Bank of Queensland. Full Year Results 31 August 2008

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Transcription:

Bank of Queensland Full Year Results 31 August 2008

Agenda Result highlights David Liddy Managing Director & CEO Financial result in detail Ram Kangatharan Group Executive & CFO BOQ Portfolio Ram Kangatharan Group Executive & CFO Strategy and outlook David Liddy Managing Director & CEO 2

Result highlights David Liddy, Managing Director

Result highlights Record profit and strong EPS growth NIM improvement from 1.62% in 1H08 to 1.70% in 2H08 full year 1.67% down from 1.81% in FY07 Integration of Home Building Society completed with synergies ahead of market guidance. Further upward revision of run rate synergies in Years 2 and 3 Significant improvement in efficiency and operating costs Continued sound credit quality Strong capital and liquidity / funding base Results reflect continued emphasis on retail deposits as wholesale markets continue to be volatile and costly 4

Strong financial results FY07 FY08 Normalised cash profit after tax $106.1m $155.4m 46% Cash EPS (normalised fully diluted) 93.0 102.9 11% Ordinary dividend 69 73 6% Loan growth (pcp) 27% *23% Retail deposit growth (pcp) 33% *25% Net interest margin 1.81% 1.67% (14bps) Cost to income ratio (normalised cash) 62.6% 56.1% 6.5pts * Excludes acquisition balances of Home Building Society Ltd. 5

Strong lending and deposit growth Lending growth 23% * 23% Retail deposits 25% * 25% 19% 12% BOQ System BOQ System Source: APRA data * Excludes acquisition balances from Home Building Society Ltd. 6

Continuing strong lending growth Strong growth in all areas * Overall 1.9x system growth * 25% 23% 18% 12% 11% 12% BOQ System BOQ System BOQ System Source: Retail Commercial APRA data * Excludes acquisition balances from Home Building Society Ltd. Overall lending growth 7

Improving efficiency Cost to income ratio Expenses 65.8% 64.5% 62.6% $287m $10.5m $87.2m 11% $320m $11.7m $94.5m Admin Operating $64.5m Computer $60.9m $18.2m $21.8m Occupancy 56.1% $110.4m $127.5m Employee 2005 2006 2007 2008 2007 2008* Based on Normalised Cash costs, excluding the impacts of significant items & amortisation of Customer Contracts * Expenses in FY08 include 8.5 months of Home Building Society Ltd. expenses. 8

Strong asset quality Focus remains on well secured housing and SME lending in Qld & WA Level of impaired assets has increased but no systemic issues Adopting a more conservative approach to provisions Underlying bad debts Impaired assets vs Collective & Specific Provisions $24.3m Total Impaired Assets Specific Provision $15.7m $19.1m Collective Provision $18.7m $12.7m $8.1m $5.7m $7.7m $6.2m $7.3m $11.4m $31.6m 2006 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008 9

Strong capital and liquidity Capital Adequacy Liquidity 16.2% 11.5% 10.8% 11.0% Tier 2 Tier 2 ratio 3.8% 11.1% 13.0% Hybrid Tier 1 Tier 1 Tier 1 ratio 7.2% 2H07 1H08 2H08 2H07 1H08 2H08 10

Delivering superior results BOQ has a strong track record of delivering shareholder value Earnings per Share Dividends* 15% CAGR 93 93 103 15% CAGR 69 73 80 57 68 48 2005 2006 2007 2008 2005 2006 2007 2008 * Excludes special dividends, on a cash normalised profit basis, although 2007 dividend had an implicit 3cent special dividend from the sale of Cards portfolio. 11

The result in detail Ram Kangatharan, Chief Financial Officer

Meeting our commitments FY07 $m FY08 $m % Change vs PCP Total operating income 500.0 570.6 14% Total expenses 294.7 360.7 22% Underlying profit 205.3 209.9 2% Impairment on loans and advances 20.9 27.0 29% Profit before tax 184.4 182.9-1% Income tax 54.6 56.1 3% Net profit after tax 129.8 126.8-2% Add: Amortisation of customer contracts 2.0 18.7 - Cash profit after tax 131.8 145.5 10% Normalising Items (25.7) 9.9 - Norm alised cash profit after tax 106.1 155.4 46% Add: RePS & S1RPS Dividend 5.9 5.9 - Cash Earnings used for Fully Diluted EPS 112.0 161.3 44% Cash diluted EPS (normalised) 93.0 102.9 11% Includes Home Building Society results from 18 th December 2008 13

Normalisation and integration details Normalisation items - $28.6m after tax - Amortisation of customer contracts $18.7m - Integration costs $10.1m - Gain on sale of Visa shares ($6.3m) - Mark to market on banking book bonds and hedge ineffectiveness related to Home acquisition $6.1m Home Building Society acquisition synergies - >$5.7m in expense synergies (exceeded original guidance on acquisition of $3m) - Expect to exceed $15m cost synergies in Year 2 and $30m in Year 3 (original guidance $20m). 14

Recovering Margins NIM in 2008 1.67% vs. 1.81% in 2007; but improved in 2H08 NIM down 15bps in 1H08 NIM up 8 bps in 2H08 31bps 31bps (23bps) 4bps 1.77% (8bps) (4bps) 4bps (7bps) (1bp) (1bp) 1bp 1.62% 1.70% Margin 2H07 Asset pricing & mix Funding pricing & mix 3rd Party distributions Capital & other issues Margin 1H08 Asset pricing & mix Funding pricing & mix 3rd Party distributions Capital & other issues Margin 2H08 15

Continued strong revenue growth Net Interest Income Non Interest Income* 31% $421m $137m 9% $150m $321m FY07 FY08 NII reflecting strong lending growth offsetting higher cost of funds * Adjusted for profit on sale of cards portfolio in FY07 FY07 FY08 Disposal of the Cards business and lower non-core income offset by higher banking & insurance income 16

Expenses Cost to Income Ratio Operating Expenses Employee, $127m (40%) 63.2% 4.7% Operating, $95m (29%) 2.4% $32m $32m Reported cost to income Amortisation of customer contracts Acquisition integration costs 56.1% Normalised cost/income ratio Occupancy, $22m (7%) IT, $64m $53m (20%) $57m Admin $12m (4%) 17

Expense discipline Fundamental cost disciplines introduced to offset volatile markets In FY09 focus will be on sustainable, process re-engineered cost reductions Higher investment in our People and Brand required in FY09 Employee* Computer* Administrative* Occupancy* Operating* 24% 13% 19% 22% 2% 2% 4% 4% 17% 11% FY07 FY08 FY07 FY08 FY07 FY08 FY07 FY08 FY07 FY08 * Expressed as a percentage of total normalised income 18

Funding and liquidity Key to BOQ s philosophy has been first and foremost to grow sticky Retail deposits, then tap multiple wholesale funding sources Diversification of wholesale borrowing - Inter-bank market - Securitisation - Short and long term senior debt - Domestic and offshore BOQ has issued senior debt domestically and in offshore markets in FY08 - Accessing short term senior debt both domestically and offshore - Credit spreads remain at wider levels - Successfully issued USD267m/AUD309m into the syndicated loan market with a 2.5 year deal maturing on 2 March 2011. Liquidity - Currently holding ~16.0% liquidity with 94% of securities held either in cash or securities eligible for RBA repurchase agreements 19

Focus on retail deposits Growth in retail deposits funded 53% of growth in loans under management in FY08* Retail deposits $14.0b OMB performance on deposits demonstrates the power of the distribution model. 34% CAGR Early success in trial Deposit incentive scheme since Apr 08 $5.8b $6.9b $9.2b 2005 2006 2007 2008 % of LUM 47% 46% 48% 53% * Excludes Home BS balances; including Home 68% of growth was funded by Retail deposits 20

Wholesale funding Despite adverse market conditions in FY08, BoQ successfully issued across various funding markets: - ABS - $630m in April 2008 - RMBS - $350m in October 2007 - RMBS private placement - $500m in June 2008 - Increased Warehouse capacity $500m (incl. new providers) - Hybrid securities - $200m in December 2007 - Sub debt - $170m in June 2008 - Senior Debt - Grew NCD portfolio - Grew ECP portfolio - $129m TCD in March 2008 - Various private placements - Total Wholesale funding achieved in 2008 $4.7b NOTE: In addition to the above deals, in Mar 2008 an internal securitisation of $500m in RMBS was executed 21

Funding our growth Home acquisition enhances our Retail funding base. Limited capacity in securitisation markets, driving increasing reliance on wholesale markets. 49% 53% 26% 35% FY07 FY08 12% 12% 9% Retail Wholesale Securitisation Capital Funding mix for growth including addition of the Home balance sheet 4% 22

Funding balance sheet impact 85% of funding comes from committed and sticky sources Securitisation run off will slow as warehouse capacity replaces term issues Term debt average maturity lengthening vs. pre-crisis levels FY07 Funding FY08 Funding S/T Wholesale 11% S/T Wholesale 15% L/T Wholesale 14% Retail 43% L/T Wholesale 10% Retail 45% Securitisation 28% Capital 4% Securitisation 23% Capital 5% $309.5m Syndicated loan maturity 2.5 years, settled on 2 September 2008. This amount is not included in funding profile. 23

Long-term debt maturity profile Weighted average maturity of long term debt is 2.0 years BOQ Funding Programs Maturity Profile (AUD) 600 Weighted Average Maturity 500 400 300 200 100 - Sep- 08 Nov- 08 Jan- 09 Mar- 09 May- 09 Jul- 09 Sep- 09 Nov- 09 Jan- 10 Mar- 10 May- 10 Jul- 10 Sep- 10 Nov- 10 Jan- 11 Mar- 11 May- 11 Jul- 11 Euro Medium Term Note Program Debt Instrument Program Sub Debt Syndicated Loan 24

Capital adequacy S1RPS hybrid conversion announced in Aug 08, increases Tier 1 to upper range 12.5% 11.5% 11.0% Targets: Tier 1 of 7%-8% Total of 10% to 11% Tier 1 Tier 1* ratio 7.7% Tier 1 ratio 7.2% Hybrid Tier 1 Tier 2 ratio 3.8% Tier 2 Tier 2* ratio 3.3% FY06 FY07 FY08 *Post $64.7m S1RPS Conversion Impact on 20th October 2008 (based on 31 August 2008 balance sheet) 25

FY09 funding & capital plan Strong emphasis on retail deposit growth - Not just price driven; influencing customer interaction model - Driving sustainable, stickier deposit growth by incentivising OMBs - New products pipeline to be executed from 2H09 Continued drive into wholesale middle market Additional warehouse capacity & opportunistic RMBS placements BOQ will continue to access the term debt market as opportunities arise (as in FY08) - Loan syndication for $310m completed on 2 September 2008 Plan to execute the Share Purchase Plan now in FY09. Opting for flexibility to either underwrite DRP or execute a private placement to capitalise on investor demand. 26

BOQ portfolio Ram Kangatharan, Chief Financial Officer

Loans under management by product 29% CAGR $26.3b $3.0b $4.4b 11% leasing $19.2b $2.7b $18.9b 17% commercial $15.1b $3.4b $12.3b $2.1b $1.7b $2.2b $2.7b $10.3b $13.1b 72% Retail $8.4b FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 Retail Business Leasing 28

Retail portfolio Total retail portfolio (LUM) by product $Millions $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 46% 36% 21% 21% 28% 25% FY07 FY08 13% $1,000 $0 Variable Fixed Line of Credit 3% 3% 2% 2% Low Doc Personal Home BS 29

Commercial portfolio Total commercial portfolio (LUM) by product $3,000 40% $2,500 43% Millions $2,000 $1,500 18% 32% 31% FY07 FY08 $1,000 18% $500 $0 Term Loans 5% 6% Business Overdrafts CRF's / CRL's 2% 2% Debtor Finance Equipment Finance 3% Home BS 30

Portfolio quality Arrears 90+ days (% of portfolio, excluding securitised loans) 1.00% 0.75% 0.50% 1H06 2H06 1H07 2H07 1H08 2H08 0.25% 0.00% Retail Business Leasing Home BS 31

Impaired Assets & Collections Stress testing asset values - Market to Forced sale valuations Conservative provisioning based on forced sale valuations. Market value shows upside. Impaired Assets Market Value v Forced Sale 17.2 13.0 Market Value 7.2 Forced Sale 4.4 4.4 4.0 5.6 4.6 Business Equipment Finance Retail Total 32

Bad Debts Analysis Sound credit quality, moderate increase in bad debts Greater transparency on bad debts Execution started on plans to eliminate specific origination issues in some minor products accounting for ~30% of 08 BDD charges by FY10 Bad Debts by Product Total Impairment Expense Equipment Finance, 23% Housing, 13% $27.0m $20.9m Consumer, 31% $13.4m $12.3m Business, 33% 2005 2006 2007 2008 33

Conservative Provisioning No systemic portfolio risks identified during extensive Reviews in FY08 Strong geographic and industry diversification; Home portfolio in transition to the BOQ risk management systems and processes Some deterioration in isolated sectors but with strong underlying security position $18.7m $6.2m $5.7m $49.8m $57.5m $57.9m 0.50% of risk weighted assets* $8.1m $7.7m $15.7m FY06 FY07 FY08 Collective Provision GRCL Specific Provision * Collective Provision after tax effecting is added to the GRCL balance to arrive at 50bps of RWA. 34

Large exposures The Bank has 69 connections with exposures >$10m Total commitment exposure $1,769m (drawn balance $1,347m) ~6% of total assets under management ~52% matures within 1yr Large exposures are concentrated in the Property & Construction sectors, accounting for 82% of large exposures Largest exposures by ANZSIC Group Other 4% Personal 7% Arts & recreation services 1% Construction 23% Accommodation & food services 5% Transport, postal & warehousing 1% Rental, hiring & real estate services 59% 35

Top 20 large exposures Property investment 48% ($465.5m) Personal 3% ($29.0m) Operating entities 3% ($30.6m) Type Weighted Average Security Cover Operating Entities 1.85 Property Development 1.50 Property Investment 1.37 Personal 1.39 Total Cover 1.45 Property development 46% ($450.5m) 36

Strategy and outlook David Liddy, Managing Director

Core business Retail Bank Retail Customers SME Customers Fully Secured/Low Risk Unsecured/Structured/High Risk Structured Vehicles Large Corporate Large Exposures Retail Customer SME Australian Banking BOQ OMB Lending Mix* ~$18.9 B Retail Brand HR Treasury Marketing Credit Risk Business Banking ~$4.4B Business Lending Audit & Legal ~$3.0B Equipment Finance Core Competencies Outsourcing & Alliance Partners 38

Our strategy sticking to the basics Continue strong organic growth - Focus on deposits - Focus on margins - Focus on risk - Focus on efficiency 1 2 Continue our national distribution expansion in both retail and business banking - Focus expansion in Qld and WA - Strengthen current channels Continue to target complementary acquisitions - We re a patient, selective strategic buyer 3 And do all this in a bank different way being the real banking alternative - We are reinvigorating & investing in our Brand 4 We will keep adjusting our execution in response to the changing market conditions, with the aim of continuing to be a rewarding investment for our shareholders 39

1 Strong organic growth Strong organic growth will continue, however our focus on deposits, margin and risk will be the priority Our OMB productivity gives us the edge in growth Annualised growth before and after conversion Assets Deposits 6 months Pre-Conversion 5% 14% Post Conversion 30% 33% We have now converted 22 corporate branches to OMBs Average monthly settlements have increased 65% post conversion Note: For branches converted with at least 3 months of results since conversion. 40

2 Continue our national expansion Over 2,900 touch points 12 new sites opened this financial year 10 corporate conversions completed this year Focussing on WA and Qld in FY09 converting Home branches and Qld corporate branches * As at 31 August 2008 OMB: 7 Home: 24 CB: 1 BBC: 1 EF: 1 ATM: 213 OMB: 1 ATM: 117 OMB: 1 EF: 1 ATM: 305 Totals 45 Corporate Branch (CB) 196 Owner Managed Branch 3 Service Centre (SC) 13 Transaction Centre (TC) 2 Private Bank sites (PB) 24 Home Building Society 14 Business Banking Centres (BBC) 10 BOQ Equipment Finance offices (EF) 2,595 ATMs CB: 43 OMB: 107 SC: 3 TC: 13 PB: 2 BBC: 11 EF: 5 ATM: 736 OMB: 54 CB: 1 BBC: 1 EF: 2 ATM: 594 OMB: 24 BBC: 1 EF: 1 ATM: 576 OMB: 2 ATM: 54 41

2 Continue our national expansion We will also strengthen our current distribution channels: Retail Financial Services Business Financial Services Direct Channels OMBs, corporate branches, Private Bank itaps (international transfers & payments system) platform launched Local area marketing tool deployed in FY08 Business Banking, BOQEF, debtor & trade finance BOQEF restructure to focus on customer groups rather than geography Portfolio of initiatives to gain traction in SME segment via OMBs Internet banking, telephone banking, mobile banking Market-leading mobile phone banking launched 42

3 Disciplined acquisitions We will look at opportunistically buying in the retail banking, equipment finance, and debtor finance space Our focus for 1H09 will be to bed down the Home Building Society acquisition - Successful IT integration occurred 20 th /21 st September all Home customers are now full BOQ customers - All Home branches have been refurbished to reflect BOQ s interior fit-out - Achieved brand awareness level of 36% in WA post-brand launch (higher brand awareness than Home ever achieved) - The revised synergy benefits target for FY08 was $4m - synergy benefits realised in FY08 were $5.67m - Synergy target for FY09 upgraded to $15m (from $10m), and FY10 synergies expected to be $30m (from $20m) 43

4 bank different being the real banking alternative Extensive research on what bank different means to staff and customers has been completed We are investing in an internal and external campaign that will be noticed! 44

Market guidance The model is proving its resilience and productivity in the toughest of conditions We expect to continue to grow profitably all aspects of our business ahead of our competitors whilst maintaining pricing and credit disciplines Gaining greater confidence in our ability to manage costs and accelerate our efficiency drive Despite market turmoil, BOQ is still able to access diverse funding sources Cost of term debt and retail deposits continues to reprice at current market Bad debts likely to track FY08 levels, which will be well below peers The RBA s 100bps rate cut is likely to ease the consumer burden Expect greater fiscal stimulus from the Federal Government Believe the volatility makes EPS guidance impractical but confident of continuing to add significant shareholder value 45

Summary Strong performance given current economic climate Continued access to funding albeit more expensive Strong business momentum Sound portfolio benefiting from Queensland and WA Strong credit and cost disciplines Sticking to the basics with ever increasing discipline Cautiously confident 46