Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange 20 December 2016

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Figure 1 Global Economic Data

Almarai Steady performance

Saudi Banks Sector Banks Finance Saudi Arabia 19 November 2017 January 18, 2010

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SAIBOR eases marginally. Crude oil slips

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Advanced Petrochemicals Co Upgrade to OW. Raise TP to SAR61/share

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Saudi Arabian Economy

Saudi Arabian Economy

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Figure 1 Q results summary. Net profit 5,235 3, % 50% 5,879. Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital

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Saudi Arabian Mining Co (Maaden AB Equity) Continuing steady performance

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Figure 1 SAFCO Q1 results Q Q Q (SAR mn) Operating profit % 375.6% 347. Operating margin 47% 8% 30% 40%

Saudi Basic Industries Corp After an upbeat Q3, expect good performance in Q4; Raise TP to SAR103/sh.

3,679. P/E Multiple (x) 3,641 3,603 3,565 3,528

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SABIC Overall strong performance

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Yansab Better than expected results

Saudi companies results preview

2,864. P/E Multiple (x) 2,823 2,782 2,741 2,699

3,744 3,709 3,675 3,640 3,606. UAE equity markets closed higher yesterday, lifted by gains in real estate and financial sector stocks.

3,639. P/E Multiple (x) 3,587 3,534 3,482 3,430. UAE equity markets closed higher yesterday, lifted by gains in insurance and financial sector stocks.

Saudi Arabian Equities round up Q3 earnings and trade flows

Ma aden Equity infusion will strengthen balance sheet

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2,612. P/E Multiple (x) 2,571 2,530 2,489 2,448

2,993. P/E Multiple (x) 2,953 2,913 2,873 2,833

3,523. P/E Multiple (x) 3,482 3,442 3,401 3,360

3,576. P/E Multiple (x) 3,478 3,379 3,280 3,181

3,744. P/E Multiple (x) 3,686 3,628 3,571 3,513

3,477. P/E Multiple (x) 3,433 3,389 3,345 3,301

3,486. P/E Multiple (x) 3,428 3,370 3,312 3,254

3,745. P/E Multiple (x) 3,710 3,675 3,640 3,606. UAE equity markets closed higher yesterday, lifted by gains in insurance and property sector stocks.

FALCOM RESEARCH FALCOM Financial Services P. O. Box 884 Riyadh Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

2,864. P/E Multiple (x) 2,823 2,782 2,741 2,699

2,584. P/E Multiple (x) 2,556 2,528 2,500 2,472

Saudi Ceramic Expansion plan key growth driver

3,744. P/E Multiple (x) 3,708 3,671 3,635 3,599

2,993. P/E Multiple (x) 2,963 2,932 2,901 2,870

2,993. P/E Multiple (x) 2,946 2,899 2,851 2,804

Transcription:

6-Dec 7-Dec 8-Dec 11-Dec 12-Dec 13-Dec 14-Dec 15-Dec 18-Dec 19-Dec Thousands 10:00 10:15 10:30 10:45 11:00 11:15 11:30 11:45 12:00 12:15 12:30 12:45 13:00 13:15 13:30 13:45 14:00 14:15 14:30 14:45 20 December 2016 TASI Index 7,076.9-0.85% Turnover (SAR mn) 4,987.3 6% TASI Intra Day Movement Global commentary Research Department research@alrajhi-capital.com Tel:+966 11 211 9370 7,160 7,140 7,120 7,100 7,080 7,060 7,040 7,020 Intraday TASI Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) 10-8 6 4 2 Turnover (LHS, SAR bn) Previous Close TASI Index (RHS) 9,000 8,500 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 Regional Indices Close 1D% WTD% YTD% KSA (TASI) 7,077-0.9-0.2 2.4 Qatar (DSM) 10,272 Kuw ait (KSE) 5,657 0.1-0.2 0.7 Abu Dhabi (ADSM) 4,479-0.4 0.4 4.0 Dubai (DFM) 3,532-0.6-0.6 12.1 Oman (MSM30) 5,729 6.0 Bahrain (BSE) 1,189-2.2 MSCI GCC 470-0.2-0.2 3.7 Major Commodities / Currencies Close 1D % WTD % YTD % Gold Spot $/Oz 1,136-0.2 0.1 7.0 Silver Spot $/Oz 16.00 0.2-0.6 15.4 Crude Oil (Brent) 54.90-0.6 20.6 OPEC Basket 51.29 0.7 0.7 64.0 Euro 4-0.4 - -4.3 USD Index 103.19 0.2 4.6 JPY 117.550-0.7 0.3 2.3 Major Global Indices Close 1D % WTD % YTD % DJ Industrial 19,883 0.2 0.2 14.1 S&P 500 2,263 0.2 0.2 10.7 Nikkei 225 19,477 0.4 0.4 2.3 Hang seng 21,769-0.3-1.1-0.7 FTSE 100 7,017 0.1 0.1 12.4 CAC 40 4,823-0.2-0.2 4.0 MSCI World 1,759 0.2 0.2 5.8 MSCI EM 851-0.6-0.6 7.2 US stock markets advanced on Monday, backed by the Fed Chairwoman s statement regarding a strong US labor market. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.4%, while the S&P 500 gained 0.2%, backed by telecom and real estate sectors. Further, the Dow Jones, too, added 0.2%. European markets rose on Monday. The DAX advanced 0.2%, owing to stronger-than-expected business climate index data, while the FTSE 100 edged up 0.1%, as the weak pound helped the exportoriented stocks. However, the CAC 40 dropped 0.2%, led by basic materials, energy and financial sectors. GCC markets ended the session on a mixed note yesterday. Qatar rose %, as the Qatari government expects a lower budget deficit this year, while Kuwait edged up 0.1%. However, Dubai fell 0.6%, led by Emaar Properties, while Abu Dhabi lost 0.4%. Meanwhile, Oman ended on a flat note, while Bahrain was closed on account of a holiday. Asian markets are trading on a mixed note this morning. The Shanghai Composite Index and the Hang Seng Index are down % and 0.3%, respectively as the rise in the US dollar has led to capital outflow from the country, whereas the KOSPI is up 0.2%. Further, the Nikkei 225 is trading up 0.1%, as the BoJ kept its monetary policy steady and provided a positive view of the Japanese economy. Brent crude declined % on Monday, as the markets remained undecided whether the US production will overshadow the planned OPEC and non-opec output cuts. Key crude contracts Brent and WTI ended at US$ 54.92 (-%) and US$ 52.12 (+0.4%), respectively. Saudi commentary Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) lost 60.74 points or 0.85% to close at 7,076.88.Fourteen of the fifteen sector indices closed lower. The advance decline ratio was 25/138. Trading turnover was around SAR 5bn. KSA inflation falls to 2.3% in November: The inflation rate of Saudi Arabia declined to 2.3% in November as compared to 2.6% in October; the lowest inflation rate since the beginning of 2016, according to latest data issued by the General Authority for Statistics. (Mubasher) Japanese team said to visit Saudi Arabia to discuss Aramco listing: A delegation from the Tokyo Stock Exchange plans to visit Saudi Arabia to discuss the possible listing of Saudi Aramco shares on the exchange after the oil company s initial public offering (IPO), Japan Broadcasting Corporation (NHK) said citing unnamed sources. (Argaam) STC Ventures Fund owns 7% indirect stake in Careem: CEO: STC Ventures Fund owns 7 percent indirect stake in the ridehailing app Careem, CEO Khalid Biyari told Al-Arabiya television. (Argaam) Interest Rates 1M 3M 12M 3M Chg 1Y LIBOR (USD) 0.74 0 1.69 0.46 SAIBOR 1.82 4 2.44 0.67 EIBOR 0.83 1.35 2.20 0.36 Data Sources: Bloomberg Updated as of 20/Dec/2016 8:01 AM Please see penultimate page for additional important disclosures. Al Rajhi Capital (Al Rajhi) is a foreign broker-dealer unregistered in the USA. Al Rajhi research is prepared by research analysts who are not registered in the USA. Al Rajhi research is distributed in the USA pursuant to Rule 15a-6 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 solely by Rosenblatt Securities, an SEC registered and FINRA-member broker-dealer. 1

Cement Industries Building Retail Energy Transport Multi invt Hotels Media TASI Large Cap (>10% Index weight) Sectors Performance TASI Top Gainers / Losers 1.5 - - - -2.5-3.0 TASI Petrochem Banks Telecom 2 2 1 1 - Company Last Price Chg % Vol (mn) Value Trd (SAR mn) Abd A.M. Al Khodari 13.42 8.8 7.859 103.49 Saudi Cable Co 6.21 2.8 8.563 54.41 Zamil Indl Invest 28.71 2.3 0.968 27.79 Sipchem 16.70 1.8 1.618 26.99 Alandalus 19.40 1.6 0.659 12.82 Company Last Price Chg % Vol (mn) Value Trd (SAR mn) Anaam Intl Hldg 16.3-4.3 0.655 10 Sabic 91.5-3.9 7.261 675.14 MEPCO 16.3-3.7 1.628 27.16 Yansab 50.4-3.5 0.219 11.20 ANB Ins 23.9-3.4 25 12.85 TASI Mid Cap (5-10% index weight) Sectors Performance TASI Top Index Movers / Losers (Heavy weight stocks) - - 2 2 1 1 Real Estate Agri - -1-1 Company Last Price Chg % Index Imp Value Trd (SAR mn) Al Rajhi Bk 63.27 0.3 2.2 2 Saudi Elec 20.70 1.1 1.7 4.38 Sipchem 16.70 1.8 1.62 Sabb 24.95 0.8 0.17 Riyad Bank 11.29 0.4 0.8 0.75 Company Last Price Chg % Index Imp Value Trd (SAR mn) Sabic 91.50-3.9-23.7 675.14 NCB 41.54-1.7-5.1 16.40 Yansab 50.40-3.5-3.8 11.20 Maaden 37.92-2.1-3.3 55.65 Saudi Kayan 8.71-2.8-2.5 101 TASI Small Cap (<5% index weight) Sectors Performance TASI Volume Leaders 10 8 6 4 2 0-2 -4 4 3 2 1-1 -2-3 -4-5 -6 Company Last Price Chg % Vol (mn) Value Trd (SAR mn) Dar Al Arkan 5.83-2.8 60.186 355.81 Alinma Bk 14.66-0.1 23.800 359 Saudi Kayan 8.71-2.8 11.283 101 Saudi Cable Co 6.21 2.8 8.563 54.41 Abd A.M. Al Khodari 13.42 8.8 7.859 103.49 Sabic 91.50-3.9 7.261 675.14 Nama Chemicals 6.63-0.9 6.929 47.55 ME Spec Cables 7.76-2.9 4.802 38.65 Saudi Elec 20.70 1.1 4.378 90.90 Med & Gulf Ins 25.57-0.7 4.221 111.24 TASI Stocks Closer to 52 Week High TASI - Stocks Closer to 52 Week Low Company Last Price 52Wk High % Diff Value Trd (SAR mn) Sanad Coop Ins 15.23 15.23 % 00 Weqaya For Takaf 19.39 19.39 % 00 STC 72.60 73.00 0.6% 54.358 Al Mouw asat 152 150 0.7% 7.820 Almarai 67.50 68.00 0.7% 28.513 Company Last Price 52Wk Low % Diff Value Trd (SAR mn) Al-Ahlia Coop Ins 5.93 7.70-23.0% 11.845 Sanad Coop Ins 15.23 15.23 % 00 Weqaya For Takaf 19.39 19.39 % 00 Etihad Atheeb 3.00 2.80 7.1% 1.603 Malath 8.22 7.10 15.8% 10.482 Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 2

24-Oct 25-Oct 26-Oct 27-Oct 30-Oct 31-Oct 1-Nov 2-Nov 3-Nov 6-Nov KSE Technology Investment Industrial Real estate Bank Fin. Parallel Telecom Consumer Basic material Oil&Gas Healthcare Thousands 5-Dec 6-Dec 7-Dec 8-Dec 12-Dec 13-Dec 14-Dec 15-Dec 18-Dec 19-Dec ADSM Real Estate Energy Telecome Banks Fin. Industrial Consumer 5-Dec 6-Dec 7-Dec 8-Dec 12-Dec 13-Dec 14-Dec 15-Dec 18-Dec 19-Dec DFM Bank Reality Investment Transport Telcom Performance of Regional markets Country Last Index Change (%) MCap Volume Turnover P/E (x) P/E (x) P/E (x) P/B (x) Div Yld Close 1D 1M YTD US$ bn mn shr US$ mn 12M 2016E 2017E Current 12M (%) Saudi Arabia 7,077-0.9 1.1 2.4 440 256 1,329 16.8 15.1 13.9 1.6 3.3 Qatar 10,272 4.9 130 5.1 47 14.9 13.6-4.0 1.6 3.9 Dubai 3,532-0.6 5.1 12.1 83 180 66 11.5 11.6 1.3 3.9 Abu Dhabi 4,479-0.4 4.0 4.0 119 62 41 11.5 11.9 6.3 1.4 5.5 Kuw ait 5,657 0.1 1.8 0.7 85 143 47 18.7 NA 8.5 4.3 Oman 5,729 4.4 6.0 17 10 6 10.8 9.3-8.2 1.1 5.1 Bahrain 1,189 1.2-2.2 19 1.8 1 9.7 NA NA 0.4 4.7 Dubai Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Dubai Sector Performances Dubai Top Gainers / Losers 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 Turnover (LHS, AED bn) DFMGI Index (RHS) 3,700 3,650 3,600 3,550 3,500 3,450 3,400 3,350 3,300 3,250 1-3 Takaful Emarat Ins 2.58 6.6 0.32 3 Dubai Islamic Ins 6 5.9 2.97 Takaful House 0.91 1.8 2.67 2 Damac Properties 2.40 0.8 4.00 2 Ajman Bank 1.33 0.8 0.75 1 1 - Shuaa Capital 1.50-5.1 2.28 Amanat Holdings 0.93-2.8 22.55 Marka 1.39-2.8 1.74 Air Arabia 0.45 3.47 Arabtec 1.32 11.10 Abu Dhabi Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Abu Dhabi Sector Performances Abu Dhabi Top Gainers / Losers Turnover (LHS, AED bn) ADSMI Index (RHS) 1 5,000 1 8.0 6.0 4,500 4.0 4,000 - -4.0 Green Crescent Ins 0.63 14.6 62 Sharjah Cement 8 13.7 04 Abu Dhabi Ship 2.83 8.4 22 Bank Of Sharjah 1.35 3.9 0.153 Abu Dhabi Nat Co 0.62 3.3 0.156 2 2 1 1 - -1-1 -2 Emirates Ins 5.20-9.6 25 Arkan Building Mat 0.83-5.7 10 Finance House 1.73-3.9 19 Agthia Group 6.80-2.9 0.418 RAK Ceramics 2.35-2.1 85 Kuwait Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Kuwait Sector Performances Kuwait Top Gainers / Losers 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Turnover (LHS, KWD mn) KWSEIDX Index (RHS) 5,460 5,440 5,420 5,400 5,380 5,360 5,340 5,320 5,300 5,280 3.0 2.5 1.5 - - 2 GFH 116 9.4 2.431 2 Hets telecom 39.5 6.8 3.600 City finance 44.5 6.0 1.380 1 Human Soft 1780 6.0 55 1 Al Salam Group Hldg 45.5 5.8 11.872 - -1-1 -2 Hilal Cement Co 118-7.8 04 Housing Finance 48.5-6.7 3.627 Kuw ait Fin & Invest 33-5.7 44 Ifa Hotels & Res 160-4.8 00 Al-Mazaya Hldg 110-3.5 2.566 Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 3

24-Oct 25-Oct 26-Oct 27-Oct 30-Oct 31-Oct 1-Nov 2-Nov 3-Nov 6-Nov BSE Banks Hotel & Tourism Industries 24-Oct 25-Oct 26-Oct 27-Oct 30-Oct 31-Oct 1-Nov 2-Nov 3-Nov 6-Nov Oman Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Oman Sector Performances Oman Top Gainers / Losers 8 4 0 Turnover (LHS, OMR mn) MSM30 Index (RHS) 5,540 5,520 5,500 5,480 5,460 5,440 5,420 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.4 - MSM 30 Bank Industry 1 8.0 6.0 4.0 - NBO 0.227 3.2 55 Gulf Invest Svcs 0.107 1.9 0.158 Al Sharqiya Inv 0.115 1.8 0.171 Ooredoo 0.640 1.3 0.211 Al Anw ar Holding 0.164 0.6 0.830 Sembcorp 0.235-4.1 78 Bank Nizw a 78-1.3 2.459 Bank Muscat 0.410-0.325 Bahrain Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Bahrain Sector Performances Bahrain Top Gainers / Losers 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 - Turnover (LHS, BHD mn) BHSEASI Index (RHS) 1,152 1,150 1,148 1,146 1,144 1,142 1,140 1,138 2.5 1.5 - - - - -4.0-6.0-8.0-1 -1-14.0-16.0-18.0 NBB 0.705 2.2 02 Ahli United Bk 0.635 0.8 0.300 BMMI 0.835 0.6 25 Bahrain Islamic Bk 0.108-6.1 0.153 Khaleeji Com Bk 55-3.5 0.170 Albaraka Banking 0.470-2.1 81 Nass Corp 0.105-0.9 0.100 Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 4

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES FOR U.S. PERSONS This research report was prepared by Al Rajhi Capital (Al Rajhi), a company authorized to engage in securities activities in Saudi Arabia. Al Rajhi is not a registered broker-dealer in the United States and, therefore, is not subject to U.S. rules regarding the preparation of research reports and the independence of research analysts. This research report is provided for distribution to major U.S. institutional investors in reliance on the exemption from registration provided by Rule 15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act ). Any U.S. recipient of this research report wishing to effect any transaction to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments based on the information provided in this research report should do so only through Rosenblatt Securities Inc, 40 Wall Street 59th Floor, New York, NY 10005, a registered broker dealer in the United States. Under no circumstances should any recipient of this research report effect any transaction to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments through Al Rajhi. Rosenblatt Securities Inc. accepts responsibility for the contents of this research report, subject to the terms set out below, to the extent that it is delivered to a U.S. person other than a major U.S. institutional investor. The analyst whose name appears in this research report is not registered or qualified as a research analyst with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority ( FINRA ) and may not be an associated person of Rosenblatt Securities Inc. and, therefore, may not be subject to applicable restrictions under FINRA Rules on communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account. 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Neither Al Rajhi nor any of its directors, officers, employees or agents shall have any liability, however arising, for any error, inaccuracy or incompleteness of fact or opinion in this research report or lack of care in this research report s preparation or publication, or any losses or damages which may arise from the use of this research report. Al Rajhi may rely on information barriers, such as Chinese Walls to control the flow of information within the areas, units, divisions, groups, or affiliates of Al Rajhi. Investing in any non-u.s. securities or related financial instruments (including ADRs) discussed in this research report may present certain risks. The securities of non-u.s. issuers may not be registered with, or be subject to the regulations of, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Information on such non-u.s. securities or related financial instruments may be limited. Foreign companies may not be subject to audit and reporting standards and regulatory requirements comparable to those in effect within the United States. The value of any investment or income from any securities or related financial instruments discussed in this research report denominated in a currency other than U.S. dollars is subject to exchange rate fluctuations that may have a positive or adverse effect on the value of or income from such securities or related financial instruments. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Al Rajhi with respect to future performance. Income from investments may fluctuate. The price or value of the investments to which this research report relates, either directly or indirectly, may fall or rise against the interest of investors. 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Disclaimer and additional disclosures for Equity Research Disclaimer This research document has been prepared by Al Rajhi Capital Company ( Al Rajhi Capital ) of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. It has been prepared for the general use of Al Rajhi Capital s clients and may not be redistributed, retransmitted or disclosed, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of Al Rajhi Capital. Receipt and review of this research document constitute your agreement not to redistribute, retransmit, or disclose to others the contents, opinions, conclusion, or information contained in this document prior to public disclosure of such information by Al Rajhi Capital. The information contained was obtained from various public sources believed to be reliable but we do not guarantee its accuracy. Al Rajhi Capital makes no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the data and information provided and Al Rajhi Capital does not represent that the information content of this document is complete, or free from any error, not misleading, or fit for any particular purpose. This research document provides general information only. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other investment products related to such securities or investments. It is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this document. Investors should seek financial, legal or tax advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities, other investment or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this document and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Investors should note that income from such securities or other investments, if any, may fluctuate and that the price or value of such securities and investments may rise or fall. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have adverse effects on the value of or price of, or income derived from, certain investments. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Al Rajhi Capital or its officers or one or more of its affiliates (including research analysts) may have a financial interest in securities of the issuer(s) or related investments, including long or short positions in securities, warrants, futures, options, derivatives, or other financial instruments. 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This research document is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or which would subject Al Rajhi Capital or any of its affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. Explanation of Al Rajhi Capital s rating system Al Rajhi Capital uses a three-tier rating system based on absolute upside or downside potential for all stocks under its coverage except financial stocks and those few other companies not compliant with Islamic Shariah law: "Overweight": Our target price is more than 10% above the current share price, and we expect the share price to reach the target on a 12 month time horizon. "Neutral": We expect the share price to settle at a level between 10% below the current share price and 10% above the current share price on a 12 month time horizon. "Underweight": Our target price is more than 10% below the current share price, and we expect the share price to reach the target on a 12 month time horizon. "Target price": We estimate target value per share for every stock we cover. This is normally based on widely accepted methods appropriate to the stock or sector under consideration, e.g. DCF (discounted cash flow) or SoTP (sum of the parts) analysis. Please note that the achievement of any price target may be impeded by general market and economic trends and other external factors, or if a company s profits or operating performance exceed or fall short of our expectations. Contact us Al Rajhi Capital Research Department Head Office, King Fahad Road P.O. Box 5561, Riyadh 11432 Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Email: research@alrajhi-capital.com Al Rajhi Capital is licensed by the Saudi Arabian Capital Market Authority, License No. 07068/37. 6