FY 2016 THIRD QUARTER EARNINGS CONFERENCE CALL August 9, 2016

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Transcription:

FY 2016 THIRD QUARTER EARNINGS CONFERENCE CALL August 9, 2016

Agenda TransDigm Overview W. Nicholas Howley Chairman, President and CEO Highlights, Market Review, Operating W. Nicholas Howley Performance and Outlook Chairman, President and CEO Financial Results Terrance Paradie Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Q&A 1

Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including information regarding our guidance for future periods. These forward-looking statements are based on management s current expectations and beliefs, as well as a number of assumptions concerning future events, many of which are outside of our control. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statement. These risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to: the sensitivity of our business to the number of flight hours that our customers planes spend aloft and our customers profitability, both of which are affected by general economic conditions; future terrorist attacks; cyber-security threats and natural disasters; our reliance on certain customers; the U.S. defense budget and risks associated with being a government supplier; failure to maintain government or industry approvals; failure to complete or successfully integrate acquisitions; our substantial indebtedness; potential environmental liabilities; increases in costs that cannot be recovered in product pricing; risks associated with our international sales and operations; and other factors. Further information regarding the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from projected results can be found in TransDigm Group s Annual Report on Form 10-K and other reports that TransDigm Group or its subsidiaries have filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements. TransDigm Group Incorporated assumes no obligation to, and expressly disclaims any obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 2

Special Notice Regarding Pro Forma and Non-GAAP Information This presentation sets forth certain pro forma financial information. This pro forma financial information gives effect to certain recently completed acquisitions. Such pro forma information is based on certain assumptions and adjustments and does not purport to present TransDigm's actual results of operations or financial condition had the transactions reflected in such pro forma financial information occurred at the beginning of the relevant period, in the case of income statement information, or at the end of such period, in the case of balance sheet information, nor is it necessarily indicative of the results of operations that may be achieved in the future. This presentation also sets forth certain non-gaap financial measures. A presentation of the most directly comparable GAAP measures and a reconciliation to such measures are set forth in the appendix. 3

TransDigm Overview DISTINGUISHING CHARACTERISTICS Highly engineered aerospace components Proprietary and sole source products Significant aftermarket content High free cash flow Proprietary Revenues (1) Pro Forma Revenues (Excluding Non-Aviation Segment) (1) Pro Forma EBITDA As Defined (1) Non- Proprietary Defense 30% Comm Aftmkt 38% OEM Proprietary Comm OEM 32% Aftermarke t Aftermarket. (1) Pro forma revenue is for the fiscal year ended 9/30/15 (excluding the Non-Aviation Segment sales of $96 million or 3% of total sales). Includes the full year impact of recent acquisitions of Telair, Franke, Pexco, PneuDraulics and Breeze. Excludes DDC. Please see the Special Notice Regarding Pro Forma and Non-GAAP Information. 4

2016 Q3 Financial Performance by Markets Pro Forma Highlights(¹) Q3 Market Review Pro Forma Revenues(¹) Actual vs. Prior Year Q3 YTD Commercial OEM Commercial transport revenue up 6% in Q3 Commercial OEM: Up 4% Up 1% Commercial Aftermarket Commercial transport revenue strong in Q3 Commercial Aftermarket: Up 8% Up 7% Defense Bookings slightly ahead of shipments YTD Defense: Up 3% Flat (1) Information is on a pro forma basis versus the prior year period and includes the recent acquisitions of Telair, Franke, Pexco, PneuDraulics and Breeze. Excludes DDC. Please see the Special Notice Regarding Pro Forma and Non-GAAP Information. 5

Fiscal 2016 Outlook FY 2015 Pro Forma Sales Mix (1) Market FY 2016 Expected Growth 32% Commercial OEM Up Low Single-Digit % 38% Commercial Aftermarket Up Mid to High Single-Digit % 30% Defense Flat to Slightly Down Assumptions Guidance Summary Full year interest expense $485 million ($ in millions) Low High Weighted average shares of 56.2 million Revenues $ 3,170 $ 3,190 EBITDA As Defined $ 1,483 $ 1,497 % to sales 46.8% 46.9% Net Income $ 573 $ 583 GAAP EPS $ 10.14 $ 10.32 Adj. EPS $ 11.21 $ 11.39 (1) Pro forma revenue is for the fiscal year ended 9/30/15 (excluding the Non-Aviation Segment sales of $96 million or 3% of total sales). Includes the full year impact of recent acquisitions of Telair, Franke, Pexco, PneuDraulics and Breeze. Excludes DDC. Please see the Special Notice Regarding Pro Forma and Non- GAAP Information. 6

Third Quarter 2016 Results ($ in millions, except per share amounts) Q1 FY16 Thirteeen Week Periods Ended July 2, 2016 June 27, 2015 Revenue $797.7 $691.4 15.4% Increase Gross Profit $443.5 $359.4 3.6 Margin Point Increase Margin % 55.6% 52.0% Dilutive impact from acquisition operating margins Lower acquisition-related inventory step-up and integration costs Strength of our proprietary products and productivity improvements SG&A $94.2 $81.9 % to Sales 11.8% 11.8% Interest Expense- Net $120.8 $106.8 13.1% Increase Outstanding borrowings increased Net Income $140.6 $99.1 41.9% Increase % to Sales 17.6% 14.3% Adjusted EPS $3.09 $2.26 36.7% Increase 7

Liquidity & Taxes ($ in millions) Cash Liquidity YTD 7/2/2016 FY 9/30/2015 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $444.4 $520.9 Actual 7/2/2016 Cash $1,667 Net Debt to Pro Forma EBITDA As Defined Multiple Rate Capital Expenditures ($30.0) ($54.9) Free Cash Flow $414.4 $466.0 $600m revolver L + 3.00% $250m AR securitization facility 200 L + 0.80% First lien term loan C due 2020 1,231 L + 3.00% Cash on the Balance Sheet $1,666.7 $714.0 Taxes First lien term loan D due 2021 809 L + 3.00% First lien term loan E due 2022 1,522 L + 3.00% NEW- First lien term loan F due 2023 1,740 L + 3.00% Total senior secured debt $5,502 2.5x FY 16 Q3 ETR: 27.6% FY 16 Q3 YTD ETR: 29.5% Senior sub notes due 2020 550 5.50% Senior sub notes due 2021 500 7.50% Senior sub notes due 2022 1,150 6.00% Senior sub notes due 2024 1,200 6.50% Senior sub notes due 2025 450 6.50% NEW- Senior sub notes due 2026 950 6.375% Total debt $10,302 5.7x 8

Reconciliation of GAAP to Adjusted EPS - Guidance Full Year Guidance Mid-Point July 2, June 27, July 2, June 27, September 30, 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 Earnings per share $ 2.52 $ 1.75 $ 6.95 $ 5.34 $ 10.23 Adjustments to earnings per share: Thirteen Week Periods Ended Thirty-Nine Week Periods Ended Dividend equivalent payment - - 0.05 0.06 0.05 Non-cash stock compensation expense 0.15 0.12 0.42 0.29 0.57 Acquisition-related expenses / other 0.22 0.16 0.58 0.26 0.88 Refinancing costs 0.20 0.23 0.20 0.22 0.20 Reduction in income tax provision related to adoption of new accounting standard - - - - ($0.63) Adjusted earnings per share $ 3.09 $ 2.26 $ 8.20 $ 6.17 $ 11.30 Weighted-average shares outstanding 55,832 56,608 56,236 56,605 56,200 9

Appendix - Reconciliation of Net Income to EBITDA and EBITDA As Defined ($ in thousands) July 2, 2016 Periods Ended June 27, 2015 July 2, 2016 Periods Ended June 27, 2015 Net income $ 140,597 $ 99,112 $ 394,126 $ 305,539 Adjustments: Depreciation and amortization expense 29,564 26,921 85,101 67,767 Interest expense - net 120,812 106,796 344,083 305,623 Income tax provision 53,579 39,629 164,896 131,604 EBITDA 344,552 272,458 988,206 810,533 Adjustments: Thirteen Week Thirty-Nine Week Acquisition-related expenses and adjustments (1) 9,849 12,271 34,696 19,288 Non-cash stock compensation expense (2) 11,371 9,841 33,819 23,435 Refinancing costs (3) 15,654 18,159 15,654 18,159 Other - net (4) 2,451 126 (480) (763) Gross Adjustments to EBITDA 39,325 40,397 83,689 60,119 EBITDA As Defined $ 383,877 $ 312,855 $ 1,071,895 $ 870,652 EBITDA As Defined, Margin (5) 48.1% 45.2% 46.7% 45.9% (1) Represents accounting adjustments to inventory associated with acquisitions of businesses and product lines that were charged to cost of sales when the inventory was sold: costs incurred to integrate acquired businesses and product lines into TD Group's operations, facility relocation costs and other acquisition-related costs; transaction-related costs comprising deal fees; legal, financial and tax due diligence expenses; and valuation costs that are required to be expensed as incurred. (2) Represents the compensation expense recognized by TD Group under our stock incentive plans. (3) For the periods ended July 2, 2016, represents debt issuance costs expensed in conjunction with the refinancing or our 2013 term loans in June 2016. For the periods ended June 27, 2015, represents debt issuance costs expensed in conjunction with the refinancing of our 2013 term loans in M ay 2015. (4) Primarily represents foreign currency transaction gain or loss on interompany loans to be settled and gain or loss on sale of fixed assets. (5) The EBITDA As Defined margin represents the amount of EBITDA As Defined as a percentage of sales. 10

Appendix - Reconciliation of Reported EPS to Adjusted EPS ($ in thousands, except per share amounts) Reported Earnings Per Share July 2, 2016 Thirteen Week Periods Ended June 27, 2015 Thirty-Nine Week Periods Ended July 2, June 27, 2016 2015 Net income $ 140,597 $ 99,112 $ 394,126 $ 305,539 Less: dividends on participating securities - - (3,000) (3,365) Net income applicable to common stock - basic and diluted $ 140,597 $ 99,112 $ 391,126 $ 302,174 Weighted-average shares outstanding under the two-class method: Weighted-average common shares outstanding 53,076 53,361 53,339 52,937 Vested options deemed participating securities 2,756 3,247 2,924 3,668 Total shares for basic and diluted earnings per share 55,832 56,608 56,263 56,605 Basic and diluted earnings per share $ 2.52 $ 1.75 $ 6.95 $ 5.34 Adjusted Earnings Per Share Net income $ 140,597 $ 99,112 $ 394,126 $ 305,539 Gross adjustments to EBITDA 39,325 40,397 83,689 60,119 Purchase accounting backlog amortization 4,387 835 11,385 2,801 Tax adjustment (12,061) (12,257) (28,044) (18,942) Adjusted net income $ 172,248 $ 128,087 $ 461,156 $ 349,517 Adjusted diluted earnings per share under the two-class method $ 3.09 $ 2.26 $ 8.20 $ 6.17 11

Appendix - Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities to EBITDA and EBITDA As Defined ($ in thousands) Thirty-Nine Week Periods Ended July 2, 2016 June 7, 2015 Net cash provided by operating activities $ 444,436 $ 373,427 Adjustments: Changes in assets and liabilities, net of effects from acquisitions of businesses 62,724 6,766 Interest expense - net (1) 332,372 293,634 Income tax provision - current 160,407 127,720 Non-cash equity compensation (2) (33,819) (23,435) Excess tax benefit from exercise of stock options 37,740 50,580 Refinancing costs (4) (15,654) (18,159) EBITDA 988,206 810,533 Adjustments: Acquisition-related expenses and adjustments (3) 34,696 19,288 Non-cash stock compensation expense (2) 33,819 23,435 Refinancing costs (4) 15,654 18,159 Other, net (5) (480) (763) EBITDA As Defined $ 1,071,895 $ 870,652 (1) Represents interest expense excluding the amortization of debt issue costs and premium and discount on debt. (2) Represents the compensation expense recognized by TD Group under our stock incentive plans. (3) Represents accounting adjustments to inventory associated with acquisitions of businesses and product lines that were charged to cost of sales when the inventory was sold; costs incurred to integrate acquired businesses and product lines into TD Group's operations, facility relocation costs and other acquisition-related costs; transaction-related costs comprising deal fees; legal, financial and tax due diligence expenses and valuation costs that are required to be expensed as incurred. (4) For the periods ended July 2, 2016, represents debt issuance costs expensed in conjunction with the refinancing or our 2013 term loans in June 2016. For the periods ended June 27, 2015, represents debt issuance costs expensed in conjunction with the (5) Primarily represents foreign currency transaction gain or loss on intercompany loans to be settled and gain or loss on sale of fixed assets. 12