Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence

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Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence Multiple Choice 1) Evidence that examines whether one variable has an effect on another by simply looking directly at the relationship between the two variables is (a) reduced-form evidence. (b) organizational-model evidence. (c) direct-model evidence. (d) structural-model evidence. 2) Evidence that is based on a variable having its effect on another variable through channels rather than a direct effect is known as (a) indirect-model evidence. (b) organizational-model evidence. (c) reduced-form evidence. (d) structural-model evidence. 3) On the evening news you hear of a scientific study that directly links premature births to cigarette smoking. This is an example of (a) direct-model evidence. (b) informed voter-model evidence. (c) structural-model evidence. (d) reduced-form evidence.

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 937 4) The monetarist-keynesian debate on the importance of monetary policy is unresolved because monetarists and Keynesians focus on two different types of evidence that generate conflicting conclusions. Monetarists tend to focus on (a) structural-model evidence, while Keynesians focus on reduced-form evidence. (b) reduced-form evidence, while Keynesians focus on structural-model evidence. (c) reduced-form evidence, while Keynesians focus on direct-model evidence. (d) structural-model evidence, while Keynesians focus on direct-model evidence. 5) The channels through which monetary policy affects economic activity are called the (a) transmission mechanisms of monetary policy. (b) flow mechanisms of monetary policy. (c) distribution mechanisms of monetary policy. (d) allocational mechanisms of monetary policy. 6) A model that is composed of many equations that show the channels through which monetary and fiscal policy affect aggregate output and spending is called a (a) reduced-form model. (b) median-voter model. (c) informed median-voter model. (d) structural model. 7) Monetarists directly study the link between money and economic activity using (a) structural models. (b) reduced-form models. (c) sectoral models. (d) experimental models. (e) scientific models. 8) The monetarist reduced-form evidence does not specify the working of the economy and thus is considered to be a (a) scientific model. (b) open model. (c) black box. (d) black hole. (e) questionable model.

938 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 9) The primary advantage of a correctly specified structural model is that it (a) may help us to more accurately predict the effect that monetary policy has on economic activity. (b) provides more pieces of evidence about monetary policy s effect on economic activity. (c) may allow economists to more accurately predict the impact institutional changes have on the link between monetary policy and income. (d) may do each of the above. (e) may do only (a) and (b) of the above. 10) Predicting the impact of institutional change on the effectiveness of monetary policy is best done with a (a) structural model. (b) reduced-form model. (c) sectoral model. (d) scientific model. (e) black-box model. 11) The monetarists complained that early Keynesian structural models tended to ignore the impact of monetary policy changes on (a) interest rates. (b) investment spending. (c) consumption spending. (d) capital goods spending. 12) Monetarists contend that the channels of monetary influence in Keynesian structural models are too defined, the importance of monetary policy. (a) broadly; exaggerating (b) broadly; understating (c) narrowly; understating (d) narrowly; exaggerating 13) Monetarists claim that models ignore important transmission mechanisms and therefore the importance of the effects of monetary policy on the economy. (a) structural; overstate (b) reduced-form; overstate (c) reduced-form; understate (d) structural; understate (e) experimental; understate Question Status: Study Guide

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 939 14) Monetarists assert that monetary policy may affect aggregate demand through (a) only an interest rate channel. (b) only an exchange rate channel. (c) only two channels: interest rates and exchange rates. (d) many channels. 15) If the particular channels through which changes in the monetary policy supply affect aggregate income are diverse and continually changing, the best evidence of monetary policy s effect is likely to come from (a) reduced-form models. (b) structural models. (c) median-voter models. (d) indirect models. 16) Monetarists preference for reduced-form models is based on their belief that (a) reverse causation is a problem. (b) structural models may understate money s effect on economic activity. (c) money supply changes are always endogenous. (d) monetary policy affects only investment spending. (e) each of the above is true. Question Status: Study Guide 17) When Keynesians argue that correlation does not necessarily imply causation, they are probably criticizing (a) structural-model evidence. (b) reduced-form evidence. (c) indirect-model evidence. (d) none of the above. 18) Jeff argues that since there is a high correlation between monetary policy and aggregate income, changes in money growth must necessarily cause changes in aggregate income! Jeff has failed to consider the possibility of (a) reverse causation. (b) the fallacy of composition. (c) a third factor driving the movements of both monetary policy and aggregate income. (d) both (a) and (c) of the above.

940 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 19) If a high correlation of variable 1 and variable 2 misleadingly suggests that controlling variable 1 would help to control the level of variable 2, then one can probably conclude that (a) changes in variable 2 affect changes in variable 1, due to reverse causation. (b) some other factor affects both variables 1 and 2. (c) either (a) or (b) is possible. (d) neither (a) nor (b) is possible. 20) Reverse causation between money and aggregate output is likely to be a problem when a central bank targets (a) a monetary aggregate. (b) an interest rate. (c) the exchange rate. (d) all of the above. (e) both (a) and (b) of the above. 21) With regard to aggregate demand, early Keynesians tended to believe that (a) monetary policy mattered most. (b) monetary policy was all that mattered. (c) monetary policy mattered. (d) monetary policy did not matter. 22) The held the view that monetary policy does not matter at all for movements in aggregate output. (a) new Keynesian economists (b) early Keynesians (c) early monetarists (d) early classical economists 23) Early Keynesians felt that policy was, so they stressed the importance of policy. (a) fiscal; ineffective; monetary (b) monetary; ineffective; fiscal (c) monetary; potent; monetary (d) fiscal; too potent; monetary (e) monetary; too potent; fiscal Question Status: Study Guide

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 941 24) Early Keynesians believed that interest rates during the Great Depression indicated that monetary policy had been. (a) high; contractionary (b) high; expansionary (c) low; contractionary (d) low; expansionary 25) Early Keynesians viewed monetary policy as influencing aggregate demand solely through its impact on interest rates, which, in turn, affect spending. (a) nominal; consumer (b) nominal; investment (c) real; consumer (d) real; investment 26) Early Keynesians believed that interest rates during the Great Depression indicated that monetary policy was. (a) high; easy (b) high; tight (c) low; easy (d) low; tight 27) Early Keynesians believed that low during the Great Depression indicated that policy was easy. (a) money growth; fiscal (b) money growth; monetary (c) interest rates; fiscal (d) interest rates; monetary 28) Early Keynesians concluded that changes in monetary policy had no impact on aggregate output because (a) early empirical studies found no linkage between movements in nominal interest rates and investment spending. (b) surveys of businessmen revealed that their decisions on how much to invest in new physical capital were not influenced by market interest rates. (c) interest rates during the Great Depression indicated that monetary policy was easy. (d) of all of the above. (e) of only (a) and (b) of the above. Question Status: Study Guide

942 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 29) Early Keynesians concluded that changes in monetary policy had no impact on aggregate output because early empirical studies found no linkage between movements in and. (a) nominal interest rates; investment spending (b) real interest rates; investment spending (c) money supply; aggregate output (d) investment spending; aggregate output 30) In response to the early Keynesians, monetarists contended that (a) monetary policy during the Great Depression was not easy. (b) bank failures during the Great Depression resulted in a decline in the money supply. (c) evidence from the Great Depression did not demonstrate the ineffectiveness of monetary policy. (d) all of the above. (e) only (a) and (b) of the above. 31) In response to the early Keynesians, monetarists contended that (a) monetary policy during the Great Depression was not easy. (b) bank failures during the Great Depression resulted in a decline in the money supply. (c) evidence from the Great Depression demonstrated the ineffectiveness of monetary policy. (d) all of the above. (e) only (a) and (b) of the above. Answer: E 32) In response to the early Keynesians, monetarists contended that (a) monetary policy during the Great Depression was not easy. (b) bank failures during the Great Depression were not the cause of the decline in the money supply. (c) evidence from the Great Depression demonstrated the ineffectiveness of monetary policy. (d) only (a) and (b) of the above. 33) In response to the early Keynesians, monetarists contended that (a) bank failures during the Great Depression resulted in a decline in the money supply. (b) evidence from the Great Depression did not demonstrate the ineffectiveness of monetary policy. (c) monetary policy during the Great Depression was easy. (d) only (a) and (b) of the above.

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 943 34) Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz showed that monetary policy during the Great Depression had (a) been quite inflationary. (b) never been more contractionary. (c) been more expansionary than in the 1920s. (d) been essentially neutral. 35) During the Great Depression, by the standard of low-grade bonds, interest rates were and monetary policy was. (a) high; contractionary (b) high; expansionary (c) low; contractionary (d) low; expansionary 36) By the standard of lower-grade bonds, interest rates were and monetary policy was during the Great Depression. (a) low; tight (b) low; easy (c) high; tight (d) high; easy 37) During the Great Depression, real interest rates (a) rose to unprecedentedly high levels. (b) rose only slightly above the long-run trend. (c) fell to unprecedentedly low levels. (d) fell only slightly below the long-run trend. 38) Movements of interest rates indicate that, contrary to the early Keynesians beliefs, monetary policy was during the Great Depression. (a) nominal; tight (b) nominal; easy (c) real; tight (d) real; easy

944 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 39) Movements of real interest rates indicate that, contrary to the early Keynesians beliefs, policy was during the Great Depression. (a) fiscal; tight (b) fiscal; easy (c) monetary; tight (d) monetary; easy 40) The early Keynesian structural model s focus on the nominal interest rates of low-risk U.S. Treasury securities proved to be a misleading indicator of monetary policy because it failed to account for the fact that (a) prices fell during the Great Depression, causing real interest rates to rise. (b) interest rates on higher risk securities rose to unprecedentedly high levels. (c) both (a) and (b) are correct. (d) neither (a) nor (b) is correct. 41) Periods of price deflation, such as the Great Depression, are characterized by (a) low nominal rates but high real rates of interest. (b) low nominal and real interest rates. (c) low nominal rates and even lower real rates of interest. (d) high nominal and real rates of interest. (e) real rates of interest higher than the nominal rate of interest. 42) In response to the early Keynesians, monetarists assert that (a) interest-rate effects on investment spending might be only one channel through which monetary policy affects aggregate demand. (b) monetary policy could have a major impact on aggregate demand even if interest-rate effects on investment spending are small. (c) a weak link between nominal interest rates and investment spending does not rule out a strong link between real interest rates and investment spending. (d) all of the above. 43) Monetarists contend that (a) monetary policy affects aggregate demand solely through investment. (b) monetary policy may affect aggregate demand through many channels. (c) a weak link between nominal interest rates and investment spending implies monetary policy ineffectiveness. (d) monetary policy affects aggregate demand solely through consumption.

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 945 44) In the early 1960s, monetarists used reduced-form timing, statistical, and historical evidence to show that (a) fiscal policy had a strong impact on economic activity. (b) monetary policy had a strong impact on economic activity. (c) monetary policy had a weak impact on economic activity. (d) both (a) and (b) of the above were true. 45) In the early 1960s, monetarists used reduced-form timing, statistical, and historical evidence to show that (a) fiscal policy had a strong impact on economic activity. (b) fiscal policy had a weak impact on economic activity. (c) monetary policy had a strong impact on economic activity. (d) both (b) and (c) of the above were true. 46) In a study published in 1963, Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz found that in every business cycle they studied over nearly a hundred-year period, the growth rate of the decreased before decreased. (a) money supply; interest rates (b) money supply; output (c) budget deficit; interest rates (d) budget deficit; output 47) Friedman and Schwartz found that (a) the rate of money growth fell prior to business cycle downturns in about three out of every four instances. (b) the rate of money growth fell prior to business cycle downturns in four out of every five instances. (c) the rate of money growth fell prior to business cycle downturns in about two out of every three instances. (d) the rate of money growth fell prior to business cycle downturns in every instance studied. 48) In a study published in 1963, Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz found that in every business cycle they studied over nearly a hundred-year period, (a) the growth rate of the money supply decreased before output decreased. (b) interest rates decreased before output decreased. (c) the growth rate of federal government spending decreased before output decreased. (d) the growth rate of state and local government spending decreased before output decreased.

946 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 49) Timing evidence is valid only if it is known that the first event is (a) endogenous. (b) exogenous. (c) a leading indicator of the second event. (d) a lagged indicator of the second event. 50) Because evidence is of a nature, there is always the possibility of reverse causation, in which output growth causes money growth. (a) historical; structural (b) statistical; structural (c) timing; structural (d) timing; reduced-form 51) If the movements of the level of the money supply and real output are perfectly coordinated (a) the growth rate of money will lead the level of real output. (b) the growth rate of money will move in synchronization with the level of real output. (c) the growth rate of money will lag the level of real output. (d) the growth rate of money can either lead or lag the level of real output. (e) the growth rate of money will be unrelated to the level of real output. 52) The monetarist statistical evidence examines the correlations between both and with. (a) money, exchange rates; the price level. (b) money; autonomous expenditures; the unemployment rate (c) money; consumption spending; aggregate spending (d) money; autonomous expenditures; aggregate spending (e) money; aggregate spending; the unemployment rate 53) A criticism of the monetarist autonomous spending variable is that (a) some types of autonomous spending do not affect aggregate demand. (b) some types of autonomous spending affect aggregate demand before the spending occurs. (c) some types of autonomous spending affect aggregate demand when they occur. (d) some types of autonomous spending affect aggregate demand only long after they occur. (e) Keynesians do not think that autonomous spending affects aggregate demand.

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 947 54) One of the best examples of an episode in which a change in monetary policy appears to have been an exogenous event is (a) the increase in reserve requirements in 1936 1937. (b) the decrease in reserve requirements in 1936 1937. (c) the decrease in reserve requirements in 1818 1819. (d) none of the above. 55) The monetarist position on the importance of monetary policy is probably best supported by (a) timing evidence. (b) statistical evidence. (c) historical evidence. (d) structural evidence. 56) The monetarist evidence in which declines in money growth are followed by recessions provides the strongest support for their position that monetary policy matters. (a) statistical (b) historical (c) timing (d) structural (e) sectoral Question Status: Study Guide 57) As a result of recent empirical research, there has been a convergence of Keynesian and monetarist opinion to the view that (a) money is all that matters. (b) money does matter. (c) money does not matter. (d) fiscal policy is all that matters. 58) Which of the following accurately describe the current state of the monetarist-keynesian debate on monetary policy and economic activity? (a) There is now general agreement among Keynesians that monetary policy is indeed an extremely important source of business cycle fluctuations. (b) Although Keynesians now agree that money matters, they do not believe that monetary policy is all that matters. (c) Keynesians and monetarists still disagree over the effectiveness of fiscal policy, and so the monetarist-keynesian debate on the determinants of aggregate demand is not fully resolved. (d) All of the above.

948 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 59) Which of the following accurately describe the current state of the monetarist-keynesian debate on monetary policy and economic activity? (a) Keynesians still insist that monetary policy is not an important source of business cycle fluctuations. (b) Although Keynesians now agree that money matters, they do not believe that monetary policy is all that matters. (c) There is now general agreement among Keynesians that fiscal policy is also a source of business cycle fluctuations. (d) Only (b) and (c) of the above. Question Status: Revised 60) Which of the following accurately describe the current state of the monetarist-keynesian debate on monetary policy and economic activity? (a) Keynesians still insist that monetary policy is not an important source of business cycle fluctuations. (b) Although Keynesians now agree that money matters, they do not believe that monetary policy is all that matters. (c) There is now general agreement among Keynesians that fiscal policy is indeed an extremely important source of business cycle fluctuations. (d) all of the above. (e) Only (b) and (c) of the above. Question Status: Study Guide 61) Real business cycle theorists are critical of monetarist reduced-form evidence because they believe (a) money is the most important cause of changes in aggregate demand. (b) there is reverse causation from the business cycle to money. (c) there is reverse causation from money to the business cycle. (d) business cycles do not exist. (e) only the real value of the money supply affects the business cycle. 62) Real business cycle theory states that the most important cause of business cycles is (a) shocks to the money supply. (b) interest rate shocks. (c) Federal Reserve policy decisions. (d) shocks to tastes and technology. (e) all of the above.

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 949 63) Economic theory suggests that interest rates are important than interest rates in explaining investment behavior. (a) nominal; more; real (b) real; less; nominal (c) real; more; nominal (d) market; more; real (e) real; less; market Question Status: Study Guide 64) According to the traditional interest rate channel, expansionary monetary policy lowers the real interest rate, thereby raising expenditure on (a) business fixed investment. (b) residential housing. (c) consumer durables. (d) each of the above. (e) only (a) and (b) of the above. 65) According to the traditional interest rate channel, expansionary monetary policy lowers the real interest rate, thereby raising expenditure on (a) business fixed investment. (b) residential housing. (c) consumer purchases of services. (d) each of the above. (e) only (a) and (b) of the above. Answer: E Question Status: Revised 66) In the traditional interest rate channel of monetary policy, a monetary expansion that lowers real interest rates (a) causes consumers to purchase more houses. (b) causes consumers to purchase more washing machines. (c) causes firms to purchase more equipment. (d) causes all of the above. (e) causes (a) and (c) of the above.

950 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 67) In the traditional interest rate channel of monetary policy, a monetary expansion that lowers real interest rates (a) causes consumers to purchase more houses. (b) causes consumers to purchase more automobiles. (c) causes the federal government to purchase more military equipment. (d) causes all of the above. (e) causes (a) and (b) of the above. Answer: E 68) In the traditional interest rate channel of monetary policy, a monetary contraction that raises real interest rates (a) causes consumers to purchase fewer houses. (b) causes firms to purchase less equipment. (c) causes the federal government to purchase less military equipment. (d) causes all of the above. (e) causes (a) and (b) of the above. Answer: E 69) In the traditional interest rate channel of monetary policy, a monetary contraction that raises real interest rates (a) causes consumers to purchase fewer groceries. (b) causes firms to purchase less equipment. (c) causes the federal government to purchase less military equipment. (d) causes all of the above. (e) causes (b) and (c) of the above. 70) In the traditional interest rate channel of monetary policy, a monetary contraction that raises real interest rates (a) causes consumers to purchase fewer durable goods. (b) causes firms to purchase less equipment. (c) causes the federal government to purchase less military equipment. (d) causes all of the above. (e) causes (a) and (b) of the above. Answer: E

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 951 71) If the aggregate price level adjusts slowly over time, then an expansionary monetary policy lowers (a) the short-term nominal interest rate. (b) the short-term real interest rate. (c) the long-term real interest rate. (d) all of the above. (e) only (a) and (b) of the above. 72) If the aggregate price level adjusts slowly over time, then an expansionary monetary policy lowers (a) only the short-term nominal interest rate. (b) only the short-term real interest rate. (c) both the short-term nominal and real interest rates. (d) the short-term nominal, the short-term real, and the long-term real interest rates. 73) Because an expansionary monetary policy can raise the expected price level, thereby lowering the real interest rate, (a) spending can be stimulated through the interest-rate channel. (b) monetary policy can be effective even when nominal interest rates have been driven down to zero. (c) the so-called liquidity trap may not prevent monetary policy from stimulating spending. (d) all of the above can occur. (e) only (a) and (b) of the above can occur. 74) If monetary policy can influence prices and conditions in markets, then it can affect spending through channels other than the traditional interest-rate channel. (a) asset; labor (b) asset; credit (c) commodity; labor (d) commodity; credit 75) An expansionary monetary policy lowers the real interest rate, causing the domestic currency to, thereby net exports. (a) appreciate; raising (b) appreciate; lowering (c) depreciate; raising (d) depreciate; lowering

952 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 76) An expansionary monetary policy increases net exports by (a) lowering nominal interest rates and decreasing the value of the dollar. (b) lowering real interest rates and increasing the value of the dollar. (c) raising nominal interest rates and increasing the value of the dollar. (d) raising real interest rates and increasing the value of the dollar. (e) lowering real interest rates and decreasing the value of the dollar. Answer: E 77) A contractionary monetary policy raises the real interest rate, causing the domestic currency to, thereby net exports. (a) appreciate; raising (b) appreciate; lowering (c) depreciate; raising (d) depreciate; lowering 78) A contractionary monetary policy decreases net exports by (a) lowering nominal interest rates and decreasing the value of the dollar. (b) lowering real interest rates and increasing the value of the dollar. (c) raising nominal interest rates and increasing the value of the dollar. (d) raising real interest rates and increasing the value of the dollar. (e) lowering real interest rates and decreasing the value of the dollar. 79) Tobin s q is defined as (a) market value of firms times replacement cost of capital. (b) market value of firms minus replacement cost of capital. (c) market value of firms plus replacement cost of capital. (d) market value of firms divided by replacement cost of capital. 80) Tobin s q is defined as (a) the market value of firms divided by the replacement cost of capital. (b) the market value of firms less the replacement cost of capital. (c) the replacement cost of capital divided by the new cost of capital. (d) the replacement cost of capital divided by the market value of firms.

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 953 81) Tobin s q theory suggests that monetary policy may affect investment spending through its impact on (a) stock prices. (b) interest prices. (c) bond prices. (d) none of the above. 82) In the late 1990s, the stock market bubble the value of Tobin s q, and caused in business equipment. (a) increased; underinvestment (b) increased; overinvestment (c) decreased; underinvestment (d) decreased; overinvestment (e) increased; depreciation 83) The deflation of the stock market bubble of the late 1990s likely resulted in (a) a collapse of business investment spending. (b) a collapse of federal government spending. (c) a collapse of the housing investment. (d) a surge in net exports. (e) all of the above. 84) During the Great Depression, Tobin s q (a) rose dramatically, as did real interest rates. (b) fell to unprecedentedly low levels. (c) stayed fairly constant, in contrast to most other economic measures. (d) rose only slightly, in spite of Hoover s attempts to prop it up. 85) According to Tobin s q theory, policy can affect spending through its effect on the prices of common stock. (a) fiscal; consumption (b) fiscal; investment (c) monetary; consumption (d) monetary; investment

954 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 86) According to Tobin s q theory, when q is, firms will not purchase new investment goods because the market value of firms is relative to the cost of capital. (a) low; low (b) low; high (c) high; low (d) high; high 87) According to Tobin s q theory, if q is, new plant and equipment capital is relative to the market value of business firms, so companies can buy a lot of new investment goods with only a issue of stock. (a) high; dear; large (b) high; cheap; large (c) high; cheap; small (d) low; cheap; large (e) low; cheap; small 88) According to Tobin s q theory, when equity prices are low, as they were in the early 1930s, (a) the market price of existing capital is cheap relative to new capital, so expenditure on fixed investment is low. (b) the market price of existing capital is dear relative to new capital, so expenditure on fixed investment is low. (c) the market price of existing capital is cheap relative to new capital, so expenditure on fixed investment is high. (d) the market price of existing capital is dear relative to new capital, so expenditure on fixed investment is high. Question Status: Revised 89) According to Tobin s q theory, when equity prices are low, (a) the market price of existing capital is cheap relative to new capital, so expenditure on fixed investment is high. (b) the market price of existing capital is dear relative to new capital, so expenditure on fixed investment is high. (c) the market price of existing capital is cheap relative to new capital, so expenditure on fixed investment is low. (d) the market price of existing capital is dear relative to new capital, so expenditure on fixed investment is low. Question Status: Revised

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 955 90) According to Tobin s q theory, when equity prices are high, (a) the market price of existing capital is cheap relative to new capital, so expenditure on fixed investment is high. (b) the market price of existing capital is dear relative to new capital, so expenditure on fixed investment is high. (c) the market price of existing capital is cheap relative to new capital, so expenditure on fixed investment is low. (d) the market price of existing capital is dear relative to new capital, so expenditure on fixed investment is low. Question Status: Revised 91) Franco Modigliani has found that an expansionary monetary policy can cause stock market prices to and consumption to. (a) increase; increase (b) increase; decrease (c) decrease; decrease (d) decrease; increase 92) Monetary policy may affect spending on new residential housing through (a) an interest-rate channel. (b) an asset price channel. (c) both an interest-rate and asset price channel. (d) none of the above. 93) A likely result of the collapse of the stock market bubble of the late 1990s (a) reduced business investment. (b) reduced household consumption. (c) reduced federal government spending. (d) reduced all of the above. (e) reduced (a) and (b) of the above. Answer: E 94) The bank lending channel may help to explain (a) the sharp drop in housing purchases in 1966 and 1969, when market interest rates rose above Regulation Q ceilings. (b) why the recovery from the 1990 91 recession was sluggish. (c) why a restrictive monetary policy might cause investment spending by small firms to fall, even though interest rates do not increase measurably. (d) all of the above.

956 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 95) The bank lending channel may (a) help to explain the sharp drop in housing purchases in 1966 and 1969, when market interest rates rose above Regulation Q ceilings. (b) help to explain why a restrictive monetary policy might cause investment spending by small firms to fall, even though interest rates do not increase measurably. (c) not be as powerful today now that fewer regulations hinder banks ability to raise funds. (d) help to explain all of the above. 96) The sharp drop in housing purchases in 1966 and 1969, when market interest rates rose above Regulation Q ceilings, is consistent with the (a) bank lending channel. (b) the traditional interest rate channel. (c) cash flow channel. (d) balance sheet channel. 97) A rise in stock prices the net worth of firms and so leads to investment spending because of the reduction in moral hazard. (a) raises; higher (b) raises; lower (c) reduces; higher (d) reduces; lower 98) Because of the presence of asymmetric information problems in credit markets, an expansionary monetary policy causes a in net worth, which the adverse selection problem, thereby increased lending to finance investment spending. (a) decline; increases; encouraging (b) rise; increases; discouraging (c) rise; reduces; discouraging (d) decline; reduces; discouraging (e) rise; reduces; encouraging Answer: E

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 957 99) Due to asymmetric information in credit markets, monetary policy may affect economic activity through the balance sheet channel, where an increase in the money supply (a) raises stock prices, lowering the cost of new capital relative to firm s market value, thus increasing investment spending. (b) raises firms net worth, decreasing adverse selection and moral hazard problems, thus increasing banks willingness to lend to finance investment spending. (c) raises the level of bank reserves, deposits, and bank loans, thereby raising spending by those individuals who do not have access to credit markets. (d) lowers the value of the dollar, increasing net exports and aggregate demand. (e) does all of the above. Question Status: Study Guide 100) An expansionary monetary policy raises firms cash flows by (a) lowering real interest rates. (b) lowering nominal interest rates. (c) raising real interest rates. (d) raising nominal interest rates. (e) increasing moral hazard and adverse selection. 101) If a contractionary monetary policy lowers the price level by more than expected, raising the real value of consumer debt. This reduces consumer expenditure through (a) the bank lending channel. (b) Tobin s q. (c) the traditional interest rate channel. (d) the household liquidity effect. (e) the exchange rate effect. Question Status: Study Guide 102) An expansionary monetary policy may cause asset prices to rise, thereby reducing the likelihood of financial distress and causing consumer durable and housing expenditures to rise. This monetary transmission mechanism is referred to as (a) the liquidity effect. (b) the wealth effect. (c) Tobin s q theory. (d) the cash flow effect.

958 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 103) According to the household liquidity effect, an expansionary monetary policy causes a in the value of households financial assets, causing consumer durable expenditure to. (a) decline; rise (b) rise; rise (c) rise; fall (d) decline; fall 104) According to the household liquidity effect, higher stock prices lead to increased consumption expenditures because consumers (a) feel more secure about their financial position. (b) want to sell stocks and spend the proceeds before stock prices fall. (c) believe that their wages will increase due to increased profitability of firms. (d) can now afford more expensive imports. (e) believe none of the above. Question Status: Study Guide 105) The stock market crash of 1929 (a) reduced the value of consumers wealth. (b) increased the likelihood of financial distress. (c) caused spending on consumer durables and residential housing to fall dramatically. (d) did each of the above. (e) did only (a) and (b) of the above. 106) Corporate scandals involving Enron and Arthur Andersen reduced investment and aggregate spending because these scandals (a) forced the Fed to raise interest rates. (b) caused appreciation of the dollar. (c) worsened adverse selection and moral hazard. (d) caused bank failures. (e) all of the above. 107) In a period of deflation, when there is a declining price level, nominal interest rates do not necessarily indicate that the cost of borrowing is or that monetary policy is easy. (a) low; low (b) low; high (c) high; low (d) high; high

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 959 108) In a period of deflation, when there is a declining price level, low nominal interest rates do not necessarily indicate that the cost of borrowing is or that monetary policy is. (a) low; tight (b) low; easy (c) high; tight (d) high; easy 109) The best indicator of the stance of monetary policy is (a) short-term nominal interest rates. (b) the level of prices. (c) real interest rates. (d) all of the above. (e) both (a) and (b) of the above. 110) In a world of low inflation and low nominal interest rates (a) monetary policy may prove powerless to increase aggregate spending. (b) deflation makes it impossible for monetary policy to increase demand. (c) monetary policy can increase asset prices and inflationary expectations. (d) all of the above. (e) both (a) and (b) of the above. 111) Analysis of the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy provides four basic lessons for a central bank s conduct of monetary policy. These lessons include: (a) It is dangerous always to associate the easing or tightening of monetary policy with a fall or a rise in short-term interest rates. (b) Monetary policy can be highly effective in reviving a weak economy even if short-term interest rates are already near zero. (c) Avoiding unanticipated fluctuations in the price level is an important objective of monetary policy, thus providing a rationale for price stability as the primary long-run goal for monetary policy. (d) All of the above. (e) Only (a) and (b) of the above. Question Status: Revised

960 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 112) Analysis of the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy provides four basic lessons for a central bank s conduct of monetary policy. These lessons include: (a) It is dangerous always to associate the easing or tightening of monetary policy with a fall or a rise in short-term interest rates. (b) Monetary policy can be highly effective in reviving a weak economy even if short-term interest rates are already near zero. (c) Avoiding fluctuations in the level of unemployment is an important objective of monetary policy, thus providing a rationale for interest-rate stability as the primary long-run goal for monetary policy. (d) All of the above. (e) Only (a) and (b) of the above. Answer: E Question Status: Revised 113) Analysis of the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy provides four basic lessons for a central bank s conduct of monetary policy. These lessons include: (a) Rising interest rates indicate a tightening of monetary policy, whereas falling interest rates indicate an easing of monetary policy. (b) Monetary policy can be highly effective in reviving a weak economy even if short-term interest rates are already near zero. (c) Avoiding fluctuations in the level of unemployment is an important objective of monetary policy, thus providing a rationale for interest-rate stability as the primary long-run goal for monetary policy. (d) All of the above. (e) Only (a) and (b) of the above. Question Status: Revised 114) Analysis of the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy provides four basic lessons for a central bank s conduct of monetary policy. These lessons include: (a) It is dangerous always to associate the easing or tightening of monetary policy with a fall or a rise in short-term interest rates. (b) Monetary policy can be highly effective in reviving a weak economy so long as short-term interest rates are not too close to zero. (c) Avoiding fluctuations in the level of unemployment is an important objective of monetary policy, thus providing a rationale for interest-rate stability as the primary long-run goal for monetary policy. (d) All of the above. (e) Only (a) and (b) of the above. Question Status: Revised

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 961 115) Analysis of the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy provides four basic lessons for a central bank s conduct of monetary policy. These lessons include: (a) Rising interest rates indicate a tightening of monetary policy, whereas falling interest rates indicate an easing of monetary policy. (b) It is dangerous always to associate the easing or tightening of monetary policy with a fall or a rise in short-term interest rates. (c) Monetary policy can be highly effective in reviving a weak economy even if short-term interest rates are already near zero. (d) All of the above. (e) Only (b) and (c) of the above. Answer: E Question Status: Revised 116) Analysis of the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy provides four basic lessons for a central bank s conduct of monetary policy. These lessons include: (a) Monetary policy can be highly effective in reviving a weak economy so long as short-term interest rates are not too close to zero. (b) Avoiding fluctuations in the level of unemployment is an important objective of monetary policy, thus providing a rationale for interest-rate stability as the primary long-run goal for monetary policy. (c) Other asset prices beside those on short-term debt instruments contain important information about the stance of monetary policy because they are important elements in various monetary policy transmission mechanisms. (d) All of the above. (e) Only (a) and (b) of the above. Question Status: Revised 117) Analysis of the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy provides four basic lessons for a central bank s conduct of monetary policy. These lessons include: (a) Rising interest rates indicate a tightening of monetary policy, whereas falling interest rates indicate an easing of monetary policy. (b) Monetary policy can be highly effective in reviving a weak economy even if short-term interest rates are already near zero. (c) Other asset prices beside those on short-term debt instruments contain important information about the stance of monetary policy because they are important elements in various monetary policy transmission mechanisms. (d) Only (a) and (b) of the above. (e) Only (b) and (c) of the above. Answer: E Question Status: Revised

962 Frederic S. Mishkin Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, Seventh Edition 118) Analysis of the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy provides four basic lessons for a central bank s conduct of monetary policy. These lessons include: (a) It is dangerous always to associate the easing or tightening of monetary policy with a fall or a rise in short-term interest rates. (b) Other asset prices beside those on short-term debt instruments contain important information about the stance of monetary policy because they are important elements in various monetary policy transmission mechanisms. (c) Monetary policy can be highly effective in reviving a weak economy so long as short-term interest rates are not too close to zero. (d) All of the above. (e) Only (a) and (b) of the above. Answer: E Question Status: Revised 119) In the late 1990s and early 2000s, the Japanese economy has experienced (a) easy monetary policy as indicated by falling nominal interest rates. (b) easy monetary policy as indicated by short-term interest rates near zero. (c) tight monetary policy as indicated by falling asset prices. (d) both (a) and (b) of the above. (e) none of the above. 120) Recent Japanese experience has been characterized by tight monetary policy, as indicated by (a) falling interest rates. (b) short-term interest rates near zero. (c) falling asset prices. (d) all of the above. (e) both (a) and (c) of the above. Essay Questions 1) Explain the traditional interest rate channel for expansionary monetary policy. Explain how a tight monetary policy affects the economy through this channel. Answer: In the traditional channel, a monetary expansion reduces real interest rates, lowering the cost of capital and increasing investment spending. The increase in investment increases aggregate demand. A monetary contraction has the opposite effect, raising real interest rates, lowering investment and aggregate spending. 2) Explain how expansionary and contractionary monetary policies affect aggregate demand through the exchange rate channel. n expansionary monetary policy reduces real interest rates, causing appreciation of the domestic currency. This depreciation increases net exports and aggregate spending. A monetary contraction increases real interest rates, reducing net exports and aggregate spending.

Chapter 26 Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy: The Evidence 963 3) Discuss three channels by which monetary policy affects stock prices and aggregate spending. Answer: The answer should include three of the following: In Tobin s q theory, a monetary expansion increases stock prices, increasing the value of the firm relative to the cost of new capital. This stimulates investment in new capital goods, which in turn increases aggregate spending. A monetary expansion increases stock prices, increasing wealth and stimulating consumption and aggregate spending. Expansionary monetary policy increases equity prices. This improves firms balance sheets, reducing adverse selection and moral hazard and increasing lending for investment, which increases aggregate spending. In the household liquidity effect, the increase in equity prices due to a monetary expansion improves consumer balance sheets, reducing the probability of financial distress, and increasing consumer spending on durable goods and housing.