PT Indosat Tbk 9M 2011 Results. Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 1

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Transcription:

PT Indosat Tbk 9M 2011 Results Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 1

Disclaimer PT Indosat Tbk cautions investors that certain statements contained in this document state management's intentions, hopes, beliefs, expectations, or predictions of the future are forward-looking statements Management wishes to caution the reader that forward-looking statements are not historical facts and are only estimates or predictions. Actual results may differ materially from those projected as a result of risks and uncertainties including, but not limited to: Our ability to manage domestic and international growth and maintain a high level of customer service Future sales growth Market acceptance of our product and service offerings Our ability to secure adequate financing or equity capital to fund our operations Network expansion Performance of our network and equipment Our ability to enter into strategic alliances or transactions Cooperation of incumbent local exchange carriers in provisioning lines and interconnecting our equipment Regulatory approval processes Changes in technology Price competition Other market conditions and associated risks The company undertakes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of future events, new information, or otherwise Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 2

Today s agenda 9M 2011 Overview Strategy Financial & Operational Results Awards and Recognition

9M 2011 Updates Consolidated Revenue Growth of 3.5% over 9M 2010 ; Quarterly growth of 2.7% Cellular Revenue Growth of 4.8% over 9M 2010 ; Quarterly growth of 2.3% EBITDA Margin of 46.5%; Normalized * EBITDA Margin of 49.3% Free Cash Flow of IDR 2,249 billion, growth of 36.0% over 9M 2010 Profit Attributable to Owners of The Company of IDR 992.0 billion, growth of 86.9% over 9M 2010 ; Quarterly growth of 36.0% Debt lower by 20.7% over 9M 2010 Subscriber Milestone 50 Million Threshold crossed in Q32011 Cellular customer growth maintained momentum and added 11.8 million net additions YoY End of 9M 2011 GSM subscribers of 51.5 million * Net of Voluntary Separation Scheme (VSS) costs Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 4 4

Marketing Campaigns 3Q 2011 Pulsa Langsung Kembali Indosat Internet t Blackberry Flat Rate Roaming Is a voice tariff program in which customers can earn credits by making regular calls to all operators. Bonuses are earned for each regular call made to Indosat numbers and also to other operators provided the calls are chargeable - between 12.00 24.00 (not valid for international calls, 01016, premium calls, etc.). Free Talk 5000 promo, IM3 Ce-eSan and IM3 Community arenot eligible ibl for the promotion. Internet broadband service for Indosat customers (IM3, Mentari, Matrix) Data package service with high speed up to 1 Mbps for allinternet activities such as e-mail, chatting, downloading, blogging, and browsing. Available on daily, weekly and monthly basis, with two package options(gaul and BROWSER) to provide customers with options and easy to understand drates Flat rate that applies to the data usage from Indosat registered Blackberry s in the countries listed as Indosat s roaming partners Tariffs start from Rp25k / day Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 5

Ratings Update On 23 September 2011, Moody s affirmed Indosat Ba1 ratings and revised the outlook from Negative to Stable with the following rationale: Established position as Indonesia s #2 mobile operator Improved liquidity and covenant headroom and Improving operating performance amid ongoing competitive environment On 29 July 2011, FitchRatings affirmed Indosat BBB- ratings and revised the outlook from Stable to Positive for Indosat Long-term Local Currency Issuer Default Ratings. On 10 October 2011, Pefindo affirmed Indosat idaa+ ratings and stable outlook. The ratings reflect strong support from the majority shareholder, Indosat s strong market position and improved operating performance. Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 6

2011 Annual Guidance Update Key Metrics FY 2010 Actual 2011 Guidance Previous Current Consolidated Revenue Growth 5.2% 7-11% 3-4% Cellular Revenue Growth 12.1% 8-12% 4-5% Non-Cellular Revenue Growth (16.7%) 3-6% (2) - 0% EBITDA Growth 9.7% Up to 9% Up to 1% EBITDA Margin 48.6% 46-48% 46-47% Cash CAPEX (IDR tr) IDR 6.5tn IDR 5.8-6.8tn IDR 5.8-6.2tn Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 7

Today s agenda 9M 2011 Overview Strategy Financial & Operational Results Awards and Recognition

Ne Strategic Priorities 2010-11 Earn the right to success 2012-2013 Accelerate impact Scorecard KPIs and examples Customers Better Understanding of Customer needs Excellence in delivering attractive products to market Enhance Customer Experience Revenue, EBITDA and Profit Market Share Expansion Expand into new high growth markets Innovation New Business From Tower Optimization People Asset Utilization Technology Excellence in Execution Strengthen Culture, Structure, Execution Capability and Talent Management Further Sweating of Assets Network Sharing, Opex Reduction, Lighten Balance Sheet Technology & Spectrum Strategy, Regulatory Relationship Alignment and KPIs Benchmark against global best in class FCF Generation and EBITDA and Net Profit Margins Data take-up rates, Network data throughput Best in class execution Rev/BTS etc. Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 9

Strategic Priorities Achievements to Date Improved profitability Improved normalised EBITDA Margin of 49.3% YTD FCF generation of IDR 2.2tr 2t Profit attributable to owners of IDR 992.0bn Stronger balance sheet CAPEX to sales moderating below 30% Organic de-gearing of 20.7% YoY Network Focus Data demand readiness Quality enhancement Cost efficiency Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 10

Strategic Priorities Achievements to Date People productivity Successful VSS: launched in Q1 2011 and completed within 3 months Permanent workforce reduced by 26% Driving an innovation culture Innovation Lab first LTE trial, Developer Platform Low cost and Green BTS launched for remote areas Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 11

Today s agenda 9M 2011 Overview Strategy Financial & Operational Results Awards and Recognition

9M 2011 Revenue Profile 2011 : 9M Growth Profile 2,827 2,773 (1.9%) 0.98% 4,480 4,524 (16.7%) 3,770 2,773 12,016 12,587 4.8% 0.85% 14,179 14,300 12.1% 16,027 12,587 9M2010 9M2011 2008 2009 2010 9M2011 Cellular Non Cellular Non-cellular l derived d revenues declined d at a slower pace, while core Cellular l grew in line with broader market growth Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 13

9M 2011 Segmented revenue Cellular Revenue (IDR Bn) Fixed Data Revenue (IDR Bn) Fixed Voice Revenue (IDR Bn) 17.6% YoY 4.8% (9.9%) 1.4% (32.6%) (7.9%) 10,217 12,016 12,587 2,009 1,811 1,837 1,507 1,016 936 9M 2009 9M 2010 9M 2011 9M 2009 9M 2010 9M 2011 9M 2009 9M 2010 9M 2011 Mobile Industry growth has moderated, owing to increased penetration and a very crowded and competitive landscape Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 14

9M 2011 Profit Attributable to Owners of The Company and EBITDA Profit Attributable to Owners of The Company (IDR Bn) EBITDA (IDR Bn) and EBITDA Margin YoY (63.4%) 86.9% 12.3% 0.6% 1,450 46.1% 47.9% 46.5% 531 992 6,327 7,107 7,148 9M 2009 9M 2010 9M 2011 9M 2009 9M 2010 9M 2011 Increases in Profit Attributable to Owners of The Company gains driven primarily through FX gains and lower absolute debt service expenses. Normalized margins stable decline attributable to VSS Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 15

9M 2011 Debt Summary Gross debt (IDR Bn) and Gross debt / EBITDA Net debt (IDR Bn) and Net debt / EBITDA (20.7%) 11.7% (4.8%) YoY (4.7%) 78.3% (6.3%) 24,766 27,666 21,929 22,529 2.78 2.90 227 2.27 2.53 21,481 2.25 20,120 2.08 9M 2009 9M 2010 9M 2011 Note: Gross debt defined as: total loans payable, bonds payable and unamortized issuance cost (loans, bonds and notes), unamortized consent solicitation fees (loans and bonds) and unamortized discounts (loans and notes). 9M 2009 9M 2010 9M 2011 Note: Net debt is Gross debt less cash and cash equivalents. Continuous de-gearing underway owing to FCF generation and conservative financial practices Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 16

9M 2011 FCF and CAPEX FCF (IDR Bn) CAPEX (IDR Bn) and CAPEX / revenue (%) YoY 128.3% 36.0% (54.1%) (8.9%) 9,457 1,655 2,250250 68.9 9M 2009 9M 2010 9M 2011 4,340 29.2 3,956 25.8 (5,856) 9M 2009 9M 2010 9M 2011 Cash-out CAPEX trending flatter on year resulting in higher FCF generatione Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 17

9M 2011 Debt breakdown Total debt (IDR Bn) PT Indosat Tbk debt maturity profile (IDR Trillion as of September 30, 2011) Short Term Long Term 24,418418 1,438 27,308 4402 4,402 21,643 4,243 22,980 22,906 17,401 9M 2009 9M 2010 9M 2011 Net Debt to Equity 1.06X Gross Debt to Equity Net Debt to EBITDA 1.16X 2.08X Covenants 2.5X USD Bonds 57.3% 42.7% Rupiah Loans 51.5% 48.5% Gross Debt to EBITDA 2.27X 3.5X Hedge of USD Bonds & Loans 35% Interest Coverage 5.41X 3.0X Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 18

Today s agenda 9M 2011 Overview Strategy Financial & Operational Results Awards and Recognition

Awards and Recognition EMPLOYER OF CHOICE (FEB. 2011) THE BEST CONTACT CENTER INDONESIA (JUN 2011) INDONESIA BRAND CHAMPION AWARAD (MAR. 2011) HOTGAME READER S CHOICE AWARD 2010 (MAR. 2011) The Best Technology Innovation 2011 The Best HR Retention SELULAR AWARD (APR. 2011) The Best Technical Support INDONESIA CELLULAR AWARD (JUN. 2011) GOLDEN RING AWARD (JUN 2011) The Best Back Office Support Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 20

Thank You Indosat Investor Relations Jl. Medan Merdeka ede Barat aatno. 21 Jakarta - 10110 Tel: +62 21 3869615 Investor@indosat.com Any further questions? FY 2011 Results Early 2012 Upcoming events

Today s agenda Appendix Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 22

Macro-Economic Overview Indonesia Telecom indicators Revenue Share Macro-economic Data (2011) Population: 237.42 m Population Growth: 1.3% GDP/Cap (PPP): $ 3,465 Real GDP Growth Rate: 6.2% Key trends Mobile: Mobile penetration continues to rise, sector growth is estimated to decrease from 10.3% CAGR 2008-2010 to 5.0% CAGR in 2011-2016. Fixed: The fixed telecom growth in Indonesia is predicted to grow at a CAGR of 5.1% (2010-2016) compared to a CAGR of 10.2% (2008-2010). 82.20 87.80 93.06 98.65 104.47 110.53 Mobile 116.61 Fixed 123.03 Key Indicators GDP per capita is projected to grow from the current rate of $US 3,000 to $US 4,000 by 2014, implying a growth rate at 33%, and commensurate increase in consumer spending power The inflation rate is predicted to flatten or decline in the coming years - Bloomberg Consensus for Inflation 22.29 24.55 25.45 26.16 27.49 29.08 30.83 32.68 2011-2013 is 5.66% 2009A 2010A 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E Stability expected in the exchange rate with Bloomberg Consensus for USD/IDR 2011-2013 at IDR/USD 8458 Source: Frost & Sullivan, McKinsey, IMF, QI, Internal Analysis Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 23

9M 2011 Results 9M 2010 (billion IDR) 9M 2011 (billion IDR) YoY Cellular 12,015.9 12,587.1 4.8% Fixed Data 1,810.9 1,837.1 1 14% 1.4% 9M 2010 Fixed Data 12% Fixed Voice 7% Fixed Voice 1,016.3 936.3 (7.9%) Operating Revenue 14,843.1 15,360.5 3.5% Cellular 81% EBITDA 7,107.3 7,148.1 0.6% Normalized EBITDA* 7,107.3 7,573.7 6.6% EBITDA Margin 47.9% 46.5% (1.4%) Normalized EBITDA Margin* Profit Attributable to Owners of The Company 47.9% 49.3% 1.4% 530.9 992.0 86.9% 9M 2011 Cellular 82% Fixed Data 12% Fixed Voice 6% * Exclusive of charges associated with the Voluntary Separation Scheme (VSS) Cellular growing at industry rate; recovery in Fixed Data Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 24

9M 2011 Results - Segmented review Cellular Net Additions: 11.8M Subscribers: 51.5M YoY 29.9% IDD Fixed Voice YoY Blended ARPU (IDR): 29.4K (16.6%) Total Traffic: 1,784.4 mn minutes 11.6% Blended MOU: 95 minutes (17.8%) 8.5% Outgoing: Incoming: 339.1 bn minutes 1,445.3 bn minutes (1.8%) 15.3% Fixed Data Revenue Contribution and Growth: StarOne 9M 2011 Subscribers: 283.2K (60.8%) Global Corporate Services 76.9% 10.7% Blended ARPU (IDR): 32.4K 81.8% Satellites Lease 5.1% (1.1%) (0.6%) Multimedia 17.2% (25.9%) (23.6%) Others 0.8% (47.1)% Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 25

9M 2011 Customer Market Share Total customers (million) YoY 40.9% 29.7% Hutch NTS ISAT 6.9% 7.7% 22.1% XL 28.2 39.7 51.5 18.6% 9M 2009 9M 2010 9M 2011 Total 233.1 million Subs 44.7% TSEL Sources : Company data & IA Estimation Note : Excluding CDMA Indosat Presentation 9M 2011 page 26