STACK: Expanding Quality and Scale. June 20, 2016

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Transcription:

STACK: Expanding Quality and Scale June 20, 2016 1

Forward-Looking Statements and Other Matters This presentation (and oral statements made regarding the subjects of this presentation) contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These are statements, other than statements of historical fact, that give current expectations or forecasts of future events, including, without limitation: the Company's operational and financial strategies, including the PayRock acquisition, drilling plans, rig count, asset development, non-core asset sales and the Company s divestiture target; portfolio management, drilling efficiencies, and cost reductions; the Company's ability to successfully effect those strategies and the expected timing and results thereof; the Company s ability to fund 2016 activity within its $1.4 billion budget; and statements related to the PayRock acquisition, including expected timing, planned financing, valuation, resource estimates, production estimates and asset quality, and the expected benefits thereof. While the Company believes its assumptions concerning future events are reasonable, a number of factors could cause results to differ materially from those projected, including, without limitation: conditions in the oil and gas industry, including supply/demand levels and the resulting impact on price; changes in expected reserves or production levels; changes in political or economic conditions in the jurisdictions in which the Company operates; capital available for exploration and development; well production timing; availability of drilling rigs, materials and labor; difficulty in obtaining necessary approvals and permits; non-performance by third parties of their contractual obligations; unforeseen hazards such as weather conditions, acts of war or terrorism and the governmental or military response thereto; cyber-attacks; changes in tax, environmental and other regulations; other geological, operating and economic considerations; the Company s inability to complete the PayRock acquisition; and the risk factors, forwardlooking statements and challenges and uncertainties described in the Company's 2015 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and other public filings and press releases, available at www.marathonoil.com. The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Cautionary Note to Investors - The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ( SEC ) permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible reserves that meet the SEC s definitions for such terms. Any resource estimates in this presentation, such as 2P Resource or total resource, that are not specifically designated as being estimates of proved, probable or possible reserves, may include other estimated resources that the SEC's guidelines prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. Investors are urged to closely consider the disclosures in the Company s periodic filings with the SEC, available at www.marathonoil.com or on the SEC s website at www.sec.gov. 2P Resource Definition: Most likely or 2P volumes represent most likely deterministic estimates of proved plus probable reserves as defined by the SEC, plus contingent or 2C volumes with the same technical certainty as proved and probable reserves that are expected to be recovered but that cannot yet be classified as reserves, or the P50 on the cumulative distribution of results from probabilistic estimates 2

PayRock Energy Acquisition Summary Material addition in STACK oil window with upside potential Quality Competes at top of MRO s organic portfolio Superior oil well performance Low completed well costs from shallower depth Increases MRO s average STACK liquids mix Scale 61,000 net surface acres primarily in oil window Materially expands delineated Meramec position 330 MMBOE 2P resource 490 gross company operated STACK locations Value $888MM transaction price 9.0 MBOED current production Implied acreage value of $11,800 / acre adjusting for PDP 2P resource acquired at $2.20 / BOE Upside 700 MMBOE total resource potential from increased well density in Meramec and Woodford, as well as Osage development Additional future potential within Oswego, Hunton and other adjacent formations 3

PayRock Overview Increased scale in high-margin oil window BLAINE KINGFISHER STACK acreage* 142,000 61,000 Pro-Forma STACK >200,000 2P STACK Resource (MMBOE) 735 330 >1.0 BBOE Gross Co-Op STACK locations 975 490 ~1,465 STACK Production (BOED) 7,700 9,000 ~17,000 MRO PayRock CANADIAN PayRock detail 90% of acreage in oil window >60% operated; ~70% avg WI on Co-Op 1.5 rigs required to hold term acreage 4 * Net surface acres

STACK Meramec Oil Wells High value target competes for capital today Scheffler 1H-9X IP30: 1,843 BOED, 77% Oil 10,150 LL (49% WI) Ludwig 1-22-15XH IP30: 1,670 BOED, 70% Oil 9,711 LL (5% WI) Compton 1-2-35XH IP30: 2,019 BOED, 72% Oil 9,788 LL (2% WI) Mike Stroud 1-28H IP30: 1,822 BOED, 34% Oil 4,263 LL Murray 1-33H IP30: 1,243 BOED, 67% Oil 4,209 LL BLAINE Petty 1H-6X IP30: 1,706 BOED, 73% Oil 10,094 LL (16% WI) Yost 1607 1-8MH IP30: 1,550 BOED, 64% Oil 4,937 LL ($4.3MM) KINGFISHER Deep River 30-1MH IP30: 956 BOED, 68% Oil 5,100 LL Wile E Coyote 1607 1-2MH IP30: 700 BOED, 57% Oil 4,125 LL ($3.7MM) Hansens 1607 1-12MH IP30: 1,322 BOED, 58% Oil 4,880 LL ($4.0MM) Cerny 1607 1-35MH IP30: 1,121 BOED, 74% Oil 4,805 LL ($7.4MM) (17% WI) Eve 1506 1-20MH IP30: 960 BOED, 86% Oil 4,666 LL ($4.3MM) Moffat 1406 1-2MH IP30: 378 BOED, 87% Oil 5,000 LL ($4.2MM) Stratigraphic Column Devonian Mississippian Pennsylvanian Oswego Cherokee Morrow Springer Chester Meramec Osage Woodford CANADIAN Stiles 1407 2-4MH IP30: 1,468 BOED, 79% Oil 5,019 LL ($5.1MM) Silurian Hunton Primary Targets 5 Grellner 1408 2-1MH IP30: 934 BOED, 71% Oil 4,887 LL ($3.7MM) Porter 1307 1-22MH IP30: 663 BOED, 51% Oil 4,946 LL ($3.5MM) Secondary Targets

Meramec Well Performance and Economics Superior well results in oil window Cumulative 2-stream BOE (Normalized to 5,000 ft Lateral Length) 125,000 100,000 75,000 50,000 25,000 0 Well Performance INDUSTRY PAYROCK PAYROCK AVERAGE INDUSTRY AVERAGE 0 30 60 90 Oil SL Type Curve 790 BOED avg gross 30-day IP 940 MBOE gross EUR Industry leading well results Producing Days Well Returns Excellent Oil-Levered Returns 200% OIL SL TYPE CURVE ($4.5MM) IRRs at $50 WTI: IRR* % 150% 100% OIL SL TYPE CURVE ($4.0MM) 60% at $4.5MM CWC estimate 80% at $4.0MM CWC estimate 50% Payout at $50 WTI: ~1.5 years 0% 40 45 50 55 60 65 WTI $/bbl 6 *BFIT IRR. Gas & NGL price ratio of WTI

Active Portfolio Management Concentrating asset base to lower cost, higher margin resource plays $1.3B sales announced or closed East Texas, North Louisiana gas $1.3B Non-Core Asset Sales Achieved Gulf of Mexico mature production Wyoming waterfloods and midstream Exceeded high-end of non-core asset sale range by $300MM Provided flexibility to acquire high quality resource Non-core asset sale program continues $750MM - $1B Target Wyoming (mid-year close) Other GOM $870MM $90MM $205MM PayRock Acquisition (3Q16 close) $888MM ETNLA $100MM 7

STACK: Expanding Quality and Scale Quality Meramec Oil Competes for Capital Today Scale 61,000 Net Surface Acres 60% to 80% IRR at $50 WTI 330 MMBOE STACK 2P resource Value 2016 Activity Funded Within $1.4B Budget Upside $11,800 / acre adjusting for PDP Increased Well Density & Osage Development 700 MMBOE total resource potential 1.5 Rigs to Hold Term Acreage Further Upside From Oswego, Hunton, etc. >200,000 >1 BBOE Net surface acres STACK 2P resource MRO STACK Pro-Forma Minimum 4 Rig STACK Activity in 2017 8