HALF YEAR RESULTS TO 30 SEPTEMBER 2014

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Transcription:

HALF YEAR RESULTS TO 30 SEPTEMBER 2014 FRIDAY 28 NOVEMBER 2014

INTRODUCTION

Introduction Helical is in a strong position developments on site and delivering value, strong valuation gains and growing rental income The huge investor appetite for real estate is great for our existing portfolio. We are still finding value in certain sectors with nearly 100m of purchases in this period. We bought two years ago what the market wants today and are still finding value. Another set of great results. Key drivers: London portfolio in particular Clifton Street, The Bower, Old Street and C- Space, not forgetting Shepherds, New Loom, Hammersmith In the regions Churchgate and Lee House Manchester is an outstanding example of a timely purchase as well as recent portfolio buys Our focus remains on: Ramping up development and investment in central London for capital gain Continued investment in the regions for income We have done and continue to do exactly what we said we would do 3

FINANCIAL

Headline Numbers INCOME STATEMENT Sep 2012 Sep 2013 Sep 2014 Profit before tax 5.2m 68.9m 42.9m Net rental income 1 12.2m 14.1m 18.8m Gain on sale and revaluation of investment properties 1 0.5m 10.9m 34.8m Interim dividend per share 1.85p 2.00p 2.10p Up 5% BALANCE SHEET Mar 2013 Mar 2014 Sep 2014 Group s share of property portfolio at fair value 1 626 802m 919m Loan to value 1 - Secured 2 - Overall EPRA net asset value per share 46% 46% 264p 36% 46% 313p Up 18.6% 33% 53% 345p Up 10.2% 1 Including share of joint ventures 2 Ratio of secured debt to total property portfolio 5 Helical Bar plc 5

m Income Statement 80 Note: All figures include Helical sshare of income and expenses of joint ventures 70 34.8m 69.2m 60 5.1m 50 7.7m 42.9m 40 15.6m 12.4m 1.1m 30 20 18.8m 10 0 Net rental income Development and trading profits Gain on sale and reval. of inv. properties Total property return Administration Performance related awards Net finance costs Other costs Profit before tax 6

EPRA Net Assets p 400 390 380 370 360 350 340 330 320 310 300 290 280 270 260 250 312.6 EPRA NAV at 31 March 2014 5.3p EPRA EPS 28.7p Gain on sale and revaluation of investment portfolio 4.5p 0.2p 1.5p Development surplus increase Other EPRA adjustments Derivative financial instruments 4.8p Dividends 345.0p EPRA NAV at 30 Sept 2014 7

Helical Loan to Value Value 000 s 1000 900 800 700 600 500 Low of 28% 53% 400 300 33% 200 100 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H Value of property portfolio Secured loan to value Loan to value including unsecured debt 8

Loan Expiry in Parent and Subsidiaries m 180.0 160.0 Loan expiry analysis at 30 September 2014 (excludes JVs) 164.9m 140.0 120.0 100.0 80.0 82.8m 82.2m 79.0m 60.0 51.9m 40.0 20.0 0.0 9.0m < 1 year 1-2 years 2-3 years 3-4 years 4-5 years 5-6 years 100m 4% Convertible Bond issued June 2014 Average maturity 3.7 years Average cost of debt 4.5 % Helical Bar plc 9

Loan Expiry in Joint Ventures m Joint Venture loan expiry analysis at 30 September 2014 40.0 35.0 30.0 30.1m 27.6m Terms agreed for a 165m (five) year development facility to build out the first phase of Barts Square. Existing debt repayable March 2015. 25.0 20.0 15.0 16.1m 10.0 5.0 0.0 < 1 year 1-2 years 2-3 years 3-4 years 4-5 years Average maturity 1.9 years Average cost of debt 5.6 % 1 47m non-recourse of which 12m has interest guarantees Helical Bar plc 10

Interest Rate Protection Interest rate swaps over time m 600 Current borrowings 500 400 300 200 100 0 Mar 15 Mar 16 Mar 17 Mar 18 Mar 19 Retail Bond Convertible Bond Swap Helical Bar plc 11

Firepower At 30 September 2014 Unutilised bank facilities 137m Cash 61m Uncharged Properties (at fair value) 120m Helical Bar plc 12

Strategy 1. Extend debt maturities New 10 year fixed rate loan facility Extend RCFs back to 5 years 2. Maintain high level of hedging Average 475m of total debt fixed or hedged for average 3 years 3. Retain flexible debt structure: Secured v Unsecured RCFs v Term Loans 13

INVESTMENT

Summary Helical s share of investment portfolio 692m Investment 78%, Development 22% 1 53.5m net purchases, an average of one new asset acquired every eight days in the period Valuation increase of 34.1m, 4.9% net of capex, purchases and sales. 6.5% ignoring purchases and sales. Absorbed c. 6m of acquisition costs in period Rent roll 40.9m. Up 3.2m from March 2014. 57.1m ERV. Majority of reversionary rent in London offices 1.4% ERV growth across the portfolio. 3.6% in London 6.0% initial yield, 7.3% reversionary yield 1.0m increase in contractual rent, like for like. An average of one new letting / regear every two days in the period Retirement villages continue in line with previous announcements. Full detail in Appendices 1 Helical share by book value 15

Purchases and Sales Summary Acquired Sold Constellation Portfolio Stockport and Harrogate Boss Portfolio Industrial and Office Retail Warehousing Industrial 40m 12m 30m Fordham Regional Office 16m Newmarket Retail 18m Yate Industrial 12m TOTAL 94m Others Various 6m TOTAL 40m 53.5m net investment in the period (ex retirement village unit sales) Since period end we have acquired 14m of assets, have 28m under offer to buy and sold 38m of assets Investment Portfolio Split In Town Retail Out of Town Retail Industrial London Offices Regional Offices Retirement Villages 27.5% 7.6% 12.9% 39.7% 11.2% 1.1% 100% Total 16

London 39.7% of the portfolio (down from 43.2% - Barts transfer) 1 King Street, Hammersmith 9.2% valuation growth. 3.6% ERV growth Continued strong rental growth and investment demand Shepherds Building (Hammersmith) refurbishment complete. Achieving rents of 37.50 psf vs average passing of 24.50 psf New Loom (Whitechapel) planning granted for reconfiguration around tenants. Rents 34.50 psf vs average passing of 19.50 psf Shepherds Building, Shepherds Bush One King Street (Hammersmith) addition of extra floor, works on site Artillery Lane (City) on site December 2014. Ground floor and basement under offer to restaurant group Strategy: Buy if we can find value, continue to drive performance of existing assets through refurbishment and re-letting 17

99 Clifton Street, Shoreditch Signed contract to purchase 45,000 sq ft building in November 2013. Deposit 1m. Agreed purchase price 21m. Anticipated completion summer 2015 Assigned contract in September 2014. Purchasers will pay 38.25m upon PC of the building 1m deposit returned 17.3m profit 360% IRR 15.4x Equity multiple Still substantial exposure to this market through C-Space and Old Street 18

Regional Offices 11.2% of the portfolio (down from 12.7%) Churchgate House, Manchester 8.8% valuation growth, 0.4% ERV growth Selective markets very strong: Churchgate House Manchester acquired for 34m in March NIY 5.9% 2m spent reception and floor refurbishment 55,000 sq ft let since purchase Running 7.8% yield upon expiry of rent free periods 38,000 sq ft to let. 10.5% reversionary yield Latest valuation 42.1m Strategy: Acquire very selectively only a few markets with sufficient depth of occupational demand 19

Retail Harrogate 35.1% of the portfolio (down from 40.8%) 0.5% valuation growth, 0.7% ERV growth Occupational market beginning to pick up Acquiring retail parks; Harrogate, Stockport Selling shopping centres; Newmarket sold at a 2.5% premium to book value Huddersfield Strategy: Acquire good secondary retail parks, manage The Hayes, Cardiff for the long term, sell smaller schemes (Sutton in Ashfield, Basildon now sold) and manage bigger schemes (Corby and Clydebank) for cashflow. 20

Industrial 12.9% of the portfolio (up from 2.1%) DHL, Leicester 0.6% valuation growth, 0% ERV growth Strong occupational market, although no rental growth yet Acquisitions below replacement cost. Value in smaller lots below institutional radar. Premium for size Strong cash on cash returns Trading potential e.g. Leicester acquired as part of portfolio for 8.0% blended yield. Sold for 6.3% once tenant didn t exercise break Boss portfolio: Gloucester IO Centre Strategy: continue to acquire individual lots. Manage for cashflow and potentially sell a portfolio in future 21

Portfolio Summary Asset Class Value % Portfolio Yield Strategy Retail 243m 35.1% 7.0% Buy retail parks. Sell smaller shopping centres Industrial 89m 12.9% 7.7% Acquire and build bigger portfolio *London Offices 275m 39.7% 4.1% Acquire if value found. Refurbish and relet to capture rental gains Regional Offices 77m 11.2% 5.9% Acquire very selectively. Manage for cashflow Retirement Villages 8m 1.1% - Build out and sell TOTAL 692m 100% 6.0% Continued focus on providing income for the business Continue to find good value in certain market sectors Sell selectively where fully valued * Yield exclude Barts and Old Street All figures Helical Share 22

DEVELOPMENT

The Bower, 207 Old Street, London EC1 Studio Ware house Tower 24

The Bower, Old Street, London EC1 Phase 1 to be completed June 2015 Public realm / new street Empire House 20,726 sq ft: 17,315 sq ft pre let to Z Hotels @ 650,000 pa 3,411 sq ft pre let to Ceviche @ 140,000 pa The Studio Building 18,363 sq ft office pre let to John Brown Media @ 45.00 psf The Warehouse 122,000 sq ft office: A3 Units Level 5 12,217 sq ft, under offer Level 4 12,217 sq ft, under offer Level 3 17,896 sq ft, under offer Unit A 1,173 sq ft, under offer Unit B 2,573 sq ft, under offer Unit C 1,700 sq ft. under offer The Mews 3,240 sq ft under offer 25

The Bower, Old Street, London EC1 Commence Phase 2 The Tower 170,000 sq ft office and 7,300 sq ft retail June 2015 Major refurbishment, completion due December 2016 Asset management opportunities along retail parade. Possible extension of Post Office unit 26

1 Creechurch Place, London EC3 Construction by Skanska well underway Completion due October 2016 Aldgate public realm improvements EC3 market will be short of space 27

Barts Square, London EC1 Phase 1 144 residential units. 88 units launched in September 2014. 45 exchanged, further four reserved. Average price 1,570 psf Construction of Phase 1 commences January 2015. Carillion appointed as main contractor Financing terms agreed with HSBC Office B 26,000 sq ft Retail /Restaurant - 12,480 sq ft 28

Barts Square, London EC1 The Askew Building and Abernethy House The Square: Offices A and B Dominion House and Vicary House Interior of the Askew Building Penthouse Terrace 29

Barts Square, London EC1 Phase 2 Office A 202,000 sq ft Commence February 2016 Phase 3 Residential 92 apartments Retail/Restaurant 11,733 sq ft Commence November 2016 30

C Space, London EC1 31

C Space, London EC1 Contemporary re-invention of a former carpet factory with 62,000 square feet of workspace Planning permission granted February 2014 nine months after purchase Started on site May 2014. Completion June 2015 Fixed price construction contract Willmott Dixon Work with existing façade but increase window sizes and full height glazing to ground floor Cut back ground floor to allow light to lower ground floor Additional floor with terraces New landscaped courtyard and office reception accessed directly from City Road Profit to come 5-7m ( 7.5m taken through valuation surplus this year) 32

C Space, London EC1 33

King Street, Hammersmith, London W6 34

King Street, Hammersmith, London W6 Development agreement with Hammersmith & Fulham Borough Council and in a joint venture (50/50) with Grainger plc Planning permission received 14 April 2014 for 196 homes, 40,000 sq ft council offices, 3 screen cinema together with retail / residential space Two phase scheme with completion expected in 2017 and 2019 New Labour Administration now in power constructive meeting held with Leader of the Council and discussions underway with respect to the provision of some on site affordable housing Intention to proceed to detail design early next year Profit potential c 10-15m to Helical 35

King Street, Hammersmith, London W6 36

Scottish Power, Glasgow New HQ 220,000 sq ft net office Helical now appointed to deliver Cat B fit out Total fee increased to 7.37m Helical share - 5.53m Completion December 2015 Three surplus sites at Cathcart, Yoker and Falkirk we aim to trade and expect a profit of 500k - 1m 37

Milestones Property March 2014 March 2015 Comment The Bower, Old Street London EC1 Under construction Completed Phase 1 Further lettings Completion delayed until June Good letting progess C-Space City Road, London EC2 Planning obtained Started on site Construction close to completion June 2015 completion - on target Barts Square London EC1 Start Phase 1 Jan 2015 Phase 1 on site Good level of residential pre-sale Start on site as planned in Jan 2015 Circa 50% exchanged 1 Creechurch Place London EC3 Partner obtained Construction well underway On site Hammersmith, Town Hall London W8 Planning consent obtained Detailed design underway Need to resolve negotiations with H&FBC Scottish Power, Glasgow Construction ongoing Construction ongoing Revised completion date Dec 2015 as now doing Cat B fit out Europa Centralna 95% let in shopping centre. 77% let in retail park Exit Exit being negotiated 38

Development Scheme Review Property Partner HB Share Status Start Area Sq Ft NIA Total Cost Completion Potential Helical Profit to come Empire House 20,726 sq ft hotel/retail The Bower, Old Street London EC1 Crosstree 33.3% Phase 1 Under construction Phase 1 Jan 2014 The Studio 18,363 sq ft office 3,746 sq ft retail The Warehouse 122,000 sq ft office 5,360 sq ft office 180m Phase 1 Jun 2015 20m+ Phase 2 June 2015 The Tower 170,000 sq ft office 7,300 sq ft retail Phase 2 Dec 2016 C-Space City Road London EC2 None 100% On site Commenced main start May 2014 62,000 sq ft net office 38m June 2015 5-7m Barts Square London EC1 Baupost 33.3% Planning consent Phase 1 Jan 2015 144 apartments 23,400 sq ft office 12,480 sq ft retail Phase 1 Q2 2017 Phase 2 Feb 2016 202,000 sq ft office 410m Phase 2 Q2 2018 30m + Phase 3 Nov 2016 92 apartments 11,733 sq ft retail Phase 3 Q2 2019 1 Creechurch Place London EC3 HOOPP 10% + profit share On site 2014 271,000 sq ft NIA office 2,227 sq ft A3 160m October 2016 10m + Hammersmith, Town Hall London W8 Grainger 50% Resolution to grant planning obtained Late 2015/ Late 2017 500,000 sq ft residential, office, leisure 140m Late 2017 Late 2019 10m - 15m Scottish Power, Glasgow Dawn Developments 75% On site Oct 2013 220,000 sq ft net office December 2015 6m TOTAL SAY 90m 39

Development - Conclusion Heavily geared to ongoing growth of London Current schemes were acquired before market took off Anticipate steady growth Threats Lack of infrastructure Overheated construction market Political uncertainty mansion tax Opportunities London remains dominant as a World City Growing population and economy Safe Haven status Strategy Seek additional opportunities mainly in London Optimistic about ongoing demand 40

CONCLUSION

Conclusion Helical model is working. We have no need to rely on yield compression nor rental growth in order to outperform Development portfolio still hugely exciting and looking very profitable Investment portfolio performing on all fronts We still see value and believe the market is set fair for the next three years if not more. Politics will slow activity down up to and around election time this may well provide a buying opportunity. Continued occupational demand set against limited supply is the key 42

Notes 43

APPENDICES

Helical A Long Term Profit Generator Net Rental Income m 50 45 40 In subsidiaries In joint ventures Passing rent 40.9m 35 36.2m 30 29.8m 25 20 15 23.0m 20.4m 16.5m 14.8m 16.6m 16.4m 17.9m 17.7m 14.9m 14.2m 17.8m 14.2m 22.9m 17.9m 24.5m 19.6m 24.4m 18.8m 16.4m 10 5 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1 H 2015 At 30.09.14 45

Portfolio Size 46

Investment Portfolio Changes Helical Share of Book Value 47

Development Portfolio Changes Helical Share of Book Value 48

Geography By Helical Share 42% of Helical s equity is deployed in London and the South East 49

Investment Portfolio Helical Share Value (m) Equity (m) % by Value London Offices 274.7 139.5 39.7% Regional Offices 77.4 40.1 11.2% Industrial 89.1 80.9 12.9% In Town Retail 190.4 82.0 27.5% Out of Town Retail 52.6 28.9 7.6% Retirement Village 7.4 7.4 1.1% Total 691.6 378.8 100% Note: Part of Barts and all of Old Street are held as investments 50

Trading & Development Portfolio Helical s Share Book Value (m) Fair Value (m) Surplus Over Book Value (m) % Value (Fair) Office 9.5 17.3 7.8 7.6% Retail 26.0 28.0 2.0 12.3% Retirement Village 71.5 86.8 15.3 38.2% Change of Use 5.0 9.0 4.0 4.0% Mixed Use and Residential 25.5 27.5 2.0 12.1% Poland 56.7 58.5 1.8 25.8% Total 194.2 227.1 33.0 100% 51

Investment Portfolio Changes Investment Portfolio Mar 12 Mar 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Change since Mar 14 London Offices 30.2% 35.9% 43.2% 39.7% -3.5% Retail 61.0% 56.0% 40.8% 35.1% -5.7% Industrial 5.3% 2.9% 2.1% 12.9% 10.8% Regional Offices 2.1% 3.7% 12.7% 11.2% -1.5% Other 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% -0.1% Total 100% ( 374m) 100% ( 407m) 100% ( 601m) 100% ( 692m) + 91m 52

Investment Portfolio Key Statistics Valuation increase of 4.9% in half year to September, including capex, sales and purchase % of Portfolio (HB Share) Valuation Change Initial Yield Reversionary Yield Equivalent Yield (True QiA) Industrial 12.9% 0.6% 7.7% 7.4% 7.5% London Offices 39.7% 9.2% 4.1% 6.5% 6.2% Regional Offices 11.2% 8.8% 5.9% 8.0% 7.7% In Town Retail 27.5% 0.2% 7.1% 8.2% 8.0% Out of Town Retail 7.6% 2.1% 6.5% 6.4% 6.6% Other 1.1% 6.3% - - - Total 100% 4.9% 6.0% 7.3% 7.2% Note: Yield calculations exclude Barts and Old Street. Valuation movements include Barts and Old Street 53

Investment Portfolio Key Statistics Capital Value psf Vacancy Rate (floor area) Average Unexpired Lease Term (years) Industrial 60 0.0% 4.9 London Offices 450 23.0% 6.3 Regional Office 152 11.8% 6.5 Retail 137 3.3% 7.5 Total 146 6.0% 6.3 Note: London includes offices held vacant for refurbishment / redevelopment 54

Investment: London Office Portfolio Property Shepherds Building, W14 Enterprise House, Paddington W2 Artillery Lane, E1 New Loom House, Whitechapel E1 Net Rent Sept 2014 ERV Key Events in the period 3.6m 5.3m 1.5m refurbishment completed Open market lettings completed at 37.50 psf (current average rent 24.50 psf) 1.83m 2.03m 0.32m 0.8m Planning granted for change of use to A3 ground floor and basement A3 unit under off to restaurant Works to commence in December 1.6m 2.8m Letting continue at 39.50 as average of 19 psf Planning granted for internal refurbishments One King Street, Hammersmith W6 1.10m 1.7m Works to add extra floor started. Complete Easter 2015 Clifton Street, Shoreditch EC2 N/A N/A Contract to purchase assigned 16.5m profit in Summer 2015 Summary 9.2% valuation increase including sales & purchases 4.1% initial yield going to 6.5% reversionary yield, 6.2% equivalent yield 40% of investment portfolio Note: Valuation movements include Barts St, Old Street and C-Space. Yield calculations exclude Barts and Old Street but include C-Space. Clifton Street is not included in any of these figures 55

Investment: Retail Portfolio Property Cardiff Corby Clydebank Newmarket Key Events in the period Phase 1 of Creative Quarter refurbishment completed and fully let. Phase 2 on site Upcoming rent reviews on The Hayes. Uplifts expected Multiple new lettings and re-gears on-going Unit sold to JD Wetherspoons for 280k Pure Gym works complete and trading Multiple new lettings and re-gears concluded Sold. 2.5% premium to book values Sutton in Ashfield Sold (post period end) 6% premium to March 2014 book value. 2% premium to September 2014 book value Summary Increasing occupier demand Values up 0.6% like for like, increasing investor interest in the sector 35% of investment portfolio Strong cash on cash returns 56

Investment Portfolio Changes to Rental Values Year to March 2014 Half Year to September 2014 Industrial 0.0% 0.0% London Offices 7.3% 3.6% Regional Offices 0.0% 0.4% All Offices 5.0% 2.6% In Town Retail -0.5% 0.8% Out of Town Retail 0.0% 0.0% All Retail -0.5% 0.7% Total 2.1% 1.4% 57

Investment Portfolio Lease Expiries Lease Expiries and Tenant Break Options in: 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Percentage of Rent Roll 12.9% 8.7% 14.6% 11.8% 12.2% Number of Leases 123 108 106 82 62 Average Rent per Lease 44,700 34,300 58,500 61,200 83,800 58

Asset Management Overview Rent % of rent roll Rent lost at break/expiry - 1.3m 3.2% Net rent lost through administration - 0.04m 0.1% New lettings and changes at lease renewal 2.3m 5.5% Rent reviews and RPI uplifts 0.03m 0.1% Net Increase 1.0m 59

Top Tenants Rank Tenant Tenant Industry Rent (Helical) % Rent Roll 1 Network Rail Infrastructure Limited Infrastructure 2.03m 5.0% 2 Endemol UK Ltd Media 1.58m 3.9% 3 Sainsbury's Supermarkets Ltd Retail 1.25m 3.0% 4 Homebase Ltd Retail 1.01m 2.5% 5 Economic Solutions Ltd Government 0.96m 2.4% 6 Nicholl Food Packaging Limited Manufacturing 0.77m 1.9% 7 Capita Life & Pensions Regulated Services Ltd Professional Services 0.76m 1.8% 8 Curzon Estates Limited Professional Services 0.74m 1.8% 9 Polypipe Limited Manufacturing 0.68m 1.7% 10 DSG Retail Limited Retail 0.68m 1.7% TOTAL 10.46m 25.7% Top 10 tenants account for 26% of the rent roll 60

Retirement Villages May 2014 No. Units Phase 1 Sold/ Reserved Start Construction Complete Construction Forecast Profit to come Profit Period Liphook 151 (of which 144 sold) Faygate, Horsham 171 (of which 19 sold) N/A N/A Q1 08 2012 0.25m 2009-2014 48 29 Q2 12 2017 12.5m 2013-2018 Exeter 164 49 27 Q4 13 2018 7m 2014-2018 Great Alne, Stratfordupon-Avon 150 50 4 Q2 14 2018 17m 2014-2019 Total 636 36.75m All sites now financed and under construction Liphook 8 units sold during half year (144 now sold out of 151 in total), 7 units remaining of which 2 reserved Further 14 sales completed in Faygate during period ( 0.9m profit) Profit forecast includes 12.8m of surplus of land value over cost, already part of EPRA NAV 61