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Transcription:

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS The following investor presentation contains certain forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws relating, but not limited, to Canadian Pacific s operations, priorities and plans, anticipated financial performance, business prospects, planned capital expenditures, programs and strategies. This forward-looking information also includes, but is not limited to, statements concerning expectations, beliefs, plans, goals, objectives, assumptions and statements about possible future events, conditions, and results of operations or performance. Forward-looking information may contain statements with words such as anticipate, believe, expect, plan or similar words suggesting future outcomes. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking information as actual results may differ materially from the forward-looking information. Forward-looking information is not a guarantee of future performance. By its nature, CP s forward-looking information involves numerous assumptions, inherent risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking information, including but not limited to the following factors: changes in business strategies; general North American and global economic, credit and business conditions; risks in agricultural production such as weather conditions and insect populations; the availability and price of energy commodities; the effects of competition and pricing pressures; industry capacity; shifts in market demand; inflation; changes in laws and regulations, including regulation of rates; changes in taxes and tax rates; potential increases in maintenance and operating costs; uncertainties of investigations, proceedings or other types of claims and litigation; labour disputes; risks and liabilities arising from derailments; transportation of dangerous goods; timing of completion of capital and maintenance projects; currency and interest rate fluctuations; effects of changes in market conditions and discount rates on the financial position of pension plans and including long-term floating rate notes; and investments, various events that could disrupt operations, including severe weather, droughts, floods, avalanches and earthquakes as well as security threats and governmental response to them, and technological changes. The foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. These and other factors are detailed from time to time in reports filed by CP with securities regulators in Canada and the United States. Reference should be made to Management s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in CP s annual and quarterly reports filed on Form 10-K and 10-Q, respectively. Forward-looking information is based on current expectations, estimates and projections and it is possible that predictions, forecasts, projections, and other forms of forward-looking information will not be achieved by CP. Except as required by law, CP undertakes no obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

NOTE ON NON-GAAP MEASURES Except where noted, all figures are in millions of Canadian dollars. Financial information is prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (U.S. GAAP), unless otherwise noted. CP presents non-gaap earnings information in this presentation to provide a basis for evaluating underlying earnings trends that can be compared with the prior period's results. It should be noted that CP s non-gaap earnings as described in this presentation, have no standardized meanings and are not defined by U.S. GAAP and, therefore, are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. For further information regarding non-gaap measures see the Non- GAAP Measures supplement to the press release on our website at www.cpr.ca.

HIGHLIGHTS Q4 56.2% OPERATING RATIO $3.04 ADJUSTED DILUTED EPS (1) 2016 58.6% OPERATING RATIO $10.29 ADJUSTED DILUTED EPS (1) (1) For a full description and reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures see CP s Q4 2016 Earnings Release on www.cpr.ca

OPERATING PERFORMANCE Average network speed (mph) Average terminal dwell (hours) FRA Train Accident Frequency (per million train miles) 22.8 22.9 21.4 23.5 6.6 6.4 7.2 6.7 1.41 1.19 1.33 0.97 Flat 10% better 3% better 7% better 16% better 27% better Average train length (feet) Fuel efficiency (US gallons per 1,000 GTMs) FRA personal injury rate (per 200,000 employee hours) 7,036 7,100 6,935 7,217 0.996 0.996 0.999 0.980 1.99 1.90 1.84 1.64 1% better 4% better Flat 2% better 5% better 11% better Certain figures have been revised to conform with current presentation or have been updated to reflect new information.

REVENUE PERFORMANCE FREIGHT REVENUE FX-adjusted revenue variance (1) favourable/(unfavourable) -3% Canadian grain U.S. grain -4% 18% Coal 2% VS Q4 2015 Potash 23% Fertilizers & sulphur -8% Forest products -3% RTMs -3% Freight Revenue per RTM FX and fuel neutral Price offset by negative mix Chemicals & plastics Crude Metals, minerals, consumer Automotive -71% -2% -1% -10% Domestic intermodal International intermodal 3% 7% (1) For a full reconciliation of FX-adjusted revenue variances, please see CP s Q4 2016 Earnings Release on www.cpr.ca

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE (In millions, except percentages and per share data) Fourth Quarter Year 2016 2015 Fav (unfav) % 2016 2015 Fav (unfav) % Total revenues $ 1,637 $ 1,687 (3%) $ 6,232 $ 6,712 (7%) Total operating expenses 920 1,010 9% 3,654 4,024 9% Compensation and benefits 282 333 15% 1,189 1,371 13% Fuel 173 166 (4%) 567 708 20% Materials 47 40 (18%) 180 184 2% Equipment rents 41 44 7% 173 174 1% Depreciation and amortization 162 155 (5%) 640 595 (8%) Purchased services and other 215 272 21% 905 1,060 15% Gain on sale of Delaware & Hudson (D&H) South (68) (100%) Operating income 717 677 6% 2,578 2,688 (4%) Other income and charges 74 99 25% (45) 335 113% Net interest expense 116 122 5% 471 394 (20%) Income tax expense 143 137 (4%) 553 607 9% Net income 384 319 20% 1,599 1,352 18% Adjusted income (1) 448 419 7% 1,549 1,625 (5%) Diluted earnings per share 2.61 2.08 25% 10.63 8.40 27% Adjusted diluted earnings per share (1) 3.04 2.72 12% 10.29 10.10 2% Operating ratio 56.2% 59.8% 360bps 58.6% 60.0% 140bps Adjusted operating ratio (1) 56.2% 59.8% 360bps 58.6% 61.0% 240bps (1) For a full description and reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures see CP s Q4 2016 Earnings Release on www.cpr.ca

FREE CASH (in millions) For twelve months ended December 31 2016 2015 Cash provided by operating activities $2,089 $2,459 Capital expenditures (1,182) (1,522) Proceeds from sale of D&H South - 281 Other property and asset sales 116 114 Other (3) 4 Cash used in investing activities (1,069) (1,123) Effect of FX on USD-denominated cash & cash equivalents (13) 45 Free cash flow (1) $1,007 $1,381 (1) For a full description and reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures see CP s Q4 2016 Earnings Release on www.cpr.ca