; and certain corporate objectives, goals and plans for 2018; and the Corporation s ability to meet other factors listed from time to time in the Corporation s continuous disclosure documents. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive and should be considered in conjunction with the risk factors described in the Corporation s other documents filed with the Canadian securities authorities, including the Corporation s Annual information Form for the year ended December 31, 2017 dated March 20, 2018.. At today s meeting, the Corporation may also make oral forward-looking statements. The Corporation advises that the above paragraph and the risk factors described in this presentation and in the Corporation s other documents filed with the Canadian securities authorities should be read for a description of certain factors that could cause the actual results of the Corporation to differ materially from those in the oral forward-looking statements. The forward-looking information and statements contained in today s materials are made as of the date hereof and the Corporation undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any oral or written forward-looking information or statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable securities laws. The forward-looking information and statements contained in and presented today s meeting are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement. Non-GAAP Measures Management uses combined results, Adjusted EBITDA, average-realized price, unit operating cost to monitor the financial performance of the Corporation and its operating divisions and believes these measures enable investors and analysts to compare the Corporation s financial performance with its competitors and evaluate the results of its underlying business. These measures do not have a standard definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. As these measures do not have a standardized meaning, they may not be comparable to similar measures provided by other companies. 3

Supplying a sustainable future Launch of 2017 sustainability report 4

Starts with a sustainable Sherritt 2014 2016 2017 2018 - Sold non-core coal assets for $946M and repaid $425M in debentures - Extended debenture maturities by 3 years - Repurchased $30M of debentures at a discount - Q2 2016 - Restructured Ambatovy JV & eliminated $1.4B of debt - Repurchased $120M of debentures for $110M - Additional $10M repurchased in May Eliminated $2 billion of debt over past 4 years 5

Impact of balance sheet initiatives $1,938M $653M $507M 74% Decrease in net debt since 2016 (1) 12/31/2016 12/31/2017 3/31/2018 Reducing debt remains a priority (1) Non-GAAP measure. Net debt is defined as debt due within one year plus the face value of long-term debt, less cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments, as shown in Sherritt s consolidated statement of financial position 6

3+ year runway before major liabilities are due (1) $134M $170M $206M $223M 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Public debentures Ambatovy partner loan No debt maturities until Q4 2021 (1) Includes debentures and outstanding partner loan 7

Reducing operating and head-office costs Operations Focus on reduction of controllable costs 3rd acid plant reduced operating costs Lower NDCC aided by rising cobalt prices Corporate Administrative expenses reduced by 37% between 2013 and 2017 Annual interest expenses reduced by ~$10M due to $120M debenture re-purchase in February 7.5 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 Moa MPR (1) costs (US$/lb, excl. by-product credits) Impact of reduced mixed sulphides availability in Q1 2018 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 13 2013 13 14 2014 14 15 2015 15 16 2016 16 17 2017 17 Q1 18 Sherritt is a low-cost, premium quality producer (1) Mining, Processing and Refining costs 8

Frequency (per 200,000 hours worked) Focus on safety makes us stronger Q1 2018 results Zero lost time incidents 7 million hours without a lost time incident Safest record since Q3 2005 Global commitment Implementing Towards Sustainable Mining standards at all operations Significant progress made with fatality prevention measures at the Moa JV 1.00 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 Moa JV - Work-related incidents 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 (LTM) Total recordable incident rate Lost time injury frequency rate Commitment to safety driving improvements to injury and incident rates 9

A sustainable future starts with nickel and cobalt 10

Electric vehicles -- No longer just a China phenomenon 11

Trend is a global phenomenon China Initiative China targets 5M EVs on the road by 2020 and production of 7M EVs by 2025. EVs with range > 400km see increase in subsidies Year 2020, 2025 Norway Change to taxes and incentives to achieve zero or low emission vehicle sales 2025 Holland Ban all fossil fuel passenger car sales 2025 Germany Change to taxes and incentives to achieve only zero-emission sales EU-wide 2030 India Ban on the sale of petrol and diesel cars 2030 France Ban on the sale of cars emitting greenhouse gases 2040 U.K. Ban on the sale of all petrol and diesel cars and vans 2040 Regulators in China and Europe are paving the way for electrification 12

Auto industry is undergoing dramatic changes 2019 2020 2022 2025 - China begins EV production quotas at 10% of all vehicles - 100% of Volvo s fleet will be electric or hybrid - Production of Tesla semi trucks begins - 100% of Jaguar Land Rover s fleet will be electric - GM will have 10 EV models for Chinese market - Ford will launch an allelectric SUV + 24 hybrid and 16 full EVs as a result of $11B investment - Mercedes will launch 10 new EV models by 2022-30% of Audi vehicle sales will be electric - Volvo aims for >50% of its sales to be of all-electric models Pace of EV revolution is driving higher nickel and cobalt prices 13

Near-term outlook for cobalt is strong Cobalt demand coming from the battery sector 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Batteries EV batteries Electric vehicles will consume 40% of the world s cobalt supply by 2025 Source: CRU 14

Market balance (kt) Nickel inventories (days) Nickel supply deficit is accelerating Global nickel supply/demand market balance (kt) 250 300 200 225 150 100 150 75 Supply deficit expected to grow through 2025 50 0 (50) (100) (150) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 (75) (150) (225) (300) Demand is tied to EV battery requirements Current LME inventory is below 300,000 tonnes Market balance Global stocks (days) Provides Sherritt with favorable outlook Sources: Wood Mackenzie, Q1 2018 market balance Wood Mackenzie Global nickel short-term outlook (April 2018) 15

Nickel price (US$/lb) Sensitivity to nickel and cobalt prices $10 $9 Nickel Price (US$/lb) Cobalt price (US$/lb) Moa JV - Adjusted EBITDA ($M) $45 $40 $8 $35 $7 $6 $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 $133M $51M $78M $42M $20M $81M $27M $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 Cobalt price (US$/lb) $0 Average reference price: - Nickel - Cobalt 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 (3 months) $7.95/lb $6.81/lb $7.65/lb $5.37/lb $4.36/lb $4.72/lb $6.03/lb $13.48/lb $12.77/lb $14.16/lb $12.99/lb $11.77/lb $26.53/lb $39.01/lb $0 Sherritt is benefitting from nickel and cobalt price recoveries (1) For additional information, see the Non-GAAP measures section of Sherritt s Q1 2018 MD&A 16

Sustaining our momentum 17

2018 priorities 1 Preserve liquidity and enhance balance sheet strength 2 Uphold global leadership in finished nickel laterite production 3 Optimize opportunities in Cuban energy business Sherritt s priorities have not changed 18

2018 progress Strategic Priority 2018 Results YTD Strengthen balance sheet & preserve liquidity Cash position increased to $237.3M Q1 $121.2M debenture purchased for $110.3M Q1 $10 million debenture purchase Q2 Uphold leadership position in nickel production Operations at Moa JV and Ambatovy JV had zero lost time incidents Q1 NDCC at Moa JV was $2.06/lb; 4 th consecutive quarter in the lowest cost quartile Q1 Optimize Cuban energy business opportunities PSC at PE/Yumori extended to 2021 Q1 Technology for Block 10 drilling identified Q1 Sherritt continues to execute on its priorities 19

Block 10 development potential Finalized evaluation of available technology to complete drilling Drilling expected to commence soon US$13 million in spend budgeted for drilling Potential production: 25,000 bopd GWI Preliminary results expected in Q3 Results will determine development budget Development plan to be finalized pending drilling results in Q3 20

Sherritt bitumen upgrade process addresses industry need Bitumen Highly viscous material Must be thinned for pipeline transportation Thinned through addition of expensive diluent Sherritt Process Eliminates need for diluent addition Leverages 60+ years of hydrometallurgical processes and use of autoclaves Pilot-scale demonstration successfully completed Opportunity to commercialize technology Traditional processes Requires addition of diluent expensive thinning agent Addition of diluent is estimated to cost Alberta industry $6 billion/year Reduces pipeline capacity Reduces costs and improves pipeline capacity 21

Summary 1 Balance sheet initiatives have transformed Sherritt 2 Outlook and prospects have never been stronger 3 Sherritt has strong upside leverage to rising nickel and cobalt prices 22

Questions? David Pathe President and CEO 23