Daniel Wilkie, CFO SUNCORP METWAY LTD. UBS Warburg June 6, 2001

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Transcription:

Daniel Wilkie, CFO SUNCORP METWAY LTD UBS Warburg June 6, 2001 2

1996 Merger SUNCORP METWAY 3

Stockmarket position Market cap A$6.2b, ranking 24* Australian All Ords Index weighting: 0.83%* MSCI (Australia) weighting: 0.89% *Includes EINs that convert to shares in Oct, 2001 4

Stockmarket performance 5

Allfinanz leader in Australia Sixth largest bank Seventh largest insurance company Funds under management $6.7 billion Total assets of $27.7 billion* Largest company in Qld *Including life insurance policyholders interests 6

Geographic Coverage QLD Qld share and rank Auto insurance 28%, 1st Home insurance 27%, 1st Third Party ins 55%, 1st Lending 17%, 3rd Agri-lending 25%, 2nd Deposits 20%, 1st 1 VIC NSW NSW and Victoria Operations well established Interstate provided 37% of 99/00 lending

SML Business Mix Bank Loans $18.68 billion GI Premium $750 million Commercial 31% Commercial 16% Consumer 3% Leasing 8% CTP 48% Motor 22% Residential 58% Home 14% 8

Profit performance ($millions) 110 123 137 69 110 157 178 189 20.4% Dec 97 Jun 98 Dec 98 Jun 99 Dec 99 Jun 00 Dec 00 9

Earnings per share (cents) 88.6 45.8 56.7 49.2 60.9 69.5 1998 1999 2000 diluted basic 10

Return on equity (%) 25 22.3 Basic 20 15.8 15 18.0 Diluted 10 11.3 5 0 Dec 97 Jun 98 Dec-98 Jun-99 Dec-99 Jun-00 Dec-00 Excluding one-off expenses 11

Banking cost-to-assets (%) 2.32 2.08 1.90 1.80 1.80 1.57* CBA SGB WBC NAB ANZ SME Latest published figures. SME figures are for banking only *Excluding one-off expenses and changes in accounting policies 12

Banking cost-to-income (%) 58.7 55.6 52.2 50.9* 49.7 49.4 CBA SGB WBC SME NAB ANZ (Latest published accounts. SME figures are for banking only) *Excluding one-off expenses and changes in accounting policies 13

GI expense ratios (%) 36.4 35.2 32.2 28.5 26.2 24.4 23.7 23.4 23.2 Zurich Merc Mut CGU QBE RACQ/GIO Allianz SME NRMA Royal&Sun Competitor information source: KPMG Insurance Industry Survey 2000. Jun 99 figures. 14

CTP deregulation Risks in Force CTP Home Motor Commercial Deregulation October 2000 Apr 00 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 01 15

HIH fallout People nominating Suncorp Metway as their CTP provider HIH announces provisional liquidation 9-Feb 16-Feb 23-Feb 2-Mar 9-Mar 16-Mar 23-Mar 30-Mar 6-Apr 13-Apr 20-Apr 27-Apr 4-May 11-May 18-May 25-May Week Ending Graph shows people nominating mid-term (ie before their registration renewal is received) to switch their CTP to Suncorp Metway. Does not include people who elect to switch at time of renewal. 16

Balance sheet strength Very strong reserves, conservative provisioning High solvency ratio in general insurance company (2.67 times APRA minimum) 27% prudential margin S holder s funds Pru margin Estimated claims liability $1 Bln Claims + provs & capital 17

Confidence Interval (% probability that reserves are sufficient) 97.5 80 80 85 85 90 50 HIH Zurich GIO General RSA QBE NRMA SME Competitor information source: Macquarie Bank 18

APRA GI capital review Key changes: Adoption of risk-based approach Minimum capital levels to ensure 75% probability of sufficiency Capital charge for future expected claims Capital charge for investment assets and derivatives Tier One and Tier Two capital categories 19

Prescribed Method Minimum capital determined as SUM of capital charges for: insurance risk investment risk concentration risk derivatives risk 20

Impact on solvency 2.12 times minimum 2.67 times minimum minimum actual minimum actual Dec 2000 Post Changes 21

Three Avenues for Extra Growth (Illustrative) Prod line opptys Alliances Allfinanz Business as usual +/- industry avg Current Revenue 2001 2002 2003 2004 22

Is Allfinanz... A value proposition to customers? or A business strategy with competitive advantages 23

Allfinanz competitive advantage Synergies in operations Lower cost of new sales Lower cost for ongoing service Higher customer retention 24

Leader in Cross Selling Products per main bank customer 3.4 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 SGB CBA WBC CGH ANZ NAB SME *SGB includes Advance, Bank SA; WBC includes Bank of Melb, Challenge, AGC; ANZ includes Town & Country, Esanda; CGH includes Colonial State Bank, First State Funds Management, Prudential, Legal & General, Trust Bank; CBA excludes CGH; NAB excludes MLC. Roy Morgan Research

Cross-sell potential Only Banking 500k 14k 327k 42k 41k Only Gen Ins 1.3m Total 2.3 million customers Life&Super 51k For SME, 0.1 PPH ~ $15m PBT Customers by business line 26

Acquisition criteria Within existing business lines Must deliver - access to new markets - economies of scale or skill Long term ROE ~15% EPS neutral or positive in year 2 Agreeable to ratings agencies and regulators No hostile acquisitions