Earnings Presentation. Annual Results FY16-17

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Transcription:

Earnings Presentation Annual Results FY16-17 1

Safe Harbor Except for the historical information contained herein, statements in this release which contain words or phrases such as will, aim, will likely result, would, believe, may, expect, will continue, anticipate, estimate, intend, plan, contemplate, seek to, future, objective, goal, strategy, philosophy, project, should, will pursue and similar expressions or variations of such expressions may constitute "forward-looking statements". These forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to our ability to successfully implement our strategy, future levels of non-performing loans, our growth and expansion, the adequacy of our allowance for credit losses, our provisioning policies, technological changes, investment income, cash flow projections, our exposure to market risks as well as other risks. Axis Bank Limited undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date thereof. 2

Performance Highlights Growth Earnings Quality Retail Franchise Asset Quality Other important information 3

Summary of Key Metrics Q4FY17 FY17 Net Profit Net Interest Income Fee Income Operating Revenue Operating Profit Net Interest Margin Return on Equity 43% 55% 4% 7% 8% 5% 7% 14% 1% 9% 3.83% 3.67% 9.67% 7.22% Advances 1 Deposits 1 CASA 1 GNPA 1 PCR 1 10% 16% 26% 5.04% 65% 1 as on March 31, 2017 4

Retail Franchise delivers another year of strong performance Retail Franchise Deposits 16% YOY Advances 10% YOY Fee Income 5% YOY 51% 45% 44% CASA SA Deposits 26% YOY 19% YOY Retail Advances 21% YOY Retail Fee Income 15% YOY Earnings Profile (FY17) 14% YOY 9% YOY 0.65% 7.22% Operating Revenue `29,784 crores Operating Profit `17,585 crores Return on Assets Return on Equity Capital Adequacy 11.87% 14.95% Tier I CAR Total CAR 5

Capital adequacy remains healthy Trend in Capital Adequacy Ratio 15.29% 15.67% 15.20% 2.78% 3.29% ** 3.17% 16.59% 3.60% ** 14.95% 3.08% 34 bps YOY 12.51% 12.38% 12.03% 12.99% 11.87% Mar-16 Jun-16* Sep-16* Dec-16* Mar-17 Tier 1 CAR Tier 2 CAR Total CAR * including unaudited Net Profit for the quarter / half year / nine-months ** includes `2,430 crores and `1,800 crores mobilized through issuance of subordinated debt during Q1FY17 and Q3FY17, respectively Movement in Tier 1 Capital Adequacy Ratio 12.51% 1.70% 0.11% 0.48% 0.01% 0.68% 11.87% Tier 1 - Mar'16 RWA growth Impact of higher RW on Unrated Claims * Accretion include increase in share premium & Basel III Phase-out of regulatory adjustments Profit Accretion * AT1 Perpetual Bonds Tier 1 - Mar'17 6

Shareholder return metrics have seen moderation in FY17 Return on Assets (in %) Return on Equity (in %) 1.70 1.78 1.83 1.72 20.51 18.23 18.57 17.49 0.65 7.22 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Diluted EPS (`) Book Value Per Share (`) 23.77 26.45 30.85 34.93 142 163 188 223 233 15.34 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 7

Performance Highlights Growth Earnings Quality Retail Franchise Asset Quality Other important information 8

Key balance sheet parameters report healthy growth CASA Savings Bank Deposits 26% 27% All figures in YOY growth 17% 18% 19% 21% 20% 18% 20% 19% Advances Balance Sheet 21% 21% 18% 18% 17% 10% 10% 14% 15% 11% 9

Loan growth continues to be driven by retail 338,774 Total Advances 344,925 353,170 347,175 10% YOY 373,069 Loan Mix (As on March 31, 2017) All figures in ` Crores 138,521 143,159 149,284 149,538 167,993 44,869 43,611 45,857 43,208 49,172 Retail 45% Corporate 42% 155,384 158,155 158,029 154,429 155,904 SME 13% Corporate SME Retail Corporate Advances SME Advances Retail Advances 155,384 155,904 10% YOY 138,521 21% YOY 167,993 44,869 49,172 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-16 Mar-17 10

Growth in Bank s Advances and Deposits has been better than the Banking system Growth in Total Advances Growth in Total Deposits 19% 17% 16% 17% 14% 14% 22% 9% 21% 11% 10% 16% 13% 15% 14% 14% 11% 15% 11% 11% 9% 13% 16% 5% FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 *Source: Axis Bank, RBI Axis Bank Banking System Credit FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Axis Bank Banking System Deposits Long term trend in Bank s Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) 77% 78% 82% 87% 95% 90% The LD ratio has moderated by nearly 500bps after steadily rising over the last decade. (Refer slide 12 of Q2FY17 investor presentation for more details.) FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 11

105,793 Deposit franchise continues to remain healthy Savings Bank Deposits 19% YOY Current Account Deposits 126,048 118,072 107,839 100,185 63,652 62,122 55,229 58,379 All figures in ` Crores 37% YOY 87,002^ Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16* Mar-17* 121,955 11,337 * 42% of Demonetisation led incremental deposits (that came in till 10 th Dec) have gone out till 31 st March Retail Term Deposits 130,357 11,786 136,099 11,609 2% YOY 125,493 123,925 110,618 118,571 124,490 125,493 123,925 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16* Mar-17* Trend in CASA and Retail Term Deposits 81% 80% 81% 81% 81% CASA+RTD ** 47% 43% 45% 48% 51% CASA** * 82% of Demonetisation led incremental deposits (that came in till 30 th Nov) have gone out till 31 st March Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16* Mar-17* RTD FCNR-B deposits^ *includes the impact of redemption of FCNR-B deposits that came in third quarter of FY2014 following RBI move to encourage foreign inflows ** as % of total deposits 12

Sequential deposit growth has been strong Savings Bank Deposits Current Deposits All figures in ` Crores 10% QOQ 7% QOQ 126,048 6% QOQ 49% QOQ 118,072 87,002 107,839 62,122 58,379 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Retail Term Deposits Total Deposits 8% QOQ 1% QOQ 2% QOQ 12% QOQ 136,099 11,609 125,493 123,925 380,187 370,790 414,379 124,490 125,493 123,925 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 RTD FCNR-B deposits^ ^only include the portion of FCNR-B deposits that came in third quarter of FY14 following RBI move to encourage foreign inflows Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 13

Performance Highlights Growth Earnings Quality Retail Franchise Asset Quality Other important information 14

Earnings continue to improve on a sequential basis All figures in ` Crores 2,154 1,556 Net Profit 43% YOY 111% QOQ 1,225 Operating Revenue 7% YOY 7,734 7,247 7,255 7,742 7,054 2,694 2,738 2,540 3,400 3,013 319 580 4,553 4,517 4,514 4,334 4,729 Net Interest Income Non-Interest Income 4,800 4,600 4,400 4,200 4,000 3,800 3,600 3,400 3,200 3,000 Operating Profit and Operating Profit Margin 1% YOY 4,640 6.00% 4,399 4,469 4,375 5.00% 3.43% 3.41% 4,100 4.00% 3.10% 3.01% 2.95% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% Opex to Assets 2.03% 2.06% 1.99% 2.03% 1.92% FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 15

NIM saw an improvement during the quarter Cost of Funds NIM - Global NIM - Domestic 5.84% 5.81% 5.68% 5.51% 5.42% 4.24% 3.97% 4.04% 3.79% 3.93% 3.64% 3.61% 3.43% 4.11% 3.83% FY17 Global NIM is at 3.67% Movement in NIM Unfavourable Favourable 0.29 3.83 3.43 0.02 0.13 NIM Q3 FY 17 Yield on Assets Cost of Funds Interest Reversal NIM Q4 FY 17 (Includes favourable one-off write back In interest reversal for 13 bps ) 16

MCLR based loans continue to grow at the expense of Base Rate linked loans Advances mix by Rate type Trend in 1 year MCLR (%) 69% 65% 57% 50% 42% 9.50 9.30 9.25 9.20 9.05 8.90 8.25 8.25 0% 4% 11% 18% 29% 17% 17% 17% 16% 15% 14% 14% 15% 16% 14% Apr-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 Foreign currency- floating* Fixed MCLR linked Base Rate linked All incremental variable rate sanctions are linked to MCLR * Libor linked 17

Overall fee growth was moderate but Retail Fee improved further 2,254 Corporate fees 1,719 Fee Income 1,935 Granular fees** 1,805 7% YOY 2,423 Fee Composition Corporate Treasury & DCM SME Transaction Banking* Retail (card) Retail (non card) 29% 26% 28% 28% 30% All figures in ` Crores 64% 69% 69% 25% 26% 25% 74% 20% 68% 24% 13% 16% 15% 17% 16% 16% 27% 26% 6% 29% 22% 10% 2% 4% 5% 1% 6% 5% 1% 26% 25% 25% 20% 24% 2% **Retail + Transaction Banking Fee as % of total fee income *some fees have been reclassified as TxB fees from Treasury & DCM segment starting Q1FY17 Retail Fee Growth (YOY) Transaction Banking Card Fee Growth 30% YOY 379 15% 19% 17% 8% 17% 2% 17% 8% 8% 11% 290 268 289 314 SME 23% 9% 7% -2% -4% Corporate 2% -4% -11% -3% -30% 18

Performance Highlights Growth Earnings Quality Retail Franchise Asset Quality Other important information 19

Demonetisation led boost in digital channels continues Transaction Mix* Transaction Volume Growth (YOY) Digital 51% 52% 54% 58% 66% 100% 80% 87% ATM 36% 36% 34% Branches 23% 21% 19% 13% 13% 12% 12% 60% 40% 20% 0% 38% * Based on all financial transactions by individual customers -20% Digital ATM -17% Branch Mobile Banking Transaction Volumes (Mn) 54% YOY Mobile Banking Spends (`Cr) 76% YOY 36,745 31.3 33.2 29,760 21.5 24.3 25.7 20,861 22,053 23,279 20

Network expansion continues at a steady pace New Branches Opened Employee Strength 13% YOY 154 56,098 56,762 56,617 99 102 100 105 93 52,398 62 50,135 31 - Q4FY15 Q1FY16 Q2FY16 Q3FY16 Branch Mix* ATMs 2,904 3,006 3,106 3,211 3,304 20% 19% 19% 18% 16% 13,726 14,163 30% 30% 30% 30% 29% 13,448 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 12,743 12,871 26% 27% 27% 28% 31% Metro Urban Semi-Urban Rural * Includes extension counters 21

Retail Lending growth remains healthy Retail Advances 21% YOY Retail as % of Advances All figures in ` Crores 138,521 143,159 149,284 149,538 167,993 38% 40% 41% 45% 33% Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Retail Advances Mix Loans Against Property, 8% Others, 10% Home Loans, 44% Sourcing strategy focused on internal customer base of the Bank Auto Loans, 10% 74% of sourcing in Q4 was from existing customers 97% of Credit Card and 81% of Personal Loan originations in the quarter were from existing Personal Loans & Credit Cards, 12% Retail Agri Lending, 16% customers 49% of overall sourcing was through Bank branches 22

Most of the Retail Loan segments impacted by demonetisation have seen an improvement Disbursals in Home Loans have seen sharp rebound in Q4 34% 27% 31% 32% Disbursements to Microfinance and Other Segments have improved 18% 19% 22% 13% 14% 12% 7% 6% 2% 4% 5% Total Retail loans Auto Loans CV Loans Personal Loans LAP Home Loans Retail Agri Loans YoY growth in disbursements in Q3 YoY growth in disbursements in Q4-26% -22% -30% -31% -36% Farmer Credit Microfinance Others* Book Size 14,470 3,083 9,644 *As of March 2017 in ` Crores CV - Commercial Vehicles LAP - Loan against Property *Others include tractor, commodity and gold loans 23

Transactions and payments businesses maintain momentum 2.4 Credit Cards - Cards In Force 3.1 2.8 2.6 39% YOY 3.3 15.5 Debit Cards - Cards In Force 16.3 16.8 18.5 All figures in Mn 30% YOY 20.2 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Cards Spends 83% YOY 17,157 Credit and Debit Cards, ` Cr 9,356 244 244 Forex Cards, USD Mn (RHS) 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Strong positioning in the payments space *Based on RBI data as on Feb 2017 except for Forex Cards 1 based on cards issued; 2 based on card spends Product Market share* Ranking* Credit Cards 1 10.9% 4 th Debit Cards 2 4.9% 4 th Forex Cards 44% 1 st Merchant Acquisition 17.7% 3 rd 24

Performance Highlights Growth Earnings Quality Retail Franchise Asset Quality Other important information 25

Slippages continued to be lower than peak levels Movement in Gross and Net Slippages 8,772 Movement in Credit Cost* in the quarter 4.09% 3.61% All figures in ` Crores 3,638 7,699 4,560 4,811 1.98% 1.73% 1,474 694 3,498 4,210 2,008 0.69% FY17 Credit Cost is at 2.82% Gross Slippages Net Slippages * On annualised basis Remarks on Gross and Net Slippages in Q4FY17 During the quarter, an account with loan outstanding of `16.6bn in the cement and cement products space was downgraded, which was part of watch list. Upon successful regularization during the same quarter, this particular account was subsequently upgraded. Trend in Provision Coverage Ratio 72% 69% 65% 64% 60% Thus our gross slippage and upgradation numbers for the quarter are both influenced by the similar amount. We have made a provision of 25% against the loan outstandings on this account at the end of this quarter 26

Trend in Gross and Net NPAs Gross NPA and Watch List (WL) Net NPA All figures in ` Crores WL 6.2% 5.4% 5.22% 5.04% 2.02% 2.18% 2.11% 4.17% GNPA 1.67% 2.54% 3.5% 2.8% 2.2% 0.70% 1.08% 2.25% Net Restructured Assets (% of Net Customer Assets) Non-Retail advances under various dispensations 1.99% 1.75% 4,703 Watch List Total 9,436 1.61% 1,191 SDR Total 2,173 1.32% 807 175 2,996 2,299 109 262 1,958 5:25 Total 2,329 Restructured Total 5,579 27

22,628 FB Outstanding 20,295 13,789 11,091 9,436 2,626 2,562 1,899 1,619 1,796 NFB Outstanding Watch List Outstanding Trend in Watch List slippages 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% WL slippages and Cumulative Dissolution Rate 2,680 39.1% 10.3% 7,288 51.0% 2,579 58.3% 3,566 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Cumululative Dissolution Rate = Net Reduction in WL Outstanding / Original WL outstanding 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 All figures in ` Crores Slippages in Corporate Lending 8% 11% 92% 89% 30% 70% 17% 83% Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 Q4FY17 Non Watch list Watch list Watch List Activity, FY17 Q4FY17 22,628 95 1,971 464 606-156 3,566 9MFY17 12,546 61 9,436 Mar-16 Devolvement of NFB Upgradation from NPA Movement in Balances Slippage into NPA Exit out of WL Mar-17 28

Remaining Watch List portfolio is dominated by Power Power Iron & Steel AAA Oil and Gas AA Cement Infrastructure Construction A Engineering Infrastructure Roads BBB Construction other than Infrastructure < BBB or Unrated Shipping Industrials 60% Sectoral composition of Watch List Top 10 Sectors 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 2% 1% Internal Rating Mix (by value) 100% 29

Trend in non Watch List slippages All figures in ` Crores 84% of Corporate Slippages in FY17 have come from WL Net Slippages # outside WL 1,631 16% 818 Watch List (WL) 84% 411 413 Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 Q4FY17 # before write-offs Most of the increase in net non WL slippages has come largely from Corporate Corporate Slippages (non WL) have been led by Metals and Infra Construction in FY17 975 382 310 228 284 168 274 224 146 80 163 39 Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 Q4FY17 Corporate* Retail SME 17% 16% 14% Metals Infra Cons. Eng. & Elec. 8% 8% 7% 7% Textiles Hotels Shipping Trans. & Logist. Power Gen. 24% Others *non Watch List accounts 30

The Long term average credit cost at the Bank has been 94 bps Credit cost Trend in Credit Cost : FY03 to FY17 4.09% 3.61% 2.30% 1.98% 1.73% 0.69% 2.82% Credit Cost (excluding WL) for FY17 = 1.46% 1.35% 1.11% 0.99% 1.11% Long Term Average* = 94bps 0.50% 0.61% 0.70% 0.54% 0.61% 0.62% 0.61% 0.02% 0.21% FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 * For the period from FY03 to FY17 31

Movement in NPA s All figures in ` Crores Gross NPAs - Opening balance A 5,724 6,088 9,553 16,379 20,467 Fresh slippages B 1,474 3,638 8,772 4,560 4,811 Upgradations & Recoveries C 780 140 1,073 350 2,804 Write offs D 330 33 873 122 1,194 Gross NPAs - closing balance E = A+B-C-D 6,088 9,553 16,379 20,467 21,280 Provisions incl. interest capitalisation F 3,566 5,543 8,618 12,172 12,654 Net NPA G = E-F 2,522 4,010 7,761 8,295 8,627 Accumulated Prudential write offs 3,627 3,547 2,901 2,818 3,221 Provision Coverage Ratio* 72% 69% 60% 64% 65% Details of Provisions & Contingencies charged to Profit & Loss Account For Loan losses 906 1,823 3,648 3,576 1,834 For Standard assets** 258 238 (22) (81) 199 For SDR and S4A accounts 22 71 9 17 249 For Investment depreciation - (18) (37) 32 262 Other provisions (17) 3 25 252 37 Total Provisions & Contingencies (other than tax) 1,169 2,117 3,623 3,796 2,581 * including prudential write-offs ** including unhedged foreign currency exposures 32

Rating profile remains stable Corporate Lending SME Lending 12% 12% 12% 11% 12% 7% 6% 7% 7% 6% 14% 14% 13% 14% 14% 20% 22% 22% 25% 25% 30% 30% 29% 27% 29% 63% 63% 64% 64% 64% 26% 20% 22% 23% 22% 12% 16% 15% 14% 12% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 9% 8% 7% 7% AAA AA A BBB <BBB or unrated SME 1 SME 2 SME 3 SME 4 SME 5-7 66% of corporate advances have rating of at least A in March 2017 84% of SME advances have rating of at least SME3 in March 2017 33

Top 10 Industry concentration remains stable All figures in ` Crores Industry Concentration 1 (% of total outstanding) Iron & Steel Power Rank Sectors Outstanding as on March 31, 2017 Fundbased Non-fund based 1. Financial Companies 2 24,114 17,031 5.8% 5.6% 5.4% 5.3% 4.9% 2. Infrastructure Construction 3 20,094 13,555 3. Engineering & Electronics 11,177 22,222 4. Power Generation & Distribution 19,742 4,762 3.4% 3.4% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 5. Other Metal and Metal Products 12,814 3,254 6. Iron & Steel 12,722 3,210 7. Trade 11,237 3,982 8. Real Estate 9. Food Processing 10. Petroleum & Petroleum Products 12,370 1,088 11,467 1,960 3,579 9,634 1 Percentages stated above are on the total fund and non-fund based outstanding across all loan segments 2 Includes Housing Finance Companies and other NBFCs 3 Financing of projects (roads, ports, airports, etc.) 34

Performance Highlights Growth Earnings Quality Retail Franchise Asset Quality Other important information 35

Treasury Portfolio and Non-SLR Corporate Bonds Investment Bifurcation Book Value* (` Crore) Government Securities 1 93,008 Corporate Bonds 2 26,667 Others 9,118 Total Investments 128,793 Category Proportion Modified Duration* Held Till Maturity (HTM) 63% 6.23 Years Available For Sale (AFS) 34% 3.79 Years Held For Trading (HFT) 3% 3.53 Years * as on March 31, 2017 1 86% classified under HTM category 2 96% classified under AFS category * For SLR & Corporate Bonds as on March 31, 2017 92% of Corporate bonds have rating of at least A in March 2017 51% 46% 59% 63% 41% 23% 33% 41% 24% 19% 12% 12% 1% 11% 12% 10% 13% 1% 8% 1% 1% 6% 1% 5% 7% AAA AA A BBB <BBB or Unrated 36

Bank continues to lead the league tables in Debt Capital Markets Key Highlights Acted as arranger for some of the major PSUs All figures in ` Crores Placement & Syndication of Debt Issues and Corporates during the quarter. 61% YOY Ranked No. 1 arranger for rupee denominated bonds as per Bloomberg for calendar year 2016 and for quarter ended March 31, 2017 Ranked No. 1 mobilizer as per PRIME Database for quarter ended December 2016 124,136 199,620 FY16 FY17 37

We have a small, strategic international network UK 3 Shanghai 1 DIFC 1,Dubai 2 & Abu Dhabi 2 Dhaka 2 HongKong 1 Colombo 1 Singapore 1 1 Overseas Branches; 2 Overseas Representative offices; 3 wholly-owned subsidiary Trend in overseas total assets (USD bn) Value Proposition 8.1 8.9 8.7 7.8 8.4 Wholesale Banking solutions comprises of cross border financing, trade finance, forex hedging products Merchant Banking, Debt Capital Market solutions to corporate and institutional clientele as % of Retail solutions comprises of remittance products, other 10% total assets 11% 10% 9% 9% banking and investment solutions 38

Life Insurance Corporation 13.83% Shareholding Pattern (as on March 31, 2017) General Insurance Corp & Others 3.45% Others 10.14% Foreign Institutional Investors 48.24% SUUTI 11.48% GDR's 4.54% Indian Institutions 8.32% Share Capital `479 crores Shareholders Funds `55,763 crores Book Value Per Share `233 Diluted EPS (FY17) `15.34 Market Capitalisation `123,747 crores (as on April 25, 2017) & 1 GDR = 5 shares As on March 31, 2017, against GDR issuance of 62.7 mn, outstanding GDRs stood at 21.75 mn 39

Some of the major awards won by the Bank during the year Best among Large Banks for Digital Banking, Analytics & Big Data Bank of the Year in India The Banker Awards 2016 Best Bank Award 2016 Excellence in Corporate Social Responsibility Best Digital Bank 2016 Business Today-KPMG Study Best Domestic Bank in India 2016 40

Thank You 41