CHART BOOK: FULL. 3 September 2018

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Transcription:

CHART BOOK: FULL

CONTENTS SA Inflation SA Interest Rates Global Interest Rates Debt Equity Geographic Equities Relative Equities Macroeconomics SA Macroeconomics Global Macroeconomics SA Property Rand US Dollar Market Relative Commodities, Other

SA INFLATION

SA CPI YEAR-ON-YEAR

SA CPI SELECTED COMPONENTS YEAR-ON-YEAR

SA CPI SELECTED COMPONENTS YEAR-ON-YEAR CPI = Consumer Price Index

SA CPI BREAKEVEN ANALYSIS, CURRENT CPI = Consumer Price Index Nominal Bonds Inflation Linked Bonds Implied Breakeven Inflation Rates

SA CPI BREAKEVEN ANALYSIS, 1 WEEK AGO CPI = Consumer Price Index Nominal Bonds Inflation Linked Bonds Implied Breakeven Inflation Rates

SA CPI BREAKEVEN ANALYSIS, 3 MONTHS AGO CPI = Consumer Price Index Nominal Bonds Inflation Linked Bonds Implied Breakeven Inflation Rates

SA CPI BREAKEVEN ANALYSIS, 12 MONTHS AGO CPI = Consumer Price Index Nominal Bonds Inflation Linked Bonds Implied Breakeven Inflation Rates

IMPLIED BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATES IBI = Implied Breakeven Inflation

MODEL IMPLIED INFLATION LINKED BOND PICK UP

STATIC 2017 CPI WEIGHTINGS Restaurants & Hotels, 3.09% Education, 2.53% Recreation & Culture, 5.16% Communication, 2.63% Transport, 14.28% Miscellaneous, 15.05% Health, 1.40% Household Contents, Equipment & Maintenance, 4.35% Food & NAB, 17.24% Alcohlic Beverages & Tobacco, 5.82% Clothing & Footwear, 3.83% Housing & Utilities, 24.62% CPI = Consumer Price Index Statistics South Africa has recently moved to the internationally accepted 5-yearly update of the inflation basket. These three charts plot the composition of the basket between 2000 and 2013. Please note the change in the colour of the heading; this colour will be used throughout Chart Book to indicate charts that will remain largely static. The three largest components account for around 55% of the inflation basket: Food and Non- Alcoholic Beverages; Housing and Utilities and Transport.

STATIC 2013 CPI WEIGHTINGS Restaurants & Hotels, 3.09% Education, 2.53% Recreation & Culture, 5.16% Communication, 2.63% Transport, 14.28% Miscellaneous, 15.05% Health, 1.40% Household Contents, Equipment & Maintenance, 4.35% Food & NAB, 17.24% Alcohlic Beverages & Tobacco, 5.82% Clothing & Footwear, 3.83% Housing & Utilities, 24.62% CPI = Consumer Price Index Statistics South Africa has recently moved to the internationally accepted 5-yearly update of the inflation basket. These three charts plot the composition of the basket between 2000 and 2013. Please note the change in the colour of the heading; this colour will be used throughout Chart Book to indicate charts that will remain largely static. The three largest components account for around 55% of the inflation basket: Food and Non- Alcoholic Beverages; Housing and Utilities and Transport.

STATIC 2008 CPI WEIGHTINGS Education, 2.19% Recreation & Culture, 4.19% Communication, 3.22% Miscellaneous, 13.56% Restaurants & Hotels, 2.78% Food & NAB, 15.68% Alcohlic Beverages & Tobacco, 5.58% Clothing & Footwear, 4.11% CPI = Consumer Price Index Statistics South Africa has recently moved to the internationally accepted 5-yearly update of the inflation basket. These three charts plot the composition of the basket between 2000 and 2013. Please note the change in the colour of the heading; this colour will be used throughout Chart Book to indicate charts that will remain largely static. Transport, 18.80% Health, 1.47% Household Contents, Equipment & Maintenance, 5.86% Housing & Utilities, 22.56%

STATIC 2000 CPI WEIGHTINGS Transport, 13.72% Restaurants & Hotels, 0.00% Education, 3.73% Recreation & Culture, 3.04% Communication, 2.86% Miscellaneous, 7.18% Food & NAB, 24.15% Alcohlic Beverages & Tobacco, 2.73% Clothing & Footwear, 3.64% CPI = Consumer Price Index Statistics South Africa has recently moved to the internationally accepted 5-yearly update of the inflation basket. These three charts plot the composition of the basket between 2000 and 2013. Please note the change in the colour of the heading; this colour will be used throughout Chart Book to indicate charts that will remain largely static. Health, 6.90% Household Contents, Equipment & Maintenance, 7.50% Housing & Utilities, 24.54%

SA INTEREST RATES

SA REPURCHASE RATE

SA REAL REPURCHASE RATE

SOUTH AFRICA YIELD

SOUTH AFRICA REAL YIELD

SA FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS NCD = Negotiable Certificate of Deposit; FRA = Forward Rate Agreement

MODEL SA FRA S, IMPLIED INTEREST RATE CHANGES FRA = Forward Rate Agreement

MODEL SA FRA S, IMPLIED INTEREST RATE CHANGES FRA = Forward Rate Agreement

MODEL FORWARD RATES V ACTUAL REPO RATE FRA = Forward Rate Agreement

SA YIELD CURVE

GLOBAL INTEREST RATES

US FED FUNDS RATE

US YIELD CURVE

US YIELD

US REAL YIELD

EU REPO RATE

EU YIELD CURVE

GERMANY YIELD

GERMANY REAL YIELD

UK BASE RATE

UK YIELD CURVE

UK YIELD

UK REAL YIELD

JAPAN REPO RATE

JAPAN YIELD CURVE

JAPAN YIELD

JAPAN REAL YIELD

DEVELOPED MARKETS YIELD CURVES

GLOBAL MARKETS YIELD 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y 50Y SWITZERLAND -0.830-0.810-0.740-0.650-0.474-0.101 0.242 0.385 0.452 EU -0.766-0.749-0.712-0.641-0.364 0.281 0.696 0.902 1.355 GERMANY -0.766-0.749-0.712-0.641-0.364 0.281 0.696 0.902 NA JAPAN -0.277-0.260-0.283-0.132-0.094 0.028 0.482 0.616 NA UK 0.197 0.242 0.126 0.299 0.683 1.428 1.945 2.052 1.836 USA 1.414 1.578 1.787 2.060 2.287 2.482 NA 2.815 NA AUSTRALIA 2.250 2.310 1.707 1.906 2.206 2.705 NA NA NA CHINA 3.640 3.550 2.246 2.436 2.683 2.907 3.247 3.384 NA INDIA 6.087 6.062 6.181 6.132 6.275 6.304 NA 6.873 NA RUSSIA 10.120 10.080 8.810 8.800 8.820 8.710 NA NA NA SOUTH AFRICA 7.650 7.660 7.570 7.550 7.895 8.600 9.685 9.775 NA BRAZIL 13.695 13.340 12.520 11.730 11.760 11.920 NA NA NA Sub 0% 0% - 2% 2% - 5% 5% +

EM CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS EM = Emerging Markets This graph shows credit default swap spreads, as measured by 5 year spreads on USD denominated sovereign debt. Listed CDS spread is the premium paid by the buyer to the seller of the CDS. This varies from conventional understanding of yield spreads i.e. over US treasury yield. What s important to note in this graph is than the market has priced South African 5Y USD denominated debt at a level considered more risky than both Turkey and Russia (both junk at S&P; Russia junk at Moody's). Note: The default event typically used for EM debt is CR (Credit Restructuring) which triggers an event when a debt obligation is restructured i.e. interest payments reduced; principal reduced; maturity extended; becoming subordinated to another obligation or having its currency changed.

EM CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS, LAST YEAR EM = Emerging Markets

EM CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS, LAST YEAR REBASED EM = Emerging Markets

EQUITY

GEOGRAPHIC EQUITIES

GLOBAL EQUITIES

MSCI AC WORLD INDEX AC = All Countries

MSCI AC WORLD INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE AC = All Countries

MSCI AC WORLD INDEX, LAST YEAR AC = All Countries

MSCI AC WORLD INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES AC = All Countries

MSCI WORLD INDEX

MSCI WORLD INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

MSCI WORLD, LAST YEAR

MSCI WORLD INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

MSCI EM INDEX EM = Emerging Markets

MSCI EM INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE EM = Emerging Markets

MSCI EM INDEX, LAST YEAR EM = Emerging Markets

MSCI EM INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES EM = Emerging Markets

SOUTH AFRICA

JSE ALSI ALSI = All Share Index

JSE ALSI INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE ALSI = All Share Index

JSE ALSI INDEX, LAST YEAR ALSI = All Share Index

JSE SECTOR INDICES LAST YEAR, REBASED

JSE ALSI PE ALSI = All Share Index PE = Price Earnings

JSE ALSI DY ALSI = All Share Index DY = Dividend Yield

JSE ALSI, PERCENTAGE CHANGES ALSI = All Share Index

JSE ALSI EY ALSI = All Share Index EY = Earnings Yield

JSE ALSI REAL EY ALSI = All Share Index EY = Earnings Yield

JSE SWIX INDEX

JSE SWIX INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

JSE SWIX INDEX, LAST YEAR

JSE SWIX INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

JSE SWIX INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

JSE SWIX INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

JSE SWIX INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

JSE SWIX REAL EY EY = Earnings Yield

USA

S&P 500 INDEX

S&P 500 INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

S&P 500 INDEX, LAST YEAR

S&P 500 INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

S&P 500 INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

S&P 500 INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

S&P 500 EY EY = Earnings Yield

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS INDEX

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS INDEX, LAST YEAR

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

DOW JONES INDUSTRIES INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

NASDAQ 100 INDEX

NASDAQ 100 INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

NASDAQ 100 INDEX, LAST YEAR

NASDAQ 100 INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

NASDAQ 100 INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

NASDAQ 100 INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

NASDAQ 100 INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

RUSSELL 2000 INDEX

RUSSELL 2000 INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

RUSSELL 2000 INDEX, LAST YEAR

RUSSELL 2000 INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

CENTRAL & SOUTH AMERICA

MEXICO (BOLSA) INDEX

MEXICO (BOLSA) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

MEXICO (BOLSA) INDEX, LAST YEAR

MEXICO (BOLSA) INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

MEXICO (BOLSA) INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

MEXICO (BOLSA) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

MEXICO (BOLSA) INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

BRAZIL (IBX) INDEX

BRAZIL (IBX) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

BRAZIL (IBX) INDEX, LAST YEAR

BRAZIL (IBX) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

ARGENTINA (MERVAL) INDEX

ARGENTINA (MERVAL) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

ARGENTINA (MERVAL) INDEX, LAST YEAR

ARGENTINA (MERVAL) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

EUROPE

EUROPE (EURO STOXX 50) INDEX

EUROPE (EURO STOXX 50) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

EUROPE (EURO STOXX 50) INDEX, LAST YEAR

EUROPE (EURO STOXX 50) INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

EUROPE (EURO STOXX 50) INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

EUROPE (EURO STOXX 50) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

EUROPE (EURO STOXX 50) INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

UK (FTSE 100) INDEX

UK (FTSE 100) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

UK (FTSE 100) INDEX, LAST YEAR

UK (FTSE 100) INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

UK (FTSE 100) INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

UK (FTSE 100) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

UK (FTSE 100) INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

GERMANY (DAX 30) INDEX

GERMANY (DAX 30) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

GERMANY (DAX 30) INDEX, LAST YEAR

GERMANY (DAX 30) INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

GERMANY (DAX 30) INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

GERMANY (DAX 30) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

GERMANY (DAX 30) INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

FRANCE (CAC 40) INDEX

FRANCE (CAC 40) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

FRANCE (CAC 40) INDEX, LAST YEAR

FRANCE (CAC 40) INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

FRANCE (CAC 40) INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

FRANCE (CAC 40) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

FRANCE (CAC 40) INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

TURKEY (BIST ALL SHARE) INDEX

TURKEY (BIST ALL SHARE) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

TURKEY (BIST ALL SHARE) INDEX, LAST YEAR

TURKEY (BIST ALL SHARE) INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

TURKEY (BIST ALL SHARE) INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

TURKEY (BIST ALL SHARE) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

TURKEY (BIST ALL SHARE) INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

NIGERIA (ALL SHARE) INDEX

NIGERIA (ALL SHARE) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

NIGERIA (ALL SHARE) INDEX, LAST YEAR

NIGERIA (ALL SHARE) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

ASIA & PACIFIC

JAPAN (NIKKEI 225) INDEX

JAPAN (NIKKEI 225) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

JAPAN (NIKKEI 225) INDEX, LAST YEAR

JAPAN (NIKKEI 225) INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

JAPAN (NIKKEI 225) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

JAPAN (NIKKEI 225) INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

HONG KONG (HANG SENG) INDEX

HONG KONG (HANG SENG) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

HONG KONG (HANG SENG) INDEX, LAST YEAR

HONG KONG (HANG SENG) INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

HONG KONG (HANG SENG) INDEX DY DY = Dividends Yield

HONG KONG (HANG SENG) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

HONG KONG (HANG SENG) INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

SINGAPORE (STRAITS TIMES) INDEX

SINGAPORE (STRAITS TIMES) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

SINGAPORE (STRAITS TIMES) INDEX, LAST YEAR

SINGAPORE (STRAITS TIMES) INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

SINGAPORE (STRAITS TIMES) INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

SINGAPORE (STRAITS TIMES) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

SINGAPORE (STRAITS TIMES) INDEX EY PE = Price Earnings

CHINA (SHANGHAI COMPOSITE), LAST YEAR

CHINA (SHANGHAI COMPOSITE), PERCENTAGE CHANGES

RUSSIA (MOEX) INDEX

RUSSIA (MOEX) INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

RUSSIA (MOEX) INDEX, LAST YEAR

RUSSIA (MOEX) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

INDIA (S&P BSE 100) INDEX

INDIA (S&P BSE 100) INDEX,1Y RATE OF CHANGE

INDIA (S&P BSE 100) INDEX, LAST YEAR

INDIA (S&P BSE 100) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

AUSTRALIA (S&P/ASX 200) INDEX

AUSTRALIA (S&P/ASX 200) INDEX,1Y RATE OF CHANGE

AUSTRALIA (S&P/ASX 200) INDEX, LAST YEAR

AUSTRALIA (S&P/ASX 200) INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

AUSTRALIA (S&P/ASX 200) INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

AUSTRALIA (S&P/ASX 200) INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

AUSTRALIA (S&P/ASX 200) INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

RELATIVE EQUITIES

GLOBAL MARKETS

GLOBAL INDICES RELATIVE, LAST YEAR (USD)

GLOBAL MARKETS RELATIVE, LAST YEAR (USD)

ASIAN EQUITY MARKETS RELATIVE, LAST YEAR (USD)

MODEL GLOBAL MARKETS PE S PE = Price Earnings

GLOBAL MARKETS DY DY = Dividend Yield

GLOBAL MARKETS EY EY = Earnings Yield

DEVELOPED MARKETS

DEVELOPED MARKETS RELATIVE, LAST YEAR (USD)

MODEL DEVELOPED MARKETS PE S PE = Price Earnings

DEVELOPED MARKETS DY DY = Dividend Yield

DEVELOPED MARKETS EY EY = Earnings Yield

EMERGING MARKETS

EM RELATIVE, LAST YEAR (USD) EM = Emerging Markets

MODEL EMERGING MARKETS PE S PE = Price Earnings

EMERGING MARKETS DY DY = Dividend Yield

EMERGING MARKETS EY EY = Earnings Yield

COMMODITY LINKED MARKETS

COMMODITY MARKETS RELATIVE, LAST YEAR (USD)

MODEL COMMODITY MARKETS PE S

COMMODITY MARKETS DY DY = Dividend Yield

COMMODITY MARKETS EY EY = Earnings Yield

SA PROPERTY INDICES

SA LISTED PROPERTY INDEX

SA LISTED PROPERTY INDEX, 1Y RATE OF CHANGE

SA LISTED PROPERTY INDEX, LAST YEAR

SA LISTED PROPERTY INDEX PE PE = Price Earnings

SA LISTED PROPERTY INDEX DY DY = Dividend Yield

SA LISTED PROPERTY INDEX, PERCENTAGE CHANGES

SA LISTED PROPERTY INDEX EY EY = Earnings Yield

MACROECONOMICS

SA MACROECONOMICS

GDP

SA OFFICIAL UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

SA CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

SA FISCAL BALANCE

SA TRADE BALANCE

SA OFFICIAL FOREIGN RESERVES

SA OFFICIAL FOREIGN RESERVES (USD)

SA EQUITY MARKET FLOWS

SA BOND MARKET FLOWS

SA BOND MARKET FLOWS

SA MONEY SUPPLY M3 = Money Supply

SA NEW PASSENGER VEHICLE SALES

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX

GLOBAL MACROECONOMICS

NORTH & SOUTH AMERICA

USA GDP, 1Y ANNUALIZED CHANGE

USA UNEMPLOYMENT

USA LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE

USA INFLATION CPI = Inflation

USA POLICY RATE

USA CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

USA FISCAL BALANCE

MEXICO GDP

MEXICO UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

MEXICO INFLATION CPI = Inflation

MEXICO POLICY RATE

MEXICO CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

ARGENTINA UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

ARGENTINA POLICY RATE

ARGENTINA CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

BRAZIL GDP

BRAZIL UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

BRAZIL INFLATION CPI = Inflation Period prior to 1996 has been intentionally removed certain periods of hyper inflation which heavily skew the data.

BRAZIL POLICY RATE

BRAZIL CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

BRAZIL FISCAL BALANCE

EUROPE

EUROPE GDP

EUROPE POLICY RATE

FRANCE GDP

FRANCE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

FRANCE INFLATION CPI = Inflation

FRANCE POLICY RATE

FRANCE CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

FRANCE FISCAL BALANCE

GERMANY GDP

GERMANY UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

GERMANY INFLATION CPI = Inflation

GERMANY POLICY RATE

GERMANY CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

GERMANY FISCAL BALANCE

UK GDP

UK UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

UK INFLATION CPI = Inflation

UK POLICY RATE

UK CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

UK FISCAL BALANCE

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

NIGERIA GDP

NIGERIA INFLATION CPI = Inflation

NIGERIA POLICY RATE

NIGERIA CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

TURKEY GDP

TURKEY UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

TURKEY INFLATION CPI = Inflation

TURKEY POLICY RATE

TURKEY CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

TURKEY FISCAL BALANCE

ASIA & PACIFIC

AUSTRALIA GDP

AUSTRALIA UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

AUSTRALIA INFLATION CPI = Inflation

AUSTRALIA POLICY RATE

AUSTRALIA CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

AUSTRALIA FISCAL BALANCE

CHINA GDP

CHINA UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

CHINA INFLATION CPI = Inflation

CHINA POLICY RATE

CHINA CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

CHINA FISCAL BALANCE

HONG KONG GDP

HONG KONG UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

HONG KONG INFLATION CPI = Inflation

HONG KONG POLICY RATE

HONG KONG CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

INDIA GDP

INDIA INFLATION CPI = Inflation

INDIA POLICY RATE

INDIA CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

INDIA FISCAL BALANCE

JAPAN GDP

JAPAN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

JAPAN INFLATION CPI = Inflation

JAPAN POLICY RATE

JAPAN CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

JAPAN FISCAL BALANCE

RUSSIA GDP

RUSSIA UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

RUSSIA INFLATION CPI = Inflation Period pre 1996 has been intentionally excluded to remove certain periods of hyper inflation.

RUSSIA POLICY RATE

RUSSIA CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

RUSSIA FISCAL BALANCE

SINGAPORE GDP

SINGAPORE UNEMPLOYMENT

SINGAPORE INFLATION CPI = Inflation

SINGAPORE POLICY RATE Singapore has a policy rate that is controlled by exchange rate factors. The central bank is not in charge of interest rate policy, but rather the Monetary Authority of Singapore. The policy rate is managed against a basket of major trading partner currencies. Although the basket constituents are concealed, major partners are Hong Kong; China; Malaysia; Indonesia and the United States. This is the only nation in the world to follow this policy.

SINGAPORE CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE

RELATIVE MACROS

MODEL GLOBAL MARKETS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

MODEL GLOBAL MARKETS POLICY RATE

MODEL DEVELOPED MARKETS UNEMPLOYMENT

MODEL DEVELOPED MARKETS POLICY RATE

DEVELOPED MARKETS POLICY RATES

MODEL EMERGING MARKETS UNEMPLOYMENT

MODEL EMERGING MARKETS POLICY RATE

MODEL COMMODITY MARKETS UNEMPLOYMENT

MODEL COMMODITY MARKETS POLICY RATE

GLOBAL ASSET CLASS RETURN

GLOBAL ASSET CLASS RETURNS (ZAR)

GLOBAL ASSET CLASS RETURNS (USD)

GLOBAL ASSET CLASS RETURNS (EUR)

GLOBAL ASSET CLASS RETURNS (GBP)

GLOBAL ASSET CLASS RETURNS (BASE CURRENCY)

RAND

USDZAR

GBPZAR

EURZAR

AUDZAR

ZAR V SELECTED CURRENCIES, LAST YEAR, REBASED TO 100

USDZAR FORWARD

MODEL USDZAR FORWARD V ACTUAL USDZAR

GBPZAR FORWARD

MODEL GBPZAR FORWARD V ACTUAL GBPZAR

EURZAR FORWARD

MODEL EURZAR FORWARD V ACTUAL EURZAR

USDZAR 1 MONTH VOLATILITY

USDZAR 1 MONTH VOLATILITY, LAST YEAR

US DOLLAR

GBPUSD

EURUSD

AUDUSD

JPYUSD

USD LAST YEAR VS SELECTED CURRENCIES, REBASED TO 100

USD LAST YEAR, REBASED TO 100

GBPUSD FORWARD

MODEL GBPUSD FORWARD V ACTUAL GBPUSD

EURUSD FORWARD

MODEL EURUSD FORWARD V ACTUAL EURUSD

MARKET RELATIVE

USD V COMMODITY CURRENCIES

USD V EMERGING MARKETS

COMMODITIES, OTHER

OIL PRICE

OIL PRICE, LAST YEAR

OIL PRICE IN ZAR

OIL PRICE IN ZAR, LAST YEAR

GOLD PRICE (USD)

GOLD PRICE (USD), LAST YEAR

GOLD PRICE (ZAR)

GOLD PRICE (ZAR), LAST YEAR

GOLD PRICE (GBP)

GOLD PRICE (GBP), LAST YEAR

GOLD PRICE (EUR)

GOLD PRICE (EUR), LAST YEAR

CBOE VIX CBOE = Chicago Board Options Exchange

CBOE VIX, LAST YEAR CBOE = Chicago Board Options Exchange

MOVE INDEX (BOND VOLATILITY)

MOVE INDEX (BOND VOLATILITY), LAST YEAR

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