Investor Conference Call FY March 2018»

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Transcription:

Investor Conference Call FY 22 March 2018» Thomas Kusterer, Chief Financial Officer Ingo Peter Voigt, Head of Finance, M&A and Investor Relations

Earnings turnaround achieved in Adjusted EBITDA in bn turnaround 2,500 2.40 2.40 2.23 2.17 2.11 2.11 0% to +5% 0% to +5%* 2,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 1.94 2018 2019 2020 2 * Referred to forecast 2018 Operating performance Efficiency measures Financial discipline

Sales Operating increase above expectations Adjusted EBITDA in m Sales volume Electricity in TWh Gas in TWh 250 +32% 330 B2B B2C 43.2 38.8 15.0 15.0 28.2-10% 23.7 B2B B2C 52.3 10.8 41.5 +9% 57.0 14.4 42.6 + + Positive effects from exiting the unprofitable EnBW and Watt B2B commodity business in Reduced ramp-up costs for billing service for other sales and grid operators 3

Grids Increase as expected Adjusted EBITDA in m Transmission volume Electricity in TWh Gas in TWh 1,004 1,046 64.5 64.4 33.0 33.1 +4% 0% 0% + - Positive effects due to first-time consolidation of VNG Lower earnings from use of distribution grids 4

Renewable Energies Increase mainly driven by higher wind yields Adjusted EBITDA in m 295 +12% 332 Generation volume in TWh 1 6.9 +3% 7.1 Renewables generation mix in TWh Other 15% Onshore 8% 17% Offshore + + - - 60% Run-of-river Higher wind yields compared to previous year, notably at offshore wind farms Further onshore wind farms commissioned (+204 MW) Reduced water levels at our run-of-river power plants Electricity from run-of-river power plants sold on forward market at lower wholesale market prices 5 1 Includes long-term procurement agreements and generation from partly owned power stations; the figures indicated are taken from the segments; segment excludes generation from pump storage plants that is associated in the generation and trading segment. Divergence from 100 percent possible due to rounding effects.

Generation and Trading Earnings increase mainly due to consolidation effects Adjusted EBITDA in m 337 377 Generation volume in TWh 1 45.6 42.7 Conventional generation mix in TWh Other 13% +12% -6% Lignite 14% 42% Nuclear + + - - Positive effects due to first-time consolidation of VNG Positive effects from elimination of nuclear fuel tax Shutdown of KKP 2 nuclear power plant Delivered electricity sold on forward market at lower wholesale market prices 31% Hard coal 6 1 Includes long-term procurement agreements and generation from partly owned power stations; the figures indicated are taken from the segments. Segment includes pump storage plants. Divergence from 100 percent possible due to rounding effects.

FFO: Significant increase Mainly driven by the nuclear fuel tax refund EBITDA in m FFO in m Retained CF II 1 in m 3,752 Provisions -472 3,135 Taxes +81 731 Non-cash items -386 Net interest/ dividends received Contribution to dedicated financial assets +166-6 1,530 950 7 1 Retained CF corrected for effects of the nuclear fuel tax refund

Decrease in net debt mainly due to nuclear fuel tax refund In m -16% 10,046-3,216 264 1,301 500-436 8,460 8 Net debt 31.12. 1 FFO 1 The figure for the previous year has been restated 2 Netted of for KFK effects 2 2 Working capital Investments, acquisitions and divestments 50% refund hybrid bond Others 2 Net debt 31.12.

Asset Liability Management Model EnBW nuclear and pension provisions still covered EnBW s CF-based model in m 16,000 16.000 12,000 12.000 Provisions 100% Coverage projected 2030 Asset contribution OCF contribution 8,000 8.000 Financial assets Max. 300 m 1 impact on OCF 4,000 4.000 2040 800 600 400 200 0 NO impact on OCF 2023 2029 2035 2041 9 1 Adjusted for inflation

Relevance of strategic performance drivers remains Operating performance increased in all segments Accelerated ramp up of efficiency measures Financial strength improved 1.30 1.40 1.9 2.1 +9% Adjusted EBITA 1.05 0.30 0.75 in bn 0.55 0.75 2019 additional 112 % 72 % +55% Internal financing capability in bn FOKUS Retained Cash Flow minus Net investments >0 10

Strong group profit and EPS driven by operating performance and nuclear fuel tax refund Group net profit/loss 1-1.8 bn 2.1 bn Net debt of the EnBW Group 10.0 bn 8.5 bn Earnings per share 1-6.64 7.58 Dividend proposal in /share Equity ratio 8.3 % 15.1 % 0.50 11 1 Profit/loss attributable to shareholders of EnBW AG

12 Outlook

Outlook operating performance 2018 Group Sales Grids Renewable Energies Generation and Trading Adj. EBITDA in m Forecast 2018 in % 2,113 0 to +5 330 1,046 332 377-5 to -15 +5 to +15 +10 to +20 0 to -10 13

Portfolio transition shows substantial progress, in line with EnBW s 2020 strategy Adjusted EBITDA 1 in bn Share of low-risk earnings 10% 15-20% 15-20% 15% 14 48% 2012 2.4 Renewable Energies 10% 33% Grids Sales 1 Divergence from 100% possible due to rounding effects 2 Forecast 10-15% Generation &Trading 2018 2 2.1 2.2 50-55% 15% 2020 2.4 40% 30% Realistic earnings target 2020 Expansion of onshore wind from 540 MW to 1,000 MW In 2019 commissioning of 609 MW offshore wind farms Hohe See and Albatros Continuous investments in distribution and transmission grids Efficiency measures of 1.4 bn will be achieved in 2019 already

Wind offshore: EnBW goes international Formosa 3 three project sites with a total capacity of approx. 2,000 MW, acquisition of 37.5% stake Joint venture contains the strengths of EnBW, Macquarie Capital and Swancor Formosa 3 project sites (approx. 2 GW) Taipei City Fixed 20-year PPA with a feed-in tariff higher than European benchmarks Favourable sites with good wind energy potential and lower water depth Next steps: EU merger control clearance, secure grid capacity, start tendering process Potential offshore wind farms Taiwan 15

We have defined specific growth targets beyond 2020, with a clear set of priorities Development of earnings Adjusted EBITDA in bn > 3.0 1 Sustainable power infrastructure Expansion of onshore and offshore wind to > 3,500 MW by 2025 Selective international business activities 2.4 CO 2 -reduced generation (e.g. midstream gas, fuel switch) Generation & Trading Renewable Energies 2 System-critical infrastructure Expansion of the distribution and electricity transmission grid Grids Sales 2020 2025 3 Growth of network-related services New areas of system-critical infrastructure (e.g. public security) Intelligent infrastructure for the customer Cost reduction and digitization of B2C sales as well as transformation to customer infrastructure business New infrastructure-related business areas beyond energy (e.g. mobility infrastructure) 16

17 Questions & Answers

18 Appendix Additional information Page 19 Service information Page 27

Non-operating result In m Variance in % Income/expenses relating to nuclear power 1,278.2-860.6 - Income from the release of other provisions 25.7 18.9 36.0 Result from disposals 317.8 28.4 - Release of/addition to the provisions for onerous contracts relating to electricity procurement agreements 59.2-198.1 - Income from reversals of impairment losses 93.1 5.9 - Restructuring -70.0-110.4 36.6 Other non-operating result -64.6-92.3 30.0 Non-operating EBITDA 1,639.4-1,208.2 - Impairment losses -134.2-1,479.2 - Non-operating EBIT 1,505.2-2,687.4-19

Calculation of net debt In m -6,233 7,150-996 11,774 8,460 Financial debt and others 50% equity credit -3,236 Oerating cash & cash equvalents 2,918 Net financial Liabilities Pension and nuclear power provisions (net) Dedicated financial assets Net debt 20

Working capital effects In m 4,407 84 58 27 95 4,671 KFK-Payment 1 Trade receivables/payables Derivatives Inventories Others Change in WC 1 Less a contractual partner's share of nuclear decomissioning obligations assumed in connection with electricity deliveries 21

Income statement In m Variance in % Revenue 21,974.0 19,368.4 13.5 Changes in inventories/other own work capitalized 157.6 134.4 17.3 Cost of materials -18,189.3-16,681.3 9.0 Personnel expenses -1,777.1-1,673.4 6.2 Other operating income/expenses 1,587.2 417.4 - EBITDA 3,752.4 730.7 - Amortisation and depreciation -1,248.4-2,393.6-47.8 EBIT 2,504.0-1,662.9 - Investment and financial result 353.9-1,059.0 - EBT 2,857.9-2,721.9 - Income tax -681.6 1,049.4 - Group net profit 2,176.3-1,672.5 - of which profit/loss shares attributable to non-controlling interests 122.2 124.7-2.0 of which profit/loss shares attributable to the shareholders of EnBW AG 2,054.1-1,797.2-22

Cash flow statement In m Variance in % EBITDA 3,752.4 730.7 - Changes in provisions -472.3 721.9 - Non-cash-relevant income/expenses -385.9-78.1 - Income tax paid/received 81.1-243.4 - Interest and dividends received 591.7 345.1 71.5 Interest paid for financing activities -425.6-351.3 21.2 Contribution of dedicated financial assets -6.4 50.7 - Funds from Operations (FFO) 3,135.0 1,175.6 - Change in assets and liabilities from operating activities -4,671.4-657.5 - Capital expenditures on intangible assets and property, plant and equipment -1,419.2-1,189.4 19.3 Disposals of intangible assets and property, plant and equipment 52.8 115.5-54.3 Cash received from construction cost and investment subsidies 113.8 61.1 86.3 Free cashflow -2,789.0-494.7-23

Hedge levels 1 In % 100 60-80 10-40 2018 2019 2020 24 1 As of 31 December

EnBW has a flexible access to various financing sources 1 In bn 7.0 4 3 2.0 2.0 Debt Issurance Programme Thereof 3 bn utilised 2 1.5 Syndicated Credit Line Undrawn Maturity date: 2021 Hybrid Bonds 1.4 Bilateral Free Credit Lines 2 2 Commercial Paper Programme Undrawn Project financing and low-interest loans from the EIB 25 1 As of 31 December 2 Rounded figures

Maturities of EnBW s bonds In m First call dates of hybrid bonds 1,000 2 993 3;4 Senior bonds Hybrid bonds 1,000 993 7 836 1 700 500 500 2018 86 5 100 170 6...... 2021 2022 2023 2025 2026 2034 2038 2039 2044 2076 2077 50 26 1 Includes CHF 100 million, converted as of the reporting date of 31/12/ 2 First call date: hybrid maturing in 2076 3 First call date: hybrid maturing in 2077 4 Includes USD 300 million (swap in EUR), Coupon for Swap 5,125% 5 CHF 100 million, converted as of the reporting date of 31/12/ 6 JPY 20 billion (swap in EUR), Coupon for Swap 3,880% 7 Includes USD 300 million, converted as of 05/10/

Financial calendar 2018 & important links Financial calendar 2018 March 22, 2018 Integrated Annual Report January to December (Conference time: 03:00 pm) May 08, 2018 Annual General Meeting 2018 May 15, 2018 July 26, 2018 November 12, 2018 Quarterly Statement January to March 2018 (Conference time: 10:00 am) Six-Monthly Financial Report January to June 2018 (Conference time: 01:00 pm) Quarterly Statement January to September 2018 (Conference time: 01:00 pm) Important links Annual Statement Financial Calendar Investor Relations contact Financing facilities https://www.enbw.com/report https://www.enbw.com/company/investors/events/finance-calender/ https://www.enbw.com/company/investors/service-contact/contact/ https://www.enbw.com/company/investors/strategy/ Maturities of our bonds https://www.enbw.com/company/investors/bonds-share/bonds/ 27

EnBW IR contacts Ingo Peter Voigt Head of Finance, M&A and Investor Relations T +49 721 6314375 i.voigt@enbw.com Julia von Wietersheim Senior Manager Investor Relations T +49 721 6312060 j.vonwietersheim@enbw.com Jacqueline Möhle Manager Investor Relations T +49 721 6312697 j.moehle@enbw.com 28

Disclaimer Unless indicated otherwise, all data contained hereinafter refers to the EnBW group and is calculated according to IFRS. No offer or investment recommendation This presentation has been prepared for information purposes only. It does not constitute an offer, an invitation or a recommendation to purchase or sell securities issued by EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG (EnBW), a company of the EnBW group or any other company. This presentation does not constitute a request, instruction or recommendation to vote or give consent. All descriptions, examples and calculations are included in this presentation for illustration purposes only. Future-oriented statements This presentation contains future-oriented statements that are based on current assumptions, plans, estimates and forecasts of the management of EnBW. Such future-oriented statements are therefore only valid at the time at which they are published for the first time. Future-oriented statements are indicated by the context, but may also be identified by the use of the words may, will, should, plans, intends, expects, believes, assumes, forecasts, potentially or continued and similar expressions. By nature, future-oriented statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that cannot be controlled or accurately predicted by EnBW. Actual events, future results, the financial position, development or performance of EnBW and the companies of the EnBW group may therefore diverge considerably from the future-oriented statements made in this presentation. Therefore it cannot be guaranteed nor can any liability be assumed otherwise that these future-oriented statements will prove complete, correct or precise or that expected and forecast results will actually occur in the future. No obligation to update the information EnBW assumes no obligation of any kind to update the information contained in this presentation or to adjust or update future-oriented statements to future events or developments. 29