Monitoring & Evaluation Framework for Tracking the results of adaption Projects In Context of Zambia

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Monitoring & Evaluation Framework for Tracking the results of adaption Projects In Context of Zambia Charles Mulenga Zambia Institute of Environmental Management 19 th September 2013 Climate Charge Expert Group (CCXG Global Forum)

Overall National Engagement National Development Plan JAS II UNDAF MDB Adaptation projects Ministry of Finance and National Planning (MoFNP), Ministry of Land, Natural Resource and, Environment Protection (DMMU). Ministries & Government Key Policies National Policy Environmental & Environmental Management Act Zambia National Adaptation Programme of Action Disaster Management Act National Water Resource Act Management Urban & Regional planning National Climate Change Response strategy

Cont. High level Committees of Permanent Secretaries and Committee of Ministers chaired by the Ministry of Finance and National Planning. National Climate Change and Development Council (NCCDC) - one-stop shop for all climate change programmes in Zambia and be responsible to:

Institutional Arrangements National Coordination of Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management Implementation by line ministries Coordination of M&E Framework Government-led channel for coordination with MDBs and external Partners Core Team from Key Sectoral Ministries Complemented by contracted staff

Monitoring and evaluation Framework The M&EF for Tracking Adaption Result is subjected to an in-depth internal / external evaluation process to assess; 1. Overall performance adaptation project, (KPI) 2. Outputs /outcomes produced against its initial targets, Development Indicators (DI) SNDP 3. Impact it has brought about- Reduction in emissions, Job creation, 4. Its relevance to the national context and management efficiency. Governance, Gender and Transparence

Five Core Indicators National Level Mainstreaming Changes in budget allocations to climate-smart programs in national budget Local Adaptive Capacity Vulnerable districts, wards and communities use improved tools, information and instruments to respond to climate change and variability Target Beneficiaries Number of beneficiaries supported directly by the project to adapt to the effects of climate change Institutional Framework Evidence of strengthened Government capacity and coordination mechanism to mainstream climate resilience Climate Responsive Investment Climate responsive financial instruments developed and tested

Other Indicators Project Change in area of canals with optimal average flows Changes in area with sustainable access to reliable canal water Degree of integration of climate resilience in local area planning Number of subgrants approved and completed Incremental labor generated through cash-forworks Strengthened institutional and financial mechanisms to ensure climate resilience Number of relevant climate information products/services made available for decision making at various levels

Core Sample Results Framework and Project Development Objective (PDO): To strengthen Zambia's Monitoring institutional framework for climate resilience - and improve the adaptive capacity of vulnerable communities in the Barostse sub-basin PDO Level Results Indicators* Indicator One (National Level Mainstreaming) Changes in budget allocations to climate-smart programs in national budget 1 Unit of Measure Allocations to climate resilient programmes increased by 25% in real terms in vulnerable sectors by EOP (agriculture, environment, natural resources, energy, water, infrastructure, health and DRM) from 2007-2012 baseline Base-line 118.8 million ZMW/ Year 2 Cumulative Target Values** YR 1 YR 2 YR3 YR 4 YR5 YR6 124.7 130.7 136.6 141.3 144.9 148.5 million ZMW/ year Frequenc y Annual Data Source/ Methodolo gy Yellow Book (budget allocations) by Ministry and program Responsibili -ty for Data Collection ZCCN and MoF Indicator Two: (Local Adaptive Capacity) Vulnerable districts, wards and communities use improved tools, information and instruments to respond to climate change and variability % of targeted councils, wards and community groups assessed as having developed incremental decision making capacity and applied climate information to adapt to longer-term climate change and variability 3 0% -- -- 50% of first tranche subprojects -- -- 70% of all subprojects Baseline, Mid-Term, Sub-Project Approval and EOP Survey of Beneficiaries Baseline, Midterm and EOP Independent Evaluation Sub-Project Approval: M&E Team Indicator Three: (Canal Operation in Floodplain) Change in area of canals with optimal average flows Indicator Four:(Target Beneficiaries) Number of beneficiaries supported directly by the project to adapt to the effects of climate change Average flow velocity of targeted canals at 80% of limiting flow standard (0.6 m/s for sandy clay soils) measured 3-4 months after floods recede Number of direct beneficiaries (cumulative) 4 : - Total HH - Women-headed HH - Other vulnerable HH - Total no. of people To be assessed by baseline study 0 0 0 0 -- -- -- -- 375 160 215 1,900 0.6 m/s 0.5 m/s 0.5 m/s 0.48 m/s 2,600 1,100 1,500 13,100 7,900 3,400 4,500 40,000 16,100 7,000 9,200 81,100 25,800 11,000 14,800 130,00 0 Annual Annual Technical Survey Records by M&E Team Assessment Study and M&E Team M&E Team

Challenges of M&E Lack of quantitative baseline data (allowing for monitoring of long term transformational impact) Limited skilled human resources and capacities

Challenges of M&E Climate Change Resilience Difficulties in developing a composite indicator that measures different aspects of community resilience (e.g. observed behavioral change) Inter-sectoral participatory project in a centralized Government system Difficult to attribute/distinguish progress achieved through adaptation or sectoral policies and activities

Measures to address Challenges Capacity building and awareness raising activities A baseline survey (funded under a Project Preparation Grant) to be undertaken Composite indicator based on score card (to be developed) Engagement of stakeholders at all levels (Secretariat responsible for sharing and ground-truthing the results )

Measures to address Challenges Inter-ministerial Secretariat established composing of staff from key sector ministries Clear roles and responsibilities: Secretariat : Overall Program (SPCR) level monitoring PPUI s and Provincial Officers : project/sectoral and sub-basin monitoring Partner NGOs and Private Sector firms: subbasin monitoring Beneficiary communities: participatory monitoring though scorecard system Will make use of existing M&E systems in districts SNDP M&E reporting Level Report Frequency National Input tracking and implementation Monthly/ quarterly National, provincial, district Progress report Quarterly National, provincial, district Annual evaluation Annually National Mid term evaluation Once

Thanks