January June 2008 Conference Call. Georg Denoke, CFO August 1, 2008

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Transcription:

January June 2008 Conference Call Georg Denoke, CFO August 1, 2008

Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements about Linde AG ( Linde ) and their respective subsidiaries and businesses. These include, without limitation, those concerning the strategy of an integrated group, future growth potential of markets and products, profitability in specific areas, synergies resulting from a merger between Linde and The BOC Group plc ( BOC ), post-merger integration, the future product portfolio, anti-trust risks, development of and competition in economies and markets of the combined group. These forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside of Linde s control, are difficult to predict and may cause actual results to differ significantly from any future results expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements in this presentation. While Linde believes that the assumptions made and the expectations reflected in this presentation are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such assumptions or expectations will prove to have been correct and no guarantee of whatsoever nature is assumed in this respect. The uncertainties include, inter alia, the risk that the business of BOC will not be integrated timely and successfully, synergies will not materialize or of a change in general economic conditions and government and regulatory actions. These known, unknown and uncertain factors are not exhaustive, and other factors, whether known, unknown or unpredictable, could cause the combined group s actual results or ratings to differ materially from those assumed hereinafter. Linde undertakes no obligation to update or revise the forward-looking statements in this presentation whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 2

Highlights Growth acceleration despite economic challenges H1 Group sales increase 12.9% excl. currency to 6.256 bn H1 Group operating profit* improves by 15.4 % excl. currency to 1.258 bn Q2 Group sales up 18.1% excl. currency to 3.339 bn Q2 Group operating profit* plus 19.9% excl. currency to 656 m H1 Adjusted EPS grows 24.8% to 2.72 (2007: 2.18) Operating cash flow of 816 m leads to a free cash flow of 392 m after six months Positive outlook confirmed 2008: Sales increase with overproportionate growth in operating profit 2010: Operating profit above 3 bn with ROCE of at least 13% *EBITDA before non-recurring items, including share of net income from associates and joint ventures 3

Group, sales by Divisions 12.9% growth in group sales excluding currency effects in m, as reported 5,888 +6.3% 6,256 Gases 4,553 +3.4% 4,709 Gases Division Comparable* growth of +8.5% 12.8% comparable growth incl. bolt-on acquisitions Driven by positive price and volume effects in all operating segments Engineering 1,134 +24.4% 1,411 Engineering Division Strong sales growth in Q2 Ongoing demand supports targeted 8-10% mid-term sales growth Other/Cons. 201 136 H1 2007 H1 2008 *excluding currency, natural gas price and consolidation effect 4

Group, operating profit by Divisions 15.4% increase in operating profit excluding currency effects in m, as reported Gases H1 2007 H1 2008 1,158 +8.6% 1,258 1,125 1,194 Gases Division 12.7% operating profit growth excl. currency Operating margin up by 70 bps to 25.4% Margin dilution from natural gas of 50 bps yoy +6.1% Engineering Division Strong project execution in tight markets Margin of 8.9% stays above 8% target Engineering 98 +28.6% 126 62 Other/Cons. Op. margin -65-62 19.7% 20.1% +40 bps 5

Gases Division, sales bridge 8.5% comparable growth 12.8% growth including acquisitions In m 4,553 +2.2% -6.7% -0.6% +8.5% 4,709 H1 2007 Natural Gas Currency Consolidation Price/Volume H1 2008 6

Gases Division, operating segments Western Europe in m, as reported Sales Operating Profit Operating Margin 1,975 +5.5% 2,083 541 +6.3% 575 27.4% +20 bps 27.6% H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 highlights Comparable growth of 6.4% Good performance in all major countries Ongoing synergy collection and efficiency measures 7

Gases Division, operating segments Americas in m, as reported Sales Operating Profit Operating Margin 1,275-15.1% 1,082 240-14.2% 206 18.8% +20 bps 19.0% H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 highlights Comparable growth of 9.2% Reported figures impacted by previous year s disposals and currency effects Ongoing pricing strength Reported margins diluted due to pass-through of natural gas price increases to hydrogen customers 8

Gases Division, operating segments Asia & Eastern Europe in m, as reported Sales Operating Profit Operating Margin 712 +32.7% 945 198 +35.9% 269 27.8% +70 bps 28.5% H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 highlights Comparable growth of 10.4% Reported figures boosted by new consolidations Ongoing strong activity across all countries Important strategic milestones achieved in Q2 9

Gases Division, operating segments South Pacific & Africa in m, as reported Sales Operating Profit Operating Margin 606 +4.3% 632 146-1.4% 144 24.1% -130 bps 22.8% H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 highlights Comparable growth of 14.5%, significant impact of the South African Rand Growth mainly driven by the cylinder business Operating margin impacted by African business 10

Gases Division, sales by products areas (consolidated) Merchant Markets momentum remains strong in m, comparable*, consolidated 4,342* +8.5% 4,709 487 Healthcare 450 +8.2% 1,183 Tonnage 1,111 +6.5% Bulk 1,080 +6.4% 1,149 Cylinder 1,701 +11.1% 1,890 H1 2007 H1 2008 *excluding currency, natural gas price and consolidation effect 11

Gases Division Project pipeline further increased Main market drivers for Tonnage are new applications in the energy sector and Emerging Markets Strong market position due to business synergies between Engineering and Gases and market leadership in Emerging Markets 7 major signings since March 2008: 55 start-ups until 2010, more than half of it in Emerging Markets 9 10 29 22 Americas Western Europe Eastern Europe / ME China / South and East Asia 17 16 7 Africa / South Pacific 2008 2009 2010 12

Gases Division Joint ventures in m, comparable Proportionate Sales (not incl. in the Group top-line) Share of Net Income (contribution to operating profit) 10 288 +4.9% (+32.5% 302 19 excl. STL*) 25 -- 25 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2007 H1 2008 *Sales-type-lease for new projects treated as EFL (IFRIC*) 13

Engineering Division Market environment remains supportive Further growth at strong margin USD 800 m order for the Enhanced Gas Recovery project with ADNOC Order backlog of 4,347 bn (year-end 2007: 4,391 bn) Unchanged outlook: 8-10% sales growth at 8% margin HyCo 12% Nat. Gas 6% Others 8% Order intake H1 08 Olefin 14% ASU 60% In m H1 07 H1 08 yoy Order intake 1,499 1,557 3.9% Sales 1,134 1,411 24.4% Operating profit* Margin 98 8.6% 126 8.9% 28.6% +30bps * EBITDA before special items and incl. share of net income from associates and joint ventures 14

Group Cash Flow Statement Key elements in m Q1/2008 Q2/2008 H1/2008 H1/2007 Operating profit before unusual items 602 656 1.258 1.158 Change in Working Capital -199 17-182 -4 Other changes -66-194 -260-409 Cashflow from operating activities 337 479 816 745 EFL amortisation 18 20 38 42 Disposal proceeds 38 93 131 3.542 Acquisitions 0-54 -54-378 Net investing activities -279-260 -539-426 Free Cashflow 114 278 392 3.525 15

Outlook Strong confidence in our mid-term financial targets Group Increase in sales and overproportionate growth of operating profit in 2008 Operating profit above 3 bn in 2010 Adjusted ROCE of at least 13% in 2010 250 m cost savings (fully effective in 2009) Tax rate of around 30% in 2008 Dividend policy will adequately reflect profit growth Gases Division Sales increase above market growth Overproportionate increase of operating profit Average capex/sales ratio of 13% Engineering Division Mid-term sales growth of 8-10% based on positive market environment and strong order backlog 2008 target margin of 8% is above engineering industry average 16

Appendix

Group Financial Highlights in m H1 2007 H1 2008 Δ in % Sales 5,888 6,256 6.3 Operating profit 1,158 1,258 8.6 Margin 19.7 20.1 +40bps EBIT before special items and PPA depreciation 727 842 15.8 Special items 574 59 - PPA depreciation -201-185 - EBIT 1,100 716 - Financial Result -204-172 15.7 Taxes 295 142 - Net income Part of shareholders Linde AG 589 375 - Net income adjusted 351 455 29.6 EPS in 3,66 2,24 - EPS in adjusted 2,18 2,72 20.6 Appendix 18

Accounting considerations Impact of PPA and EFL Purchase Price Allocation (PPA) Impact in H1 2008: 185 m (H1 07: 201 m) Expected impact FY 2008: 375-425 m IFRIC 4: Embedded Finance Lease (EFL) Impact* in H1 2008: -64 million (H1 07: -72 m) Expected impact* FY 2008: -128 m *(on Sales and EBITDA) Background: The difference between the purchase cost of BOC and related acquisitions in Asia and their net asset value has been allocated to assets on the Linde balance sheet (for BOC, see Linde 2007 annual report, p. 99). The revaluation of these assets leads to additional depreciation and amortisation charges according to the useful life of the assets. Goodwill is not amortised but subject to a yearly impairment test. Depreciation & Amortisation from PPA is excluded from the calculation of Adjusted EPS. Background: Tonnage contracts dedicated to one single customer (> 95% of sales), who covers all major market risks, have to be treated under IFRS like an embedded finance lease. The related cash flow streams are therefore no more booked as sales and operating profit but recognised as amortisation of financial receivables in the balance sheet and financial income in the P&L. EBITDA multiple comparison with peers needs to be adjusted for IFRIC 4 Very minor impact on EPS, no impact on Free Cash Flow Appendix 19

Definition of financial key figures Operating Profit adjusted ROCE Return Return EBITDA (incl. IFRIC 4 adjustment) excl. finance costs for pensions excl. special items incl. share of net income from associates and joint ventures Operating profit - depreciation / amortisation excl. depreciation/amortization from purchase price allocation adjusted EPS Average Capital Employed Return equity (incl. minorities) + financial debt + liabilities from financial services + net pension obligations - cash and cash equivalents - receivables from financial services earnings after tax and minority interests + depreciation/amortization from purchase price allocation +/- special items Shares average outstanding shares Appendix 20

Thank you for your attention