Q Earnings Call. 30 April 2018

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Transcription:

Q1 2018 Earnings Call 30 April 2018 1

Table of Content Indonesia Macro Overview 4 Q1 2018 Key Financial Highlights 6 Sales and DP/CV Mix 7 Same Store Sales Growth 8 Regional GDP, Sales and SSSG 9 Gross Profit and Margin 10 OPEX 11 EBITDA and Margin 12 Net Income and Margin 13 Inventory and Cash Position 14 Operational & Strategic Updates Store Network 16 Initiatives roll out update 17 Mataharistore.com 18 Appendix Shareholding Structure 21 2

Indonesia Macro Overview 3

Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 Indonesian economy at a glance Consumer Confidence Index GDP Growth 117.1 115.3 123.7 121.5 125.9 122.4 123.4 121.9 123.8 120.7 122.1 126.4 126.1 122.5 121.6 5.14% 5.01% 5.03% 4.92% 4.71% 4.67% 4.73% 5.04% 4.92% 5.02% 5.01% 5.06% 5.19% 5.18% 4.94% 5.01%. Inflation 3.61% 4.17% 4.33% 4.37% 3.25% 3.88% 3.82% 3.72% 3.58% 3.61% 3.30% 3.18% 3.40% Source: Bank Indonesia and BPS 4

Q1 2018 Financials 5

Key Financial Highlights IDR Bn Q1 17 Q1 18 Gross Sales 3,214 3,368 4.8% SSSG -3.5% 4.8% Gross Profit 1,165 1,218 4.5% EBITDA 389 398 2.4% Net Income 244 247 1.0% Gross Margin 36.3% 36.2% 10 bps EBITDA Margin Net Margin 12.1% 11.8% 30 bps 7.6% 7.3% 30 bps 6

Total sales, and direct purchase contribution, continue to grow Sales IDR Bn 17,294 17,496 3,214 3,368 FY '16 FY '17 Sales mix DP 37.0% 37.2% CV 63.0% 62.8% Q1' 17 Q1' 18 Sales mix DP 36.9% 38.1% CV 63.1% 61.9% 7

SSSG improved to 4.8% in Q1 2018 SSSG % FY Q1 5.5% -1.2% 4.8% -3.5% FY 16 FY 17 Q1 17 Q1 18 8

Greater Jakarta leads sales growth, Kalimantan strengthens SSSG Outside Java Q1 : 5.7% Greater Jakarta Gross Sales by Region (%) Q1 2018 27.0% Java exc Jkt 33.6% Kalimantan Outside Java 39.4% Total Sales 100.0% Sumatra SSSG Greater Jkt Q1 : 6.1% West Java Greater Jakarta Central Java East Java Bali and East Indonesia Note: Regional GDP as of Q4 2017 Source: Bank Indonesia for GDP growth SSSG Java Q1 : 2.7% > 7% 6% < GDP 7% 5% < GDP 6% 4% < GDP 5% GDP 4% Negative 9

Merchandise margins 10 bps lower in Q1 on clearance Gross profit and margins IDR Bn 35.5% 35.5% 36.3% 36.2% 6,146 6,203 1,165 1,218 FY' 16 FY' 17 Q1' 17 Q1' 18 Gross profit as a % of Gross Sales 10

Same store opex expenses leverage in Q1 Opex (1) as a % of Gross Sales Total Company Comp store 18.9% 18.6% 19.4% Q1' 17 Q1' 18 18.9% Total Company 24.4% 24.2% FY' 16 FY' 17 Note 1. Opex calculated as Adjusted Gross Profit less Adjusted EBITDA Q1' 17 Q1' 18 11

Q1 EBITDA grew by 2.4% yoy EBITDA and Margins IDR Bn 16.6% 16.0% 12.1% 11.8% 2,872 2,808 389 398 FY' 16 FY' 17 Q1' 17 Q1' 18 Notes EBITDA adjusted for severance pay EBITDA as a % of Gross Sales 12

Net income was Rp247bn in Q1 2018 Net Income (IDR Bn) 11.7% 10.9% 7.6% 7.3% 2,020 1,907 244 247 7.6% FY' 16 FY' 17 Q1' 17 Q1' 18 Net Income as a % of Gross Sales 13

Balance sheet remains healthy INVENTORY DAYS, CASH POSITION AND OUTSTANDING BANK LOAN BALANCE Inventory days and cash position improved End of Dec 2017 End of Mar 2018 LTM Ave. Inventory Days 118 days 120 days Cash on Hand Rp 1,583 Bn Rp 1,106 Bn Outstanding Bank Loan Balance Rp 0 Rp 0 CAPEX AND REFURBISHMENTS FY 2017 FY 2018E Capex Rp 323 Bn Rp 400-500 Bn Refurbishments 16 15-20 14

Operational and Strategic Updates 15

FY2018 expansion plans o Forecast revised to 4-6 new stores o 2 new stores prior to Lebaran o 1 stores impacted by fire o 1 underperforming store lease expired in April and will not be renewed (Grand Palladium, Medan) Store Count Split by Region Greater Jakarta Java exc Jkt Outside Java 35.3% 36.8% 39.7% 40.1% 40.4% 40.6% 36.2% 35.2% 32.8% 32.4% 31.1% 33.5% 28.5% 28.0% 27.5% 27.5% 28.5% 25.8% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 New Store Opening Actual Forecast Plan No Geographic area FY2017 Q1 2018 FY2018E Future Pipeline 2019 and onwards # of stores # of stores # of stores # of stores % mix 1 Jabodetabek (Greater Jakarta) 40 40 0 4 12.1% 2 Java (ExcGreater Jakarta) 52 51 3-5 11 33.3% 3 Outside Java 63 63 1 18 54.5% Total 155 154 4-6 33 100.0% 16

Key merchandising initiatives roll-out update Disney DP Handbags 154 stores 98 stores Naura & Neona IFF Designers - Muslimwear 92 stores 67 stores 17

Mataharistore.com performance update Mataharistore.com Q1 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 No. of transactions ( 000) 67 215 270 Store pick-ups (%) 2.4% 3.7% 3.5% DP: CV sales mix ratio 77:23 73:27 79:21 Sales by Category - Offline (Q1 2018) Sales by Region Online (1Q18) Greater Jakarta, 39.7% Sales by Category - Online (Q1 2018) Java excl. G. Jkt, 52.8% Outside Java, 7.5% Ladies/youth girl, 18.5% Shoes, 21.1% Men/youth boy, 31.1% Children, 11.5% Cosmetics, 8.0% Bags/Access ories, 2.6% Others, 7.1% Ladies/ youth girl, 26.7% Men/ Youth boy, 36.5% Shoes, 17.8% Children, 14.7% Bags/ accessories, 5.3% Cosmetics, 0.3% Others, 4.7% 18

Summary Same store sales growth increased from 3.7% in Q4 2017 to 4.8% in Q1 2018 Growth drivers were an increase in transactions and unit volumes Merchandising initiatives are performing well, with the Home initiative being piloted in the middle of the year 2018 Store expansion plans have been pulled back, anticipating developer delays Mataharistore.com performance continues to show strong growth in terms of both transactions and sales 19

Appendix 20

Shareholding Structure Public Multipolar 82.5% 17.5% PT Matahari Department Store Tbk 21

Notes 22

Notes 23