SESSION 6: FINANCIAL INCLUSION, TRADE AGREEMENTS AND REGULATORY REFORM

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UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENTENT Expert Meeting on THE IMPACT OF ACCESS TO FINANCIAL SERVICES, INCLUDING BY HIGHLIGHTING THE IMPACT ON REMITTANCES ON DEVELOPMENT: ECONOMIC EMPOWERMENT OF WOMEN AND YOUTH 12-14 November 2014 SESSION 6: FINANCIAL INCLUSION, TRADE AGREEMENTS AND REGULATORY REFORM Ms. Dorothée Rouzet Trade Policy Analyst Trade and Agriculture Directorate, Trade in Services Division OECD, Paris 50 1964 PROSPERITY FOR ALL

MEASURING TRADE RESTRICTIONS IN FINANCIAL SERVICES Dorothée Rouzet, OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate UNCTAD Expert Meeting on the Impact of Access to Financial Services Financial inclusion, trade agreements and regulatory reform Geneva, 12-14 November 2014

Measuring trade liberalisation in financial services: Some challenges The OECD Services Trade Restrictiveness Index provides an inventory of regulatory impediments to trade in services, including banking and insurance Trade restrictions in services are not easy to define and identify as they are contained in behind the border regulations There are many motives for financial regulation it can be difficult to disentangle prudential regulations and consumer protection measures from trade-restrictive ones The information should be comparable across countries although institutional characteristics and business models in the financial sector can vary widely OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 2

What is the STRI? A regulatory database Filled in by the OECD Secretariat, verified and peer reviewed by members Information on regulation, link to source (law/regulation), explanation where needed Online, frequently updated Interactive Composite indices A snapshot of trade restrictiveness in 18 sectors including banking and insurance 40+ countries: 34 OECD members, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Russia, South Africa

Why the STRI? Access to information on services regulations relevant for trade To obtain the information gathered for the STRI, you have to look at 16,000 laws and regulations There are 135 GATS schedules with more than 100,000 commitments and 113 RTAs in force covering services The US federal laws and regulations on banking alone are 9949 pages long

Why the STRI? Access to information on services regulations relevant for trade Impact assessment Informed policies Measure Identify and benchmark OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 5

STRI indices: Commercial banking 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Restrictions on foreign entry Restrictions to movement of people Other discriminatory measures Barriers to competition Regulatory transparency Average 6

Commercial banking: What drives the results? Restrictions on establishment Foreign equity limits Restrictions on legal form Restrictions on branch and ATM networks Restrictions on e-banking and mobile banking Restrictions on cross-border transactions Prohibition of cross-border deposits, loans and payment services Foreign exchange controls Barriers to competition Interest rate restrictions Prior approval of individual products Access to infrastructure and network services Lack of transparency in the regulatory process OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 7

STRI indices: Insurance 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Restrictions on foreign entry Restrictions to movement of people Other discriminatory measures Barriers to competition Regulatory transparency average 8

Insurance: What drives the results? Restrictions on establishment Foreign equity limits Restrictions on legal form Discriminatory licensing conditions Restrictions on insurance intermediaries Restrictions on cross-border transactions Prohibition of cross-border trade Right of first refusal for domestic insurers Limits on reinsurance cessions Barriers to competition Preferential treatment of state-owned insurers Pricing restrictions Prior approval of individual products Lack of transparency in the regulatory process OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 9

Why does it matter? Credit market development Domestic credit to the private sector by banks (% of GDP) Net interest margin 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Low STRI Medium STRI High STRI 5.0% 4.5% 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% Low STRI Medium STRI High STRI Sources: WDI, OECD Note: Categories defined relative to the average ± 0.5 s.d. OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 10

Why does it matter? Insurance market development Insurance penetration (% of GDP) Operating expenses (% of gross premiums) 9% 8% 7% 6% Life Non-life 16% 15% 5% 4% 14% 3% 2% 13% 1% 0% Low STRI Medium STRI High STRI 12% Low STRI Medium STRI High STRI Source: OECD Insurance Statistics Note: Categories defined relative to the average ± 0.5 s.d. OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 11

Trade liberalisation in financial services is not to be taken in isolation Complementary set of policies Sound and effective supervision (micro- and macroprudential regulation, cooperation home/host supervisor) Resolution framework Competition law and enforcement Predictable business environment Other services (bank/insurance/telecoms/post ) Mode 3 liberalisation usually comes first Mode 1 liberalisation requires capital account liberalisation 110 countries have GATS commitments in banking but mode 1 often unbound. The STRI shows a similar pattern. OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 12

Conclusion The STRI project provides a set of comparable and verified information on trade policy and regulations currently in force. The database and indices are designed for: Providing background information for trade negotiations Calculating water in existing trade agreements (GATS, PTAs) Identifying regulatory bottlenecks and regulatory spillovers across sectors Estimating ex ante the likely impact of proposed trade agreements or reforms on industrial structure, employment, relative wages and welfare To extend the coverage of the financial services restrictions database, special attention is to be paid to the fact that there is no one size fits all model: differences in technology, social objectives, role of commercial banks vs other financial actors OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate 13

Thank you for your attention Dorothee.Rouzet@oecd.org Visit the STRI website: http://oe.cd/stri