Q Earnings. Conference Call, 10th May 2007

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Transcription:

Q1 2007 Earnings Hans Peter Ring COO for Finance Conference Call, 10th May 2007 1 Safe Harbor Statement Certain of the statements contained in this document are not historical facts but rather are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management s beliefs These statements reflect the Company s views and assumptions as of the date of the statements and involve known and unknown risk and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements When used in this document, words such as anticipate, believe, estimate, expect, may, intend, plan to and project are intended to identify forward-looking statements Such forward-looking statements include, without limitation, projections for improvements in process and operations, new business opportunities, revenues and revenues growth, operating margin growth, cash flow, deliveries, launches, compliance with delivery schedules, performance against Company targets, new products, current and future markets for the Company products and other trend projections This forward looking information is based upon a number of assumptions including without limitation: Assumption regarding demand Current and future markets for the Company s products and services Internal performance including the ability to successfully integrate EADS activities to control costs and maintain quality Customer financing Customer, supplier and subcontractor performance or contract negotiations Favourable outcomes of certain pending sales campaigns Forward looking statements are subject to uncertainty and actual future results and trends may differ materially depending on variety of factors including without limitation: General economic and labour conditions, including in particular economic conditions in Europe and North America, Legal, financial and governmental risk related to international transactions The cyclical nature of some of the Company s businesses Volatility of the market for certain products and services Product performance risks, and programme development and management risks Collective bargaining labour disputes Factors that result in significant and prolonged disruption to air travel world-wide The outcome of political and legal processes, including uncertainty regarding government funding of certain programs Consolidation among competitors in the aerospace industry The cost of developing, and the commercial success of new products Exchange rate and interest rate spread fluctuations between the Euro and the US dollar and other currencies Legal proceeding and other economic, political and technological risk and uncertainties The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update these forward-looking statements Consequently the Company is not responsible for any consequences from using any of the below statements Additional information regarding these factors is contained in the Company s registration document dated 25th April 2007 2 1

Content Group Business & Financial Highlights Divisional Performance Outlook and Conclusion 3 Q1 2007 Key business achievements Airbus Commercial momentum: 134 gross orders booked A380: on track for Singapore delivery in October A350 : programme organisation in place Military Transport Aircraft Preferred bidder for 3 A330 MRTT by UAE Armed Forces US tanker proposal submitted Eurocopter 287 units booked; record orders at Heli-Expo Astrium Successful launch of the first Skynet 5A satellite Increase of yearly production rate to seven Ariane 5 ECA Defence & Security FiReControl contract signed (System for England s Fire and Rescue Services) Eurofighter enhancement contract granted by the four nations 4 2

Power 8 : Project Plan Moving Forward Recent and Ongoing Work Programme management set-up Information of works councils, first steps of overhead reduction process underway Definition and implementation of quick wins Preparation of strategic decisions for structural modules Definition of individual operational savings projects progressing By Year End 2007 A350 partnership shortlist (selection of RSP & site partners, negotiations) Start of operational modules implementation Through 2008 Start of strategic modules implementation Follow-up of operational modules implementation 5 Q1 2007 Financial Highlights in bn Q1 2007 change Revenues of which Defence 90 91 EBIT* 009 079 ** -89% Order intake 105 105 +0% 15 20-1% -24% in bn March 2007 Dec 2006 change Total Order book 2615 2628-05% of which Defence 543 529 + 27% ** Group EBIT has been restated by 11m as a result from the application of the equity approach for the accounting of pension provisions (Airbus 3m; Eurocopter 2m; Astrium 1m; Defence & Security 4 m; Headquarters 1m) 6 3

Q1 2007 Financial Highlights Q1 2007 m in % of Revenues m in % of Revenues EBIT* 89 10% 791 87% self-financed R&D** 550 61% 536 59% EBIT* before R&D 639 71% 1,327 146% Interest result (31) (03%) Other financial result (69) (08%) Taxes 16 02% Net loss / income (10) (01%) EPS (1) (001 ) (29) (03%) (33) (04%) (215) (24%) 522 57% 066 (1) Average number of shares outstanding: 801,580,807 in Q1 2007 and 795,283,531 in ** IAS 38: 17 m capitalised during Q1 2007; 56m capitalised during Q12006 7 Q1 2007 EBIT* bridge ~ 0 ~ 0 03-07 08-02 in bn -01 01 Operating leverage/ performance R&D Dollar Power8 restructuring A380 impact Other one-off Q1 2007 8 4

Development of Net Cash in m Q1 2007 Net cash position at the beginning of the period Gross Cash Flow from Operations* Change in working capital Cash used for investing activities** of which Industrial Capex (additions) of which Customer Financing of which Others Free Cash Flow** Free Cash Flow before customer financing 4,229 1,147 (1,603) (359) (502) (37) 180 (815) (778) 5,489 835 (603) 131 (501) 430 202 363 (67) Capital increase Share buyback Others Net cash position at the end of the period * gross cash flow from operations, excl working capital change ** excl change in securities, consolidation changes 5 8 73 3,500 76 (34) (2) 5,892 9 Currency Hedge Policy Approx half of EADS US$ revenues naturally hedged by US$ procurement In Q1 2007 hedges of $ 39 bn* matured at an average hedge rate of 1 = 110 $ In Q1 2007, new hedges of $31 bn* were added at an average rate of 1 = 134 $ US$ bn 15 10 5 0 EADS hedge portfolio, 31st March 2007 ($ 443 bn), average rate 1 = 118 $ and 1 = 163 $ 120 139 110 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 9 month vs $ 117 114 120 124 125 vs $ 158 157 163 172 178 60 14 Mark-to-market value = 48 bn * Total hedge amount containing as well $/ hedges 10 5

Contents Group Financials Divisional Performance Outlook and Conclusion 11 Airbus m Q1 2007 Deliveries 115 101 Revenues 6,606 6,362 R&D self-financed** 467 449 in % of revenues 71% 71% EBIT* in % of revenues (69) 684 108% Order book*** 206,372 197,033 in units, excl A400M 2,540 2,146 ** capitalised R&D: 2 m in Q1 2007 and 51m in *** total including A400M, commercial a/c valued at list prices Gross order intake: 134 a/c 46% Asia/Pacific North America 23% 16% Europe RoW Gross Orders by region Leasing companies 4% Legacy 21% 67% Low cost Gross orders by operator type Revenues up 4% Driven by SA deliveries but mitigated by less A400M milestones & dollar impact (- 300m) EBIT: dragged down by Power 8 restructuring: (- 688m) - 100m less customer financing sell down vs last year A380 costs higher by -200M But favourable volume/mix & continuing unit cost improvement Less impacted than future quarters by dollar ~0; A350 risk, not yet materialized; pricing, still stable; R&D increase Other highlights A380 : plan on track A350 XWB : 13 orders; commitments by Aeroflot Campaigns and contracts transition on-going Risk partnership agreement with UAC 12 6

MTA m Revenues R&D self-financed in % of revenues EBIT* in % of revenues Order book 133 4 30% (13) 20,307 822 3 04% 9 11% 20,786 81% defence Q1 2007 based on Q1 2007 EADS external revenues Revenues and EBIT* Reduction of A400M milestones None recognized this quarter vs 2 in Q1 06 (including M7) A400M First horizontal tail plane, wings set and centre wing box completed Start of FAL delayed to mid-year as indicated Tanker Answer to the US Air Force RFP on tankers Preferred bidder for up to 3 A330 MRTT for UAE Armed Forces Structural Modifications of Australian A330 finalised Successful in-flight deployment of the tanker boom Medium-light aircraft Order of 2 additional CN-235 MP for the Deepwater program JCA award expected very soon 13 Eurocopter m Q1 2007 Revenues 671 656 R&D self-financed 19 17 in % of revenues 28% 26% EBIT* 33 28 in % of revenues 49% 43% Order book 12,975 10,251 in units 1287 921 45% civil defence 55% Product Support Customer Services 5% Aero structure 44% 6% Dev 45% Serial Helicopters based on Q1 2007 EADS external revenues Revenues up 2%, EBIT* up 18% Seasonality effect like in Increase in customer services and deliveries (74 vs 64 last year) Delays in NH90 and Tiger final acceptance Order intake +175% in value 287 a/c ordered vs 147 last year 45 NH90 for Spanish MOD EC 135 ordered by French Gendarmerie (12 firm + 25 options) NH90 Successful maiden flight of Australian Multi-role NH90 Grant of Greece type certificate Development issues with the naval version Internationalization Australia key role in global supply chain Inauguration of Albacete plant March 28 th 14 7

Astrium m Revenues 629 493 R&D self-financed 12 12 in % of revenues 19% 24% EBIT* in % of revenues 10 16% 1 02% Order book 12,543 11,909 defence 43% 57% civil Q1 2007 Space transportation 53% 35% Astrium satellites based on Q1 2007 EADS external revenues 12% Services Revenues up 28% Driven by ramp-up in Paradigm services, Ariane 5 production and higher ballistic missiles sales EBIT* already positive in Q1 Driven by volume and increasing contribution from services Launchers Successful Ariane 5 ECA launch on March 11th (first of six launches) Order of M51 production tranche 2 Increase in yearly production rate to seven Ariane 5 ECA Arianespace won 6 further launch contracts, backlog for more than 3 yrs Satellites Launch of Skynet 5A Eutelsat ordered Hotbird 10 ESA contract for the Mercury Probe Bepi Colombo 15 Defence & Security m Revenues Q1 2007 970 1,000 R&D self-financed 39 44 in % of revenues 40% 44% EBIT* (6) 39 in % of revenues 39% Order book 17,902 17,523 14% DCS 27% MBDA 23% 2% Others 34% Military Air Systems based on Q1 2007 EADS external revenues Defence 96% Defence Electronics Revenues stable Higher Secure Networks and Defence Electronic sales More than offset by decrease in stand-off missiles EBIT* explained by No capital gain (vs 106m in ) Decreased restructuring + 36m Operational improvement in Defence Communication Systems Order Intake up 56% FiReControl contract German development contract for the Euro Hawk UAV in cooperation with Northrop Grumman Further highlights Eurofighter enhancement contract MEADS: start of core electronics production for next generation air defence radar 49% of Atlas after naval assets contribution 16 8

Other Businesses m 94% civil Q1 2007 Revenues 282 330 R&D self-financed 2 2 in % of revenues 07% 06% EBIT* 20 (4) in % of revenues 71% Order book 2,392 2,213 EFW 21% Socata 11% ATR 41% Sogerma 27% based on Q1 2007 EADS external revenues Sogerma Disposal of maintenance business: revenues impact (48)M; EBIT* impact 13m Improved profitability of the remaining business ATR Market still booming, 21 new orders, 129 a/c in backlog 8 a/c delivered vs 4 in Q1 06 EFW More deliveries in freighter conversion & aerostructure in Q1 07 vs Q1 06 Socata 6 TBM delivered; 2 orders; backlog 36 a/c Contract for avionics upgrade of the French Air force Xinju transport a/c: 3rd service contract with the French MoD over the last 12 months Low cost aerostructures center in Morocco 17 Content Group Financials Divisional Performance Outlook and Conclusion 18 9

Guidance 2007 Revenues: low single digit decrease assuming an exchange rate of 130 US$ per Airbus deliveries in 2007: 440-450 aircraft EADS 2007 budget EBIT* roughly stable compared to 2006 Airbus 2007 EBIT* negative because of Power8, A350XWB launch charges, higher R&D and dollar impact Helicopters, defence and space businesses EBIT * close to 1bn Free cash flow negative 19 Appendix 20 10

Profit & Loss Highlights Revenues 8,984 self-financed R&D*** 550 61% EBITDA EBIT* 525 89 58% 10% EBIT* before R&D 639 71% Interest result Other financial result Taxes Q1 2007 in % of m Revenues (31) (03%) (69) (08%) 16 02% ** in % of m Revenues 9,083 536 59% 1,119 123% 791 87% 1,327 146% (29) (03%) (33) (04%) (215) (24%) FY 2006 m in % of Revenues 39,434 2,458 62% 2,033 52% 399 10% 2,857 72% (121) (03%) (123) (03%) 81 02% Net loss / income (10) (01%) EPS (1) (001 ) 522 57% 066 99 03% 012 ** Group EBIT has been restated by 11m as a result from the application of the equity approach for the accounting of pension provisions (Airbus 3m; Eurocopter 2m; Astrium 1m; Defence & Security 4 m; Headquarters 1m) *** IAS 38: 17 m during Q1 2007; 56 m during ; 411 m capitalised during FY 2006 (1) Average number of shares outstanding: 801,580,807 in Q1 2007; 795,283,531 in ; 800,185,164 in FY 2006 21 Shareholding structure Balance of control in corporate governance remains unchanged Contractual Partnership SEPI SOGEADE Lagardère & French State 2995%* 548% Daimler Chrysler 2246%** Free float incl Minor direct holdings: French State: 006% Treasury shares 106% 5789% 4211% as of 31 st March 2007 EADS * On April 4, 2006, Lagardère issued mandatory exchangeable bonds The EADS shares deliverable at the maturity of the bonds will represent a maximum of 75% of the share capital of EADS ** On February 9, 2007, DaimlerChrysler reached an agreement with a consortium of private and public-sector investors by which it will reduce its shareholding in EADS by 75% 22 11

Expected EADS Average Hedge Rates vs $ 130 120 121 119 110 110 109 111 108 118 113 115 112 100 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY 2007e 2006 Average FY 2007e Average FY 2006 23 Airbus Customer Financing 25 15 05-05 -15-25 -35 12 14 (07) (02) Active exposure management (29) Additions and Disposals to Airbus customer financing gross exposure in $ bn Additions Sell Down Amortization 15 (02) 06 (09) (01) 05 (07) (02) 15 (07) (02) (02) (03) 10 (10) (03) 09 (13) (02) 04 02 (02) (01) (22) 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1 2007 (02) Net change 61 43 39 31 38 48 46 38 18 18 Gross exposure ($bn) Continuing Reduction since 2004 reflects market recovery Allocated over 86 aircraft Net Exposure fully provisioned Gross Exposure 13 bn ($ 18 bn) Net Exposure 08 bn Estimated Collateral 05 bn March 31st, 2007 24 12

Customer Financing Exposure millions March 2007 Dec 2006 closing rate 1 = $ 133 $ 132 100% AIRBUS Total Gross exposure 1,346 1,399 of which off-balance sheet 448 483 Estimated value of collateral (498) (521) Net exposure 848 878 Provision and asset impairment (848) (878) AIRBUS Net exposure after provision 0 0 50% ATR Total Gross exposure 283 295 of which off-balance sheet 42 43 Estimate value of collateral (259) (270) Net exposure 24 25 Provision (24) (25) ATR Net exposure after provision 0 0 25 EBIT* Calculation in m Q1 2007 EBIT* 89 791 Exceptionals: Fair value adjustment (12) (17 ) Profit before finance cost and income taxes 77 774 ** Group EBIT has been restated by 11m as a result from the application of the equity approach for the accounting of pension provisions (Airbus 3m; Eurocopter 2m; Astrium 1m; Defence & Security 4 m; Headquarters 1m) *** IAS 38: 12 m during Q1 2007; 56 m during ; 411 m capitalized during FY 2006 26 13

Restructuring items included in EBIT* in m Q1 2007 EBIT* 89 EBIT* margin (% of revenues) 10% 791 87% EADS EBIT* includes the following items Airbus Restructuring (688) 0 DS Restructuring (14) (50) 27 Net Loss / Income pre-exceptionals in m Q1 2007 Net loss / income (10) EPS (1) (001 ) Exceptionals: Depreciation of fair values 12 Related Tax impact (4) Net loss / income* (2) EPS* (1) 0 522 066 17 (6) 533 067 ; the term exceptionals refers to such items as depreciation expenses of fair value adjustments relating to the EADS merger, the Airbus creation and the formation of MBDA (1) Average number of shares outstanding: 801,580,807 in Q1 2007; 795,283,531 in 28 14

Net Cash Position in m Gross cash Financial Debts Short-term Financial Debts Long-term Financial Debts March 2007 8,720 (1,761) (3,459) March 2006 10,724 (805) (4,027) Dec 2006 9,986 (2,196) (3,561) Reported Net cash Airbus non-recourse debt Net cash excl non-recourse Main minority impact* Airbus 20% non-recourse debt Net cash position net of minority and non-recourse 3,500 1,018 4,518 (163) - 4,355 5,892 1,189 7,081 (581) (238) 6,262 4,229 1,058 5,287 (154) - 5,133 * in 2007 and Dec 2006: only 125% in MBDA cash; in March 2006: mostly 20% in Airbus debt and cash as well as 125% in MBDA cash 29 Balance Sheet Highlights: Assets in m March 2007 Dec 2006 Non-current Assets of which Intangible & Goodwill of which Property, plant & equipment of which Investments & Financial assets 36,930 10,859 14,124 3,724 37,080 10,855 14,178 3,761 of which positive hedge mark-to-market 2,781 3,235 of which Non-current securities 1,484 1,294 Current Assets 35,241 34,981 of which Inventory of which Cash of which Current securities 18,734 6,946 290 16,892 8,143 549 of which positive hedge mark-to-market 2,029 2,007 Non-current Assets classified as held for sale 0 76 Total Assets 72,171 72,137 Closing rate /$ 133 132 30 15

Balance Sheet Highlights: Liabilities in m Total Equity 12,796 of which OCI (Other Comprehensive Income) 4,615 of which Minority interests 139 Total Non-current liabilities 27,874 of which pensions 5,685 of which negative hedge mark-to-market 198 of which other provisions 3,843 of which financial debts 3,459 of which European gvts refundable advances 5,018 of which Customer advances 6,088 Total Current liabilities 31,501 of which pensions 281 of which negative hedge mark-to-market 73 of which other provisions 3,364 of which financial debts 1,761 of which European gvts refundable advances 400 of which Customer advances 15,039 Liabilities associated with assets held for sale 0 Total Liabilities and Equity 72,172 March 2007 Dec 2006 13,152 4,955 137 27,769 5,602 152 3,309 3,561 5,029 6,308 31,152 281 79 3,271 2,196 389 14,172 64 72,137 31 Quarterly Revenues Breakdown (cumulative) in m Airbus MTA Eurocopter Astrium DS HQ & others of which other BUs* of which HQ & elim Q1 H1 9m FY 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 6,606 6,362 13,154 18,570 25,190 133 822 1,244 1,699 2,200 671 656 1,473 2,364 3,803 629 493 1,273 1,960 3,212 970 1,000 2,274 3,553 5,864 (25) (250) (438) (677) (835) 282 330 660 922 1,257 (307) (580) (1,098) (1,599) (2,092) Total EADS 8,984 9,083 18,980 27,469 39,434 * BUs: ATR, EFW, Socata and Sogerma 32 16

Quarterly EBIT* Breakdown (cumulative) in m Q1 2007 2006 H1 2007 2006 9m 2007 2006 FY 2007 2006 Airbus MTA Eurocopter Astrium DS HQ & others of which other BUs** of which HQ & Elim (69) (13) 33 10 (6) 134 20 114 684 9 28 1 39 30 (4) 34 1,497 6 88 38 104 (79) (143) 64 1,150 22 131 48 160 (85) (187) 102 (572) 75 257 130 348 161 (288) 449 Total EADS 89 791 1,654 1,426 399 ** BUs: ATR, EFW, Socata and Sogerma 33 Quarterly Order-intake Breakdown (cumulative ) in m Q1 2007 2006 2007 H1 2006 2007 9m 2006 2007 FY 2006 Airbus 5,464 6,596 7,905 14,698 53,367 MTA Eurocopter Astrium 123 2,604 963 641 946 1,571 751 1,722 2,223 856 3,825 3,441 1,594 4,885 4,354 DS 1,304 834 1,694 2,897 5,191 HQ & others of which other BUs* of which HQ& Elim 49 295 (246) (90) 414 (504) (142) 762 (904) (29) 1,131 (1,160) (373) 1,469 (1,842) Total EADS 10,507 10,498 14,153 25,688 69,018 * BUs: ATR, EFW, Socata and Sogerma 34 17

Quarterly Order-book Breakdown in m March 2007 2006 June 2007 2006 Sept 2007 2006 Dec 2007 2006 Airbus 206,372 197,033 183,542 183,758 210,115 MTA 20,307 20,786 20,480 20,143 20,337 Eurocopter Astrium 12,975 12,543 10,251 11,909 10,209 11,868 11,422 12,504 11,042 12,263 DS 17,902 17,523 17,150 17,012 17,570 HQ & others of which other BUs* of which HQ& Elim (8,560) 2,392 (10,952) (8,879) 2,213 (11,092) (8,767) 2,165 (10,932) (8,315) 2,278 (10,593) (8,518) 2,292 (10,810) Total EADS 261,539 248,623 234,482 236,524 262,810 * BUs: ATR, EFW, Socata and Sogerma 35 18