CAI International, Inc. BB&T Capital Markets Transportation Conference February 14, 2013

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Transcription:

CAI International, Inc. BB&T Capital Markets Transportation Conference February 14, 2013

Safe Harbor Statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements including, but not limited to: statements regarding our future financial performance, our plans for capital investment, our proposed acquisition of container assets, our proposed private placement of notes, demand for our services, our ability to maintain current freight rates, and our ability to purchase and sell containers at favorable prices. All statements contained in this presentation other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks and uncertainties which could include, but are not limited to: world trade and economic growth, growth and profitability of the shipping industry, availability of credit on commercially favorable terms, the price of steel and other commodity prices, our ability to attract and maintain contracts to manage container portfolios, our ability to attract and maintain lessors, competition, volatility in exchange rates and other factors described in the Risk Factors section of our periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Actual events or results may differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements as a result of these and other factors. These forward-looking statements reflect our view only as of the date of this presentation. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. 2

CAI at a Glance Business Intermodal container leasing ~ 95% assets Mid life railcar leasing~ 5% assets Container Fleet Total fleet of ~1.1 million TEUs as of December 31, 2012 ~$1.6 billion of revenue-earning container assets $1.2 billion owned assets / ~$0.4 billion managed assets (1) Average age of 7.1 years (TEU) / 6.7 years (CEU) 66% owned / 34% managed by TEU Market share 5 th largest container leasing company in the world (2) 7% market share (2), a ~75% increase from 4% market share in 1998 Customers Diversified base of ~280 customers Recent CAI Financial Performance Serve each of the top 10 shipping lines Average relationship of 15 years with top 20 clients Lease revenue +43% from Q4 11 to Q4 12 Adjusted EBITDA +39% from Q4 11 to Q4 12 Earnings per share +29% from Q4 11 to Q4 12 Market Capitalization / Ownership ~$557 million market cap as of February 7, 2013 Insider ownership now ~ 24% Note: All data set forth above are as of December 31, 2012 TEU = Twenty-foot Equivalent Unit; CEU= Cost Equivalent Unit 12 month/q4 2012 financials are preliminary and unaudited (1) CAI management estimate (2) Harrison Consulting Report, September 2012 3

CAI Highlights Well Positioned Among Industry Peers Highly profitable, predictable, and scalable business model Highest percentage lease revenue and operating income growth among public container lessors (1) Highest operating and pre-tax income percentage margin among public container lessors (2) Highest return on average equity among public container lessors (2) Compelling Container Industry Fundamentals Strong Platform for Delivering on Growth One of the lowest levered among public container lessors 20+ year history as a third-party asset manager Market trends favor container lessors Trade growth and demand for new containers remain strong despite weaker economies in developed countries Container supply/demand balance remains very tight Strong secondary sale market Attractive mix of owned and managed assets provides flexibility Scalable management systems allow for substantial management fleet growth Over the past two years, revenue-earning assets up 139%, total TEUs up 29% and owned TEUs up 102%; Net income through December 31, 2012 is up 81% versus two years ago while improving operating margins from 47% to 59% Asset management business and high percentage of long-term lease contracts lead to stable EBITDA Note: 12 month/q4 2012 financials are preliminary and unaudited (1) Q3 2012 vs. Q3 2011 (2) Q3 2012 4

CAI Highlights continued Latest Quarterly Statistics Preliminary unaudited net income for the fourth quarter of 2012 was $17.4 million, a 35% increase compared to $12.9 million for the fourth quarter of 2011 and a 5% increase compared to $16.5 million in the third quarter of 2012 Rental revenue (1) for the fourth quarter of 2012 increased 43% compared to the fourth quarter of 2011 and 12% compared to the third quarter of 2012 Strong operating metrics in fourth quarter with operating margin of 59%, net income after tax margin of 35%, Adjusted EBITDA margin of 94% Strong cash flow with $160.6 million Adjusted EBITDA in 2012 Q4 2012 run rate $186.5 million Modest leverage of 2.76x funded debt / equity as of December 31, 2012 Recent Update on CAI s Operations Container equipment purchases/commitments during 2012 were $525 million Approximately $559 million capacity available under credit facilities as of December 31, 2012, supporting growth strategy On December 5, CAI raised approximately $52 million in net proceeds to CAI in a public market secondary share offering On October 18, 2012, CAI closed on a $171 million 10-year fixed 3.47% (3.50% yield) ABS transaction, the tightest pricing for any container leasing company to date On October 19, 2012, CAI closed on the acquisition of $84 million of container assets representing 71,000 TEUs of standard dry van containers from a third-party investor fund managed by CAI (1) Rental revenue + finance lease income 5

Global Infrastructure and Long-Standing Relationships CAI manages its container fleet through approximately 225 independent container depot facilities located in approximately 50 countries Serves approximately 280 container lessees including the top 10 shipping lines Maintained business with our top 20 lessees for 15 years on average Marketing & operational personnel have deep relationships within these companies, are familiar with their operations and try to anticipate potential inventory shortages Headquarters Corporate Marketing Office Agency Office CAI leverages many touch points with our lessees to ensure inventory availability and provide superior service 6

Market and Industry Overview Growth in International Container Trade Continues 1400% 1300% 1200% 1100% 1000% 900% 800% 700% 600% 500% 400% 300% 200% 100% 0% Economic growth in emerging markets and developing countries is driving container market growth (2012 6.1% -- 2013(e) 6.5%) (1) CAI remained profitable through downturn (2009 net income margin of 21%) World GDP, Trade, Container Trade and Container Fleet Growth (1980-2012F) (1) Cumulative Container Fleet Growth Cumulative World GDP Growth Cumulative World Trade Growth Cumulative World Container Trade Growth 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F 2009 is believed to be the only year that world containerized trade actually decreased in the last three decades Global container shipments grew 3.7% in 2012 after a 7.2% increase in 2011. 2013 expected growth is 6.1% (2). (1) Source: IMF World Economic Update January 23, 2013 (2) Source: Clarksons Container Intelligence Research Services Limited; January2013. 2012 figures are projections (3) Source: IMF World Economic Update; January 23, 2013 (4) Source: Clarkson s Container Intelligence Monthly, December 2012; Alphaliner s Monthly Monitor, May 2012 Year Growth Rates Container Shipments (2) IMF Trade Growth (3) 1990-2008 CAGR (Actual) 9.6% 6.7% 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 2010 (Actual) 12.8% 12.8% 2011 (Actual) 7.2% 5.9% 2012 (Forecast) 3.7% 2.8% 2013 (Forecast) 6.1% 3.8% Emerging Markets and Regional Trades Driving Growth (4) 18.0% 13.7% 29.0% 5.0% 48.0% Deployed Capacity Intra Asia / North Far East - Europe 13.5% 4.1% 68.7% 2011 Liftings Transatlantic Transpacific 7

Market and Industry Overview continued Public Container Lessors Weighted Average Fleet Utilization (Q1 2008 Q2 2012) (1) 100% 98% 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% 86% 84% 82% 80% 94.5% 08-Q1 94.9% 08-Q2 96.3% 08-Q3 95.0% 08-Q4 90.8% 09-Q1 87.6% 09-Q2 86.6% 09-Q3 87.9% 09-Q4 91.1% 10-Q1 95.7% 10-Q2 98.1% 10-Q3 98.2% 10-Q4 98.2% 11-Q1 98.5% 11-Q2 98.4% 11-Q3 97.6% 11-Q4 96.8% 12-Q1 97.1% 12-Q2 1000% 800% 600% 400% 200% 0% -200% -400% -600% Comparison of Public Lessors and Selected Shipping Line Net Income, 2003-11 (2) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Lines Lessors $3,000 $2,800 $2,600 $2,400 $2,200 $2,000 $1,800 $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 New 20ft Dry-Freight and 40ft High-Cube Reefer Container Price, 1990-2012 H1 (1) 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 (1) Source: Harrison Consulting, public container lessors 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 20ft Standard Dry-Cargo (LH Axis) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Dry Box 2008 Reefer 2009 2010 2011 12-H1 40ft High-Cube Reefer (RH Axis) $30,000 $28,000 $26,000 $24,000 $22,000 $20,000 $18,000 $16,000 $14,000 $12,000 $10,000 350% 325% 300% 275% 250% 225% 200% 175% 150% 125% 100% Comparative Growth in Container Trade, Container- Box Fleet and Container-Ship Fleet, 2000-11 (2) Container Trade (TEU) Container Ship fleet (TEU) Container Box fleet (TEU) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 8

Market and Industry Overview continued Sustainable Technicals in the Container Leasing Market Key drivers seem likely to persist well past 2012 Containerized trade growth projected to remain solid as long as global economy avoids major recession Excess vessel capacity likely to persist and pressure freight rates and liner profitability for several years European bank financing for shipping industry continues well below historical levels CAI estimates that lessors accounted for 60% - 65% of total new container purchases in 2012. This trend should continue into 2013 Solid trade growth + Limited direct buying by shipping lines Tight container supply/demand + High leasing share of new procurement High utilization and strong growth potential For CAI 9

CAI Total Fleet Overview Fleet by Container Type (1) Fleet by Lease Type (1) Specialized 3.8% Reefer 4.1% Specialized 7.0% Reefer 17.3% Direct Finance, 7.8% Short-Term, 12.3% Direct Finance, 8.6% Short-Term, 10.8% Dry 92.1% Dry 75.7% Long-Term, 79.9% Long-Term, 80.6% TEU CEU TEU CEU Owned, Managed & Total Fleet, 2005 December 31, 2012 (2) TEU 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 76%Managed 24% Owned 456,076 483,333 500,433 534,553 507,681 478,608 458,254 34% Managed 66% Owned 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 359,133 (1) CAI management estimate (2) 2005 2012 measured as of December 31 Owned Fleet Managed Fleet 10

Leading Lessor with Disciplined Growth Strategy Container Lessor Market Share by TEU, June 30, 2012 (1) CAI Market Share Growth 5 th largest container lessor with 7% market share CAI 7.0% Seaco 7.0% SeaCube 6.4% Cronos 5.4% Gold 3.6% 1998 2012 4% 7% DFIC 3.4% TAL 11.9% Beacon 2.9% ~75% increase in market share Florens 12.5% Triton 14.1% Textainer 17.2% UES 1.9% Blue Sky 1.5% CARU 0.6% Waterfront 0.5% Other 4.0% New Container Production (1)(2) 2011 2012 TEU 3.3MM 2.6MM Dollar Value $8.3BN $6.0BN Lessor Share 60% 60% 65% CAI Purchase $345 $227 CAI Share of Lessors 6.9% 6.3% Note: 12 month/q4 2012 financials are preliminary and unaudited (1) Source: Harrison Consulting (2) Source: CAI management estimate 11

Investment Trend Investment ($ millions) 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 Purchase of equipment (from cash flow stmt) 524.4 491.8 204.6 31.3 189.6 Less: Net proceeds from sale of container portfolios (10.3) (24.9) (12.4) (5.8) (99.8) Net proceeds from disposition of used equipment (44.3) (30.8) (31.9) (23.7) (20.4) Net Capital Expenditure 469.7 436.1 160.3 1.8 69.5 Investment Summary 2012 ($ millions) $ % Total Q1 (A) Q2 (A) Q3 (A) Q4 (A) 2012 (A) Q1 (A) Q2 (A) Q3 (A) Q4 (E) 2012 (E) Sale leaseback $49.8 $5.0 $33.7 $16.0 $104.5 9.5% 1.0% 6.4% 3.1% 19.9% Portfolio buyback $27.5 $15.3 $94.2 $137.0 5.2% 2.9% 18.0% 26.1% New equipment $4.0 $126.0 $88.4 $7.9 $226.3 0.8% 24.0% 16.9% 1.5% 43.2% Rail purchase $53.6 $3.0 $0.0 $56.6 10.2% 0.6% 0.0% 10.8% TOTAL $53.8 $212.1 $140.4 $118.0 $524.4 10.3% 40.5% 26.8% 22.5% 100.0% 12

CAI Expansion Opportunities Fleet Expansion Organic growth new containers Portfolio sales from shipping lines and purchase of managed portfolios Corporate acquisitions Maintain balance sheet strength to realize on these opportunities Product Expansion Refrigerated containers Roll trailer equipment Specialty containers (flat racks, open tops etc.) European specials Tank containers Railcars 13

Financial Highlights Rental Revenue (1) ($ in millions) ($ in millions) Total Revenue $160.6 $173.9 $110.4 $125.7 $56.0 $66.9 $29.2 $33.1 $34.0 $36.7 $42.4 $47.5 $65.3 $77.9 $33.0 $36.2 $39.4 $39.7 $44.9 $49.9 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Adjusted EBITDA (2) and Margin Net Income and Margin ($ in millions) ($ in millions) 92% 95% $160.6 97% 91% 93% 90% 91% 94% 40% 36% 36% $63.5 38% 41% 83% 36% 37% 37% 35% 71% $118.8 $50.2 $46.3 $64.9 $31.9 $33.8 $35.5 $37.4 $41.0 $46.6 21% $13.6 $28.4 $13.6 $12.9 $14.4 $15.1 $16.5 $17.4 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Note: 12 month/q4 2012 financials are preliminary and unaudited (1) Rental revenue + finance lease income (2) Adjusted EBITDA defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization plus principal payments from direct finance leases 14

CAI Outperforms Peer Group Lease Revenue Growth (1) 45.3% Operating Income Margin (2) 58.0% 57.1% 56.9% 14.5% 11.8% 10.1% 53.7% CAP TGH TAL BOX CAP TGH TAL BOX Pre-tax Margin (2) Return on Average Equity (2) 42.0% 40.1% 32.5% 23.1% 24.6% 23.5% 20.9% 18.9% CAP TGH TAL BOX (1) Q3 2012 vs. Q3 2011. Rental revenue + finance lease income (2) Q3 2012 CAP TGH TAL BOX 15

Ample Capital Resources Capitalization as of December 31, 2012 Strong 2012 Adjusted EBITDA $161mm Cap Leases and Collateralized Loan Obligations 6.0% ABS Term 13.0% Bank Term Loan 31.0% Manageable leverage levels 2.76x Funded Debt / Equity Senior Secured Notes 8.0% Revolving Credit Facilities 15.0% Equity 27.0% Debt Commitment as of December 31, 2012 ($ in millions) Commitment Drawn Available Revolver Containers $575 $160 $415 Revolver Rail 85 41 44 Term Loans 402 402 Senior Notes 103 103 ABS Warehouse Facility 100 100 ABS Term 168 168 Cap Leases and Collateral Loan Obligations 83 83 Total Debt $1,516 $957 $559 Note: Figures rounded, 12 month/q4 2012 financials are preliminary and unaudited 16

2013 Outlook 2013 Full Year Outlook 2012 2013 Improving Fundamentals: IMF Trade Growth 2.8% (1)(e) 3.8% Clarksons Research Container Trade Growth 3.7% (2)(e) 6.1% (1)(e) (2)(e) Total CAI Container Investment: CAI New Container Investment $226 ($ millions) Opportunities should exceed 2012 Customer Sale- Leasebacks $105 ($ millions) Similar Opportunities available Opportunities available, but not as large as Portfolio Acquisition $137 ($ millions) 2012 Average Fleet Utilization 94.2% Full year utilization should be in the same range Secondary Container Sales: Gain on Sale Total Proceeds $12.5 $44.3 ($ millions) ($ millions) Market should continue to be strong with pricing similar to 2012 CAI Revenue Growth 38.4% We expect continued strong revenue growth as a result of solid underlying industry fundamentals Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Average Utilization 93.4% Expect normal seasonality where Q1 is weaker than Q4 - - year end run rate was - - 92.5% Impact of Q4 2012 investment on Q1 2013 revenue Impact of Q1 2013 Investment on Q1 2013 revenue Q1 2013 Outlook minimal incremental impact $100 million of Portfolio acquisition and Sale Leasebacks expected to close, but minimal Q1 revenue impact - - most investment at end of Q1 Net Income $17.4 ($ millions) minimal revenue growth due to timing of Will be impacted by lower utilization and Q4 2013 and Q1 2013 investments (1) - - IMF World Economic Update January 23, 2013 (2) - - Clarksons Container Intelligence Research Services, January 2013 17

Appendix

Summary Historical Income Statement ($ in thousands) Year Ended December 31, 2009 2010 2011 2012 Revenue: Container rental revenue $53,747 $64,892 $106,694 $152,982 Management fee revenue 8,546 10,348 12,957 12,094 Gain on sale of container portfolios 753 614 2,345 1,256 Finance lease income 2,218 2,045 3,710 7,593 YOY Growth Total Revenue $65,264 $77,899 $125,706 $173,925 38.4% Operating expenses: Depreciation of container rental equipment 17,226 20,807 33,633 48,352 Amortization of intangible assets 1,566 1,377 1,254 902 Gain on disposition of used container equipment (3,626) (9,112) (13,374) (12,445) Storage, handling, and other expenses 8,717 6,170 5,513 9,402 Marketing, general, and administrative expenses 19,605 21,731 20,655 24,828 Total operating expenses 43,488 40,973 47,681 71,039 49.0% Operating income 21,776 36,926 78,025 102,886 31.9% Net interest expense 4,301 5,169 16,127 28,787 Net income before income taxes and non-controlling interest 17,475 31,757 61,898 74,099 Income tax expense 3,919 3,555 11,084 9,818 Net Income 13,556 28,202 50,814 64,281 26.5% Less: (Net income) Loss attributable to non-controlling interest - 181 (625) (816) Net Income attributable to CAI Stockholders $13,556 $28,383 $50,189 $63,465 26.4% Note: 12 month/q4 2012 financials are preliminary and unaudited 19

Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA CAI International, Inc. - Adjusted EBITDA ($ in thousands) Year Ended December 31, Quarter Ended 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Net income (loss) $13,556 $28,383 $50,189 $63,465 $14,391 $15,135 $16,528 $17,411 Add: Net interest expense 4,301 5,169 16,127 28,787 5,931 6,318 7,178 9,360 Depreciation 17,366 21,024 34,078 48,856 10,773 11,170 12,627 14,286 Amortization of intangible assets and impairment of container rental equipment 1,652 1,417 1,254 902 227 225 224 226 Income tax expense 3,919 3,555 11,084 9,818 2,505 2,396 2,102 2,815 EBITDA 40,794 59,548 112,732 151,822 33,827 35,244 38,659 44,098 Add- principal payments from direct finance leases 5,532 5,333 6,080 8,758 1,685 2,194 2,347 2,532 Adjusted EBITDA $46,326 $64,881 $118,812 $160,586 $35,512 $37,438 $41,006 $46,630 Note: 12 month/q4 2012 financials are preliminary and unaudited 20