Almarai Company. Interim results 2 nd Quarter 2017

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Transcription:

Interim results 2 nd Quarter 2017

Disclaimer Information contained in this presentation is subject to change without further notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain all material information concerning the company. Neither we nor our advisors make any representation regarding, and assume no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of, or any errors or omissions in, to any information contained herein. In addition, the information contains projections and forward-looking statements that reflect the company s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on current assumptions which are subject to various risks and may change over time. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the company s assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected. This presentation is strictly not to be distributed without the explicit consent of Almarai Company management under any circumstances. 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 2

SAR in Billion Solid Q2 YTD results underpinned by turnaround of Poultry Group Turnover down 2.1% to SAR 7.1 billion 1.3 Group Operating Profit Up 7.0% Group Operating Income up 7.0% to SAR 1.2 billion 1.2 Solid Results in Dairy and GCC market Weakness in Egypt, Export and GCC Juice market continue Net Free Cash flow increased to SAR 0.2 billion 1.1 1.0 Q2 YTD 16 Q2 YTD 17 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 3

SAR in Million 7,400 7,20 7,000 6,800 6,600 6,400 6,20 6,000 Revenue Variance 7,300 (171) (78) 12 61 90 7,144 (41) (30) (8) Q2 YTD 2016 Devaluation in Juice - GCC GCC Economic Export Bakery - GCC Infant Nutrition Poultry - GCC Core Category Q2 YTD 2017 Egypt Currency Situation (SAR 156 M) / (2.1%) Growth ---> (2.3%) (1.1%) (1.4%) (0.4%) (0.1%) 0.2% 0.8% 1.2% 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 4

Delivered on Key Focus Areas On track for positive revenue growth in poultry and key dairy segments of Laban and Zabadi Delivered positive EBIT results for poultry segment for the first time Cost saving and rationalization program continue to deliver on expected benefits CAPEX program reduction is in line with the revised 5 year plan vision Key projects including alfalfa importation targets are running in line with expected delivery dates 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 5

Market Share Laban 63.8% 66.2% 44.6% UHT 47.2% Juices 18.1% 17.7% 65.1% Puffs 65.7% 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 Fresh Milk Bread Chicken Jar Cheese 67.7% 69.2% 69% 68% 36.3% 36.7% 45.2% 40.1% 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 6

Statement of Profit and Loss 2nd Quarter 2nd Quarter YTD SAR million 2016 2017 Change 2016 2017 Change Net Sales 3,926 1 0 0.0 % 3,760 1 0 0.0 % (4.2%) 7,300 1 0 0.0 % 7,144 1 0 0.0 % (2.1%) Cost of sales (2,405) (61.3%) (2,205) (58.6%) (8.3%) (4,651) (63.7%) (4,412) (61.8%) (5.2%) Gross Profit 1,521 38.7% 1,555 4 1.4 % 2.2% 2,648 36.3% 2,732 38.2% 3.2% Selling and Distribution Expenses (627) (16.0%) (611) (16.3%) (2.4%) (1,247) (17.1%) (1,218) (17.0%) (2.4%) General and Administration Expenses (123) (3.1%) (114) (3.0%) (7.9%) (247) (3.4%) (223) (3.1%) (9.8%) Other Expense, net (12) (0.3%) (42) (1.1%) 241.5% (24) (0.3%) (82) (1.2%) 249.1% Operating Income 759 19.3% 788 21.0 % 3.9% 1,131 15.5% 1,209 16.9 % 7.0% Exchange Gain / (Loss) 14 0.4% (1) (0.0%) n.a 13 0.2% 11 0.2% (9.6%) Finance Costs - net (95) (2.4%) (98) (2.6%) 4.0% (168) (2.3%) (199) (2.8%) 18.5% Share of Results of Associates and Joint Ventures 5 0.1% (3) (0.1%) n.a 6 0.1% (2) (0.0%) n.a Profit Before Zakat and Income Tax 683 1 7.4 % 686 1 8.2% 0.4% 981 1 3.4 % 1,020 1 4.3% 3.9% Zakat and Foreign IncomeTax (26) (0.7%) (21) (0.6%) (19.1%) (40) (0.5%) (33) (0.5%) (16.2%) Profit for the Period 657 16.7% 664 17.7% 1.1% 942 12.9 % 987 13.8 % 4.7% Profit Attributable to Non Controlling Interest 2 0.0% 10 0.3% 537.7% 5 0.1% 16 0.2% 209.1% Profit Attributable to Shareholders 658 16.8 % 674 17.9 % 2.4% 947 13.0 % 1,002 14.0 % 5.8% Earnings Per Share ( Basic) 0.81 0.82 1.1% 1.15 1.20 4.2% 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 7

2 nd Quarter YTD 2017 Results Operating Performance % to Sales Gross Profit Operating Income Profit Attributable to Shareholders 36.3% 38.2% 1.9 pp 15.5% 16.9% 1.4 pp 13.0% 14.0% 1.0 pp 2,648 SAR Million 2,732 +84 +3.2% 1,131 SAR Million 1,209 +79 +7.0% 947 SAR Million 1,002 +55 +5.8% 2nd Qtr YTD 2016 2nd Qtr YTD 2017 2nd Qtr YTD 2016 2nd Qtr YTD 2017 2nd Qtr YTD 2016 2nd Qtr YTD 2017 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 8

Strong Domestic Performance Dairy & Juice Bakery Poultry Others Total Turnover SAR Billion 5.4 0.9 0.7 0.1 (3.9%) (0.8%) 8.3% 15.4% 7.1 (2.1%) Net Income SAR Billion Net Income Margin SAR Billion 0.9 0.2 (0.0) (0.0) (10.3%) 0.8% 80.1% 25.1% 17.3% 16.9% (4.8%) (63.5%) 1.0 5.8% 14.0% 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 9

Dairy & Juice o Laban and Zabadi have continued to grow however fresh milk growth has stabilized. o Egypt devaluation impact accounts for 3.0% within D&J segment. o Economic situation in the GCC had an adverse effect on the bottom line for June o Higher cost of alfalfa is significantly impacting profitability growth. 1,100.0 1,000.0 900.0 800.0 700.0 600.0 500.0 SAR in Million 1,045.3 937.6 Q2 YTD 16 Q2 YTD 17 Net Income 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 10

Bakery o Revenue down 0.8%, it has however declined by 5.2% in Q2 o Bread, Puff and Croissant growth has stalled o Product revamp for key categories is underway o Margin improvement supported by Manufacturing efficiencies (mainly Hail plant) Cost saving Innovation o Key challenge for next half Improve profitability and market share 153.0 152.0 151.0 150.0 SAR in Million 152.4 151.3 Q2 YTD 16 Q2 YTD 17 Net Income 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 11

Poultry Poultry EBIT break even for the first time during the quarter o Revenue up 8.3% driven by strong volume growth o Poultry mortality continues to be within the target range for world best practice. o Q3 is expected to be EBIT negative due to seasonality trends however current operations remain on target to achieve + EBIT for the year before any adverse impact from GCC economic situation. 0.0 (100.0) (200.0) SAR in Million (35.9) (180.5) Q2 YTD 16 Q2 YTD 17 Net Income 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 12

Others o IPNC losses are in line with existing business plan. Losses have reduced by 32% plus from last year o Expansion of Alfalfa operations in both South and North America remains on track. Operations are still loss making but losses have reduced significantly from last year as the investment cycle reduces 0.0 (50.0) (100.0) SAR in Million (51.8) (69.1) Q2 YTD 16 Q2 YTD 17 Net Income 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 13

Sales Analysis by Segment by Product Q2 YTD Total Net Sales 7,144 (-156) (2.1%) Net Sales By Segment Dairy & Juice 5,415 (76%) (-217) (3.9%) Bakery Poultry Others 904 (13%) 744 (10%) 82 (1%) (-7) (+57) (+11) (0.8%) +8.3% +15.4% Net Sales Fresh Dairy Long-Life Dairy Fruit Juice Cheese&Butter Bakery Poultry Other Sales By Product Note: All Amounts in Million Saudi Riyals 2,989 (42%) 722 (10%) 758 (11%) 946 (13%) 904 (13%) 744 (10%) 82 (1%) (-39) (-29) (-167) (+17) (-7) (+57) (+11) (1.3%) (3.8%) (18.1%) +1.9% (0.8%) +8.3% 15.4% 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 14

Sales Analysis by Region by Country Q2 YTD Total Net Sales 7,144 (-156) (2.1%) Net Sales By Region KSA 4,705 (66%) (+49) +1.1% Other GCC Countries 1,920 (27%) (+9) Other Countries 519 (7%) (-214) +0.5% (29.3%) Net Sales By Country KSA 4,705 (66%) (+49) UAE 709 (10%) (+9) Oman 372 (5%) (+7) Qatar 325 (5%) (-35) Kuwait 359 (5%) (+21) Bahrain 155 (2%) (+8) Egypt 291 (4%) (-186) Jordan 137 (2%) (+2) Others 91 (1%) (-31) Growth in Saudi Riyals +1.1% +1.3% +1.9% (9.8%) +6.2% +5.2% (38.9%) +1.6% (25.5%) Growth in Local Currency 33.6% Note: All Amounts in Million Saudi Riyals 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 15

Almarai continues 5 Year Plan CAPEX Investment CAPEX spend for the 2 nd Quarter Year to Date 2017 was SAR 1.6 Billion. Manufacturing, Farming and Replacement spent CAPEX of SAR ~0.9 Billion for various capacity expansion projects. Sales depot, Poultry and Logistics expansion accounted for SAR ~0.4 Billion. Replacement and other CAPEX including IDJ accounted for another SAR ~0.3 Billion. Cheese Plant - Transformers Cheese Plant Expansion Transport & Workshop 40MW Power Plant 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 16

Cash Flow Bridge Rolling 12 Months 4,975 66 Loans Issues / Payments / Charges (4,278) (718) 364 Cash at 30 June 2016 Operating Cash Flow CAPEX / Biological Assets + SAR 99 Million Dividend 53 463 Others Cash at 30 June 2017 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 17

SAR Million Net Debt 14,000 12,000 2.8x 3.1x 3.0x 2.8x 2.7x 2.7x 2.7x 2.9x 350% 300% 10,000 2.2x 250% 8,000 200% 6,000 150% 4,000 74% 98% 101% 75% 75% 74% 81% 81% 85% 100% 2,000 50% 0 4,606 6,653 8,237 8,053 8,762 9,344 10,889 10,883 11,668 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016 Last 12 SOCPA Net Debt Net Debt / Equity Ratio Net Debt / EBITDA IFRS Months 0% 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 18

Quarterly Performance Net Income SAR Million 2017 versus 2016 800 700 600 Q2 = 2.4% 658 # 629 674 595 655 530 539 500 400 300 234 235 242 255 274 Q 1 = 13.7% 328 343 306 309 # 289 349 380 398 433 363 425 430 450 476 249 284 286 369 * 373 428 484 489 200 100 0 # IFRS revaluation adjustments Capital gain of SAR 47m in 2012 * 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 19

SAR Million EBIT and EBITDA margins are starting to improve Net Sales, EBITDA and EBIT Evolution 27.2% 25.6% 21.1% 19.1% Net Sales EBIT % to Net Sales EBITDA % to Net Sales 7,951 6,931 CAGR 2010 2017: 11.6% (w/o impact of acquisitions 7.7%) 24.2% 24.4% 23.9% 24.2% 16.9% 9,883 11,219 16.0% 13,795 12,606 26.9% 25.9% 25.3% 14,339 14,183 14,699 17.3% 17.5% 15.8% 16.4% 18.2% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016 Last 12 Months SOCPA IFRS 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 20

Key Share Data Key Statistics for Almarai (4 July 2017) Share Price (SAR) 92.00 Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 35.82 Earnings Per Share (SAR) (ttm) 2.59 Market Cap (SAR Million) 74,336 Shares Outstanding (Million) 800 Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 0.97% 2017 Q2 Earnings Presentation 21

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