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Transcription:

Q2 2018 EARNINGS Presentation

Disclosures This presentation contains non-gaap financial measures relating to our performance. You can find the reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure in the Appendix at the end of this presentation. The non-gaap financial measures disclosed by Intel should not be considered a substitute for, or superior to, the financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to Explanation of Non-GAAP Measures in Intel's quarterly earnings release for a detailed explanation of the adjustments made to the comparable GAAP measures, the ways management uses the non-gaap measures and the reasons why management believes the non-gaap measures provide investors with useful supplemental information. Statements in this presentation that refer to business outlook, future plans and expectations are forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Words such as "anticipates," "expects," "intends," "goals," "plans," "believes," "seeks," "estimates," "continues," "may," "will," would, "should," could, and variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. Statements that refer to or are based on projections, uncertain events or assumptions also identify forwardlooking statements. Such statements are based on management's expectations as of July 26, 2018 and involve many risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the company's expectations are set forth in Intel's earnings release dated July 26, 2018, which is included as an exhibit to Intel s Form 8-K furnished to the SEC on such date. Additional information regarding these and other factors that could affect Intel's results is included in Intel's SEC filings, including the company's most recent reports on Forms 10-K and 10-Q. Copies of Intel's Form 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K reports may be obtained by visiting our Investor Relations website at www.intc.com or the SEC's website at www.sec.gov. All information in this presentation reflects management s views as of July 26, 2018. Intel does not undertake, and expressly disclaims any duty, to update any statement made in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, new developments or otherwise, except to the extent that disclosure may be required by law. 1

Q2 18 Executive Summary Expanded TAM creating significant growth opportunities Accelerating Transformation Data-centric growth driven by cloud, network transformation, artificial intelligence & analytics Data-centric approaching 50% of revenue Customer preference for Intel s highest performance products driving strong mix Leadership 14nm product lineup for 2019 10nm yields on track with systems on shelf 2H 19 Big Bets building momentum Mobileye EyeQ and RSS selected for Baidu AV platform announced Industry s first QLC 64L NAND Shipping Intel s first CDMA and multi-sim capable modem Outstanding PC-centric execution PC demand trends improving 2

Q2 18 Financial Highlights Transformation accelerating From PC-centric to Data-centric Record Q2 revenue of $17.0B, up 15% with strong performance across all business units... Record revenue in NSG, IoTG, and Mobileye Data-centric up 26%, strong Op Margin leverage and lower tax rate drive non-gaap EPS of $1.04, up 44%... while investing for growth Year-to-date generated $6.3B of free cash flow Returned $8.6B to shareholders Paid dividend of $2.8B Repurchased ~117M shares Raising full-year 2018 revenue by $2B to $69.5B... Raising EPS by $0.30 to $4.15 FCF up $0.5B to $15.0B 3

Leadership Products winning in an Expanded TAM Revenue up 15% $14.8B $17.0B Data-centric up 26%...driven by double-digit growth across all business units PC-centric up 6% on strength in notebook, desktop, and modem PC-centric Data-centric 1 Data-centric Approaching 50% of Total Revenue 1. Data-Centric businesses include DCG, IOTG, NSG, PSG and All Other. 4

1 Non-GAAP EPS up ~44% Op Margin up 5 PPTS Expanding margins while investing for growth EPS Drivers Year-Over-Year $0.16 EPS up $0.32 (up $0.39 excl. 2017 Equity Adj.) $0.11 $0.14 ($0.06) $0.04 $0.00 Platform Execution Server: Strength across all segments (Cloud SP, Comms SP, and Enterprise) $0.72 ($0.07) $0.65 $1.04 Client: PC up on Commercial and Gaming Global economic strength driving favorable enterprise trends across business segments Expanded TAM Accelerating Adjacent Growth NSG +23%, Modem +35%, PSG +18%, and MBLY +37% Disciplined Spending While investing for Growth Operating margin Non-GAAP 28% Equity Adj. 2 EPS less Equity Adj. 3 Platform Volume Platform ASP Platform Cost Adjacent 4 Biz Spending 5 Other ACT Non-GAAP Operating margin 33% Flat (down ~5ppts as % of revenue), R&D optimization & marketing savings funding Data-centric investments Other Lower 2018 tax rate and lower share count 1. EPS and operating margin are presented on a non-gaap basis. Refer to the Appendix for a reconciliation of these non-gaap measures. 2. Adjustment for prior period realized gains and impairments on marketable equity securities, net of tax. 2018 Non-GAAP results exclude ongoing mark to market adjustments. 3. Platform includes CCG, DCG and IOTG microprocessors and chipsets. 4. Adjacent Business includes gross margin impact from non-platform products. 5. Other includes McAfee, Interest and Other, and lower tax rate based on U.S. Tax Reform. 5

Total spending as a % of revenue Down from 34.6% to 30.0% on track to 30% for 2018, two years ahead of original schedule R&D down ~2 ppt SG&A down ~2 ppt 22.1% 19.9% 12.5% 10.2% Balancing R&D leverage and efficiency with growing revenue Investing in product leadership, AI and Autonomous Driving Program co-location and IP efficiency initiatives Realizing SG&A leverage and efficiency with growing revenue Intel Inside program changes drive reductions 6

Data Center Group growth fueled by all segments Revenue ($B) up 27% Operating Income ($B) up 65% $5.5 $0.4 Q2 17 to Q2 18 YoY Revenue ($) Platform 27% $4.4 Adjacencies 30% $0.3 Market Segments YoY Revenue ($) $5.1 $2.7 Cloud SP 41% Comms SP 30% $4.0 $1.7 Enterprise & Gov. 10% Op Margin 38% Op Margin 49% DCG Platform YoY Growth Unit Volumes 14% Average Selling Prices 11% Platform Adjacencies Double digit growth across Cloud SP, Comms SP, & Enterprise increasingly driven by higher growth segments Customer preference for leadership products driving Xeon Scalable adoption, strong mix & ASP Outstanding execution and spending leverage deliver ~65% operating income growth 7

IOTG, NSG & PSG business Segments Revenue up 22% IOTG + Mobileye ($M) NSG ($M) PSG ($M) Rev Op Income Rev Op Income Rev Op Income $173 *Mobileye $1,079 $880 $874 $720 $44 $440 $517 $139 $243 $97 $101 $(110) $(65) Record IOTG revenue, up 22% YoY on record volume, strength in Retail & Industrial Wind River transaction closed (~$150M revenue impact 2H 18) Record Mobileye revenue, up 37% YoY on increasing ADAS adoption NSG revenue up 23% YoY Optane momentum building On track to full-year 2018 profitability with revenue scale and 64T conversion PSG revenue up 18% YoY driven by strength in Datacenter, Advanced node products Continued momentum in Data Center business, up ~140% Advanced products (28nm, 20nm,14nm) up ~70% 1. Mobileye is not part of IOTG segment. 8

Client Computing Group continued execution Revenue ($B) up 6% Operating Income ($B) up 7% Q2 17 to Q2 18 YoY Revenue ($) Platform 6% Modem/Adjacencies 15% 1 $8.2 $0.6 $8.7 $0.7 Market Segments YoY Revenue ($) Notebook 6% Desktop 6% $7.6 $8.1 $3.0 $3.2 CCG Platform YoY Growth PC Volumes (1%) Op Margin 37% Op Margin 37% Notebook ASP 2% Desktop ASP 13% Platform Modem/Adjacencies Product leadership and customer preference for performance driving PC-centric growth Commercial segment up on Windows 10 refresh Outstanding gaming segment results 1. CCG adjacencies include modem, home gateway products and set-top box components 9

YTD Sources & Uses of Cash Excellent balance sheet strong cash flows attractive shareholder returns $14.0 $13.7 NSG customer prepayments ($7.4) ($2.8) ($5.8) $0.8 ($0.3) $12.2 2018 Beg Total Cash Investment 1 2 Cash From Operations Capex Dividend Buyback Net Debt Other 2018 YTD Cash Investment $3.4 GAAP Cash and Cash Equivalents $2.6 $14.0 Total Cash Investments $12.2 $26.8 Total Debt $28.1 Data-centric growth and PC-centric execution produce strong operating cash flow of $13.7B Repurchased ~ 117M shares YTD (~76M shares in Q2) for $6.0B at average price of $51.15 Settlement of convertible debt reduced diluted shares by ~12M 4 3 1. Cash from operations includes $1.6B net impact of NSG customer prepayments. 2. Cash used for buybacks differs from total repurchases due to unsettled cash at quarter end. 3. Total cash investments include cash and cash equivalents, short-term investments and trading assets. 4. Total debt includes short-term and long-term debt. 10

Outlook

Full Year 2018 Outlook investments paying off Revenue Operating Margin 1 EPS 1 $69.5B 32% $4.15 (UP $2B VS PRIOR) (UP 1PPT VS PRIOR) (UP $0.30 VS PRIOR) Up 11% Up 1 ppt Up 20% Up 37% excl. Equity Adj. 2 Data-centric up ~20% YoY PC-centric modest growth YoY Gross margin down ~2 ppts YoY Spending ~30% of rev, down ~3 ppts YoY Broad based business strength Raising Gross Capex $0.5B to ~$15B Net Capital deployed ~$13B ~$2B customer pre-payments Raising FCF $0.5B to ~$15.0B on broad business strength 1. Presented on a non-gaap basis. Refer to the Appendix for a reconciliation of these non-gaap measures. 2. Adjustment for prior period realized gains and impairments on marketable equity securities, net of tax. 2018 Non-GAAP results exclude ongoing mark to market adjustments. 12

Q3 2018 Outlook Strong Growth Continues Revenue Operating Margin 1 EPS 1 $18.1B Up 12% from Q3 17 34% ~ flat from Q3 17 $1.15 Up 14% Up 31% excl. Equity Adj. 2 Continued data-centric strength Gross margin down ~1 ppt YoY Spending as % of rev down ~1 ppt YoY Business growth, spending leverage & lower effective tax rate 1. Presented on a non-gaap basis. Refer to the Appendix for a reconciliation of these non-gaap measures. 2. Adjustment for prior period realized gains and impairments on marketable equity securities, net of tax. 2018 Non-GAAP results exclude ongoing mark to market adjustments. 13

Q&A

appendix

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Actuals Three Months Ended (In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts) June 30, 2018 July 1, 2017 GAAP OPERATING INCOME $5,273 $3,842 Amortization of acquisition-related intangibles 325 235 Restructuring and other charges 105 NON-GAAP OPERATING INCOME $5,598 $4,182 GAAP DILUTED EARNINGS (LOSS) PER COMMON SHARE $1.05 $0.58 Amortization of acquisition-related intangibles 0.07 0.05 Restructuring and other charges 0.02 Ongoing mark to market on marketable equity securities 0.05 (Gains) losses from divestitures (0.10) (0.08) Tax Reform (0.04) Income tax effect 0.01 0.15 NON-GAAP DILUTED EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE $1.04 $0.72 (In Millions) Six Months Ended FREE CASH FLOW June 30, 2018 GAAP CASH FROM OPERATIONS $13,697 Additions to property, plant and equipment (7,440) FREE CASH FLOW $6,257 17

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Outlook Q3 2018 Outlook Full-year 2018 Outlook GAAP OPERATING MARGIN 32.5% approximately 30.5% approximately Amortization of acquisition-related intangibles 1.5% 1.5% NON-GAAP OPERATING MARGIN 34.0% approximately 32% approximately GAAP TAX RATE 13.0% approximately 12.0% approximately Other % 0.5% NON-GAAP TAX RATE 13.0% approximately 12.5% approximately GAAP EARNINGS PER SHARE $1.09 +/- 5 cents $4.10 +/- 5% Amortization of acquisition-related intangibles 0.07 0.28 Ongoing mark to market on marketable equity securities (0.08) (Gains) losses from divestitures (0.10) Tax Reform (0.04) Income tax effect (0.01) (0.01) NON-GAAP EARNINGS PER SHARE $1.15 +/- 5 cents $4.15 +/- 5% FREE CASH FLOW Full-year 2018 Outlook (In Billions) GAAP CASH FROM OPERATIONS $30.0 Additions to property, plant and equipment (15.0) FREE CASH FLOW $15.0 18