Portfolio Analysis. KfW Development Bank. Portfolio Analysis Health June Author: Lukas Dietrich Editor: Dr Patrick Rudolph

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KfW Development Bank Portfolio Analysis 27 June 2018 Portfolio Analysis Health 2017 Author: Lukas Dietrich Editor: Dr Patrick Rudolph Challenges In the Agenda 2030 for Sustainable Development, health is the third a total 17 goals. This SDG focuses on equal access to quality, essential health care services and medicines, as well as financial risk protection (Universal Health Coverage UHC). Globally, approximately one billion people do not have access or equal access to appropriate and affordable health care. Due to high individual illness costs, up to 100 million people fall below the poverty line each year. The health systems are ten weak: they lack adequate infrastructure, specialists, medicines, sustainable financing and efficient management. Global developments like climate and demographic change, urbanisation, and migration present great challenges, especially for these weak health care systems. Crises and conflicts aggravate the situation. Tropical diseases that have not been dealt with continue to be a risk in many partner countries. Many non-communicable diseases like diabetes, cardiovascular diseases and cancer are also clearly on the rise. With the focus on health during the German presidencies the G7 and G20, the core concerns German development cooperation in the health sector were also clearly structured. Fighting infectious diseases, improving maternal and child health and strengthening health care systems serve as the foundation for Germany's involvement. New for 2017 In 2017, KfW Development Bank concluded financing agreements in the amount around EUR 400 million for 29 new in the health sector (compared with 2016: EUR 360 million). This sum comprises around EUR 272 million in budget funds from the Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ), EUR 123 million in KfW market funds and around EUR 5 million in delegated funds from the German Federal Ministry Education and Research (BMBF). Approximately 47% the funds are used in Sub-Saharan Africa, about 44% in Asia/Oceania, 5% in Europe/Caucasus and 2% in North Africa/the Middle East. The remaining funds are allocated to supra-regional measures. In Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the top priority is providing funding to fight infectious diseases followed by reproductive health. In Asia/Oceania on the other hand, the focus is the infrastructure and health services. In Europe/Caucasus, a contract for a new project focusing on medical training and advanced training was signed with Turkey. In Yemen North Africa/Middle East a project to promote reproductive health was relaunched. The new supra-regional relate to medical research and support development new medicines and diagnostic procedures for diseases associated with poverty within the scope what are known as product development partnerships. Ongoing programmes With a financing about EUR 2.9 billion, KfW Development Bank supported 225 health in 41 countries by the end 2017. Of those, 78 revolve around reproductive health and 71 focus on improving health care infrastructure. Further issues include: battling infectious diseases (44 ), health policy and health services administration programmes (18 ), basic nutrition (5 ), basic and advanced medical training (5 ) and medical research (4 ). Overall, a relative shift in weight from the reproductive health to the infrastructure and health services has been observed over the last 5 years. The other s are at a constant level. Looking at the portfolio by region, there is a slight shift in favour Sub-Saharan Africa, which is in line with political requirements in the context the special programme Health in Africa. Form financing for ongoing programmes With 67% (EUR 1.92 billion) budget funds from the German Federal Government are still the most important source funding within the current FC health portfolio. Primarily due to the increasing use funds raised by KfW on the capital market, however, this share has declined slightly over time. At present, the KfW funds amounting to EUR 863 million are used exclusively in the form development and promotional loans in advanced Asian countries (China, India, Indonesia and Sri Lanka). In addition, KfW Development Bank also manages funds from other donors by means mandates (around EUR 92 million) to achieve a more efficient division tasks. These are implemented predominantly in supra-regional (54%), as well as in Afghanistan (41%) and in Malawi (4%). Target groups for the ongoing programmes More than 758 million people benefit directly or indirectly from the 158 that have been running since 2011. Around 76% KfW Development Bank Portfolio analysis Page 1

the in the health sector contribute directly to alleviating poverty. 1 Overview ongoing health The following table provides a regional overview the ongoing for which a financing agreement was concluded on 31 December 2017, but for which no ex post evaluation has currently been performed by KfW's external evaluation unit. Accompanying measures, basic and advanced training and additional financing are assigned to the respective main project. 2 Category Saharan Africa Asia/Oceania Europe/Caucasus Latin America Sub- North Africa/Middle East Interregional Total General figures 85 123 4 1 7 5 225 total portfolio total which budget funds which KfW funds (in EUR million) which delegated funds Disbursement status 38% 55% 2% 0.4% 3% 2% 920 1,766 25 5 95 60 2,872 32% 62% 1% 0.2% 3% 2% 917 866 25 5 95 10 1,917 0 863 0 0 0 0 863 4 38 0 0 0 50 92 62% 70% 69% 94% 91% 43% 67% Target group ( with a financing agreement before 2011 are not taken into account in the target group statistics) Total target group reached (millions) 308 434 0.7 0.2 16 758 Core statements At the end 2017, KfW had supported 225 in the health sector with a total EUR 2.9 billion. At EUR 1.92 billion (around 67%), most the portfolio is financed with budget funds. 94% the portfolio is concentrated on the regions Asia/Oceania (55%) and Sub-Saharan Africa (38%). Health reach over 758 billion people. 1 See poverty orientation AO 1 and AO 2 2 Differences in the totals are due to rounding KfW Development Bank Portfolio analysis Page 2

Analysis the s 3 Sub-sector OECD-DAC definitions Fighting sexually transmitted diseases, including HIV/AIDS Reproductive health Family planning A&F public health medicine / reproductive health Promotion reproductive health Fighting infectious diseases Fighting tuberculosis Fighting infectious diseases Basic health services Infrastructure and health services Medical services Infrastructure in the field basic health care Health policy and health services administration Health policy and health services administration Basic and advanced medical training Other Medical research Basic nutrition The tables below differentiate between the regions and the s in the health field. 4 Sub-sectors in the regions, new commitments 2017 Category Sub- Saharan Africa North Asia/Oceania Europe/Caucasus Latin America Africa/Middle East Interregional Total Reproductive health 5 2 0 0 1 0 8 regional 67 13 0 0 8 0 88 35% 7% 0% 0% 100% 0% 75% 15% 0% 0% 8% 0% Fighting infectious diseases 6 4 0 0 0 0 10 regional vol- 95 41 0 0 0 0 136 50% 23% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3 Classification according to the CRS codes, but can also have an impact in other s 4 Differences in the totals are due to rounding KfW Development Bank Portfolio analysis Page 3

ume 70% 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% Infrastructure and health services 3 5 0 0 0 0 8 regional 28 111 0 0 0 0 139 15% 63% 0% 0% 0% 0% 20% 80% 0% 0% 0% 0% Health policy and health services administration 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 regional 0 12 0 0 0 0 12 0% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% Other 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 regional Regional total (in EUR million) 0 0 21 0 0 5 26 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 81 % 0% 0% 19% 190 177 21 0 8 5 400 KfW Development Bank Portfolio analysis Page 4

Sub-sectors in the total portfolio Sub-sectors Reproductive Fighting infec- Infrastructure & Health policy and Other Total health tious diseases health services health services administration General figures total number all (in EUR million) 78 44 71 18 14 225 35% 20% 32% 8% 6% 865 546 1,036 223 202 2,872 Percentage total Disbursement status 30% 19% 36% 8% 7% 67% 91% 56% 77% 54% 67% Average FC (in EUR million) 11 12 15 12 14 13 Target group ( with a financing agreement before 2011 are not taken into account in the target group statistics) Total target group reached (millions) 265 170 253 39 31 758 Core statements Infrastructure and health services make up 35% the total new commitments in 2017. This includes primarily the building and expansion hospitals and new training centres. The regional priority here is in Asia/Oceania (around 63%). Another third new commitments in 2017 benefit measures designed to fight infectious diseases. The largest in this area is in Sub-Saharan Africa (approx. 70%), followed by Asia/Oceania (around 30%). In relation to the 2017 financing, that focus on reproductive health are mainly in Sub-Saharan Africa (around 76%), followed by Asia/Oceania (around 15%) and North Africa/Middle East (around 9%). The average FC new in 2017, including additional financing, is around EUR 14 million. Analysis development policy markers Here, the markers for programme-based approaches, gender equality and poverty orientation, and reproductive, maternal, newborn and child health are listed according to region. General and sectoral budget aid are marked with PBA 3. PBA 2 indicates basket funding with other donors, and PBA 1 refers to that are implemented in the scope programme-based approaches. PBA 0 do not correspond to the PBA criteria. GG 2 classification designates all that have gender equality as a main priority; GG 1 see this as a secondary objective, and GG 0 designations are not aimed toward gender equality. The same gradations apply for poverty orientation markers (AO 0, AO 1, AO 2). The RMNCH marker, which represents the contribution to Reproductive, Maternal, Newborn and Child health, describes which percentage project funds are used for maternal/child health or reproductive health (below 15%, 15 85%, over 85%). 5 5 Differences in the totals are due to rounding KfW Development Bank Portfolio analysis Page 5

Markers Sub- Saharan Africa North Asia/Oceania Europe/Caucasus Latin America Africa/Middle East Interregional Total (percentage share) Project-based approaches PBA 0 56 109 4 1 7 5 PBA 1 26 2 0 0 0 0 PBA 2 3 12 0 0 0 0 182 (81%) 28 (12%) 15 (7%) PBA 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Gender equality GG 0 0 32 3 0 0 4 GG 1 59 91 1 1 6 1 GG 2 26 0 0 0 1 0 Poverty orientation AO 0 3 47 0 0 0 4 AO 1 24 15 0 0 0 1 AO 2 58 61 4 1 7 0 RMNCH 6 RMNCH 0 7 17 0 0 0 2 RMNCH 1 10 10 1 0 10 1 RMNCH 2 39 22 0 0 3 0 39 (17%) 159 (71%) 27 (12%) 54 (24%) 40 (18%) 131 (58%) 26 (21 %) 32 (26%) 64 (52%) Core statements In total, around 19% the in the health sector follow a programme-based approach (PBA 1 to PBA 3). About 83% the health promote gender equality directly (GG2) or indirectly (GG1). Around 76% the in the health sector contribute directly to alleviating poverty (markers AO 1 and AO 2). Over half clearly focusses on maternal and child health and on reproductive health (RMNCH marker 2). Contact KfW Group KfW Development Bank Palmengartenstrasse 5-9 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany Telephone +49 69 74310 Fax +49 69 7431 2944 info@kfw-entwicklungsbank.de www.kfw.de 6 Marker has been recorded for only since framework planning in 2014 KfW Development Bank Portfolio analysis Page 6