The ORSA opportunity:

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The ORSA opportunity: Compliance and business value 12 March 2014

Today s agenda Background and regulatory update ORSA overview Industry perspectives Achieving long-term business value Page 2

Today s agenda Background and regulatory update ORSA overview Industry perspectives Achieving long-term business value Page 3

Background and regulatory update Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) per the US NAIC* Definition an internal assessment conducted by [the] insurer of the material and relevant risks associated with an insurer s current business plan and the sufficiency of capital resources to support those risks Primary goals To foster an effective level of enterprise risk management at all insurers through which each insurer identifies, assesses, monitors and reports on its material and relevant risks, using techniques that are appropriate to the nature, scale and complexity of the insurer s risks, in a manner that is adequate to support risk and capital decisions To provide a group-level perspective on risk and capital, as a supplement to the existing legal entity view Other jurisdictions with an ORSA process include Bermuda, the European Union and Canada * National Association of Insurance Commissioners Page 4

Background and regulatory update ORSA Summary Report highlights Section 1: Description of Insurer s Risk Management Framework Section 2: Insurer s Assessment of Risk Exposure Section 3: Group Risk Capital and Prospective Solvency Assessment ORSA Summary Report expectations Annual reports due starting in 2015 Exemption criteria for smaller insurers/groups No specified report date, NAIC states it will be dependent on when ORSA is performed Can utilize ORSA reports prepared for other jurisdictions Should facilitate a more in-depth review by the regulator through analysis and examination processes Horizon for key risks and capital adequacy should align with business plan (e.g., 1-3 years) Page 5

Background and regulatory update State adoption To date, the Risk Management and ORSA Model Act has been fully or substantially adopted by: Iowa Maine New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont California Pennsylvania The Risk Management and ORSA Model Act was considered by legislatures in other states in 2013-14 (CT, NY, OH, TX, VA, WY) The NAIC has advocated for full and uniform adoption of the model act by states during the 2013-14 legislative sessions Page 6

Today s agenda Background and regulatory update ORSA overview Industry perspectives Achieving long-term business value Page 7

ORSA overview ORSA requirements Description Considerations Section 1: Description of risk management framework Risk culture and governance Risk identification and prioritization Risk appetite, tolerance and limits Risk management and controls Risk reporting and communication Identify assessment tools used to monitor and respond to changes in risk profile Explain how new risk information is incorporated Components Section 2: Assessment of risk exposures Section 3: Group risk capital and prospective solvency assessment Documentation of quantitative measurements of risk exposure in both normal and stressed environments Quantification of risk exposure under a range of outcomes using risk measurement techniques that are appropriate to the nature, scale and complexity of the risks Detailed descriptions and explanations of the risks identified and quantitative methods used Documentation of the combining of qualitative and quantitative elements of risk management policy Determination of the level of financial resources needed to manage current business for the next 2-5 years Completion of an annual group risk capital assessment, complete with a description of the approach used to conduct the analysis Discussion of how risk and capital interrelate over various time horizons and the interplay between group risk and other capital frameworks (e.g. rating agency and regulatory) Risk quantification method is not prescribed; should be consistent with way in which business in managed Impact of stresses on capital; consider risk capital requirements, available capital, regulatory, economic, rating agency or other views of capital Demonstrate process for model validation, including factors considered and model calibration Capital adequacy assessment process integrated into management and decision making culture Projection of future financial position should include economic and regulatory capital given current risk profile, management policy, quality and level of capital, considering normal and stressed scenarios Page 8

ORSA overview ORSA requirements map to an ERM framework Overall governance arrangements Strategy and risk appetite Oversight arrangements US ORSA Report Section 1: Description of the Insurer s Risk Management Framework Decision and planning support Technical pricing and value contribution is core input to product design Metrics to identify underperforming portfolios Risk identification Covers all types of risks Identifying emerging risks Risk assessment and measurement Single version of truth Reflects risks presented Risk reporting and management information Information to drive business decisions Clear, concise and reflective of current status Data, IT, infrastructure Integration of risk and finance systems architecture Data to be consistent, complete, accurate and auditable Risk monitoring and management Industrialized production of risk analysis Policies, standards, internal controls, people and culture Clear ownership of tasks and activities Consistent policies and standards Robust internal controls US ORSA Report Section 2: Insurer s Assessment of Risk Exposures US ORSA Report Section 3: Group Risk Capital and Prospective Solvency Assessment Insurance Credit Market Liquidity Operational Legal/ Compliance Reputational Page 9

Today s agenda Background and regulatory update ORSA overview Industry perspectives Achieving long-term business value Page 10

Industry perspectives ORSA readiness No activity attending webcast ORSA working group formed limited activity ORSA/ERM gaps identified, roadmaps developed/under development Active projects to close identified capability gaps Participated in second pilot capabilities to produce full report Companies are at different levels of readiness In general healthcare industry capabilities are behind life and property/casualty Companies with favorable ERM ratings from S&P likely have many capabilities in place Several companies across life/health and property/casualty industries participated in one or both pilots First pilot allowed incomplete submissions many submitted partial ORSA reports Second pilot required more comprehensive ORSA report and participants indicated comfort with their capabilities Some companies use ORSA as the driver for ERM enhancements that drive business value Page 11

Industry perspectives Key ORSA implementation questions for the insurance industry For an insurance group with multiple insurance legal entities or with different types of business (e.g., both Life and P/C), should they prepare a single or multiple ORSA reports? What will the final report look like, what information should be included and what is an appropriate report length? How will all the information for the report, which will likely come from multiple business units, be pulled together effectively and efficiently? If capital is viewed through multiple lenses/bases (e.g., RBC, economic capital, rating agencies capital), should all of these be included in the report? What other stakeholders (e.g., rating agencies, external auditors) will want to receive a copy of the report? Page 12

Industry perspectives Section 1 - much of the industry has put an ERM framework on paper for the organization, but evidence of use and effectiveness remains inconsistent Industry perspective Common capability gaps Implementation challenges Most companies feel comfortable that current capabilities meet most of the requirements of Section 1 of the ORSA Guidance Manual Certain companies that have very immature ERM programs need to formalize their framework in place to cover all components Governance structures in the insurance industry are very different than other financial services companies Independent CRO reporting to CEO/Board Separate risk committee of the Board Risk appetite Strong risk culture Evidence of risk management s role in key decisions Companies continue the struggle to directly link risk appetite and limits/tolerances across key risk types Definition of the risk appetite to incorporate quantitative measures requires the adoption of a consistent quantitative measure of risk Consistent implementation of ERM framework across the group specifically different countries and industries (e.g. P&C vs. Life) Page 13

Industry perspectives Section 2 - calls for the quantitative and qualitative assessment of risk exposures in normal and stressed conditions Industry perspective Common capability gaps Implementation challenges Current risk assessment is dependent on risk taxonomy In general, life companies are less focused on operational risk In general, P&C and Health companies are less focused on investment/market risk Companies that have moved towards an economic capital framework have a more mature quantitative approach in place Comprehensive risk inventory with quantitative and qualitative assessments Consistent metric across risk types Determining how to perform the assessment under stressed conditions when the metric may already be under a stress (e.g., economic capital may be defined as a 1 in 200 year stress) Building a more robust approach for both qualitative and quantitative assessment of broader range of operational risks Difficult due to lack of exposure data Even more quantitative approaches require significant approximations Page 14

Industry perspectives Section 3 - includes two complex components group risk capital calculation prospective solvency assessment Industry perspective Common capability gaps Implementation challenges Generally viewed as most complex component of ORSA Guidance Manual Was not typically part of a good ERM framework Flexibility provided by the Guidance Manual leaves many question unanswered Apprehension exists with regards to the ultimate use of this section by regulators Used to require additional capital? Used to compare companies? Complex groups typically don t have a group risk capital calculation Capabilities to project future income statement and balance sheet under stressed conditions incorporating new business Capabilities to project future capital requirements in particular under internally developed measurement framework Accounting differences across geographies and product lines increase difficulty in relying on existing frameworks Comprehensive views of future balance sheets under required accounting regime (Stat, GAAP, Economic) Approaches for calculating future required capital components for calculation intensive balances (e.g., future projections of stressed market value of liabilities) Incorporation of multiple capital frameworks to model future distributions of excess capital Reliable aggregation of financial statements across legal entities Page 15

Today s agenda Background and regulatory update ORSA overview Industry perspectives Achieving long-term business value Page 16

Achieving long-term business value Link to ERM The flexibility around the ORSA report and Guidance Manual minimize the compliance nature of the requirement ORSA compliance shouldn t be a standalone item but rather a way to push ERM capabilities forward The ORSA Guidance Manual is looking to formalize and document a robust ERM framework; the value to an organization comes from the value of ERM The ORSA requirement should push an organization to use and show evidence of their ERM program working when undertaking complex decisions Page 17

Achieving long-term business value Value from a strong ERM program Improves focus on risk and further establishes the tone at the top Provides an independent challenge and review of key information, assumptions and business practices, allowing the ability to escalate issues Helps to improve decision making through increased rigor and standard / structured processes, as well as the ability to understand financial impact based on stress events Enhances collaboration with business units and leadership to identify emerging risks, understand current plans to address and focus on the future Improved executive level discussions about risk and strategic decision making Enhances the external stakeholder (rating agencies, policyholders, peer organizations) perspective of the organization resulting in improved opportunities for growth Page 18

Contact us James Collingwood Ernst & Young LLP Kevin Piotrowski Ernst & Young LLP +1 312 879 6306 james.collingwood@ey.com +1 312 879 2144 kevin.piotrowski@ey.com Page 19

Questions from the audience Page 20