1H18 RESULTS 6 MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2017

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Transcription:

1H18 RESULTS 6 MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2017

GROUP RESULTS 2

GROWTH IN PROFIT AND FCF Group Underlying 1 Reported 2 1H 2018 1H 2017 1H 2018 1H 2017 Revenue 856.5 808.7 856.5 808.7 EBIT 81.3 81.9 61.6 61.1 NPAT 44.0 41.9 22.1 21.1 As at 31 Dec 2017 31 Dec 2016 Free cash flow 3 45.7 23.9 Dividend cps 100% franked (60% UNPAT) 5.1 4.8» 6% revenue growth with increases in all divisions» Improved EBIT contribution from Pathology (+3%), Imaging (+15%) and corporate offsetting Medical Centres contraction, where the operating model has a new strategic focus in Project Leapfrog» 4% growth in EBIT 4, adjusting for greenfield sites and Health & Co» 5% growth in NPAT, primarily from balance sheet and cash flow initiatives» Free cash flow nearly twice 1H17» Reported results include $20 million restructuring and strategic initiatives 3 1 All comments relate to underlying results unless specifically noted 2 Reported performance - slide 8 3 FCF - slide 4 4 Business as Usual - slide 6

FURTHER INCREASE IN FREE CASH FLOW 250 200 150 100 105 $59m capex includes $32m for growth (31) (7) (21) 46 92 1 $46m FCF funded dividend and net debt reduction (30) (4) 17 13 50 95 95 95 95 4 - Opening cash OCF PPE Net HCP acquisitions Other intangibles» OCF benefitted from reduced tax and interest costs» Capex of $59m down $7m or 11% 1 of which HCP down $7m PP&E down $2m Intangibles up $2m» 54% of capex invested for growth» Delivered $46m free cash flow 1 = close to double 1H17 Net cash after FCF Capital recycling» Funded $20m restructuring and strategic initiatives, $30m dividend and reduced net debt Dividends 60 40 20 Net cash after dividends 0-20 Reduction in borrowings/ finance costs -11 FCF 1 Capex and FCF are before $1m in capital recycling (1H17 $6m) 24 Closing cash 46 1H16 1H17 1H18

PROGRESSIVE DECREASE IN DEBT Reported As at 31 Dec 2017 30 June 2017 Total debt 878.6 879.7 Cash (108.0) (95.5) Net debt 770.6 784.2 Bank gearing ratio (covenant <3.5x) 2.52x 2.51x Bank interest ratio (covenant >3.0x) 8.78x 7.86x Gearing (net debt: net debt + equity) 29.3% 29.6%» Significant improvement in leverage since 1H16 with capital recycling program and, more recently, free cash flow generation» Lower leverage ensures cover on covenants and substantial liquidity. ($1.125b bank facility refinanced in 1H18)» Discipline at divisional level, spending only what they generate» Overall need to balance competing capital demands - acquisitions, greenfield expansions, investing in essential infrastructure and dividends 1,200 1,000 800 600 Net debt reduction 1H16-18 1,098 821 771 1H16 1H17 1H18 5

BAU DELIVERS 3.8% EBIT GROWTH Underlying 1H 2018 1H 2017 Better/ (worse) % EBIT 81.3 81.9 (0.7) New centres / Health & Co 5.8 2.0 EBIT Business as Usual 87.1 83.9 3.8» 1H18 underlying EBIT up 3.8% (underlying NPAT up 11.8%) on BaU basis, reflecting new sites opening this year» Recognises net costs of greenfield centres 1 and start-up costs in Health & Co» FY 2018 openings: Medical Centres - Craigieburn, Narellan, Greensborough, Robina, Perth IVF and Day Surgery Imaging - Kawana» FY 2017 openings: Medical Centres - Corrimal, Brisbane IVF Imaging - River City 6 1 3-year ramp-up is assumed for greenfield sites

DIGITAL INVESTMENT TO DRIVE BETTER SERVICES AND EFFICIENCIES» Deliver modern platforms with an enhanced digital presence, tools and marketing» Medical Centres Clinical and Practice Management System (PMS) and Imaging Core Application Refresh (icar) projects underway - to complete over next 18-24 months» Pathology Laboratory Information System (LIS) under review - with 3-5 year horizon» Core systems will increase support to healthcare practitioners, improve earnings potential and deliver operational efficiencies» Modernisation and upgrade to Group IT infrastructure 7

FOCUS ON UNDERLYING RESULTS 1H 2018 1H 2017 Reported EBIT 61.6 61.1 Restructuring - redundancies & other termination payments 5.8 2.1 Technology strategic initiatives 5.9 1.4 Other strategic initiatives 4.6 3.8 Business set-up costs 1.4 2.4 Restructuring and strategic initiatives 17.7 9.7 Non-recurring items 2.0 11.1 Underlying EBIT 81.3 81.9» Underlying results reflect core trading results, adjusted for restructuring and strategic initiatives and non-recurring items» Restructuring costs relate to changes to leadership and HO structure» Technology and other strategic initiatives relate to the modernisation of our infrastructure and support systems eg Finance, Property and HR where investments expected to deliver benefits 8

DIVISIONAL RESULTS & STRATEGIES 9

PATHOLOGY: ACC COSTS GROWING LESS THAN REVENUE Underlying 1H 2018 1H 2017 Better/ (worse) % Revenue 534.0 504.9 5.8 EBITDA 67.0 64.6 3.7 Depreciation (9.7) (9.5) (2.1) Amortisation (4.4) (3.8) (15.8) EBIT 52.9 51.3 3.1 Capital expenditure 7.9 13.8 42.8» 5.8% revenue growth with increases in both volume and price underpinned by market demand (MBS five-year growth rates firming to 4.1%)» 3.1% EBIT growth with Approved Collection Centre (ACC) costs growing at a lower rate than revenue but not impacting volumes» Partially offset by consumables costs from increased coning and higher value tests requiring higher cost consumables» EBIT growth ~8% if not for completed HSO disposal» Continues to generate strong cash flow» Capex down 42.8% on pcp but expected to normalise in 2H18 10

TOP-LINE GROWTH, ACC OPTIMISATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENTS» Growth Whole-of-Primary approach Expanding Medical Centres footprint / optimising hospital contracts Specialty partnerships genetics, vets, histopathology» ACC optimisation Better service levels to reduce leakage Rent negotiation discipline (with rent as % of revenue decreasing)» Efficient, flexible infrastructure driving improved outcomes Serum work area LIS and pre-analytics» Stakeholder engagement» Staff engagement» Industry pathology body» Southeast Asia opportunities 11

PRY MEDICAL CENTRES : CHANGING METRICS AS CONTRACTS TRANSITION Underlying 1H 2018 1H 2017 Better/ (worse) % Revenue 159.3 157.0 1.5 EBITDA 54.3 65.4 (17.0) Depreciation (8.7) (10.7) 18.7 Amortisation (23.6) (27.8) 15.1 EBIT 22.0 26.9 (18.2) HCP capital expenditure 16.1 17.2 6.4 EBITDA HCP capex 38.2 48.2 (20.7) Halfway through 5 year process with new contracts to improve cash flow and widen appeal HCP capex at $16.1m, down from $38.1m in 1H16, when new contracts were just introduced Value proposition balanced with GP share of billings up Revenue up $2.3m but GP revenue down $5.0m due to lower % share on improved gross billings Additional investments: Recruit and support GPs Expand offerings eg dental, occ health, chronic care EBIT down $4.9m, or $2.6m on BaU basis 12 New strategic focus under Leapfrog GP metrics and recruitment statistics see slides 25 and 26

IT S ALL ABOUT THE RIGHT GPS IN RIGHT CLINICS» Recruitment Simplified contracts fewer restraints in Workplace of Choice environment Locally-based, internal recruitment team Right GPs in the right places Quality initiatives» Project Leapfrog Giving GPs what they want in the work environment: appointments, selective private billing Enhancing consumer experience: increased services, online access and improved facilities Driving efficiencies through digitisation and re-engineering workflows» Expansion Clinical Institute Roll out of 4 new medical centres and Perth IVF and day surgery Develop specialties, dental, IVF, occupational health Health Care Homes 13

LEAPFROG TO EVOLVE THE OPERATING MODEL» Recruitment Simplified contracts fewer restraints in Workplace of Choice environment Locally-based, internal recruitment team Right GPs in the right places Quality initiatives» Project Leapfrog Giving GPs what they want in the work environment: appointments, selective private billing Enhancing consumer experience: increased services, online access and improved facilities Driving efficiencies through digitisation and re-engineering workflows» Expansion Clinical Institute Roll out of 4 new medical centres and Perth IVF and day surgery Develop specialties, dental, IVF, occupational health Health Care Homes 14

OTHER GROWTH INITIATIVES» Recruitment Simplified contracts fewer restraints in Workplace of Choice environment Locally-based, internal recruitment team Right GPs in the right places Quality initiatives» Project Leapfrog Giving GPs what they want in the work environment: appointments, selective private billing Enhancing consumer experience: increased services, online access and improved facilities Driving efficiencies through digitisation and re-engineering workflows» Expansion Clinical Institute Roll out of 4 new medical centres and Perth IVF and day surgery Develop specialties, dental, IVF, occupational health Health Care Homes 15

HEALTH & CO: MORE AMBITIOUS M&A PROGRAM Underlying 1H 2018 1H 2017 Better/ (worse) % Revenue 2.7 0.2 EBITDA (2.5) (0.8) EBIT (2.5) (0.8) Capital expenditure 3.1 8.3 62.7» Existing clinics 100% retention, successful recruitment of new GPs and improved performance» Increase in loss with ramp-up of capabilities for a more ambitious M&A program to deliver meaningful footprint of clinics 16

IMAGING: GROWTH IN REVENUE AND EBIT Underlying 1H 2018 1H 2017» Revenue up 10.1% Above-market growth from hospital segment (up 14%) and PRY Medical Centres (up 10%)» Continuing strong EBIT expansion reflecting benefits of business portfolio management Focus on higher margin modalities eg MRI and CT Higher labour costs causing some contraction» On a BaU basis, EBIT up 16.8% on 1H17» Division self-funding with 38.7% reduction in total capex Better/ (worse) % Revenue 179.3 162.8 10.1 EBITDA 28.7 27.7 3.6 Depreciation (7.0) (7.8) 10.3 Amortisation (5.3) (5.6) 5.4 EBIT 16.4 14.3 14.7 HCP capital expenditure 1.8 2.1 14.3 Capital expenditure 10.3 16.8 38.7 17

PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT, OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE AND TECHNOLOGY UPLIFT» Portfolio alignment to hospital sector, Primary s medical centres and high-end specialised sites Hospital contracts (BPI) Northern Beaches Hospital critical for enhancing reputation (due to open October 18) Primary s new large-scale medical centres High-end specialised sites (Kawana) Sub-scale community site closed in 1H18» Operational excellence Whole-of-Primary approach Improving service levels to optimise referrals icar: Move to industry standard with some market leading applications Stakeholder engagement 18

WRAP-UP 19

HEALTHCARE DELIVERY IS CHANGING: PRIMARY TO BE AT FOREFRONT» More positive short-term policy settings but funding pressures remain» Important juncture in healthcare delivery with cost, convenience and technology shaping future consumer demands» Care must move out of hospitals into the community with multi-channel retail clinics and in-home services» Primary has scale, people and drive to lead» Project Leapfrog to put us at the forefront with: Workplace of Choice environment for GPs and staff Enhanced consumer experience Operational efficiencies» Substantial benefits from outcomes» Reconfirm guidance range of $92-97m UNPAT for FY18 20

APPENDICES A market leading network AUSTRALIA-WIDE COVERAGE 2,613 Total sites 216 TOTAL SITES 20 TOTAL SITES 20 675 TOTAL SITES 75 70 Primary Medical Centres Centres 5 Health & Co 7 205 4 66 TOTAL SITES 5 56 5 14 627 34 853 TOTAL SITES 32 759 62 2,396 2,288 ACCs Pathology 108 Laboratories 40 TOTAL SITES 720 TOTAL SITES 2 35 3 142 28 Hospitals Diagnostic Imaging 62 Community Centres 52 Medical Centres 15 671 34 23 TOTAL SITES 23 21 As at 15 January 2018

IMPROVING INDUSTRY TRENDS Pathology: Market Services & Benefits 12% 10% 8% 5 year growth rate of 4.1% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% Dec 12 Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15 Dec 15 Jun 16 Dec 16 Jun 17 Dec 17 Diagnostic Imaging: Market Services & Benefits 10% 9% 8% 5 year growth rate of 6.3% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Dec 12 Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15 Dec 15 Jun 16 Dec 16 Jun 17 Dec 17 Services (12m rolling) Benefits (12m rolling) Services (12m rolling) Benefits (12m rolling) GPs: Market Services & Benefits 8% 7% 5 year growth rate of 6.0% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 1% Dec 12 Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15 Dec 15 Jun 16 Dec 16 Jun 17 Dec 17 Specialist: Market Services & Benefits 9% 8% 7% 6% 5 year growth rate of 5.2% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Dec 12 Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15 Dec 15 Jun 16 Dec 16 Jun 17 Dec 17 Services (12m rolling) Benefits (12m rolling) Services (12m rolling) Benefits (12m rolling) 22

DIVISIONAL RECONCILIATION 1H 2018 Pathology Medical Imaging Corporate Group 2 Centres 1 Revenue 534.0 162.0 179.3-856.5 EBITDA 67.0 51.8 28.7 (5.5) 142.0 Depreciation (9.7) (8.7) (7.0) (1.3) (26.7) Amortisation (4.4) (23.6) (5.3) (0.7) (34.0) EBIT 52.9 19.5 16.4 (7.5) 81.3 1H 2017 Pathology Medical Imaging Corporate Group 2 Centres 1 Revenue 504.9 157.2 162.8 0.2 808.7 EBITDA 64.6 64.6 27.7 (7.0) 149.9 Depreciation (9.5) (10.7) (7.8) (1.4) (29.4) Amortisation (3.8) (27.8) (5.6) (1.4) (38.6) EBIT 51.3 26.1 14.3 (9.8) 81.9 23 1 Medical centres includes PRY Medical Centres and Health & Co refer slide 24 for analysis 2 $18.8m of inter-company revenue/expenses have been eliminated at the Group level (1H 2017 $16.4m)

MEDICAL CENTRES RECONCILIATION 1H 2018 Primary Medical Centres Health & Co Medical Centres Revenue 159.3 2.7 162.0 EBITDA 54.3 (2.5) 51.8 Depreciation (8.7) - (8.7) Amortisation (23.6) - (23.6) EBIT 22.0 (2.5) 19.5 1H 2017 Primary Medical Centres Health & Co Medical Centres Revenue 157.0 0.2 157.2 EBITDA 65.4 (0.8) 64.6 Depreciation (10.7) - (10.7) Amortisation (27.8) - (27.8) EBIT 26.9 (0.8) 26.1 24

PRY MEDICAL CENTRES: GP KEY DRIVERS GPs 1H 2018 1H 2017 1H 2016 Better/ (worse) % 1H 18-17 Better/ (worse) % 1H 18-16 Headcount 1,055 979 955 7.8 10.5 FTEs 1 958 922 923 3.9 3.8 Gross billings () 212.2 206.5 207.5 2.8 2.3 Share of revenue (%) 41.3% 44.9% 47.3% (360) pp (600) pp Revenue () 2 87.7 92.7 98.0 (5.4) (10.5) Capital expenditure () 15.3 15.9 33.6 3.8 54.5 HCP 3 capital expenditure () 16.1 17.2 38.1 6.4 57.7 EBITDA-HCP capex () 38.2 48.2 44.6 (20.7) (14.3)» Headcount, FTEs and gross billings increased but Primary received lower share of billings, hence lower GP revenue» Capex reduced from 1H16 highs (just after introduction of flexible contracts) releasing capital to fund expansion» EBITDA-HCP capex reflects cash impact of new contracts. 1H18 impacted by ramp-up of new centres, plus investment in GP support and patient services 25 1 FTEs based on 40-hour week, 47-week year. 2 Revenue includes revenue earned by registrars who are employed rather than under contract (1H18 33, 1H17 23 registrars). 3 HCP capex includes IVF, dentists and other specialists

PRY MEDICAL CENTRES: GP RECRUITMENT» Recruitment and retention are critical success factors - right GPs in right clinics is paramount» 67 GPs recruited, 50 leavers of which 20 due to clinic closures and quality reset program» Retention at 95% across cohort = industry levels» Strong pipeline of GPs in 2H18 with new initiatives including simpler contracts, localised recruitment teams, Project Leapfrog» $10.7m after-tax GP capex ($15.3m pre-tax), 94% of new GPs electing for no-upfront contracts 40.00 GP recruitment 91 60 67 1H17 2H 17 1H 18 # of GPs 75 25 (25) (75) 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16 2H16 1H17 2H17 1H18 35.00 30.00 25.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 GP capex () Joiners (LHS) Leavers (LHS) After tax capex (RHS) 1 Closure/terminations 26

HCP ACQUISITIONS: TAX IMPLICATIONS» Healthcare Practitioners contracted on or after 1 July 2015: Deferred tax liability (DTL) to be recognised at the time of the acquisition of healthcare practices and capitalisation of contractual relationship intangible assets Equal movement in DTL will ensure an effective tax rate of 30%» Healthcare Practitioners contracted prior to 30 June 2015: No DTL has been recognised regarding the acquisition of healthcare practices and capitalisation of contractual relationship intangible assets to-date Therefore there is a non-deductible (permanent) difference which will increase the notional effective tax rate above 30%. This will progressively decrease as the associated amortisation expense is recognised and runs off The additional accounting tax expense is as follows: 1H 2018 2H 2018 2019 2020 Additional Accounting Tax Expense 4.2 3.6 5.1 2.3 27

DISCLAIMER» This presentation has been prepared by Primary Health Care Limited (ACN 064 530 516) ( PRY ).» Material in this presentation provides general background information about PRY which is current as at the date this presentation is made. Information in this presentation remains subject to change without notice. Circumstances may change and the contents of this presentation may become outdated as a result.» The information in this presentation is a summary only and does not constitute financial advice. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and has been prepared without taking account of any person s investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs.» This presentation is based on information made available to PRY. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made in relation to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information contained herein and nothing in this presentation should be relied upon as a promise, representation, warranty or guarantee, whether as to the past or future. To the maximum extent permitted by law, none of PRY or its directors, officers, employees, agents or advisers (PRY parties) accepts any liability for any loss arising from the use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with it, including, without limitation, any liability arising from the fault or negligence on the part of any PRY parties.» Those statements in this presentation which may constitute forecasts or forward-looking statements are subject to both known and unknown risks and uncertainties and may involve significant elements of subjective judgment and assumptions as to future events which may or may not prove to be correct. Events and actual circumstances frequently do not occur as forecast and these differences may be material. The PRY parties do not give any representation, assurance or guarantee that the occurrence of the events, express or implied, in any forward-looking statement will actually occur and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.» This presentation is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of any security and neither this document, nor anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. Accordingly, no action should be taken on the basis of, or in reliance on, this presentation. 28