HAI-O ENTERPRISE BERHAD (HAIO)

Similar documents
HAI-O ENTERPRISE BERHAD

BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO (MALAYSIA) BERHAD (BAT)

MALAYAN BANKING BHD (MAYBANK)

PETRONAS GAS BERHAD. (PETGAS) Prepared by: L. C. Chong. Investment Strategy. Analysis Date: 23/08/2013

QL RESOURCES BERHAD. (QL) Prepared by: L. C. Chong. Investment Strategy. Analysis Date: 24/08/2013

BURSA MALAYSIA BHD (BURSA)

MALAYAN BANKING BHD. (MAYBANK) Prepared by: L. C. Chong. Investment Strategy. Analysis Date: 23/08/2013

Fundamental Analysis for CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD

Company owner/directors, and major fund institutions heavily selling

JT INTERNATIONAL BERHAD (JTINTER)

Fundamental Analysis for DUTCH LADY MILK INDUSTRIES BHD

Fundamental Analysis for PETRONAS GAS BERHAD

Fundamental Analysis for SIME DARBY BHD

SYMPHONY LIFE BHD (SYMLIFE)

DIALOG GROUP BERHAD (DIALOG)

DIALOG GROUP BERHAD (DIALOG)

70% B+ Fundamental Analysis for BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO (MALAYSIA) BERHAD. Page 1 of 12. Fundamental Analysis: CONSUMER PRODUCTS Sub-Sector:

AFFIN HOLDINGS BHD (AFFIN)

QL RESOURCES BERHAD (QL)

MALAYAN BANKING BHD (MAYBANK)

Fundamental Analysis for PUBLIC BANK BHD

79% A- Fundamental Analysis for MALAYAN BANKING BHD. Page 1 of 13. Fundamental Analysis: FINANCIALS Sub-Sector: Company Description:

Company owner/directors, and major fund institutions heavily selling

Company Result 27 June 2018 Hai-O Enterprise Berhad 4QFY18: Temporary blip of MLM division. Result. Comment

Fundamental Analysis for GENTING BHD

Fundamental Analysis for GUINNESS ANCHOR BHD

Hai-O Enterprise Bhd. OUTPERFORM Price: RM2.49 Target Price: RM2.90 KENANGA RESEARCH. An enterprising entity. Initiating Coverage KENANGA RESEARCH

Page 1 of 12. Fundamental Analysis for DUTCH LADY MILK INDUSTRIES BHD

Page 1 of 11. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS OIL AND GAS - REFINING & DISTRIBUTION Company Description: SEPARATING NATURAL GAS INTO ITS COMPONENTS & STORING.

Fundamental Analysis for DUTCH LADY MILK INDUSTRIES BHD

INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS

Hai-O (HAIO MK) Neutral (from Buy) Strategy Shift To Take Time

DABUR INDIA LIMITED RESEARCH

Bata India BUY. Performance Update. CMP Target Price `842. 1QFY2019 Result Update Footwear. Historical share price chart.

TELEKOM MALAYSIA BUY. Focused on convergence & digitisation. Company report. (Maintained) TELECOMMUNICATION

Bata India BUY. Performance Update. CMP `1,008 Target Price `1,243. 2QFY2019 Result Update Footwear. Historical share price chart.

GMM Pfaudler Limited BUY. Performance Update CMP. `945 Target Price ` QFY2019 Result Update Industrial Machinery. Investment Period 12 Months

SIEMENS INDIA LIMITED RESEARCH

TV Today Network BUY. Performance Update CMP. `323 Target Price `498. 3QFY2019 Result Update Media. Investment Period 12 Months

Asian Granito BUY. Performance Highlights CMP. `270 Target Price `351. Outlook and valuation. 3QFY2017 Result Update Ceramics

Tenaga Nasional Berhad TP: RM17.38 (+16.5%)

TELEKOM MALAYSIA HOLD. Results missed, searching for a bottom. Company report. (Maintained) TELECOMMUNICATION

Hai-O Ent. Consumer. Company Update. Putting long-term growth drivers in place. BUY (maintain) Target Price: RM4.18.

ABB LTD (INDIA) RESEARCH

Pharmaniaga MARKET PERFORM. 1Q15 Inline but Rich Valuations. Results Note. Price: RM6.91 Target Price: RM6.95. PP7004/02/2013(031762) Page 1 of 5

Market Access. Results Review (4Q16) M&A Securities. Scientex Berhad. Unstoppable Growth Amid Challenging Times. Tuesday, September 27, 2016

CCL Products BUY. Performance Update. CMP Target Price `278 `360. 3QFY2018 Result Update Coffee. Historical share price chart.

West Wing, Level 13, Berjaya Times Square, No 1, Jalan Imbi, Kuala Lumpur Tel: (03) Fax: (03)

LT Foods BUY. Performance Update. CMP Target Price `92 `128. 3QFY2018 Result Update Media February 12, 2018

Stuck at Low Growth SELL. Last Traded: RM9.00. mn % 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% -5.0% -10.0% Jan-15. Jul-16. Jul-17.

Cadila Healthcare NEUTRAL. Performance Highlights CMP. `495 Target Price - 4QFY2017 Result Update Pharmaceutical.

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd.

YTL Corp. All systems go

Market Access. Results Review 4Q15. M&A Securities. Digi.Com Berhad. Survives the Headwinds BUY (TP:RM5.90) Results Review

CCL Products BUY. Brewing Steadily. CMP Target Price `300 `360. Initiating Coverage Coffee. January 4, year price chart

Quick take. Ruchira Papers Ltd. BUY. Creating value through paper. Target Price. Investment Period 12 Months. 3 year daily price chart.

Tasco Joint Stock Company

China TCM (570 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$ H17 earnings beat, 2017 growth guidance reaffirmed; TP raised to HK$5.

Alembic BUY. Performance Highlights. Target Price. 1QFY2011 Result Update Pharmaceutical. Investment Period 12 months

Rationale for report : Sector Update

Malaysia. Padini Holdings Strong earnings momentum. Buy (unchanged) Results Review 30 November 2011

Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Health Care

Bermaz Auto Strong comeback

Recommendation Not Rated Snapshot Bajaj Finance Ltd (BFL), earlier known as Bajaj Auto Finance Ltd is a

KINDLY REFER TO THE LAST PAGE OF THIS PUBLICATION FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

COCOALAND HOLDINGS BUY. 9MFY15: On track for a record year. Company report. (Maintained) CONSUMER

Goodyear India ACCUMULATE. Performance Highlights. CMP Target Price `326 `374. 1QCY2012 Result Update Tyres. Key financials

Thailand. Earnings Results 19 ก % YoY. (02) Description :

PCBA Expansion On Track BUY. Last Traded: RM2.00 C O M P A N Y U P D A T E

Amber Enterprises India Ltd

Maruti Suzuki India BUY. Performance Update. CMP `6,705 Target Price `8,552. 2QFY2019 Result Update Automobile. Historical share price chart

Hindustan Media Ventures

MRF BUY. Performance Highlights. CMP `9,407 Target Price `11,343. Company Update Automobile. Key financials

LT Foods BUY. Performance Update. CMP Target Price `76 `128. 4QFY2018 Result Update Media

Market Access. Results Review 1Q FY17. M&A Securities. Hartalega Holdings Berhad. Record Sales with Lower Margins BUY (TP:RM4.

SUMMARY FINANCIAL DATA

Supermax. Rubber Gloves. Company Update. Bouncing back in BUY (maintain) Price Target: RM2.60 ( ) 26 January 2012

Bermaz Auto Darkest before dawn

Sunway Berhad. OUTPERFORM Price: RM2.65 Target Price: RM3.08 KENANGA RESEARCH. Within expectations. Results Note KENANGA RESEARCH.

KEI Industries BUY. Performance Update. CMP Target Price `433 `508. 4QFY2018 Result Update Cable. Historical share price chart.

Sanofi India NEUTRAL. Performance Highlights. CMP `4,301 Target Price - 4QCY2016 Result Update Pharmaceutical. Investment Period - 3-year price chart

ICICI Bank BUY. Performance Highlights. CMP Target Price `343 `460. Q3FY2019 Result Update Banking. 3-year price chart. Exhibit 1: Key Financials

Dong-A Pharmaceutical ( KS)

Malaysia Airports Holdings Dampened by higher depreciation and amortisation

Rallis India SELL. Performance Highlights. `231 Target Price 189 CMP. 2QFY2018 Result Update Agrichemical. Investment Period 12 months

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd.

Daewoong Pharmaceutical (069620)

Inox Wind BUY. Performance Highlights. CMP Target Price `242 `286. 4QFY2016 Result Update Capital Goods. 3 year price chart

SP Setia Berhad TP: RM4.10 (+15.5%) Acquiring I&P Group

Sanofi India ACCUMULATE. Performance Highlights. CMP `4,410 Target Price `4,738. 1QCY2016 Result Update Pharmaceutical. 3-year price chart

Maruti Suzuki ACCUMULATE. Performance Highlights. CMP `7,622 Target Price `8,501. 1QFY2018 Result Update Automobile

Ho Hup Construction RESEARCH. I m Back! On Our Radar. Kenanga Trading Buy RM1.55 Consensus N.A. N.A. KENANGA RESEARCH.

Market Access. M&A Securities. Results Review 1Q15. Axiata Group Berhad. Slow in Recovery. Wednesday, May 20, 2015 HOLD (TP:RM7.

Malaysia Airports Holdings

TVS Motor Company BUY. Performance Highlights. CMP Target Price `39 `45. 2QFY2013 Result Update Automobile. Quarterly highlights (Standalone)

Bumi Armada BAB MK Sector: Oil & Gas

Strategic Stock Investment Opportunity Best World International Limited Analysts: Ai Xin, Charles Phan & Jeremy Liang

New Hoong Fatt Holdings Berhad One-stop automotive replacement parts seller

Anta Sports (2020 HK)

Rallis India NEUTRAL. Performance Highlights CMP. `237 Target Price - 1QFY2018 Result Update Agrichemical. Investment Period - 3-year price chart

Transcription:

HAI-O ENTERPRISE BERHAD (HAIO) All figures in thousands of Ringgit Malaysia except per share values and ratios Analysis Date: 31/07/2013 Financial Year: 2013 30/04/2013 Latest Quarter: 30/04/2013 Price: 2.75 Stock Category: Turnaround Overview Hai-O Enterprise Berhad engages in wholesaling and retailing herbal medicines and healthcare products; investment holding; and property holding activities primarily in Malaysia. The company is involved in the wholesale and trade of herbal medicines and healthcare products, Chinese herbs, and tea and other beverages. It also engages in the multi-level direct marketing of health food, healthcare, wellness, and beauty products; manufacture and distribution of pharmaceutical products and health food; and provision of heat transmission and energy saving technology. In addition, the company leases machinery and equipment; operates as a licensed money lender and insurance agent, as well as importer, exporter, and commission agent; offers advertising services; imports and trades wine; provides research and laboratory services; and offers clinical services. It operates approximately 70 Hai-O Chain stores. Hai-O Enterprise Berhad was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Klang, Malaysia. Board: Main Board FBMKLCI: NO Industry: TRADING SERVICES Sub-Sector: TRADING AND DISTRIBUTION Ownership: Corporate Owned (Local) Institutional Holders Investment Strategy % Shares Owned: 0.88% Portfolio Strategy: Lump Sum + Top Up # of Holders: 5 Portfolio Execution: Buy and Monitor Total Shares Held: 1,783,380 Momentum 3 Mo. Net Change: 19,300 Averaging Down Method: Dollar Cost/Value Averaging # New Positions: 0 Stop Loss # Closed Positions: 0 Basis for Buying & Selling: EPS EY % OSCILLATOR # Increased Positions: 1 Institutional Sponsorship # Reduced Positions: 0 Market Direction # Net Buyers: 1 Price CAGR Full History 5.84% 10-Y 21.89% 5-Y 11.28% -9.97% 3-Y -20.00% -10.00% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00%

Key Performance Ratios Measures 2004/4/30 2005/4/30 2006/4/30 2007/4/30 2008/4/30 2009/4/30 2010/4/30 2011/4/30 2012/4/30 2013/4/30 5-Y Avg. 3-Y Avg. 10-Y GR. 5-Y GR. 3-Y GR. Sparkline Profitability Consistent and increasing ROE 4.82% 6.72% 11.39% 20.24% 34.53% 31.55% 33.76% 13.88% 15.34% 19.78% 19.77% 17.29% 12.68% -17.22% 17.72% (Pref. 15%) Consistent and increasing ROIC 6.39% 11.20% 15.00% 35.68% 84.90% 54.22% 66.09% 22.27% 28.54% 34.47% 35.35% 30.33% 15.21% -17.46% 21.84% (Pref. 15%) Increasing Net Profit Margin (Pref. 5.34% 7.40% 10.48% 16.16% 18.11% 17.44% 18.71% 18.49% 20.36% 23.93% 21.24% 21.79% 14.43% 7.17% 12.88% 10%) Healthy Cash Flow Consistent and increasing CROIC 6.02% 17.66% 13.61% 43.93% 90.53% 33.42% 77.95% 3.58% 47.08% 24.13% 33.08% 27.45% -0.33% -11.55% 95.47% (Pref. 15%) Increasing Free Cash Flow / Sales 3.61% 8.74% 6.92% 14.68% 14.38% 8.18% 16.70% 2.27% 25.15% 12.45% 14.41% 14.51% 2.84% 12.49% 85.03% (Pref. 5%) Consistently decreasing (or 92.55 65.80 62.58 49.28 22.10 15.59 16.53 66.15 61.15 50.53 50.37 56.77-5.64% 36.61% -13.47% negative) Cash Conversion Cycle Conservative Debt Increasing Debt Coverage Ratio (Pref. 150%) Increasing Quick Ratio (Pref. 100%) 75.97% 224.41% 218.27% 375.88% 1030.72% 182.97% 474.59% 30.91% 453.53% 248.53% 288.46% 271.79% -5.28% 5.67% 104.23% 127.41% 127.18% 136.30% 161.16% 194.20% 195.17% 283.93% 307.03% 278.33% 280.44% 279.96% 284.77% 11.12% 7.05% -4.53%

Growth Quality 600,000 Earnings 120,000 0.8 PAR-Adjusted EPS 500,000 100,000 0.7 400,000 80,000 0.6 0.5 300,000 60,000 0.4 200,000 40,000 0.3 100,000 20,000 0.2 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 EBIT Net Income Revenue 0 0.1 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 90,000 80,000 Cash Flow 100% 80% Growth Quality 60% 50% 70,000 60,000 50,000 60% 40% 20% 40% 30% 40,000 0% 20% 30,000 20,000 10,000 0-10,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Net Ops. Cash FCF Owner Earnings -20% -40% Revenue EBIT Net Income EPS Ops. Cash FCF Owner Earnings 3-Y 9.12% 20.52% 25.70% 26.21% 48.19% 94.15% 35.30% 5-Y -17.28% -10.70% -9.26% -12.85% -10.93% -4.79% -16.14% 10-Y 9.93% 24.18% 26.69% 20.20% 18.36% 17.67% 51.02% Quality 33% 54% 55% 45% 40% 25% 19% 10% 0%

Economic Moats Not available or no moat found Cost Advantage Not available or no moat found Switching Costs - Over 70 retail shops in Malaysia Network Effect Not available or no moat found Intangible Assets Not available or no moat found Efficient Scale Reference: http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2013/07/cp-v30-n2-9.pdf

Stock vs. Sector Peers Stock vs Sector Peers (Source: Reuters) ROE by Sector Peers (Source: EquitiesTracker) 80.00% 70.00% AMWAY 43.74 60.00% DKSH 26.74 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% ZHULIAN HAIO 15.34 25.92 20.00% BERNAS 14.86 10.00% 0.00% Debt to Equity - 5Y Avg EPS - 5Y Growth Net Profit Margin - 5Y Avg ROE - 5Y Avg Sales - 5Y Growth Company 6.22% 9.61% 13.43% 26.64% 4.81% Sector 71.51% 10.06% 9.23% 7.55% 7.77% HARISON JAYCORP CNI 9.85 8.45 1.26 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Market Cap by Sector Peers (Source: EquitiesTracker) PE by Sector Peers (Source: EquitiesTracker) AMWAY 1,982.50 CNI 52.50 BERNAS 1,684.04 AMWAY 19.87 ZHULIAN 1,449.00 HAIO 16.07 DKSH 802.48 ZHULIAN 12.35 HAIO 545.91 DKSH 10.32 HARISON 212.28 BERNAS 10.23 CNI 75.60 HARISON 7.49 JAYCORP 67.94 JAYCORP 6.60 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Market Timing Buy Criteria No. Method Description 1 EPS QoQ Growth The current quarter's EPS is up more than 15% from the same quarter the year before. 2 DCF Intrinsic Value Price is below Intrinsic Value 3 EY % Oscillator Price is below or around the price derived from EY% High 4 Market Direction Stock price breaks out of consolidation/dip on an uptrend. 5 Institutional sponsorship Company owner/directors, EPF, Khazanah, PNB and major fund institutions heavily buying Sell Criteria No. Method Description 1 EPS QoQ Growth Quarterly EPS drop for 3 consecutive months. 2 DCF Intrinsic Value Has the stock risen too far from its intrinsic value? 3 Market Direction Long term trend changed from bullish to bearish 4 Institutional sponsorship Company owner, EPF, Khazanah and PNB heavily selling. 5 EY % Oscillator Price is above or around the price derived from EY% Low 6 Fundamental Analysis Fundamental of business turns unattractive or bad - Declining cash flow - Serial charges - Serial acquirers - The CFO or Auditors leave the company - The bills aren t being paid - Changes in credit terms and account receivable - Found a better opportunity to replace this stock

EY% Valuation EY% High EY% Low M.O.S. R4Q-EPS FY14-EPS* FY15-EPS* 13.92% 8.59% 13% 0.23 0.25 0.30 Buy Under 1.78 1.90 2.27 Sell Above 2.52 2.70 3.23 * Estimations from Reuters or local analysts' reports EY% Price High R4Q FY14 FY15 Low Green Zone EY% 13.92% Green Zone Price($) 1.69 1.80 2.16 13.21% Buy Under 1.78 1.90 2.27 13% Trading Range 5.33% 9.30% Sell Above 2.52 2.70 3.23 13% Red Zone EY% 8.59% Red Zone Price($) 2.73 2.92 3.50 Low High

EPS QoQ Growth EPS QoQ Growth: 10.87% 0.09 0.08 0.081 0.07 0.06 0.055 0.05 0.046 0.052 0.051 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13

Insider Trading Last 3 months or last 30 insider transactions Transaction Date Securities Holder Type of transaction No of securities Price Transacted 18/07/2013 PHAN VAN DENH Acquired 247,662 2.60 18/07/2013 TAN KAI HEE Acquired 247,662 2.60 18/07/2013 TAN KENG KANG Acquired 247,662 2.60 18/07/2013 TAN KENG SONG Acquired 247,662 2.60 18/07/2013 TAN SIOW ENG Acquired 247,662 2.60 03/05/2013 PHAN VAN DENH Acquired 14,500 2.24 03/05/2013 TAN KAI HEE Acquired 14,500 2.24 03/05/2013 TAN KENG KANG Acquired 14,500 2.24 03/05/2013 TAN KENG SONG Acquired 14,500 2.24 03/05/2013 TAN SIOW ENG Acquired 14,500 2.24 02/05/2013 PHAN VAN DENH Acquired 17,400 2.28 02/05/2013 TAN KAI HEE Acquired 17,400 2.28 02/05/2013 TAN KENG KANG Acquired 17,400 2.28 02/05/2013 TAN KENG SONG Acquired 17,400 2.28 02/05/2013 TAN SIOW ENG Acquired 17,400 2.28 30/04/2013 PHAN VAN DENH Acquired 4,000 2.28 30/04/2013 TAN KAI HEE Acquired 4,000 2.28 30/04/2013 TAN KENG KANG Acquired 4,000 2.28 30/04/2013 TAN KENG SONG Acquired 4,000 2.28 30/04/2013 TAN SIOW ENG Acquired 4,000 2.28 29/04/2013 PHAN VAN DENH Acquired 5,600 2.30 29/04/2013 TAN KAI HEE Acquired 5,600 2.30 29/04/2013 TAN KENG KANG Acquired 5,600 2.30 29/04/2013 TAN KENG SONG Acquired 5,600 2.30 29/04/2013 TAN SIOW ENG Acquired 5,600 2.30 25/04/2013 PHAN VAN DENH Acquired 7,000 2.31 25/04/2013 TAN KAI HEE Acquired 7,000 2.31 25/04/2013 TAN KENG KANG Acquired 7,000 2.31 25/04/2013 TAN KENG SONG Acquired 7,000 2.31 25/04/2013 TAN SIOW ENG Acquired 7,000 2.31 24/04/2013 PHAN VAN DENH Acquired 4,000 2.32 24/04/2013 TAN KAI HEE Acquired 4,000 2.32 24/04/2013 TAN KENG KANG Acquired 4,000 2.32 24/04/2013 TAN KENG SONG Acquired 4,000 2.32 24/04/2013 TAN SIOW ENG Acquired 4,000 2.32

Notes Created Date Details Type Source Type 27/07/2013 http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/rhb/32178.jsp The MLM division will focus on new product developments, effective product training for distributors, as well as growing its membership base. The wholesale segment, meanwhile, has secured exclusive agency rights for a number of Chinese medicated tonic products and will roll out advertising & promotion programs to boost sales. HAIO is also reexamining its product portfolio and refurbishing its existing outlets to strengthen the retail division. Outlook Analyst Report 23/07/2013 - MLM bullish once more. Hai-O (HAIO) s multi-level marketing (MLM) sales and profitability took a plunge in FY11, mainly due to slower membership growth after the Company tightened its rules and procedures relating to purchasing and other documentation in order to comply with industry regulations introduced in 2010. Consequently, MLM FY11 sales and EBIT plummeted to MYR125.2m and MYR22.3m, from RM418.1m and MYR75.3m respectively in FY10. It has since adopted more proactive measures to attract new members/distributors and improve its performance. The Company also shifted its focus from big-ticket items, such as water filters, to consumer-centric products like beauty and health products, of which sales have been largely `consistent and recurring in nature. - Enlarging member base. As HAIO has 140,000 registered members, of which ~80% are Bumiputera, it is planning to introduce new products that appeal to non-bumiputera users (ie Chinese and Indians) in order to capture the relatively untouched market. The Company will also continue to launch five to eight new products each year. http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/rhb/33510.jsp Analysis;Growth Driver Analyst Report 04/07/2013 http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/kenangaresearch/32561.jsp We are also positive on HAIO as we anticipate its MLM segment to deliver decent earnings growth via continuous efforts to enhance its product mix and expand new markets. 27/06/2013 http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/kenangaresearch/32181.jsp Outlook We remain positive on Hai-O s prospect going forward as we anticipate its MLM segment to continue to deliver a decent earnings growth from a lower base through its continuous effort to enhance its product mix and expand new market channels through the recruitment of more new members. Change to Forecasts Due to the low base effect of its MLM segment, we have revised up our FY14E NP estimates by +5% to RM52.2m (from RM49.6m) on the back of a higher membership growth of 12% (vs. previous 6.6%). We are also introducing our FY15E earnings of RM57.1m, representing a 9.5% YoY growth. Analysis;Outlook Outlook Analyst Report Analyst Report