Deloitte 2007 Oil & Gas Conference

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Transcription:

Deloitte 007 Oil & Gas Conference December 1, 007

Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward looking statements, including these, within the meaning of Section 7A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended and Section 1E of the Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Forward looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. The future results and securities values of Kinder Morgan Energy Partners, L.P. and Kinder Morgan Management, LLC (collectively known as ) may differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements contained throughout this presentation and in documents filed with the SEC. Many of the factors that will determine these results and values are beyond Kinder Morgan's ability to control or predict. These statements are necessarily based upon various assumptions involving judgments with respect to the future, including, among others, the ability to achieve synergies and revenue growth; national, international, regional and local economic, competitive and regulatory conditions and developments; technological developments; capital markets conditions; inflation rates; interest rates; the political and economic stability of oil producing nations; energy markets; weather conditions; environmental conditions; business and regulatory or legal decisions; the pace of deregulation of retail natural gas and electricity and certain agricultural products; the timing and success of business development efforts; terrorism; and other uncertainties. You are cautioned not to put undue reliance on any forward-looking statement.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation utilizes the non-generally accepted accounting principles (non-gaap) financial measures of distributable cash flow (DCF), EBITDA, and segment earnings before depletion, depreciation and amortization (DD&A). For overall, we define distributable cash flow (DCF) to be pretax income plus DD&A less cash taxes paid and sustaining capital expenditures (capex) for, plus s portion of the DD&A less sustaining capex of Rockies Express, our equity method investee. For our segments we define DCF as segment net income (which is before corporate costs of G&A and interest) plus DD&A less sustaining capex. The components of the difference between overall DCF and segment DCF are cash versus book taxes, DD&A and sustaining capex on Rockies Express, G&A, interest, minority interest and the general partner s interest. We define EBITDA as pre-tax income plus DD&A and interest expense. We define segment earnings before DD&A as segment earnings plus DD&A and amortization of excess cost of equity investments. The amounts included in the calculation of these measures are computed in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), with the exception of "sustaining capital expenditures (as it relates DCF) which is not a defined term under GAAP. Consistent with the partnership agreement of Kinder Morgan Energy Partners, L.P., sustaining or maintenance capex are defined as capital expenditures (as defined by GAAP) which do not increase the capacity of an asset. We routinely calculate and communicate these measures to investors. We believe that continuing to provide this information results in consistency in our financial reporting. In addition, we believe that these measures are useful to investors because they enhance the investors overall understanding of our current financial performance and our prospects for future performance. Specifically, we believe that these measures provide investors an enhanced perspective on the operating performance of our assets and the cash that our businesses are generating. Notwithstanding, these non-gaap financial measures are not a replacement for the financial statements included in our Exchange Act Filings. 3

System Map Trans Mountain Pacific Cochin PRODUCTS PIPELINES PRODUCTS PIPELINES TERMINALS TRANSMIX FACILITIES NATURAL GAS PIPELINES NATURAL GAS STORAGE NATURAL GAS PROCESSING ROCKIES EXPRESS PIPELINE IN-SERVICE ROCKIES EXPRESS PIPELINE Northern TransColorado CALNEV Pacific REX 3 CO Wink KMIGT KMTP Trailblazer KMTejas MEP Cypress 5 9 5 4 KMLP 3 REX Plantation 4 3 4 Central Florida KM LOUISIANA PIPELINE MIDCONTINENT EXPRESS PIPELINE CO PIPELINES CO OIL FIELDS CRUDE OIL PIPELINES TERMINALS PETROLEUM PIPELINES PETROLEUM PIPELINES TERMINALS (,3,8) INDICATES NUMBER OF FACILITIES IN AREA KM HEADQUARTERS 4

Capital Structure Kinder Morgan Energy Partners Market Equity (a) $1.7B Debt (b) 7.0B Enterprise Value $19.7B Additional Shares 007E EBITDA (c) 007E DCF (c) KMR (LLC) 7 million i-units (a) $.0B $1.4B Cash Distribution (Partnership) 175 million units (a) Incentive Distribution 6M 155M 0M 10M Public Float General Partner (a) market cap based on 175 million common units (includes 5.3 million Class B units owned by KMI; Class B units are unlisted common units) at a price of $51.3 and 7 million KMR i-shares at a price of $50.65, as of 3-Dec-007. KMR shares adjusted for 14-Nov-007 in-kind dividend. units adjusted for recent public offering of approximately 7.1 million common units (includes exercise of the greenshoe). (b) Debt balance as of 30-Sep-007, excludes the fair value of interest rate swaps, net of cash. (c) Original 007 budget. EBITDA and DCF as defined on slide 3. 5

Solid Asset Base Generates Stable Fee Income CO 8% CO transport and sales 7% oil production related Production hedged (a): 007=85% ($35/Bbl) 008=83% ($44) 009=71% ($49) 010=7% ($56) Terminals 49% Liquids, 51% Bulk Geographic and product diversity 3-4 year average contract life CO 8% Terminals 0% 007 DCF Profile (b) Products Pipelines 5% Natural Gas Pipelines 5% % Trans Mountain Products Pipelines Refinery hub to population center strategy 68% Pipelines 7% Associated Terminals (c) 5% Transmix No commodity price risk Natural Gas Pipelines 55% Texas Intrastate 45% Rockies Little incidental commodity risk (a) 007 production based on Kinder Morgan budget; 008-011 based on Netherland, Sewell reserve report. Includes heavier NGL components (C4+). Incorporates swaps and puts at strike price net of premium, WTI/WTS spread @ $6-7.00/Bbl. (b) Original 007 budget. Segment DCF as defined on slide 3. (c) Terminals are not FERC regulated except portion of CALNEV. 6

The Kinder Morgan Strategy Same Strategy Since Inception Focus on stable, fee-based assets which are core to the energy infrastructure of growing markets Increase utilization of assets while controlling costs Classic fixed cost businesses with little variable costs Improve productivity to drop all top-line growth to bottom line Leverage economies of scale from incremental acquisitions and expansions Reduce needless overhead Apply best practices to core operations Maximize benefit of a unique financial structure which fits with strategy MLP avoids double taxation, increasing distributions from high cash flow businesses Strong balance sheet allows flexibility when raising capital for acquisitions / expansions 7

CO : Operations ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P. CO Reserves Company Ownership Location Remaining Deliverability Operator McElmo Dome 45% SW Colorado 35+ yrs Utah Colorado Doe Canyon Bravo Dome 88% 11% SW Colorado NE New Mexico evaluating 10+ yrs Oxy McElmo Dome Doe Canyon Kansas Pipelines Cortez Company Ownership 50% Location McElmo Dome to Denver City Capacity (MMcf/d) 1,050 (a) Operator Arizona Cortez PL Bravo Dome New Mexico Bravo PL Oklahoma Bravo Central Basin CRC 13% 100% 99% Bravo Dome to Denver City Denver City to McCamey McCamey to Snyder 375 600 00 BP Central Basin PL Wink Crude PL Centerline PL SACROC Yates Texas CLPL Pecos Wink (crude) 100% ~70 100% Denver City to Snyder McCamey to Iraan McCamey & Snyder to El Paso 40 10 135 (b) Crude Reserves SACROC Yates Company Ownership 97% 50% Location W. Texas W. Texas Remaining Life (a) Cortez pipeline and CO source fields currently being expanded for a total of approximately $00 million (8/8ths); capacity on Cortez pipeline to increase to approximately 1,50 MMcf/d. (b) MBbl/d. 691 Ft/In 0+ yrs 30+ yrs Operator Marathon 8

CO : How it Works ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P. CO mixes with oil much like turpentine cleans paint from a brush Inter-phase mass transfer typically yields NGL rich gas production Chase water injection helps control mobility and gas recycle 9

CO : How it Fits in the MLP ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P. CO Transport typical MLP pipeline business CO Sales long-term contracts CO Flooding Investment Characteristics: Asset Heavy - Pipelines, Compression Equipment, Wells Operating Cost Structure: Predictable Driven by fluid handling, purchased power Revenue Stream: CO Floods are typically very long-term projects Production is usually stable and predictable Hedging mitigates price uncertainty 10

Growth Opportunities Shifting Natural Gas Supply Sources Rockies LNG Barnett Shale Demographic Growth Growing Production from Canadian Oilsands High Crude Oil Prices Increased Use of Heavy Crude Petcoke Handling Sulfur Handling Growing Coal Imports Growing Petroleum Product Imports Increased Use of Renewable Fuels Biodiesel Ethanol Current Projects (007-010) Rockies Express pipeline KM Louisiana pipeline Midcontinent Express pipeline CALNEV and East Line products pipeline projects Trans Mountain pipeline dropdown, TMX1, Edmonton terminal project McElmo Dome, Cortez expansions, SACROC, Yates Increased volume at petcoke terminals Acquisition of prilling technology Shipyard River, Pier IX terminal expansions New York, Houston terminal expansions Houston biodiesel facility project Houston, Philadelphia terminal expansions, sales of natural gas transport capacity to ethanol producers Additional Opportunities Storage, further pipeline expansions, extensions, incremental shipper services (backhaul, hub, etc.) Additional pipeline and terminal expansions TMX, TMX3, TMX North, terminals, CO capture and transport Future CO sales & transport expansion, incremental production from EOR Increased handling of petcoke, application of prilling technology at terminal facilities U.S. & Canada Additional terminal expansions Additional terminal expansions Additional ethanol/biodiesel storage and blending at terminal facilities 11

Growth Opportunities: Shifting Natural Gas Supply Sources ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P. Natural Gas Supply Production Volumes (Bcf/d) 006 010 Change % Change Rockies production expected to increase 9% 006-010 (a) Rockies Natural Gas (a) Barnett Shale Natural Gas (b) Gulf Coast LNG Imports (a) 8. 1.5 0.4 10.6 5.5.7.4 4.0.3 9% 67% 575% Barnett Shale production expected to increase 67% 006-010 (b) (a) Source: Wood Mackenzie (b) Source: Citigroup (c) Source: FERC 8.7 Bcf/d of LNG import capacity currently under construction on Gulf Coast (c) 1

Newbuild Natural Gas Pipelines Wyoming Nebraska Illinois Indiana Ohio Colorado Kansas Missouri ROCKIES EXPRESS PIPELINE IN-SERVICE ROCKIES EXPRESS PIPELINE MIDCONTINENT EXPRESS PIPELINE Texas KM LOUISIANA PIPELINE KM HEADQUARTERS Texas Oklahoma Louisiana Mississippi Alabama Rockies Express Pipeline Midcontinent Express Pipeline KM Louisiana Pipeline Total KM Cost ($mm) $,00 $65 $517 = $3,34 Capacity (Bcf/d) In-service 1.8 007-009 1.4 009.1 009 = 5.3 Term of Contracts 10 yrs 10 yrs 0 yrs (a) Upon completion of construction. Ownership 50% (a) SRE 5% COP 5% (a) 50% ETP 50% 100% 13

Growth Opportunities: Growing Crude Production from Canadian Oilsands ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P. WCSB Crude Production by Type (a) Heavy/Light Crude Differential (b) (MBbl/d) 4 3.5 3.5 1.5 1 0.5 0 Oilsands Condensate Conventional Heavy Conventional Light Oilsands - LC 1. MMBbl/d Oilsands-only Oilsands ~11% CAGR 06-15 Oilsands Low Case ~5% CAGR 3 MMBbl/d 00 004 006E 008E 010E 01E 014E WTI vs. Mayan Crude Spot Price ($/Bbl) $0 $15 $10 $5 $0 1990 199 1994 1996 1998 000 00 004 006 Washington State Refinery Capacity (c) Washington state refiners only use ~100,000 Bbl/d of Canadian crude Announced upgrade: COP Coker Ferndale, WA 01-015 (a) Source: National Energy Board (b) Sources: Bloomberg Other 84% (515 MBbl/d) Canadian crude through Trans Mountain 16% (~100 MBbl/d) ANS Crude Oil Production (MMBbl/d).0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 (c) Sources: Dominion Bond Rating Service, Company reports (d) Sources: EIA, CIBC ANS Production in Decline (d) 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 00 005 008E 14

Growth Opportunities: Increased Use of Heavy Crude ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P. North American Petcoke Production (a) Crude supply is heavier, more sour Heavier, sour crude produces more residue (mm dry short tons) 100 80 60 40 0 Rest of N. America U.S. Gulf Coast 49 51 5 51 43 45 57 ~5% CAGR 05-15 87 Petcoke Sulfur (a) Source: Jacobs Consultancy (b) Source: PentaSul (mm dry short tons) 0 1 10 8 6 4 0 000 001 00 003 004 005 006 015 Canadian Sulfur Production (b) Gas Processing Oilsands Independent Upgraders 00 003 004 005 006 007 008 009 010 011 15

Current Projects $6.5 Billion In Projects Over Next 4 Years Project Rockies Express Midcontinent Express KM Louisiana Pipeline CALNEV expansion East Line expansion Trans Mountain dropdown Trans Mountain TMX1 CO SACROC and Yates CO source and transport Other identified projects Total Estimated Project Cost ($mm) $,00 (a) 65 (a) 517 45 155 550 (b) 470 (c) 950 10 (a) 500 (d) $6,51 Expected Completion 007-009 009 009 010 007 007 008 007-010 008 007-009 (a) Pro rata expenditures for s ownership interest. (b) Completed sale of Trans Mountain by Knight to on 30-Apr-007. (c) Remaining expenditures. (d) Edmonton, Houston, Pier IX, TransColorado, Dayton. 16

Summary Stable Cash Flow Own assets core to energy infrastructure Internal Growth Opportunities Critical Mass Well-located assets/favorable demographics Fixed Cost Business Drop growth to bottom line Unique Structure Tax Efficient Incentive Fee Management Philosophy Low-Cost Operator Focused on cash Disciplined Investment /KMR: 6-7% Yield and 8% Long-Term Growth 17