SELECT 4Q2012 RESULTS COMPARED TO 4Q2011

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Transcription:

DISCLAIMER

SELECT 4Q2012 RESULTS COMPARED TO 4Q2011 3

4Q2012 GLOBAL REVENUE BREAKDOWN 4Q2012 Revenues APAC 9.9% London Hong Kong Americas 53.2% EMEA 36.9% New York Paris Singapore 4

4Q2012 PRODUCT DIVERSITY Other revenues, interest income & related parties 3.6% Market data & software solutions 1.5% Real estate management services 9.4% Rates 27.5% Real estate brokerage 24.6% Equities and other asset classes 8.3% Foreign exchange 10.8% Credit 14.3% 5

4Q2012 SEGMENT DATA 4Q2012 Revenues 4Q2012 Revenues Pre-tax Earnings Pre-tax Margin Corporate 2.9% Financial Services $274.9 $35.1 12.8% Real Estate $148.7 $12.6 8.5% Real Estate Services 34.1% Corporate $12.7 ($12.7) NMF Financial Services 63.0% 6

4Q VOLATILITY REMAINED LOW 2H08 AIG/Lehman/etc. May 10 Flash Crash 5 Year Average =.51 August 11 US Debt Downgrade Sept 12 QE 3 Announced 7

QUANTITATIVE EASING = CURRENT HEADWIND AND FUTURE TAILWIND Central Banks Balance Sheet Growth, 2008 - Present (2008 = 100) 8

(USD millions) BUSINESS OVERVIEW: RATES Example of Products Interest Rate Derivatives US Treasuries Global Government Bonds Agencies Interest Rate Futures Dollar Derivatives Repurchase Agreements Non-Deliverable Swaps Interest rate Swaps & Options % of 4Q2012 Total Distributable Earnings Revenue Rates 27.5% Drivers Rates Revenue Growth Global sovereign and corporate debt issuance cause long-term tailwinds in our Rates business Near-term headwinds due to quantitative easing Low interest rates in most major economies holding down volumes Negatively impacted by Hurricane Sandy $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $578.5 $532.4 $128.1 $119.8 $100 $0 FY 2011 FY 2012 Q4 2011 Q4 2012 9

BGC RATES REVENUES REFLECT INDUSTRY HEADWINDS 5.0% 3.0% 1.0% -1.0% -3.0% (1%) Fed UST Primary Dealer Volume -5.0% -7.0% -9.0% (7%) BGC Overall Rates Revenue -11.0% -13.0% (13%) (14%) (13%) -15.0% Eurex Rates Volume CME Rates Volume Euronext Rates Volume 10

(USD millions) BUSINESS OVERVIEW: CREDIT Example of Products Credit Derivatives Asset-Backed Securities Convertibles Corporate Bonds High yield Bonds Emerging Market Bonds % of 4Q2012 Total Distributable Earnings Revenue Credit 14.3% Drivers Credit Revenue Growth Industry volumes generally lower BGC credit e-brokerage continues to outperform overall market Large bank corporate bond trading activity impacted due in part to Basel 3 capital requirements $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $315.0 $284.6 $66.1 $62.2 $0 FY 2011 FY 2012 Q4 2011 Q4 2012 11

BGC S CREDIT DESKS IMPACTED BY WEAKER MARKET TRENDS 4Q2012 YoY Growth BGC Total Credit Revenue (6%) DTCC Gross Notional CDS Contracts (USD EQ) (12%) ICE CDS Revenue (14%) Fed Corporate Bond Volume (16%) -18% -16% -14% -12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 12

(USD millions) BUSINESS OVERVIEW: FOREIGN EXCHANGE Example of Products In virtually all currency pairs Options Exotics Spot Forwards Non-deliverable forwards % of 4Q2012 Total Distributable Earnings Revenue FX 10.8% Drivers Foreign Exchange Revenue Growth BGC s fully electronic FX revenues have grown faster than overall FX revenues for the past three years, driven by both derivatives and spot Industry volume held back by FX market intervention from certain major central banks in 4Q $175 $150 $125 $100 $75 $50 $25 $218.4 $208.0 (0.5%) $47.4 $47.1 Low interest rates made carry trade strategies less attractive in 4Q $0 FY 2011 FY 2012 Q4 2011 Q4 2012 13

(ADV Growth) (Growth) BGC S FULLY ELECTRONIC FX REVENUES OUTPERFORMS MARKET 4Q2012 YoY Growth 30% 20% BGC s Fully Electronic FX Revenue 25% 10% October 2012 YoY OTC Central Bank FX Average Daily Volume Growth 10% 0% BGC Total FX Revenue -1% 5% -10% -20% -30% -40% -30% EBS FX Average Daily Volumes -23% Reuters Spot FX Volumes -16% CME FX Futures Volumes 0% -10% UK Singapore North America -7% -20% -19% 14

(USD millions) BUSINESS OVERVIEW: EQUITIES & OTHER ASSET CLASSES Example of Products Equity Derivatives Cash Equities Index Futures Commodities Energy Derivatives Other Derivatives and Futures % of 4Q2012 Total Distributable Earnings Revenue Equities & Other 8.3% Drivers Equities & Other Asset Classes Revenue Growth Lower global equity cash & derivatives volumes industry-wide Negatively impacted by the French Financial Transaction Tax $225 $200 $175 $150 $125 $100 $75 $50 $25 $0 $214.5 $156.1 $44.2 $36.0 FY 2011 FY 2012 Q4 2011 Q4 2012 15

EQUITIES AND OTHER : REFLECTS LOWER INDUSTRY VOLUMES 4Q2012 YoY Change 0% -10% Deutsche Borse's Xetra Volume CME Equity Derivatives Eurex Equity Derivative Volume BGC Equity Revenues OCC Equity Option Volume -9% -20% -21% -19% -30% -40% -41% -41% -50% 16

BUSINESS OVERVIEW: REAL ESTATE SERVICES Example of Products % of 4Q2012 Total Distributable Earnings Revenue Leasing Advisory Global Corporate Services Retail Services Property & Facilities Management Consulting Program and Project Management Industrial Services Valuation Property Sales Capital Markets (Includes: Debt & Equity Raising, Mortgage Broking) Mangament Services & Other 9.4% Real Estate Brokerage 24.6% Drivers Real Estate Services Revenue Average rents and vacancies improve YoY Real Capital Analytics 4Q commercial sales volumes up 47% YoY Low interest rates make Real Estate a more attractive investment class Moody s/rca commercial property price index up 5% YoY $150 $125 $100 $75 $50 $25 $57.1 (total) $2.7 54.4 $148.7(total) $41.2 $107.5 Management Services & Other (Grey) Real Estate Brokerage Rev (Purple) $0 Q4 2011 Q4 2012 17

LEASING MARKET IMPROVING NATIONALLY US Office & Industrial Market Asking Rent & Vacancy Asking Rent & Vacancy (Office) Asking Rent & Vacancy (Industrial) 18

ANNUAL COMMERCIAL PROPERTY SALES METRICS REBOUNDING $600 billions US Commercial Property Sales Volumes, All Types (Left Axis) CPPI (Right Axis; 100 = June 30, 2001) 186.3 200 $500 166.6 $400 $300 100.7 107.6 116.2 131.6 155.0 $571 152.6 112.8 124.0 139.7 146.1 150 100 $200 $100 $0 $415 $359 $283 $210 $229 $172 $130 $143 $88 $105 $66 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 50 - AVG CAP RATE VS. 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD (QUARTERLY) SPREAD NEAR HISTORIC HIGH 19

KEY WINS FOR NGKF IN 2012 New York Havas/Euro RSCG 200 and 205 Hudson Street Newmark Grubb Knight Frank represented Havas in completing a 15-year lease for 260,000 square feet of space to serve as an urban corporate campus for the global advertising and communications services group. Global Nokia Siemens Networks Newmark Grubb Knight Frank was selected by Nokia Siemens Networks, the world's specialist in mobile broadband technologies, to serve as its sole global corporate real estate supplier. New York Chadbourne & Parke, LLP 1301 Avenue of the Americas Newmark Grubb Knight Frank represented Chadbourne in its lease for more than 200,000 square feet; the 20-year lease includes two additional five-year renewal options, as well as expansion options to allow for continued growth. New York Morgan Stanley & Co. One New York Plaza California Lewis Brisbois 221 N. Figueroa Street Newmark Grubb Knight Frank represented Lewis Brisbois Bisgaard & Smith LLP, a national, full-service law firm, in signing a 10- year lease renewal for 163,000 square feet of office space. New Jersey Eisner Amper, LLP Iselin Newmark Grubb Knight Frank represented Morgan Stanley in completing the largest single-asset office lease in New York City since 2008 for 1.2 million square feet in Lower Manhattan. Newmark Grubb Knight Frank represented EisnerAmper in its lease for 87,000 square feet at MetroTop Plaza II, a newly constructed, 255,000-square-foot class A office building in Woodbridge, New Jersey. 20

KEY WINS FOR NGKF IN 2012 Texas ConocoPhillips 3010 Briarpark Drive Philadelphia Brandywine Realty Trust 1900 Market Street Newmark Grubb Knight Frank represented ConocoPhillips in completing a lease for 211,000 square feet of office space in Houston, Texas. New York Investment Technology Group Inc. 1 Liberty Plaza Newmark Grubb Knight Frank represented ITG in completing a 132,000-square-foot lease in Downtown Manhattan. Newmark Grubb Knight Frank arranged the sale of 1900 Market Street, a 456,922-square-foot structure better known as the Stock Exchange building, to Brandywine Realty Trust for $34 million, or $76/sf. Colorado Mountain View Corporate Center (Bldg I IV) Broomfield Newmark Grubb Knight Frank represented Hines in the sale of Mountain View Corporate Center, a complex totaling 461,438 square feet, to Westfield for $92 million. 21

(Front Office Employees) ($ thousands) BGC S FRONT OFFICE EMPLOYEE GROWTH Front Office Headcount Front Office Productivity (in thousands) $1,200 $1,000 2,500 2,000 2,147 2,170 381 409 2,605 2,562 2,528 (total) 848 827 807 $800 $776 $639 1,500 $600 1,000 500 1,766 1,761 1,757 1,735 1,721 $400 0 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012 4Q2012 Real Estate Financial Brokerage $200 $163 $149 $0 2011 2012 4Q2011 4Q2012 22

($ trillions) ($ millions) BGC S FULLY ELECTRONIC METRICS Fully Electronic Notional Volumes (in trillions) Fully Electronic Revenues (in millions)* $15 $45 $12.1 $13.5 $13.4 $11.6 $40 $35 $34.8 $38.3 $36.5 $35.8 $33.3 $10 $9.7 $30 $25 $20 $15 $5 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012 4Q2012 $10 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012 4Q2012 23

($ millions) BGC PARTNERS COMPENSATION RATIO $1,100 100% $1,000 90% $900 80% $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 58.2% $719.6 60.9% $713.3 56.2% $749.8 53.8% 59.2% $793.5 $1,036.8 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% $200 20% $100 10% $0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0% Compensation and Employee Benefits Compensation and Employee Benefits as % of Total Revenue 24

NON-COMPENSATION EXPENSES & PRE-TAX MARGIN 50% 40% 30% 30.6% 29.2% 30.0% 30.2% 29.6% 20% 10% 11.2% 9.8% 13.8% 16.1% 11.2% 0% FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 Pre-tax distributable earnings as % of Total Revenue Non-comp Expenses as a % of Total Revenue 25

ADJUSTED EBITDA BGC Partners, Inc Reconciliation of GAAP Income to Adjusted EBITDA (and Comparison to Pre-Tax Distributable Earnings, in $000s) Q4 2012 Q4 2011 FY 2012 FY 2011 FY 2010 FY 2009 Income from operations before income taxes 28,763 10,822 55,737 54,359 56,915 64,488 Add back: Employee loan amortization 11,509 7,886 35,596 31,785 41,192 37,847 Interest expense 9,991 8,689 34,885 24,606 14,080 9,920 Fixed asset depreciation and intangible asset amortization 12,731 13,078 50,985 49,281 50,180 52,974 Impairment of fixed assets 171 220 1,255 785 294 1,200 Exchangeability charges (1) 39,020 23,892 127,112 108,341 42,400 - Losses on equity investments 3,672 1,870 11,775 6,605 6,940 8,687 Adjusted EBITDA 105,857 66,457 317,345 275,762 212,001 175,116 Pre-Tax distributable earnings (2) 35,106 47,681 196,015 236,952 183,999 115,198 (1) Represents non-cash, non-economic, and non-dilutive charges relating to grants of exchangeability to limited partnership units. (2) For both the fourth quarter and full year 2012, GAAP income includes $52.5 million related to the sale of BGC s investment in the London Metals Exchange ( LME ), as a result of Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited s acquisition of the LME in December 2012. This one-time gain was not included in distributable earnings results. 26

CASH POSITION ANALYSIS Cash Position Analysis Based on GAAP Income & Cash Flow Statements For the period January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2012 (Unaudited) 2009 2010 2011 YTD 2012 Cumulative 1 Cash Position at Beginning of Period (a) $356,148 $471,793 $375,113 $385,720 $356,148 2 Earnings adjusted for non-cash items (after taxes) (b) 83,736 93,861 197,573 183,448 558,618 3 Dividends and distributions related to prior periods (66,288) (92,339) (161,576) (182,920) (503,123) 4 Treasury stock buy-backs (7,911) (19,871) (392) (337) (28,511) 5 Net cash from earnings, dividends and distributions 9,537 (18,349) 35,605 191 26,984 6 Investing and funding activities: 7 Increases in funding (d) 17,586 14,720 188,004 101,435 321,745 8 Investments (c ) (e) (61,262) (26,048) (99,033) (100,374) (286,717) 9 Net investing and funding activities (43,676) (11,328) 88,971 1,061 35,028 10 Securities settlements 37,944 (13,358) (10,896) 5,155 18,846 11 Other changes in working capital 108,294 (50,457) (107,363) 27,778 (21,748) 12 All other 3,546 (3,188) 4,290 487 5,135 13 Cash Position at End of Period $ 471,793 $ 375,113 $ 385,720 $ 420,392 $ 420,392 14 Adjusted EBITDA $ 175,116 $ 212,001 $ 275,762 $ 317,345 $ 980,225 15 Pre-Tax distributable earnings $ 115,198 $ 183,999 $ 236,952 $ 196,015 $ 732,164 (a) Cash position is defined as cash and cash equivalents plus unencumbered securities held for liquidity purposes. (b) Excludes Capex and issuance of employee loans, net of depreciation and amortization. (c) Includes Capex and issuance of employee loans, net of depreciation and amortization. (d) In July 2011, the Company issued an aggregate of $160.0 million principal amount of 4.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2016. In June 2012, the Company issued an aggregate of $112.5 million principal amount of 8.125% Senior Notes due 2042. On various dates beginning in 2009 and most recently in December 2012, the Company entered into secured loan arrangements under which it pledged certain fixed assets in exchange for loans. The outstanding balance of the secured loan arrangements was $37.6 million. Other activities generated an additional $12 million in funding. (e) Primarily due to investments in Newmark, Grubb and Ellis, ELX and issuance of employee loans. Note: This table has been updated to reflect final numbers in 2012 10-K 27

BGC Monthly Distributable Earnings Revenues ($MM) MONTHLY REVENUE EXCLUDING REAL ESTATE SERVICES ($MM) 150 125 100 75 $131 $129 $129 $122 122 118 119 $112 113 108 $107 105 97 $114 107 $134 $132 122 115 115 $112 $112 93 $84 2010 Revenue 2011 Revenue Revenue for August 2010 included $11.6M in other revenues as the result of a favorable arbitration ruling pertaining to Refco Securities. 50 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 175 150 125 100 $128 116 120 120 100 118 104 99 93 112 108 100 2012 Revenue 2013 Revenue Feb 1 12 down about 8% per day 75 80 50 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 28

BGC S ECONOMIC OWNERSHIP AS OF 12/31/12 Employees, Executives, & Directors 38% Cantor 24% Public 38% 29

CURRENT TAX EQUIVALENT YIELD ANALYSIS TAX ASSUMPTIONS Qualified Ordinary Annual Dividend BGCP STOCK ASSUMPTIONS BGCP Price Pre-Tax Federal 20.0% 39.6% $ 0.48 $ 4.36 11.0% New York State 8.8% 8.8% New York City 3.9% 3.9% Net itemized deduction -5.0% -5.0% effective rate (does not include 3.8% Medicare charge on unearned income, which includes taxable dividends) 27.7% 47.3% NON-TAXABLE PERCENTAGE OF BGCP DIVIDEND ASSUMPTIONS 2010 Actual 18 % is non-taxable One company pays qualified dividend, 100% taxable 2011 Actual 79 " " Another company pays distribution 100% taxable as ordinary income 2012 Actual 96 " " Hypothical Scenario 100 " " BGCP VERSUS ALTERNATE INVESTMENTS Yield ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT ALTERNATE INVESTMENTS % of BGCP Dividend That is Non-Taxable BGC Pre-tax Yield BGC After-Tax Yield Required Pre-Tax Yield Qualified Dividend Required Pre-Tax Yield Taxable Ordinary Income 18 11.0% 8.5% 11.8% 16.1% 79 11.0% 10.4% 14.3% 19.7% 96 11.0% 10.9% 15.1% 20.6% 100 11.0% 11.0% 15.2% 20.9% 30

CURRENT TAX EQUIVALENT YIELD ANALYSIS (CONTINUED) 23.0% 21.0% 19.0% 19.7% 20.6% 20.9% 17.0% 15.0% 16.1% 14.3% 15.1% 15.2% 13.0% 11.0% 9.0% 11.8% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 10.9% 11.0% 11.0% 10.4% 8.5% 7.0% 5.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 18 79 96 100 BGC Pre-tax Yield Required Pre-Tax Yield Qualified Dividend BGC After-Tax Yield Required Pre-Tax Yield Taxable Ordinary Income 31

AVERAGE EXCHANGE RATES Average 4Q2012 4Q2011 Feb 1-12, 2013 Feb 1-12, 2012 US Dollar 1 1 1 1 British Pound 1.606 1.573 1.574 1.581 Euro 1.297 1.349 1.351 1.317 Hong Kong Dollar 0.129 0.129 0.129 0.129 Singapore Dollar 0.818 0.777 0.807 0.801 Japanese Yen* 81.140 77.330 92.740 76.750 * Inverted 32

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