Key Formulas. From Larson/Farber Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World, Fifth Edition 2012 Prentice Hall. Standard Score: CHAPTER 3.

Similar documents
R e. Y R, X R, u e, and. Use the attached excel spreadsheets to

4452 Mathematical Modeling Lecture 17: Modeling of Data: Linear Regression

Midterm Exam. Use the end of month price data for the S&P 500 index in the table below to answer the following questions.

Chapter 5. Two-Variable Regression: Interval Estimation and Hypothesis Testing

UNIVERSITY OF MORATUWA

Finance Solutions to Problem Set #6: Demand Estimation and Forecasting

Financial Econometrics Jeffrey R. Russell Midterm Winter 2011

Computer Lab 6. Minitab Project Report. Time Series Plot of x. Year

A Note on Missing Data Effects on the Hausman (1978) Simultaneity Test:

ACE 564 Spring Lecture 9. Violations of Basic Assumptions II: Heteroskedasticity. by Professor Scott H. Irwin

Unemployment and Phillips curve

Non-Stationary Processes: Part IV. ARCH(m) (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) Models

STATIONERY REQUIREMENTS SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS 20 Page booklet List of statistical formulae New Cambridge Elementary Statistical Tables

Online Appendix to: Implementing Supply Routing Optimization in a Make-To-Order Manufacturing Network

This specification describes the models that are used to forecast

San Francisco State University ECON 560 Summer 2018 Problem set 3 Due Monday, July 23

The Relationship between Money Demand and Interest Rates: An Empirical Investigation in Sri Lanka

Macroeconomics II A dynamic approach to short run economic fluctuations. The DAD/DAS model.

Population growth and intra-specific competition in duckweed

ROV BIZSTATS User Manual. Johnathan Mun, Ph.D., MBA, MS, CFC, CRM, FRM, MIFC

Comparison of back-testing results for various VaR estimation methods. Aleš Kresta, ICSP 2013, Bergamo 8 th July, 2013

VaR and Low Interest Rates

12. Exponential growth simulation.

INSTITUTE OF ACTUARIES OF INDIA

Open-High-Low-Close Candlestick Plot (Statlet)

Forecasting with Judgment

An Analysis of Trend and Sources of Deficit Financing in Nepal

Estimating Earnings Trend Using Unobserved Components Framework

UCLA Department of Economics Fall PhD. Qualifying Exam in Macroeconomic Theory

Appendix B: DETAILS ABOUT THE SIMULATION MODEL. contained in lookup tables that are all calculated on an auxiliary spreadsheet.

Forecasting Financial Time Series

Systemic Risk Illustrated

Data Mining Anomaly Detection. Lecture Notes for Chapter 10. Introduction to Data Mining

Data Mining Anomaly Detection. Lecture Notes for Chapter 10. Introduction to Data Mining

Introduction. Enterprises and background. chapter

IJRSS Volume 2, Issue 2 ISSN:

Bank of Japan Review. Performance of Core Indicators of Japan s Consumer Price Index. November Introduction 2015-E-7

Watch out for the impact of Scottish independence opinion polls on UK s borrowing costs

Cubic and Quartic Models

Management Science Letters

INSTITUTE OF ACTUARIES OF INDIA

Volume 31, Issue 1. Pitfall of simple permanent income hypothesis model

Final Exam Answers Exchange Rate Economics

A Robust Modification of the Goldfeld-Quandt Test for the Detection of Heteroscedasticity in the Presence of Outliers

A Study of Process Capability Analysis on Second-order Autoregressive Processes

ASSIGNMENT BOOKLET. M.Sc. (Mathematics with Applications in Computer Science) Mathematical Modelling (January 2014 November 2014)

CENTRO DE ESTUDIOS MONETARIOS Y FINANCIEROS T. J. KEHOE MACROECONOMICS I WINTER 2011 PROBLEM SET #6

TESTING FOR SKEWNESS IN AR CONDITIONAL VOLATILITY MODELS FOR FINANCIAL RETURN SERIES

2. Quantity and price measures in macroeconomic statistics 2.1. Long-run deflation? As typical price indexes, Figure 2-1 depicts the GDP deflator,

The Mathematics Of Stock Option Valuation - Part Four Deriving The Black-Scholes Model Via Partial Differential Equations

Multiple Choice Questions Solutions are provided directly when you do the online tests.

Portfolio Risk of Chinese Stock Market Measured by VaR Method

Predictive Ability of Three Different Estimates of Cay to Excess Stock Returns A Comparative Study for South Africa and USA

ANSWER ALL QUESTIONS. CHAPTERS 6-9; (Blanchard)

Advanced Forecasting Techniques and Models: Time-Series Forecasts

Market and Information Economics

HEADWAY DISTRIBUTION FOR NH-8 TRAFFIC AT VAGHASI VILLAGE LOCATION

Synthetic CDO s and Basket Default Swaps in a Fixed Income Credit Portfolio

Extreme Risk Value and Dependence Structure of the China Securities Index 300

Backtesting Stochastic Mortality Models: An Ex-Post Evaluation of Multi-Period-Ahead Density Forecasts

Macroeconomics. Typical macro questions (I) Typical macro questions (II) Methodology of macroeconomics. Tasks carried out by macroeconomists

Session IX: Special topics

EQUILIBRIUM ASSET PRICING MODELS

Leveraged Stock Portfolios over Long Holding Periods: A Continuous Time Model. Dale L. Domian, Marie D. Racine, and Craig A.

Essay 3. The liquidity impact of open market share repurchases * repurchases *

The Effect of Open Market Repurchase on Company s Value

On the Impact of Inflation and Exchange Rate on Conditional Stock Market Volatility: A Re-Assessment

The Skewness of the Stock Market at Long Horizons

1 Purpose of the paper

ECONOMIC GROWTH. Student Assessment. Macroeconomics II. Class 1

The Predictive Content of Futures Prices in Iran Gold Coin Market

Measuring and Forecasting the Daily Variance Based on High-Frequency Intraday and Electronic Data

Organize your work as follows (see book): Chapter 3 Engineering Solutions. 3.4 and 3.5 Problem Presentation

From Discrete to Continuous: Modeling Volatility of the Istanbul Stock Exchange Market with GARCH and COGARCH

Evaluating Projects under Uncertainty

a. If Y is 1,000, M is 100, and the growth rate of nominal money is 1 percent, what must i and P be?

An Alternative Robust Test of Lagrange Multiplier for ARCH Effect

CHAPTER CHAPTER18. Openness in Goods. and Financial Markets. Openness in Goods, and Financial Markets. Openness in Goods,

An Incentive-Based, Multi-Period Decision Model for Hierarchical Systems

Financial Markets And Empirical Regularities An Introduction to Financial Econometrics

Fitting the Heston Stochastic Volatility Model to Chinese Stocks

Labor Cost and Sugarcane Mechanization in Florida: NPV and Real Options Approach

Volatility and Hedging Errors

Hedging Performance of Indonesia Exchange Rate

Problem Set 1 Answers. a. The computer is a final good produced and sold in Hence, 2006 GDP increases by $2,000.

Parametric Forecasting of Value at Risk Using Heavy Tailed Distribution

Asymmetric Futures Price Distribution and Bid-Ask Quotes *

Fundamental Basic. Fundamentals. Fundamental PV Principle. Time Value of Money. Fundamental. Chapter 2. How to Calculate Present Values

SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

Stock Index Volatility: the case of IPSA

ASSESSING PREDICTION INTERVALS FOR DEMAND RATES OF SLOW-MOVING PARTS FOR A NATIONAL RETAILER

Introduction to Black-Scholes Model

Impact of Macro Economic Factors on Operating Cost Stickiness in the Tehran Stock Exchange

Proposed solution to the exam in STK4060 & STK9060 Spring Eivind Damsleth

Construction of Investment Risk Measure by the Dispersion Degree of Estimation Errors of Working Capital

COINTEGRATION AND CAUSALITY AMONG EXCHANGE RATE, EXPORT, AND IMPORT: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY SEKMEN, Fuat * SARIBAS, Hakan

(c) Suppose X UF (2, 2), with density f(x) = 1/(1 + x) 2 for x 0 and 0 otherwise. Then. 0 (1 + x) 2 dx (5) { 1, if t = 0,

1.2 A CATALOG OF ESSENTIAL FUNCTIONS

Stock Market Behaviour Around Profit Warning Announcements

MODELLING THE US SWAP SPREAD

Transcription:

Key Formulas From Larson/Farber Elemenary Saisics: Picuring he World, Fifh Ediion 01 Prenice Hall CHAPTER Class Widh = Range of daa Number of classes 1round up o nex convenien number 1Lower class limi + 1Upper class limi Midpoin = Class frequency Relaive Frequency = = f Sample size n Populaion Mean: m = gx N Sample Mean: x = gx n Weighed Mean: x = g1x # w gw Mean of a Frequency Disribuion: x = g1x # f n Range = 1Maximum enry - 1Minimum enry g1x - Populaion Variance: s m = N Populaion Sandard Deviaion: g1x - m s = s = C N g1x - Sample Variance: s x = n - 1 g1x - x Sample Sandard Deviaion: s = s = C n - 1 Empirical Rule (or 68-95-99.7 Rule) For daa wih a (symmeric) bell-shaped disribuion: 1. Abou 68% of he daa lies beween m - s and m + s.. Abou 95% of he daa lies beween m - s and m + s. 3. Abou 99.7% of he daa lies beween m - 3s and m + 3s. Chebychev s Theorem The porion of any daa se lying wihin k sandard deviaions 1k 7 1 of he mean is a leas 1-1 k. Sample Sandard Deviaion of a Frequency Disribuion: g1x - x f s = C n - 1 Sandard Score: CHAPTER 3 Classical (or Theoreical) Probabiliy: Number of oucomes in even E P1E = Toal number of oucomes in sample space Empirical (or Saisical) Probabiliy: Frequency of even E P1E = = f Toal frequency n Probabiliy of a Complemen: Probabiliy of occurrence of boh evens A and B: P1A and B = P1A # P1B ƒa P1A and B = P1A # P1B if A and B are independen Probabiliy of occurrence of eiher A or B or boh: P1A or B = P1A + P1B - P1A and B P1A or B = P1A + P1B if A and B are muually exclusive Permuaions of n objecs aken r a a ime: n! np r = where r n 1n - r!, Disinguishable Permuaions: n 1 alike, n alike, Á, alike: n k z = n! n 1! # n! # n! Á n k!, Value - Mean Sandard deviaion = x - m s where n 1 + n + n 3 + Á + n k = n P1E = 1 - P1E Combinaion of n objecs aken r a a ime: n! nc r = 1n - r!r!

Key Formulas From Larson/Farber Elemenary Saisics: Picuring he World, Fifh Ediion 01 Prenice Hall CHAPTER 4 Mean of a Discree Random Variable: m = gxp1x Variance of a Discree Random Variable: Sandard Deviaion of he Sampling Disribuion (Sandard Error): z-score = s x = Value - Mean Sandard Error = x - m x = x - m s x s> 1n s 1n s = g1x - m P1x Sandard Deviaion of a Discree Random Variable: s = s = g1x - m P1x Expeced Value: Binomial Probabiliy of x successes in n rials: P1x = n C x p x q n - x = Populaion Parameers of a Binomial Disribuion: Mean: Sandard Deviaion: Variance: Geomeric Disribuion: The probabiliy ha he firs success will occur on rial number x is P1x = p1q x - 1, where q = 1 - p. Poisson Disribuion: The probabiliy of exacly x occurrences in an inerval is P1x = mx e -m, where x! e L.7188 and m is he mean number of occurences per inerval uni. CHAPTER 5 Sandard Score, or z-score: z = m = np E1x = m = gxp1x n! 1n - x!x! px q n - x s = 1npq Value - Mean Sandard deviaion = x - m s Cenral Limi Theorem ( n Ú 30 or populaion is normally disribued): Mean of he Sampling Disribuion: s = npq Transforming a z-score o an x-value: x = m + zs m x = m CHAPTER 6 c-confidence Inerval for m: x - E 6 m 6 x + E, s where E = z c if s is known and he populaion is 1n s normally disribued or n Ú 30, or E = c if he 1n populaion is normally or approximaely normally disribued, s is unknown, and n 6 30 Minimum Sample Size o Esimae m: Poin Esimae for p, he populaion proporion of successes: c-confidence Inerval for Populaion Proporion p (when np Ú 5 and nq Ú 5: pn - E 6 p 6 pn + E, where pnqn E = z c B n Minimum Sample Size o Esimae p: c-confidence Inerval for Populaion Variance : 1n - 1s 1n - 6 s 1s 6 c-confidence Inerval for Populaion Sandard Deviaion s: C x R 1n - 1s x R pn = x n x L 6 s 6 C 1n - 1s x L n = a z cs E b n = pnqn a z c E b s Variance of he Sampling Disribuion: s x = s n

Key Formulas From Larson/Farber Elemenary Saisics: Picuring he World, Fifh Ediion 01 Prenice Hall CHAPTER 7 z- Tes for a Mean m : z = x - m for s known wih a s> 1n, normal populaion, or for n Ú 30 - Tes for a Mean m : = x - m for s unknown, s> 1n, populaion is normal or nearly normal, and n 6 30. 1d.f. = n - 1 z-tes for a Proporion p (when np Ú 5 and nq Ú 5: z = p n - m p n s p n Chi-Square Tes for a Variance 1n - x 1s = s CHAPTER 8 = p n - p 1pq>n or Sandard Deviaion s: Two-Sample z-tes for he Difference Beween Means (Independen samples; n 1 and n Ú 30 or normally disribued populaions): s 1d.f. = n - 1 z = 1x 1 - x - 1m 1 - m s x1 - x, -Tes for he Difference Beween Means (Dependen samples): = d - m d s d > 1n, where and d.f. = n - 1 Two-Sample z-tes for he Difference Beween Proporions ( n 1 p, n 1 q, n p, and n q mus be a leas 5): z = 1pn 1 - pn - 1p 1 - p, where and q = 1 - p. CHAPTER 9 Correlaion Coefficien: r = -Tes for he Correlaion Coefficien: = B pqa 1 n 1 + 1 n b r 1 - r B n - d = gd n, ngxy - 1gx1gy ngx - 1gx ngy - 1gy (d.f. = n - ) Equaion of a Regression Line: s d = A g 1d - d yn = mx + b, n - 1 p = x 1 + x n 1 + n where s x1 - x = C s 1 n 1 + s n where m = ngxy - 1gx1gy and ngx - 1gx Two-Sample -Tes for he Difference Beween Means (Independen samples from normally disribued populaions, or n 6 30): n 1 = 1x 1 - x - 1m 1 - m s x1 - x If populaion variances are equal, and s x1 - x = C 1n 1-1s 1 + 1n - 1s n 1 + n - If populaion variances are no equal, d.f. is he smaller of n 1-1 or n - 1 and d.f. = n 1 + n - # 1 + 1. B n 1 n s x1 - x = C s 1 n 1 + s n. b = y - mx = gy n - m gx n Coefficien of Deerminaion: r Explained variaion = Toal variaion Sandard Error of Esimae: c-predicion Inerval for y: yn - E 6 y 6 yn + E, where E = c s e C 1 + 1 n + n1x 0 - x ngx - 1gx = g1yn i - y g1y i - y s e = C g1y i - yn i n - 1d.f. = n -

Key Formulas From Larson/Farber Elemenary Saisics: Picuring he World, Fifh Ediion 01 Prenice Hall CHAPTER 10 Chi-Square: x = g 1O - E E Goodness-of-Fi Tes: d.f. = k - 1 Tes Saisic for he Kruskal-Wallis Tes: Given hree or more independen samples, he es saisic for he Kruskal-Wallis es is H = 1 N1N + 1 a R 1 + R + Á + R k b n 1 n n k Tes of Independence: - 31N + 1. 1d.f. = k - 1 d.f. = 1no. of rows - 11no. of columns - 1 Spearman Rank Correlaion Coefficien: Two-Sample Tes for Variances: F = s 1 F-, where s r s = 1-6gd n1n - 1 s 1 Ú s, d.f. N = n 1-1, and d.f. D = n - 1 One-Way Analysis of Variance Tes: F = MS B, where MS B = MS W and MS W = SS W N - k = g1n i - 1s N - k ( d.f. N = k - 1, d.f. D = N - k) CHAPTER 11 Tes Saisic for Sign Tes: SS B k - 1 = gn iax i - xb k - 1 i Tes Saisic for he Runs Tes: When n 1 0 and n 0, he es saisic is G, he number of runs. When n 1 7 0 or n 7 0, he es saisic is z = G - m G, where G = number of runs, s G m G = n 1n n 1 + n + 1, and s G = B n 1 n 1n 1 n - n 1 - n 1n 1 + n 1n 1 + n - 1. When n 5, he es saisic is he smaller number of + or - signs. 1x + 0.5-0.5n When n 7 5, z =, where x is he n smaller number of + or - signs and n is he oal number of + and - signs. Tes Saisic for Wilcoxon Rank Sum Tes: z = R - m R, where R = s R sum of he ranks for he smaller sample, m R = n 11n 1 + n + 1, n 1 n 1n 1 + n + 1 s R =, and n 1 n B 1

Table 4 Sandard Normal Disribuion Area z 0 z z.09.08.07.06.05.04.03.0.01.00 3.4.000.0003.0003.0003.0003.0003.0003.0003.0003.0003 3.3.0003.0004.0004.0004.0004.0004.0004.0005.0005.0005 3..0005.0005.0005.0006.0006.0006.0006.0006.0007.0007 3.1.0007.0007.0008.0008.0008.0008.0009.0009.0009.0010 3.0.0010.0010.0011.0011.0011.001.001.0013.0013.0013.9.0014.0014.0015.0015.0016.0016.0017.0018.0018.0019.8.0019.000.001.001.00.003.003.004.005.006.7.006.007.008.009.0030.0031.003.0033.0034.0035.6.0036.0037.0038.0039.0040.0041.0043.0044.0045.0047.5.0048.0049.0051.005.0054.0055.0057.0059.0060.006.4.0064.0066.0068.0069.0071.0073.0075.0078.0080.008.3.0084.0087.0089.0091.0094.0096.0099.010.0104.0107..0110.0113.0116.0119.01.015.019.013.0136.0139.1.0143.0146.0150.0154.0158.016.0166.0170.0174.0179.0.0183.0188.019.0197.00.007.01.017.0.08 1.9.033.039.044.050.056.06.068.074.081.087 1.8.094.0301.0307.0314.03.039.0336.0344.0351.0359 1.7.0367.0375.0384.039.0401.0409.0418.047.0436.0446 1.6.0455.0465.0475.0485.0495.0505.0516.056.0537.0548 1.5.0559.0571.058.0594.0606.0618.0630.0643.0655.0668 1.4.0681.0694.0708.071.0735.0749.0764.0778.0793.0808 1.3.083.0838.0853.0869.0885.0901.0918.0934.0951.0968 1..0985.1003.100.1038.1056.1075.1093.111.1131.1151 1.1.1170.1190.110.130.151.171.19.1314.1335.1357 1.0.1379.1401.143.1446.1469.149.1515.1539.156.1587 0.9.1611.1635.1660.1685.1711.1736.176.1788.1814.1841 0.8.1867.1894.19.1949.1977.005.033.061.090.119 0.7.148.177.06.36.66.96.37.358.389.40 0.6.451.483.514.546.578.611.643.676.709.743 0.5.776.810.843.877.91.946.981.3015.3050.3085 0.4.311.3156.319.38.364.3300.3336.337.3409.3446 0.3.3483.350.3557.3594.363.3669.3707.3745.3783.381 0..3859.3897.3936.3974.4013.405.4090.419.4168.407 0.1.447.486.435.4364.4404.4443.4483.45.456.460 0.0.4641.4681.471.4761.4801.4840.4880.490.4960.5000 Criical Values Level of Confidence c z c 0.80 1.8 0.90 1.645 0.95 1.96 0.99.575 z c z = 0 c z c z

Table 4 Sandard Normal Disribuion (coninued) Area 0 z z z.00.01.0.03.04.05.06.07.08.09 0.0.5000.5040.5080.510.5160.5199.539.579.5319.5359 0.1.5398.5438.5478.5517.5557.5596.5636.5675.5714.5753 0..5793.583.5871.5910.5948.5987.606.6064.6103.6141 0.3.6179.617.655.693.6331.6368.6406.6443.6480.6517 0.4.6554.6591.668.6664.6700.6736.677.6808.6844.6879 0.5.6915.6950.6985.7019.7054.7088.713.7157.7190.74 0.6.757.791.734.7357.7389.74.7454.7486.7517.7549 0.7.7580.7611.764.7673.7704.7734.7764.7794.783.785 0.8.7881.7910.7939.7967.7995.803.8051.8078.8106.8133 0.9.8159.8186.81.838.864.889.8315.8340.8365.8389 1.0.8413.8438.8461.8485.8508.8531.8554.8577.8599.861 1.1.8643.8665.8686.8708.879.8749.8770.8790.8810.8830 1..8849.8869.8888.8907.895.8944.896.8980.8997.9015 1.3.903.9049.9066.908.9099.9115.9131.9147.916.9177 1.4.919.907.9.936.951.965.979.99.9306.9319 1.5.933.9345.9357.9370.938.9394.9406.9418.949.9441 1.6.945.9463.9474.9484.9495.9505.9515.955.9535.9545 1.7.9554.9564.9573.958.9591.9599.9608.9616.965.9633 1.8.9641.9649.9656.9664.9671.9678.9686.9693.9699.9706 1.9.9713.9719.976.973.9738.9744.9750.9756.9761.9767.0.977.9778.9783.9788.9793.9798.9803.9808.981.9817.1.981.986.9830.9834.9838.984.9846.9850.9854.9857..9861.9864.9868.9871.9875.9878.9881.9884.9887.9890.3.9893.9896.9898.9901.9904.9906.9909.9911.9913.9916.4.9918.990.99.995.997.999.9931.993.9934.9936.5.9938.9940.9941.9943.9945.9946.9948.9949.9951.995.6.9953.9955.9956.9957.9959.9960.9961.996.9963.9964.7.9965.9966.9967.9968.9969.9970.9971.997.9973.9974.8.9974.9975.9976.9977.9977.9978.9979.9979.9980.9981.9.9981.998.998.9983.9984.9984.9985.9985.9986.9986 3.0.9987.9987.9987.9988.9988.9989.9989.9989.9990.9990 3.1.9990.9991.9991.9991.999.999.999.999.9993.9993 3..9993.9993.9994.9994.9994.9994.9994.9995.9995.9995 3.3.9995.9995.9995.9996.9996.9996.9996.9996.9996.9997 3.4.9997.9997.9997.9997.9997.9997.9997.9997.9997.9998

Table 5 -Disribuion c-confidence inerval Lef-ailed es Righ-ailed es Two-ailed es 1 1 Level of confidence, c 0.50 0.80 0.90 0.95 0.98 0.99 One ail, A 0.5 0.10 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.005 d.f. Two ails, A 0.50 0.0 0.10 0.05 0.0 0.01 1 1.000 3.078 6.314 1.706 31.81 63.657.816 1.886.90 4.303 6.965 9.95 3.765 1.638.353 3.18 4.541 5.841 4.741 1.533.13.776 3.747 4.604 5.77 1.476.015.571 3.365 4.03 6.718 1.440 1.943.447 3.143 3.707 7.711 1.415 1.895.365.998 3.499 8.706 1.397 1.860.306.896 3.355 9.703 1.383 1.833.6.81 3.50 10.700 1.37 1.81.8.764 3.169 11.697 1.363 1.796.01.718 3.106 1.695 1.356 1.78.179.681 3.055 13.694 1.350 1.771.160.650 3.01 14.69 1.345 1.761.145.64.977 15.691 1.341 1.753.131.60.947 16.690 1.337 1.746.10.583.91 17.689 1.333 1.740.110.567.898 18.688 1.330 1.734.101.55.878 19.688 1.38 1.79.093.539.861 0.687 1.35 1.75.086.58.845 1.686 1.33 1.71.080.518.831.686 1.31 1.717.074.508.819 3.685 1.319 1.714.069.500.807 4.685 1.318 1.711.064.49.797 5.684 1.316 1.708.060.485.787 6.684 1.315 1.706.056.479.779 7.684 1.314 1.703.05.473.771 8.683 1.313 1.701.048.467.763 9.683 1.311 1.699.045.46.756 q.674 1.8 1.645 1.960.36.576

Table 6 Chi-Square Disribuion 1 1 χ χ χ L χ R χ Righ ail Two ails Degrees of A freedom 0.995 0.99 0.975 0.95 0.90 0.10 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.005 1 0.001 0.004 0.016.706 3.841 5.04 6.635 7.879 0.010 0.00 0.051 0.103 0.11 4.605 5.991 7.378 9.10 10.597 3 0.07 0.115 0.16 0.35 0.584 6.51 7.815 9.348 11.345 1.838 4 0.07 0.97 0.484 0.711 1.064 7.779 9.488 11.143 13.77 14.860 5 0.41 0.554 0.831 1.145 1.610 9.36 11.071 1.833 15.086 16.750 6 0.676 0.87 1.37 1.635.04 10.645 1.59 14.449 16.81 18.548 7 0.989 1.39 1.690.167.833 1.017 14.067 16.013 18.475 0.78 8 1.344 1.646.180.733 3.490 13.36 15.507 17.535 0.090 1.955 9 1.735.088.700 3.35 4.168 14.684 16.919 19.03 1.666 3.589 10.156.558 3.47 3.940 4.865 15.987 18.307 0.483 3.09 5.188 11.603 3.053 3.816 4.575 5.578 17.75 19.675 1.90 4.75 6.757 1 3.074 3.571 4.404 5.6 6.304 18.549 1.06 3.337 6.17 8.99 13 3.565 4.107 5.009 5.89 7.04 19.81.36 4.736 7.688 9.819 14 4.075 4.660 5.69 6.571 7.790 1.064 3.685 6.119 9.141 31.319 15 4.601 5.9 6.6 7.61 8.547.307 4.996 7.488 30.578 3.801 16 5.14 5.81 6.908 7.96 9.31 3.54 6.96 8.845 3.000 34.67 17 5.697 6.408 7.564 8.67 10.085 4.769 7.587 30.191 33.409 35.718 18 6.65 7.015 8.31 9.390 10.865 5.989 8.869 31.56 34.805 37.156 19 6.844 7.633 8.907 10.117 11.651 7.04 30.144 3.85 36.191 38.58 0 7.434 8.60 9.591 10.851 1.443 8.41 31.410 34.170 37.566 39.997 1 8.034 8.897 10.83 11.591 13.40 9.615 3.671 35.479 38.93 41.401 8.643 9.54 10.98 1.338 14.04 30.813 33.94 36.781 40.89 4.796 3 9.60 10.196 11.689 13.091 14.848 3.007 35.17 38.076 41.638 44.181 4 9.886 10.856 1.401 13.848 15.659 33.196 36.415 39.364 4.980 45.559 5 10.50 11.54 13.10 14.611 16.473 34.38 37.65 40.646 44.314 46.98 6 11.160 1.198 13.844 15.379 17.9 35.563 38.885 41.93 45.64 48.90 7 11.808 1.879 14.573 16.151 18.114 36.741 40.113 43.194 46.963 49.645 8 1.461 13.565 15.308 16.98 18.939 37.916 41.337 44.461 48.78 50.993 9 13.11 14.57 16.047 17.708 19.768 39.087 4.557 45.7 49.588 5.336 30 13.787 14.954 16.791 18.493 0.599 40.56 43.773 46.979 50.89 53.67 40 0.707.164 4.433 6.509 9.051 51.805 55.758 59.34 63.691 66.766 50 7.991 9.707 3.357 34.764 37.689 63.167 67.505 71.40 76.154 79.490 60 35.534 37.485 40.48 43.188 46.459 74.397 79.08 83.98 88.379 91.95 70 43.75 45.44 48.758 51.739 55.39 85.57 90.531 95.03 100.45 104.15 80 51.17 53.540 57.153 60.391 64.78 96.578 101.879 106.69 11.39 116.31 90 59.196 61.754 65.647 69.16 73.91 107.565 113.145 118.136 14.116 18.99 100 67.38 70.065 74. 77.99 8.358 118.498 14.34 19.561 135.807 140.169

Apple Correlaion Apple Concep Illusraed Descripor Random numbers This apple simulaes selecing a random sample from a populaion by firs assigning a unique ineger o each experimenal uni and hen using he random numbers generaed o deermine he experimenal unis ha will be included in he sample. This apple generaes random numbers from a range of inegers specified by he user. Apple Aciviy 1.3 Mean versus median The mean and he median of a daa se respond differenly o changes in he daa. This apple invesigaes how skewedness and ouliers affec measures of cenral endency. This apple allows he user o visualize he relaionship beween he mean and median of a daa se. The user may easily add and delee daa poins. The apple auomaically updaes he mean and median for each change in he daa..3 Sandard deviaion Sandard deviaion measures he spread of a daa se. Use his apple o invesigae how he shape and spread of a disribuion affec he sandard deviaion. This apple allows he user o visualize he relaionship beween he mean and sandard deviaion of a daa se. The user may easily add and delee daa poins. The apple auomaically updaes he mean and sandard deviaion for each change in he daa..4 Simulaing he sock marke Theoreical probabiliies are long run experimenal probabiliies. This apple simulaes flucuaion in he sock marke, where on any given day going up is equally likely as going down. The user specifies he number of days and he apple repors wheher he sock marke goes up or down each day and creaes a bar graph for he oucomes. I also calculaes and plos he proporion of days ha he sock marke goes up during he simulaion. 3.1 Simulaing he probabiliy of rolling a 3 or 4 Theoreical probabiliies are long run experimenal probabiliies. Use his apple o invesigae he relaionship beween he heoreical and experimenal probabiliies of rolling a 3 or a 4 as he number of imes he die is rolled increases. This apple simulaes rolling a fair die. The user specifies he number of rolls and he apple repors he oucome of each roll and creaes a frequency hisogram for he oucomes. I also calculaes and plos he proporion of 3s and 4s rolled during he simulaion. 3.3 Binomial disribuion As he number of samples increases, he esimaed probabiliy ges closer o he rue value. This apple simulaes values from a binomial disribuion. The user specifies he parameers for he binomial disribuion (n and p) and he number of values o be simulaed (N). The apple plos N values from he specified binomial disribuion in a bar graph and repors he frequency of each oucome. 4. Sampling disribuions The mean and sandard deviaion of he disribuion of sample means are unbiased esimaors of he mean and sandard deviaion of he populaion disribuion. This apple compares he means and sandard deviaions of he disribuions and assesses he effec of sample size. This apple simulaes repeaedly choosing samples of a fixed size n from a populaion. The user specifies he size of he sample, he number of samples o be chosen, and he shape of he populaion disribuion. The apple repors he means, medians, and sandard deviaions of boh he sample means and he sample medians and creaes plos for boh. 5.4 (coninued on nex page)

Apple Concep Illusraed Descripor Confidence inervals for a mean (he impac of no knowing he sandard deviaion) Confidence inervals obained using he sample sandard deviaion are differen from hose obained using he populaion sandard deviaion. This apple invesigaes he effec of no knowing he populaion sandard deviaion. This apple generaes confidence inervals for a populaion mean. The user specifies he sample size, he shape of he disribuion, he populaion mean, and he populaion sandard deviaion. The apple simulaes selecing 100 random samples from he populaion and finds he 95% z-inerval and 95% -inerval for each sample. The confidence inervals are ploed and he number and proporion conaining he rue mean are repored. Apple Aciviy 6. Confidence inervals for a proporion No all confidence inervals conain he populaion mean. This apple invesigaes he meaning of 95% and 99% confidence. This apple generaes confidence inervals for a populaion proporion. The user specifies he populaion proporion and he sample size. The apple simulaes selecing 100 random samples from he populaion and finds he 95% and 99% confidence inervals for each sample. The confidence inervals are ploed and he number and proporion conaining he rue proporion are repored. 6.3 Hypohesis ess for a mean No all ess of hypoheses lead correcly o eiher rejecing or failing o rejec he null hypohesis. This apple invesigaes he relaionship beween he level of confidence and he probabiliies of making Type I and Type II errors. This apple performs hypoheses ess for a populaion mean. The user specifies he shape of he populaion disribuion, he populaion mean and sandard deviaion, he sample size, and he null and alernaive hypoheses. The apple simulaes selecing 100 random samples from he populaion and calculaes and plos he saisic and P-value for each sample. The apple repors he number and proporion of imes he null hypohesis is rejeced a boh he 0.05 level and he 0.01 level. 7. Hypohesis ess for a proporion No all ess of hypoheses lead correcly o eiher rejecing or failing o rejec he null hypohesis. This apple invesigaes he relaionship beween he level of confidence and he probabiliies of making Type I and Type II errors. This apple performs hypoheses ess for a populaion proporion. The user specifies he populaion proporion, he sample size, and he null and alernaive hypoheses. The apple simulaes selecing 100 random samples from he populaion and calculaes and plos he z saisic and P-value for each sample. The apple repors he number and proporion of imes he null hypohesis is rejeced a boh he 0.05 level and he 0.01 level. 7.4 Correlaion by eye The correlaion coefficien measures he srengh of a linear relaionship beween wo variables. This apple eaches he user how o assess he srengh of a linear relaionship from a scaer plo. This apple compues he correlaion coefficien r for a se of bivariae daa ploed on a scaer plo. The user can easily add or delee poins and guess he value of r. The apple hen compares he guess o is calculaed value. 9.1 Regression by eye The leas squares regression line has a smaller SSE han any oher line ha migh approximae a se of bivariae daa. This apple eaches he user how o approximae he locaion of a regression line on a scaer plo. This apple compues he leas squares regression line for a se of bivariae daa ploed on a scaer plo. The user can easily add or delee poins and guess he locaion of he regression line by manipulaing a line provided on he scaer plo. The apple will hen plo he leas squares line. I displays he equaions and he SSEs for boh lines. 9.