INTERIM RESULTS July 2016

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Transcription:

28 July 2016

Nicandro Durante Chief Executive

Strong performance driven by organic growth Strong top-line growth volume and revenue Excellent corporate and GDB share growth continues Benefits from 2015 M&A Continued delivery of HSF EPS growth Commitment to shareholder returns

Ben Stevens Finance Director

Summary Financials Volume Current Constant Revenue 6,669m 4.2% 7.8% Cigarettes 332bn 3.4% Profit 2,452m -2.2% 1.8% Total Tobacco 344bn 3.1% Margin 36.8% -240bp -220bp GDBs 157bn 10.8% EPS 111.1p 10.9% 13.4% Total IBs 209bn 5.6% A strong organic performance

Currency impact on Operating Profit H1 2016 actual FY 2016 estimate Transactional at constant FX -6% -6% Translational -4% +4% Translational FX turning Transactional FX headwinds continue

Operating margin 50 bps 39.7% -220 bps 39.2% 37.5% -70 bps 36.8% 2015 HY Reported Margin Underlying improvement 2016 HY Underlying Margin Transactional FX 2016 HY Likefor-like Margin Organic adjustments 2016 HY Reported Margin

Asia Pacific Regional Performance Financials Volume Constant Current Revenue 1,923m Cigarettes 1.5% 4.9% 2.0% 105bn Profit 756m -2.7% -2.0% GDBs 44bn -0.2% Profit Ex transactional FX 4%

Americas Regional Performance Financials Volume Constant Current Revenue 1,527m 10.4% -6.3% Cigarettes 56bn -6.6% Profit 618m 10.9% -0.6% -13.7% GDBs 20bn 14.4% Profit Ex transactional FX 3%

Western Europe Regional Performance Financials Volume Constant Current Revenue 1,643m 12.3% 16% 18.2% Cigarettes 57bn 11.0% Profit 559m 7.6% 13.8% GDBs 35bn 10.7% Profit Ex transactional FX 9%

EEMEA Regional Performance Financials Volume Constant Current Revenue 1,807m 9.0% -0.1% Cigarettes 114bn 6.6% Profit 618m 4.9% -4.2% GDBs 58bn 19.3% Profit Ex transactional FX 17%

Drivers of adjusted EPS growth +3.4p 113.6p -2.5p +8.6p +0.8p 111.1p +1.6p -1.0p 100.2p EPS H1 2015 Profit Performance Net Finance Costs Associates Taxation Non-controlling interest EPS H1 2016 constant FX Exchange EPS H1 2016 reported

Cash flow 194m 1,017m 126m 40m 276m 2,452m 620m 94m 238m 324m 559m Adj operating profit Non cash items Working Capital chg Net Capex Pension fds - s'fall funding Net interest Tax Dividends to NCI Restructuring Div from associates Free cash flow

Financing/Shareholder returns Net Debt increased by 2.9bn to 17.7bn, 1.2bn driven by FX Moody s and S&P credit rating unchanged at A3 / A- stable Interim dividend increase of 4% (1/3 of 2015 FY dividend)

Nicandro Durante Chief Executive

Strategy continues to deliver

Volume: 28 billion, +3.4% Share up <10bps 70 10 YR CAGR: 6.6% 60 50 40 30 20 10 10 th consecutive year of growth Number 1 international brand in Indonesia Volume grew, driven by Indonesia and South Korea Record 6.4% share in Romania 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 H1 H1 2015 2016

Volume: 33 billion, +6.8% Share up 10bps 80 10 YR CAGR: 5.4% 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Volume grew, driven by Japan, Russia and Turkey Turkey - Kent Switch doubled its market share Japan Kent driving 3 consecutive years of corporate share growth Kent Spark launch of new brand imagery 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 H1 H1 2015 2016

Volume: 17 billion, +13.0% Share up 10bps 35 30 10 YR CAGR: 3.7% 25 20 15 10 5 Excellent volume growth of 13%, driven by the Black Series Strong performance in South America Record shares in Chile, Colombia and France Fastest growing brand in France since 2010 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 H1 H1 2015 2016

Volume: 47 billion, -1.0% Share up 10bps 100 90 10 YR CAGR: 12.3% 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Good organic volume in key markets, offset by industry contraction in Pakistan Share growth in Pakistan, Mexico and Romania Biggest brand in Venezuela Pall Mall Extra Cut driving share growth in Romania 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 H1 H1 2015 2016

Volume: 33 billion, +48.8% Share up 50bps 60 10 YR CAGR: 15.3% 50 40 30 20 10 Fastest growing international brand in the industry Record share in Turkey Australia 17.9%, highest brand share globally Italy successful migration 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 H1 H1 2015 2016

NGPs to satisfy consumer needs

NGPs to satisfy consumer needs

Strategy continues to deliver Volume & Share growth in opportunity markets M&A benefits Margin opportunity

2016 H1 A GOOD START TO THE YEAR Volume Share Financials VOLUME CORPORATE SHARE REVENUE PROFIT EPS +3.4% +30bps GDB VOLUME GDB SHARE +8% +8% +19% +10.8% +80bps constant currency constant currency ex transactional fx constant currency ex transactional fx Confident of another good year of constant currency earnings growth

28 July 2016

Cigarette volumes by region HY 2016 Region Billions 2016 2015 % change Asia Pacific 105 103 +2.0% Americas 56 60-6.6% Western Europe 57 52 +11.0% Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa 114 107 +6.6% Group 332 322 +3.4%

Cigarette volumes by region Q2 2016 Region Billions 2016 2015 % change Asia Pacific 55 54 +2.6% Americas 28 31-8.9% Western Europe 31 28 +8.4% Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa 60 56 +7.5% Group 174 169 +3.1%

Revenue by region HY 2016 Region m 2016 2015 % change Asia Pacific 1,987 1,893 +4.9% Americas 1,297 1,384-6.3% Western Europe 1,729 1,463 +18.2% Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa 1,656 1,658-0.1% Group 6,669 6,398 +4.2% All numbers as reported

Adjusted profit from operations HY 2016 Region m 2016 2015 % change Asia Pacific 761 776-2.0% Americas 536 622-13.7% Western Europe 590 519 +13.8% Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa 565 590-4.2% Group 2,452 2,507-2.2% All numbers as reported

Foreign currencies Average Closing 2016 2015 2016 2015 Australian dollar 1.954 1.949 1.795 2.046 Brazilian real 5.308 4.527 4.283 4.885 Canadian dollar 1.907 1.881 1.736 1.963 Euro 1.284 1.366 1.203 1.412 Indian rupee 96.300 95.782 90.227 100.150 Japanese yen 159.892 183.311 137.142 192.443 Russian rouble 100.639 88.018 85.391 87.623 South African rand 22.075 18.162 19.577 19.089 US dollar 1.433 1.524 1.337 1.573