US Stock Market Briefing: Trump & Stocks

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Transcription:

US Stock Market Briefing: & Stocks September 20, 2018 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@ Joe Abbott 732-497-5306 jabbott@ Mali Quintana 480-664-1333 aquintana@ Please visit our sites at blog. thinking outside the box

Table Of Contents Table Of Contents S&P Indexes & PEs 1-2 September 20, 2018 / & Stocks

2950 2550 Figure 1. S&P STOCK PRICE INDEXES (daily, ratio scale) S&P Indexes & PEs 2950 6/29 2550 2150 2150 1750 1750 1350 S&P 500 Large Cap S&P 400 Mid Cap S&P 600 Small Cap 1350 950 Election 950 550 I II III IV I II III IV I II 2016 2017 2018 Source: Standard & Poor s. 550 21 20 Figure 2. FORWARD P/E RATIOS FOR S&P STOCK PRICE INDEXES* (daily) 21 20 19 S&P 500 LargeCap (16.8) S&P 400 MidCap (16.6) S&P 600 SmallCap (17.9) 19 18 9/20 18 17 17 16 16 15 Wins 15 14 2016 2017 2018 2019 14 * Daily stock price index divided by 52-week forward consensus expected operating earnings per share. Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S and Standard & Poor s. Page 1 / September 20, 2018 / & Stocks

185 160 Figure 3. S&P 500/400/600 FORWARD EARNINGS (dollars per share, ratio scale) S&P Indexes & PEs 185 6/28 160 135 110 Wins 135 110 85 60 Forward Earnings* S&P 500 LargeCap (174.06) S&P 400 MidCap (123.24) S&P 600 SmallCap (60.19) 85 60 35 I II III IV I II III IV I II 2016 2017 2018 * Time-weighted average of consensus estimates for current year and next year. Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. 35 Page 2 / September 20, 2018 / & Stocks

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