May One on One Conference Deutsche Bank

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Transcription:

May 2012 One on One Conference Deutsche Bank

Agenda Company overview Financial results Projects under development 2

Company overview Mature and stable energy sector with investor friendly regulatory framework Structure of Chile s energy sector Market share Expected growth 1 (2012-2018) Clients Generation by fuel 2 type Main players (% of installed capacity) SING 25% capacity 26% demand 6.5% 90% 10% 70% 4% 26% 47% 32% 21% - un- regulated regulated Coal Diesel Gas/LNG ECL Gener Endesa Others 4,580 MW SIC Santiago 74% capacity 73% demand 5.8% 44% Hidro 41% Endesa 20% Colbun 17% 22% Gener Others 12,480 MW 40% 60% 3% 8% 22% 23% Un-regulated regulated Others Diesell Coall Gas/LNG Aysén and Magallanes 1% capacity 1% demand Sourde: CNE, CDEC-SIC, CDEC-SING, E.CL ¹ Based on internal projections; ² gross generation SING highlights Close to 100% of installed capacity based on coal, diesel and gas (including LNG). No exposure to hydrology. Unregulated clients (mainly mining co s) represent over 90% of total demand 6.5% expected CAGR in physical sales for 2012-2018 3

Company overview One of the most traded shares in the Santiago Stock Exchange Ownership structure (*) Indirect ownership through GDF Suez Energy Andino S.A. and Inversiones Mejillones S.A. (**)After its division and merger with E.CL at the end of 2011, Electroandina kept port assets only 4

Company overview SING: installed capacity and generation mix 317 200 488 339 250 24 227 518 781 531 10 158 277 21 5

Company overview Strong project pipeline... Current and expected base capacity (MW) 2500 Approx. 200MW commited LNG capacity to supply EMEL, starting 2012; 2000 Availability to commit remainder gas capacity at LNG market price beyond 2012. 375 2.146 1500 339 MW of base-load coal generation in 2011 651 Environmental approval for 2 x 375MW coal fired power plant in Mejillones + a port facility 1000 339 790 500 0 Current coal and hydro capacity CTA/CTH LNG Mejillones Expected base load capacity 6

Company overview Largest electricity supplier in Chile s northern grid (SING) Installed Capacity (~ 50% market share) Installed capacity E.CL assets Technology 15% Diesel & F.O. 1% Hydro Chapiquiña (10MW) Coal Diesel/FO Natural gas Hydro Diesel Arica (14MW) 32% Gas/ Diesel 2,135 MW 52% Coal Diesel Iquique (43MW) TE Tocopilla (1,004MW) Tocopilla puerto Collahuasi El Abra Chuquicamata C. Tamaya (104MW) Mantos Blancos 1 (29MW) TE Mejillones (592MW) CT Andina (169MW) CT Hornitos (170MW) Gaby Escondida 2,461 kms of high voltage transmission lines Gas transmission and distribution operations Norandino pipeline to Agentina (Salta region) ¹ 1 Owned by a mining company but operated by E-CL 7

Company overview One of E.CL s most relevant events in 2011 was the start-up of the Andina (CTA) and Hornitos (CTH) power plants in Mejillones Central Termoeléctrica Andina ( CTA ) Characteristics Gross capacity Location 168.8 MW Mejillones Total capex (inc. contingencies) COD Contract US$496mm July 15, 2011 Codelco: 150MW / 21 years Ownership 100% Central Termoeléctrica Hornitos ( CTH ) Characteristics Gross capacity Location Total capex (inc. contingencies) 170.1 MW Mejillones US$380mm COD Aug 5, 2011 Contract Esperanza: 150MW / 15 years Ownership 60% 8

Avergae demand (MW) Company overview Long term contracts with creditworthy customers Average demand (MW) and remaining life (years) of current contracts Contracts as of 31.12.2011 Contracts in effect since 01.01. 2012 500 450 400 Contracts average remaining life of 10 years Codelco (A+) 350 300 250 Emel (BBB) 200 150 100 50 SQM Anglo American BHP Billiton Other Freeport-MM (BBB) Xstrata (BBB) Barrick (A-) 0 1.0 4.0 7.0 10.0 13.0 16.0 Remaining life of contracts (years) Antofagasta plc 9

Agenda Company overview Financial results Projects under development 10

Financial results Strong 2011 results due to increased physical energy sales, higher average monomic price and higher non recurring earnings US$ millions 2010 2011 Var % Operating revenues 1,121.0 1,256.6 12% Operating income 240.2 254.8 6% EBITDA 337.8 368.3 9% Non-recurring earnings 42.5 52.3 23% EBITDA without non-recurring earnings 295.3 316.3 7% Total non operating results 4.7 (29.1) (720%) Net income 200.2 178.6 (11%) Energy sales(gwh) 7,335 7,480 2% The company s revenues increased due to an increase in physical electricity sales and a higher average realized monomic price. Net income decreased by 11% due to an increase in interest expense and a negative variation in foreign exchange differences. Despite temporary outages of some of our coal-fired plants in the 4Q, 2011 EBITDA increased due to the contribution of the new CTA and CTH power plants and significant non-recurring earnings. Non-recurring earnings were primarily related to compensations from gas producers in 2010 and liquidated damages on plant construction delays in 2011. 11

Financial results After - tax income reached US$ 40.1 million in 1Q12. This represented an 18% increase compared to 1Q11 US$ millions 1Q11 1Q12 Var % Operating revenues 302.1 292.1 (3%) Operating income 54.0 52.3 (3%) EBITDA 79.2 84.1 6% Total non operating results (8.7) (4.8) (45%) Net income 34.0 40.1 18% Energy sales(gwh) 1,800 2,256 25% Net Generation(GWh) 1,589 1,967 24% Revenues decreased due to the combination of a lower average realized monomic tariff with an increase in physical sales explained by the power supply contract with regulated clients, which became effective on January 1, 2012. EBITDA reached US$ 84 million in the first quarter, a 6% increase compared to 1Q11. Net income increased 18%, not only due to the EBITDA increase, but also due to foreign- exchange earnings and a reduction in the income tax rate. Gross generation increased as a result of the contribution of the new coal-fired power plants, CTA and CTH. 12

Financial results Strong financial profile Main financial indicators Sales (US$ million) EBITDA (US$ million) 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0-3% 6% 1.053 1.121 1.257 358 338 368 302 292 0 2009 2010 2011 1Q11 1Q12 2009 2010 2011 1Q11 1Q12 400 300 200 100 79 84 Sales breakdown Regulated customers sales 16% 74% 4% Costs breakdown 43% 16% Unregulated customers sales Spot energy and capacity sales Fuels and lubricants Spot energy and capacity purchases 6% 28% 13% Total 1Q12= US$ 292 million Other operating revenues Otros operating costs Total 1Q12 = US$ 239.8 million Depreciation and amortization 13

Financial results Coupled with a conservative debt structure Total debt /EBITDA Net debt /EBITDA 3.0x 3.0x 2.0x 2.0x 1.0x 2,1x 2,2x 2,0x 1,9x 1.0x 1,6x 1,7x 1,5x 1,3x.0x 2009 2010 2011 Mar -2012 LTM.0x 2009 2010 2011 Mar-2012 LTM EBITDA/ Interest expenses Credit ratings 25.0x 20.0x 15.0x 10.0x 5.0x.0x 23,2x 24,1x 12,1x 2009 2010 2011 interest expense related to the CTA project financing and 144A 9,8x Mar - 2012 LTM S&P and Fitch international investment-grade ratings : S&P: BBB- (Stable Outlook) Fitch: BBB- (Stable Outlook) Local investment-grade ratings by Fitch, Feller and ICR Feller: A (Stable Outlook) Fitch: A (Stable Outlook) ICR: A (Stable Outlook) 14

Financial results An attractive shareholder return E.CL Share (as of May 4,2012): Market Cap: US$ 2.77 bn Price: CH$ 1,272 Source: Bloomberg Return and Dividend per share 30% payout ratio 50% pay out ratio 50% pay out ratio 0.085 0.06 1 15

Agenda Compañía Resultados 1T12 Projects under development 16

Projects under development E.CL is embarked on an investment program to reduce particle matter and gas emissions in order to meet stricter environmental standards New regulation on particle matter and gas emissions by thermoelectric plants Stricter particle-matter and gas emission requirements were approved by Chilean authorities in 2011 Investing to comply with new emission requirements: Est. US$170 MM CAPEX in 2011 2015 The works include the installation of desulphurization and oxide-reduction systems in Units 1 and 2 in Mejillones and Units 12, 13, 14 and 15 of the Tocopilla plant. 17

Projects under development E.CL is committed to continued environmental improvement Development of non-conventional renewable energy (NCRE) Solar power project studies Second-generation fuels from microalgae Calama wind-farm project (100 MW) Use of biomass in coal-fired units Steam for injection in coal-fired units' cycles generated from solar power 18

Projects under development Potential acquisition of GDF Suez's NCRE assets in the SIC: Eólica Monte Redondo ("EMR")" Eólica Monte Redondo EMR owns a wind farm with 24 aerogenerators with total capacity of 48 MW in the SIC. EMR owns a 34 MW hydro plant under construction in the SIC. 19

Projects under development Our plan includes new investments to meet the increased power demand in the north of Chile Infraestructura Energética Mejillones: Company Project Capacity Demand- MW Full Capacity- yr Antofagasta Minerals Antucoya 45MW 2014 BHP Escondida OGP 800-1000 MW 2015 Collahuasi Collahuasi expansion Phase I-II 50-170MW 2015-2018 Quadra FNX Mining Sierra Gorda 190MW 2015 Teck Quebrada Blanca Hip. 210MW 2016 International PBX Ventures Copaquire 80MW 2017 The Infraestructura Energética Mejillones project consists of up to two coal-fired power plants, each with gross capacity of 375 MW, and a new port facility. The closing of PPAs is the key item that will trigger the decision to build one or two of these units. 20

This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements and information relating to E.CL S.A. ( E.CL or the Company ) that reflect the current views and/or expectations of the Company and its management with respect to its business plan. Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, any statement that may predict, forecast, indicate or imply future results, performance or achievements, and may contain words like believe, anticipate, expect, envisage, will likely result, or any other words or phrases of similar meaning. Such statements are subject to a number of significant risks, uncertainties and assumptions. We caution that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in this presentation. In any event, neither the Company nor any of its affiliates, directors, officers, agents or employees shall be liable before any third party (including investors) for any investment or business decision made or action taken in reliance on the information and statements contained in this presentation or for any consequential, special or similar damages. The Company does not intend to provide eventual holders of shares with any revised forward-looking statements of analysis of the differences between any forward-looking statements and actual results. There can be no assurance that the estimates or the underlying assumptions will be realized and that actual results of operations or future events will not be materially different from such estimates. This presentation and its contents are proprietary information and may not be reproduced or otherwise disseminated in whole or in part without E.CL s prior written consent. 21