Inflation/deflation is the percentage change in the valuable goods and services on a year-on-year basis with respect to a base year.

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Transcription:

All About Inflation

Inflation/deflation is the percentage change in the valuable goods and services on a year-on-year basis with respect to a base year. Inflation is the increase in prices of goods and services while deflation is the decrease in prices of goods and services with respect to the base year.

In India, the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) was main index for measurement of inflation in India till April 2014. Then onwards RBI adopted new Consumer Price Index (CPI) (combined) as the key measure of inflation.

Causes of inflation Inflation is the result of two sets of factors : Cost-Push Inflation Demand Pull inflation

Cost-Push Inflation Cost-push inflation basically means that prices have been "pushed up" or increased by increases in costs of any of the four factors of production (labor, capital, land or entrepreneurship). (Aggregate supply is the total volume of goods and services produced by an economy at a given price level.)when there is a decrease in the aggregate supply of goods and services due to an increase in the cost of production, we have cost-push inflation. As a result, the increased costs are passed on to consumers, causing a rise in the general price level (inflation).

Demand Pull inflation A situation where the demand for goods and services rises faster than the supply of goods and services. This excess demand increases the prices of the goods and services hence creating inflation. Can be simply said as Too much money chasing too few goods. Some factors that cause this demand pull inflations are excessive foreign investment, expansionary fiscal policy e.g increase in government expenditure), expansionary monetary policy( eg. Increase in money supply),easy access to credit, deficit financing and others.

Some of the most important measures that must be followed to control inflation are: 1. Fiscal Policy: Reducing Fiscal Deficit 2. Monetary Policy: Tightening Credit 3. Supply Management through Imports 4. Incomes Policy: Freezing Wages.

Fiscal Policy: Reducing Fiscal Deficit: Fiscal policy means how a Government raises its revenue and spends it. If the total revenue raised by the Government through taxation, fees, surpluses from public undertakings is less than the expenditure it incurs on buying goods and services to meet its requirements of defence, civil admin-istration and various welfare and developmental activities, there emerges a fiscal deficit in its budget. To check inflation the Government should try to reduce fiscal deficit. It can reduce fiscal deficit by curtailing its wasteful and inessential expenditure. In India, it is often argued that there is a large scope for scaling down non-plan expenditure on defence, police and General Administration and on subsidies being provided on food, fertilizers and exports.

Monetary Policy: Tightening Credit: Monetary policy refers to the adoption of suitable policy regarding interest rate and the availability of credit. Monetary policy is another important measure for reducing aggregate demand to control inflation. It affects the cost of credit through interest rate. The higher the rate of interest, the greater the cost of borrowing from the banks. Other tools of monetary policy like SLR, CRR, Repo rate,reverse Repo rate, open market operations are use to control inflation in the economy by draining the liquidity from the market.

Supply Management through Imports: To check the rise in prices of food-grains, edible oils, sugar etc., the Government has often taken steps to increase imports of goods in short supply to enlarge their available supplies. When inflation is of the type of supplyside inflation, imports are increased. To increase imports of goods in short supply the Govern-ment reduces customs duties on them so that their imports become cheaper and help in containing inflation.

Incomes Policy: Freezing Wages: Another anti-inflationary measure is the avoidance of wage increases. When cost of living rises due to the initial rise in prices, workers demand higher wages to compensate for the rise in cost of living. By freezing wages of the employee can helpful in controlling inflation.

TYPES OF INFLATION 1. Deflation. When the overall price level decreases so that inflation rate becomes negative, it is called deflation. It is the opposite of the oftenencountered inflation. 2. Stagflation. An inflationary period accompanied by rising unemployment and lack of growth in consumer demand and business activity.

3. Reflation. Reflation is the act of stimulating the economy by increasing the money supply or by reducing taxes, seeking to bring the economy (specifically price level) back up to the long-term trend, following a dip in the business cycle. 4. Agflation. Rising food prices caused by increased demand for agricultural commodities.

5. Disinflation. Disinflation is a decrease in the rate of inflation a slowdown in the rate of increase of the general price level of goods and services in a nation's gross domestic product over time. It is the opposite of reflation.

6. Hyperdeflation An extremely large and relatively quick level of deflation in an economy. Hyperdeflation occurs when the general price level of goods or services in an economy falls drastically in a short period of time, causing the real value of a currency to actually increase in that time.

Effects of inflation: Price rise: Higher price is charged for the same quantity of goods and services. Creditors Lose: A creditor receives a reduced real interest rate. Debtors Gain: A debtor pays a lower real interest rate.

A moderate level of inflation characterizes a good economy. An inflation rate of 2 or 3% is beneficial for an economy. In times of lower inflation, the interest rate also remains low, thereby encouraging buying and borrowing. Governments and Central Banks try to achieve lower levels of inflation.

Thank you