Medicare Part D: What Are The Concerns?

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Medicare Part D: What Are The Concerns? Stuart Guterman Director, Program on Medicare s Future The Commonwealth Fund Association of Healthcare Journalists March 17, 2006 (revised to reflect new data May 16, 2006)

What Do We Want From The New Drug Benefit? Continuity Will beneficiaries with coverage before have corresponding (or better) coverage under Part D? Availability Will beneficiaries be able to find a plan that s best for them? Access Will beneficiaries be able to get the drugs they need?

Concern About Vulnerable Populations Medicaid recipients Other low-income beneficiaries Nursing home residents Frail and disabled beneficiaries Chronically ill beneficiaries Racial and ethnic minorities

Source of Prescription Drug Coverage for Community-Dwelling Medicare Beneficiaries, 1998-2000 Percent 50 45 40 35 34.8 30 25 20 15 10 24.7 16.5 10.5 11.8 15.8 5 0 None Medicare HMO Medicaid Employer Medigap Other Source: B. Stuart, et al. Riding the Roller Coaster: The Ups and Downs in Out-of-Pocket Spending Under the Standard Medicare Drug Benefit. Health Affairs. 24(4). (July/August 2005): 1025.

Source of Prescription Drug Coverage for Medicare Beneficiaries Residing in Nursing Homes, 2001 No Rx coverage 20% Other supplement with Rx coverage 9 % Full Medicaid 56% Other supplement with Rx coverage unknown 15 % Source: Stuart, B. et al. Coverage and Use of Prescription Drugs in Nursing Homes: Implications for the Medicare Modernization Act. Medical Care. 44(3). (March 2006): 243.

Coverage, Income, and Chronic Illness Are Factors in Adherence to Prescribed Drug Regimens Percent of Seniors Not Adhering to Prescribed Drug Regimens 50 40 36.8 35.2 34.9 30 26.3 20 10 0 All seniors No prescription drug coverage Low income Three or more chronic conditions Source: Safran, D. et al. Prescription Drug Coverage and Seniors: Findings From a 2003 National Survey. Health Affairs Web exclusive. April 19, 2005.

Beneficiary Out-of of-pocket Costs Under the Medicare Part D Standard Benefit, 2006 Out-of-Pocket Cost 10000 9000 8000 Total Out-of-pocket Out-of-pocket+premium 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 Total Covered Drug Cost

Deductibles Offered by Medicare Stand- Alone Prescription Drug Plans, 2006 $250 34% of plans $0 58% of plans $150-$175 0% $50-$100 8% Source: CMS, PDP Landscape of Local Plans Source File as of November 15, 2005.

Availability of Coverage in the Part D Coverage Gap Generics only 13% of plans Generics and Brand 3% of plans No coverage 84% of plans Source: CMS, PDP Landscape of Local Plans Source File as of November 15, 2005.

Average Plan Premiums by Deductible and Availability of Coverage in the Part D Coverage Gap Plan Premium $70.00 $60.00 $50.00 $48.09 $61.28 $40.00 $30.00 $30.74 $35.91 $20.00 $10.00 $0.00 $250 deductible and no coverage $0 deductible and no coverage $0 deductible and generics only $0 deductible and generics +brand Source: CMS, PDP Landscape of Local Plans Source File as of November 15, 2005.

Reported Enrollment in Medicare Part D or Equivalent Coverage, by Category, As of May 7, 2006 No identified source of creditable coverage 6.1 million Prescription Drug Plans (PDPs) 8.9 million Other creditable coverage 5.8 million Dual eligibles (in PDPs) 5.9 million Federal retiree 3.5 million Retiree subsidy 6.9 million Dual eligibles (in MA plans) 0.5 million Medicare Advantage (MA) plans 5.9 million Source: DHHS News Release, 37 Million Medicare Beneficiaries Now Receiving Prescription Drug Coverage, May 10, 2006.

Medicare Part D Enrollment With Low- Income Subsidy, as of March 31, 2006 (Not Including Dual-Eligibles) 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 8.2 3.8 1.6 Projected eligible Applications approved Applications received Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, Medicare Prescription Drug Coverage Enrollment Update, April 2006.

Disposition of Applications for Low-Income Subsidies, as of December 30, 2005 Denied, Received excess but not income and processed, resources, 12% 7% Denied-- excess resources, 34% Approved, Denied-- excess income, 20% 27% Kaiser Family Foundation, Tracking Prescription Drug Coverage Under Medicare, February 2006.

So Where Are We? The Medicare Drug Benefit holds promise for improving access, coordination, and quality of care It has a long way to go until it achieves that potential The experience in the first few months has been plagued with political and public relations battles, instead of focusing on improving how the policy works The new program needs to be monitored for indications of how it can be improved for its beneficiaries particularly its most vulnerable groups

An Alternative: Medicare Extra Comprehensive benefits option for Medicare beneficiaries Single $250 deductible Part B coinsurance reduced from 20% to 10% No coinsurance for long hospitals stays, home health, selected preventive care Prescription drugs: No separate deductible 25% coinsurance No doughnut hole Ceiling on out-of-pocket costs Lower premiums, lower total out-of-pocket costs, than Medicare fee-for-service plus Medigap