Second-Quarter Earnings Review

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Transcription:

Second-Quarter 2018 Earnings Review

GLOBAL OVERVIEW Marc Bitzer President and Chief Executive Officer 2

2018 SECOND-QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS Ongoing EBIT margin expansion despite challenging cost environment Significant price/mix improvement year-over-year and sequentially; positive in all regions Following weak EMEA results, taking strong actions to restore profitability in second half North America delivered strong margins despite temporary industry decline Repurchased $1B of common stock with anticipated proceeds from sale of Embraco Ongoing results exclude second-quarter non-cash expenses of ~$860M related to EMEA 3

PROGRESS TOWARD LONG-TERM GOALS Profitable Growth Margin Expansion Cash Conversion Long-Term Goals 3-5% Annual Organic Net Sales Growth 10% EBIT Margin 5-6% FCF as % of Net Sales Net Sales YoY Change Ongoing YoY Free FCF as % EBIT Margin (1) Change Cash Flow (2) of Net Sales $5.1B (4)% 6.7% 0.2pts $(725)M nm FY 2018 (Forecast) ~$21.3B Flat ~6.9% ~0.5pts ~$850M ~4% nm = not meaningful Remain Committed to Long-Term Goals, But Timing Impacted by Cost Challenges 4

ONGOING EBIT MARGIN (1) DRIVERS (Approximate impact) 2017 Ongoing EBIT Margin 6.5% Price / Mix +2.0 Gross Cost Takeout* +0.25 Raw Material Inflation -1.25 Marketing & Technology Investments -0.50 Currency -0.25 2018 Ongoing EBIT Margin 6.7% *Inclusive of Fixed Cost Takeout, Ongoing Cost Productivity (including freight and warehousing) and Restructuring Benefits Q2 5

KEY PERFORMANCE DRIVER: PRODUCT PRICE/MIX Region Drivers Total Company +2.0% North America Up Benefits of price/mix actions in the U.S. Recently-announced cost-based price increase in Canada EMEA Up Benefits of price/mix actions Latin America Asia Slightly Up Up Benefits of price/mix actions Recently-announced cost-based price increases Benefits of price/mix actions in China Strong sequential improvement in India Demonstrated Commitment to Delivering Significant Global Price/Mix 6

EMEA BUSINESS UPDATE Weak Business Performance Indesit Integration Complete Taking Strong Actions Integration challenges Operational execution issues Macroeconomic volatility Factory optimization Platform & system integrations Cumulative acquisition benefits Robust brand portfolio & leading country positions 1. Stabilize volumes while sustaining price/mix 2. Redefine business strategy for value creation 3. Implement broad leadership changes Disappointing Results Strong Structural Position Drive Value Creation Expect to Deliver 4-5% Margin by 2020; Continue to Expect 8% Long-Term Margins 7

REGIONAL OVERVIEW Jim Peters Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer 8

NORTH AMERICA SECOND-QUARTER RESULTS Net Sales ($B) EBIT (3) ($M) EBIT Margin (3) -2% -1% +0.0pts $2.8 $2.8 $336 $331 11.9% 11.9% Q2 2017 Q2 2017 Q2 2017 Revenue decline driven by temporary U.S. industry demand weakness of (5)% Strong EBIT margin (3) despite raw material inflation of ~$25M and higher freight costs of ~$15M Continued focus on price/mix and sustained cost discipline Expect industry to recover to 1 2% for the full year 9

EMEA SECOND-QUARTER RESULTS Net Sales ($B) EBIT (3) ($M) EBIT Margin (3) $1.2-9% $1.1 -$2 nm -0.2% -2.1pts -$25-2.3% Q2 2017 Q2 2017 Q2 2017 Price/mix improvement more than offset by unit volume declines Raw material inflation unfavorably impacted EBIT (3) by ~$20M or 200 bps Unfavorable currency impacted EBIT margin (3) by ~$10M or 100 bps 10

LATIN AMERICA SECOND-QUARTER RESULTS Net Sales ($M) -14% $986 $852 EBIT (3) ($M) EBIT Margin (3) -43% -2.0pts $57 5.8% $33 3.8% Q2 2017 Q2 2017 Q2 2017 Price/mix improvement more than offset by unit volume declines EBIT (3) impacted by Brazil trucker strike (~$20M) and weak global compressor demand Recently-announced additional cost-based price increases effective July 1 st 11

ASIA SECOND-QUARTER RESULTS Ongoing Net Sales (1) ($M) +6% $405 $428 Ongoing EBIT (3) ($M) Ongoing EBIT Margin (3) nm +7.6pts $43 10.1% $10 2.5% Q2 2017 Q2 2017 Q2 2017 Double digit volume growth and continued share gains in India Discrete items positively impacted ongoing EBIT (3) by ~$15M Raw material inflation unfavorably impacted ongoing EBIT (3) by ~$10M or 225 bps 12

2018 GUIDANCE Marc Bitzer Jim Peters President and Chief Executive Officer Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer 13

2018 GUIDANCE OVERVIEW Profitable Growth Margin Expansion Cash Conversion Long-Term Goals 3-5% Annual Organic Net Sales Growth 10% EBIT Margin 5-6% FCF as % of Net Sales Net Sales YoY Change Ongoing YoY Free FCF as % EBIT Margin (1) Change Cash Flow (2) of Net Sales FY 2018 (Forecast) ~$21.3B Flat ~6.9% ~0.5pts ~$850M ~4% Expect to Deliver Record Ongoing Earnings Per Share (1) of $14.20 - $14.80 in 2018 14

2018 ONGOING EBIT MARGIN (1) GUIDANCE PROGRESSION (Approximate impact) Revised Previous Comments 2017 Ongoing EBIT Margin 6.4% 6.4% Price / Mix +2.0 +1.25 Global price/mix actions on-track Gross Cost Takeout* +1.25 +2.0 Fixed cost reduction fully-implemented and on-track Volume weakness impacting conversion Fuel inflation impacting freight costs Raw Material Inflation -1.75-1.25 Now expect ~$350M cost increase Marketing & Technology Investments -0.75-0.75 Supporting global and regional product launches Currency -0.25 - Currency volatility impacting GBP, RUB and CNY 2018 Ongoing EBIT Margin ~6.9% ~7.5% *Inclusive of Fixed Cost Takeout, Ongoing Cost Productivity (including freight and warehousing) and Restructuring Benefits Expect to Deliver Margin Expansion Through Price/Mix and Fixed Cost Takeout 15

2018 REGIONAL GUIDANCE NAR Revised Previous EBIT% (3) ~12% ~12%+ Industry 1 2% 2 3% EMEA Revised Previous EBIT% (3) ~(1)% ~2% Industry 1 2% 1 2% ASIA Revised Previous LAR Revised Previous EBIT% (3) ~6% ~7% Industry ~1% 1 2% EBIT% (3) ~5% ~5% Industry 2 4% 2 4% Strong Performance in NAR and Asia Offset by Weakness in EMEA and LAR 16

2018 FREE CASH FLOW (2) DRIVERS (Approximate impact) Revised Previous Comments 2017 Free Cash Flow $707M $707M Cash Earnings ~$150M ~$325M Working Capital ~$125M ~$125M Restructuring Cash Outlays ~$(125)M ~$(125)M Business weakness in EMEA and increased raw material inflation expectations impacting global earnings Significant inventory reduction in North America and EMEA Higher cash outlays related to Embraco plant closure in Italy and global fixed cost reduction initiative Capital Expenditures - - 2018 Free Cash Flow ~$850M $1.0B-1.1B EMEA Performance and External Challenges Impacting Cash Flow 17

2018 CAPITAL ALLOCATION STRATEGY Fund the Business Capex / R&D Mergers & Acquisitions Return to Shareholders Dividends Share Repurchase Target Capex: ~3.5% of net sales R&D: ~3% of net sales Explore value-creating M&A to accelerate strategy Target 25-30% of trailing 12-month earnings Continue repurchasing Status On-track On-track Embraco sale, expected closing 2019 Continue to be opportunistic Status Increased quarterly dividend for 6 th consecutive year Executed $1B tender offer ~$950M authorization remaining Targeted Capital Structure On-track Maintain strong investment grade rating 18

Q&A AND CLOSING REMARKS 19

SUMMARY OF KEY MESSAGES Global margin expansion despite challenging cost environment Significant global price/mix improvement Strong performance in North America; U.S. industry growth expected in second half Taking strong actions to restore profitability in second half following continued weak performance in EMEA Well-positioned to deliver strong ongoing EBIT margin gains and all-time record ongoing earnings per share in 2018 20

21

APPENDIX 22

2018 GUIDANCE COMPONENTS (APPROXIMATE IMPACT) Income Statement FY2018E FY2017A Net Cost Takeout $(75)M $100M Gross Cost Takeout* $275M $450M Raw Material Inflation $(350)M $(350)M Restructuring Expense $200M $275M Interest Expense $190M $162M Adjusted Tax Rate ~20% 14.7% Weighted-Average Diluted Shares Outstanding 68.5M** 74.4M Cash Flow Statement FY2018E FY2017A Capital Expenditures $675M $684M Pension Contributions $35M $42M Dividends Paid $159M*** $312M Amount of Stock Repurchased $1,000M*** $750M Restructuring Cash Outlays $300M $175M EMEA Legacy Product Warranty n/a $69M *Inclusive of Fixed Cost Takeout, Ongoing Cost Productivity (including freight and warehousing) and Restructuring Benefits **Estimated full-year weighted-average diluted shares outstanding inclusive of actual share repurchases as of 6/30/2018 ***YTD as of 6/30/2018 23

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT This presentation contains forward-looking statements about Whirlpool Corporation and its consolidated subsidiaries ("Whirlpool") that speak only as of this date. Whirlpool disclaims any obligation to update these statements. Forward-looking statements in this presentation may include, but are not limited to, statements regarding expected earnings per share, cash flow, productivity and raw material prices. Many risks, contingencies and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from Whirlpool's forward-looking statements. Among these factors are: (1) intense competition in the home appliance industry reflecting the impact of both new and established global competitors, including Asian and European manufacturers, and the impact of the changing retail environment; (2) Whirlpool's ability to maintain or increase sales to significant trade customers and the ability of these trade customers to maintain or increase market share; (3) Whirlpool's ability to maintain its reputation and brand image; (4) the ability of Whirlpool to achieve its business plans, productivity improvements, and cost control objectives, and to leverage its global operating platform, and accelerate the rate of innovation; (5) Whirlpool's ability to obtain and protect intellectual property rights; (6) acquisition and investment-related risks, including risks associated with our past acquisitions, and risks associated with our increased presence in emerging markets; (7) risks related to our international operations, including changes in foreign regulations, regulatory compliance and disruptions arising from political, legal and economic instability; (8) information technology system failures, data security breaches, network disruptions, and cybersecurity attacks; (9) product liability and product recall costs; (10) the ability of suppliers of critical parts, components and manufacturing equipment to deliver sufficient quantities to Whirlpool in a timely and cost-effective manner; (11) our ability to attract, develop and retain executives and other qualified employees; (12) the impact of labor relations; (13) fluctuations in the cost of key materials (including steel, resins, copper and aluminum) and components and the ability of Whirlpool to offset cost increases; (14) Whirlpool's ability to manage foreign currency fluctuations; (15) impacts from goodwill impairment and related charges; (16) triggering events or circumstances impacting the carrying value of our long-lived assets; (17) inventory and other asset risk; (18) the uncertain global economy and changes in economic conditions which affect demand for our products; (19) health care cost trends, regulatory changes and variations between results and estimates that could increase future funding obligations for pension and postretirement benefit plans; (20) litigation, tax, and legal compliance risk and costs, especially if materially different from the amount we expect to incur or have accrued for, and any disruptions caused by the same; (21) the effects and costs of governmental investigations or related actions by third parties; and (22) changes in the legal and regulatory environment including environmental, health and safety regulations, and taxes and tariffs. Additional information concerning these and other factors can be found in Whirlpool's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the most recent annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and current reports on Form 8-K. 24

USE OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES This presentation includes certain non-gaap financial measures, which we refer to as ongoing (1) measures: Ongoing net sales, ongoing earnings per diluted share, earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), EBIT margin, ongoing EBIT, ongoing EBIT margin, ongoing segment EBIT, ongoing segment EBIT margin Other non-gaap financial measures included in this presentation are free cash flow (2), free cash flow as percentage of sales and net sales (excluding currency), which we also refer to as organic net sales. Please refer to the supplemental information pack located in the events section of our Investor Relations website at investors.whirlpoolcorp.com for a reconciliation of these non-gaap financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. (1) Ongoing measures are non-gaap measures. See our website for reconciliation information. (2) Free cash flow is a non-gaap measure. See our website for reconciliation information. (3) Segment EBIT (including segment ongoing EBIT) represents our consolidated EBIT broken down by the Company s reportable segments. Consolidated EBIT also includes corporate Other/Eliminations of $(944) million. 25