Investor Presentation. October 2016

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Transcription:

Investor Presentation October 2016

Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements may be preceded by, followed by or include the words believes, expects, anticipates, intends, plans, estimates or similar expressions. These statements are based on the beliefs and assumptions of our management. Generally, forward-looking statements include information concerning our possible or assumed future actions, events or results of operations. Forward looking statements specifically include, without limitation, the information in this presentation regarding: projections; efficiencies/cost avoidance; cost savings; forward loss reserves; income and margins; earnings per share; growth; economies of scale; the economy; capital expenditures; future financing needs; future acquisitions and dispositions; litigation; potential and contingent liabilities; management s plans; and integration related expenses. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, these forward-looking statements are subject to numerous factors, risks and uncertainties that could cause actual outcomes and results to be materially different from those projected. We cannot guarantee future results, performance or achievements. Moreover, neither we nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forward-looking statements. All written and oral forward-looking statements made in connection with this presentation that are attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by Risk Factors and other cautionary statements included herein. The information in this presentation is not a complete description of our business or the risks. There can be no assurance that other factors will not affect the accuracy of these forward-looking statements or that our actual results will not differ materially from the results anticipated in such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those estimated by us include, but are not limited to, those factors or conditions described under Risk Factors in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015 and the following: our ability to manage and otherwise comply with our covenants with respect to our outstanding indebtedness; our ability to service our indebtedness; the cyclicality of our end-use markets and the level of new commercial and military aircraft orders; industry and customer concentration; production rates for various commercial and military aircraft programs; the level of U.S. Government defense spending, including the impact of sequestration; compliance with applicable regulatory requirements and changes in regulatory requirements, including regulatory requirements applicable to government contracts and sub-contracts; further consolidation of customers and suppliers in our markets; product performance and delivery; start-up costs, manufacturing inefficiencies and possible overruns on contracts; increased design, product development, manufacturing, supply chain and other risks and uncertainties associated with our growth strategy to become a Tier 2 supplier of higher-level assemblies; our ability to manage the risks associated with international operations and sales; possible additional goodwill and other asset impairments; economic and geopolitical developments and conditions; unfavorable developments in the global credit markets; our ability to operate within highly competitive markets; technology changes and evolving industry and regulatory standards; the risk of environmental liabilities; and litigation with respect to us. We caution the reader that undue reliance should not be placed on any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. We do not undertake any duty or responsibility to update any of these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation or to reflect actual outcomes. This presentation includes certain non-gaap financial measures, such as EBITDA and free cash flow. Tables reconciling such non-gaap financial measures are available in this presentation. 2

Company Snapshot Ducommun manufactures complex electronic and structural systems and components, primarily for the aerospace and defense markets Strategically positioned on key commercial aerospace platforms, including Boeing 737, 787, 777 and Airbus A320, A330 and A350 Commercial aerospace industry backlog and build rates are at record levels Defense spending in strategic areas, including missile defense, is stabilizing Sharpened business strategy and streamlined organization 2,700 employees 3

Investment Highlights Defendable Niche High barriers to entry Unique, sought-after range of capabilities Established relationships with blue-chip industry leaders Strategically positioned on key commercial aerospace and defense platforms Improving Financials Strong cash flow to reduce debt and fund long-term growth Streamlined operations to improve financial performance Process improvements and supply chain initiative to drive improved margins Sharpened Business Strategy Transformation into higher margin innovative solutions Strategic plan to drive growth and expand shareholder value Exit of non-core operations to focus on key customers and markets Expanded organizational development activities 4

Our Path to Renewed Growth and Increased Shareholder Value Recent Accomplishments Strategic wins to support sales in 2017 and beyond Exited weak energy markets and lowcomplexity industrial products Divested, closed or consolidated certain sites Streamlined organizational structure for greater line-of-sight accountability Reduced headcount Implemented supply chain savings initiative Successfully refinanced debt 2016 Path to Improved Performance Sharpened business strategy Increased focus on high-growth areas: commercial aerospace electronics, aircraft engines, titanium, and composite technologies Transformation into higher margin innovative solutions Continued cost reductions Further debt reductions through strong cash flow Expanded organizational development activities to strengthen the team 5

Two Business Segments Revenues LTM Q2 2016 Revenues $543.2 million (1) Structural Systems (42% of LTM Q2 2016 Revenues) 24% 12% 76% 42% 46% Electronic Systems (58% of LTM Q2 2016 Revenues 1 ) 22% Military and Space Commercial Aerospace Industrial 21% 57% (1) Excludes revenue of $22.6 million related to the sale of Pittsburgh, $22.6 million related to the sale of Miltec, and $5.4 million related to the closure of Houston 6

Backlog Supports Focus on Aerospace and Defense Strategy Total Backlog at July 2, 2016 $537.2 million Structural Systems (47% of Total Backlog) 24% 5% 76% 45% 50% Electronic Systems (53% of Total Backlog) Military and Space Commercial Aerospace Industrial 17% 10% 73% 7

We Go to Market as One Company with Broad Capabilities Each SBU is built on a unique set of competencies Electronic Systems Strategic Business Units Structural Systems Circuit Board Solutions Electronic Integrated Solutions Interconnect Solutions Bonded Component Solutions Structural Assembly Solutions Structural Systems Solutions Low-to-medium volume High mix High rate of change Box-level electronic, electromechanical and mechanical assembly RF and HMI products Cables and wiring harnesses Hightemperature, pressure, flexibility, and frequency Composite materials Spoilers, winglets, tail cones, rotor blades Titanium forming Engine ducts, pylons, firewalls, exhaust ducts, nacelles Metal forming and chemical milling Skins, leading edges, stabilizers, cargo doors 8

Significant Content on Commercial and Military Fixed Wing Aircraft Electronics 2 1 3 12 4 6 8 14 5 15 7 13 11 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Avionics systems Cockpit controls, lighted panels and switches Radar assemblies Fuel management systems Brake systems Engine and nacelle electronics Flight surface control systems Communication and countermeasure systems Structures 10 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Ailerons, spoilers, winglets and other flight control surfaces Tail cones Fuselage skins Passenger and cargo doors Window surrounds Engine ducts Exhaust ducts and nozzles 9

Significant Content on Commercial and Military Rotary Aircraft Electronics 8 1 2 5 4 11 6 7 10 9 10 3 8 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Cockpit controls, lighted panels and switches Communication systems Fuel management systems Sensor suites Avionics systems Radar systems De-icing systems Structures 8 9 10 11 Rotor blades and blade abrasion strips Engine ducts, nozzles and heat shields Door surrounds and bulkheads Window surrounds 10

Diverse Content on Key Missile Platforms Land, Sea and Air 1 4 5 6 9 1 2 5 1 3 5 8 9 Electronics 2 1 7 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Target acquisition systems Launch systems Command and control systems Range safety antennas Guidance systems Navigation systems Warhead electronics Umbilical container cables Automated test systems 11

Macro Trends Historical Defense Spending (1) DoD Budget Authority ($bn) 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 Post-Korea Peak-Trough (43%) 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 Post-Vietnam Peak-Trough (33%) 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Post-Cold War Peak-Trough (36%) 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Current Peak-Trough (29%) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Total Active Military Troops (In Thousands) Commercial Aircraft Build Rates # of Aircraft Air Transport Aircraft Backlogs 12 12 No of Aircraft 2,000 1,600 1,200 800 400 0 434 453 483 398 443 375 2006 2007 2008 498 510 534 481 462 477 2009 2010 2011 588 626 601 648 723 762 740 800 860 880 830 2012 2013 Airbus Deliveries Boeing Deliveries Boeing & Airbus Deliveries % of World Aircraft Fleet Sources: Airline Monitor Report, AeroDynamic Research, Boeing and Airbus 629 2014 635 650 (1) Department of Defense Comptroller, National Defense Budget Estimates for FY16 2015 2016E 760 2017E 840 2018E 880 2019E 840 2020E 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 (%) Airbus and Boeing have record backlogs, approaching 8 years even at increased production rates A320ceo/ neo A350 A330ceo/ neo A380 737NG/MAX 787 777X 777-300ER/F 767 747-8 6 years 5 years 5 years 5 years 4 years 2.5 years 3 years 2 years 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Units in Firm Backlog Airbus Boeing 7 years 8 years

Where Our Growth Will Come From % of LTM Q2 2016 Revenue % of Backlog at 7/2/16 Key Platforms Growth Outlook Commentary Commercial Aerospace 46% 45% Boeing 737 and 737 MAX Boeing 787 Dreamliner Airbus A320/A330/A350 Rolls-Royce Engines 4-6% Aircraft and engine OEM build rates and shipset gains support growth through the medium-term. Military and Space 42% 50% Black Hawk Helicopter Trident Missile System Tomahawk Missile SM-3 Missile 0-2% Proposed two-year DoD budget supports continued strong funding of missile defense systems with some offset in fixed and rotary wing platforms. Growth tempered by current budget. Industrial 12% 5% High-end industrial and medical products 0-1% Continued strong relationships with existing strategic customers on a more focused customer base. Growth tempered by medium-term industrial outlook. 13

Our Customers Want Fewer, More Sophisticated Supplier-Partners One-Ducommun Approach Electronics Circuit boards Interconnects Integrated systems Titanium assemblies Composite technologies Integrated systems Structures Target Growth Markets: Commercial Aerospace Aircraft Engines Missile Defense/Military 14

Why We Win Innovative, value-added solutions for tough technical challenges (e.g., temperature, weight, vibration, pressure) Diverse product capabilities Agile, flexible and adaptable Consistently exceptional customer experience low-risk partner Electronics and structural integration capabilities for increased technology content Engineering design and rapid prototyping services support innovative outcomes Ease of doing business common processes across Ducommun 15

Strong Free Cash Flow Is Driving Deleveraging $250 $200 $198.3 (1) $150 $143.3 $100 $100.6 $98.3 $109.1 $113.6 $50 $31.7 $22.6 $65.3 $55.6 $0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q2 YTD Cumulative free cash flow Cumulative debt pay down 16 (1) Cumulative debt pay down includes net proceeds of $55 million from divestitures

Why to Invest in Ducommun Defendable niche high barriers to entry Unique range of capabilities are in demand Long-term relationships with broad base of blue-chip customers Well-positioned in large, growing A&D markets Strategically positioned on key platforms Transformation into higher margin innovative solutions Consistently strong cash flows to reduce debt and fund long-term growth 17

18 Appendix

Key Facts Ducommun Incorporated Exchange/Ticker NYSE: DCO Share price (1) $22.84 52-week high/low (1) $24.86/$12.28 Diluted shares outstanding (2) 11.3 million Market cap (1) $255.1 million Cash (2) $9.2 million Net debt outstanding (2) $180.8 million Enterprise value $400.2 million LTM pro forma revenue (2)(3) $543.2 million LTM adjusted EBITDA (2)(4) $47.5 million (1) As of 9/30/16 (2) As of 7/2/16 (3) Excludes revenue of $22.6 million related to the sale of Pittsburgh, $22.6 million related to the sale of Miltec, and $5.4 million related to the closure of Houston (4) See detailed calculation on page 20 19

Consolidated EBITDA for LTM Q2 2016 (dollars in thousands) Net income (loss) $ (55,680) Gain on divestitures (18,815) Depreciation and amortization 24,749 Goodwill and intangible asset impairment 90,180 Interest expense, net 9,936 Income tax provision (24,897) Stock-based compensation 3,019 Loss on extinguishment of debt 11,878 Other (1) 7,144 Consolidated EBITDA $ 47,514 (1) Includes interest for the legacy LaBarge retirement plans and nonrecurring expenses. 20