JBC staffer, Eric Kurtz, provided an overview of the HCPF budget, noting a few key points and tables/charts:

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Joint Budget Committee Briefing for Department of Health Care Policy and Financing December 8, 2015 Prepared by Jennifer Miles, Miles Consulting: jennifer@milesgovtrelations.com The JBC staff for HCPF provided a briefing on the Department s budget request. This document provides a summary of the briefing. The written briefing document provided by JBC staff is available here. The HCPF budget proposals for Behavioral Health and the Office of Community Living are covered in a separate briefing not presented on this same day and thus not summarized in this report. Most JBC members attended (Senators Lambert and Steadman, and Representatives Hamner, Young, and Rankin), as well as a few other legislators (Senators Aguilar, Lundberg, and Woods and Representatives Brown, Everett, Ginal, Joshi, and Sias). JBC Member Senator Grantham was out ill. JBC staffer, Eric Kurtz, provided an overview of the HCPF budget, noting a few key points and tables/charts: 26.1% of all state General Funds (GF) go to HCPF Federal funds (FF) make up 60.1% of HCPF s budget, General Fund (GF) 28.2%, and Cash Funds (CF) 1.7% (including tobacco tax, tobacco settlement, and provider fees) JBC staff provided an overview of the different match rates for different eligibility categories, including information on the declining federal match for the ACA expansion population. It will drop from 100% to 97.5% in federal FY16-17 and continue to drop thereafter until it reaches 90% federal funds Medicaid caseload has grown much faster than the general population, in both the ACA expansion population (100% federally funded), but also among those populations that have been eligible but were not enrolled (~50% state match) Staff noted the Effective Income Eligibility for Benefit (page 6), indicating that the federal maintenance of effort (MOE) requirement for pregnant women s Medicaid eligibility has expired, so our statute indicates the eligibility level is 185% of FPL, but rules previously required by federal requirements increased that level to 200%. Within current statute, the eligibility could be dropped to 185% A few graphics demonstrate that per capita costs for the elderly and people with disabilities are much higher than for children and adults, with per capita costs for low-income adults dropping with the expansion (page 7-8)

JBC members asked HCPF to address several issues during their hearing, including the following topics: Medicaid eligibility status and costs for undocumented immigrants and refugees Reasons for continued caseload growth in an improving economy Use of asset testing for eligibility Poverty levels for eligibility as they relate to self-sufficiency standards Ability of state to reverse Medicaid expansion under federal law Dollar amount cut by hospital that will occur with proposed reduction in hospital provider fee collections and payments to hospitals Eligibility determination processes who does which types of eligibility determinations, when was the last workload study for counties completed, where those recommendations adopted, and what would it cost to do a new study? Update on implementation of Prop BB funds for SBIRT ($500,000) Update on benefits for children with autism, as the federal Center for Medicaid and Medicare Services (CMS) rejected Colorado s waiver request to implement HB15-1186. CMS indicated that most of the services identified in the bill should already be covered under Medicaid. Members asked for an update on the impact this federal decision will have on the state budget Locations of the remaining trauma centers in Colorado, as some have closed. Costs per capita for non-medicaid patients, such as privately insured patients. Analysis of the welcome mat effect and its budget implications, including whether the effect will be less over time Impact on people and communities of the Medicaid expansion, including stories and areas where access problems exist How the PACE provider becoming a for-profit entity will affect that program/the budget and how that waiver got approved so quickly (Aguilar) Any update on Congressional action on CHP+ future/funding How and why the decision was made to not renew the primary care bump and what estimates were made about increased emergency and hospital costs as a result of the decrease? Department Budget Requests (some numbers do not exist in the proposed budget): R1-R5 are related to caseload and per capita costs for the Medicaid program. Within R1 is the proposed reduction of hospital provider fee collections. R7 proposes an increase of $7.1M federal funds to increase reimbursements for county eligibility determination services. R9 proposes a $3.9M cash fund (CF) reduction for the Old Age Pension State Medical Program to reflect the reduction in OAP clients, as many are now Medicaid eligible. R11 adjusts the federal and state appropriations amount to reflect the new Medicaid federal match rate for Colorado. Due to Colorado s strong economy, the state will have to pay a greater state match, requiring an additional $500,000 GF.

R12 proposes a 1% across the board Medicaid reimbursement cut, with certain exempted providers, including those paid on a cost or capitated basis, and those with federal or state statutory requirements. In addition, the Governor s budget proposes to exclude primary care providers due to the significant reduction they will experience with the expiration of the primary care rate bump. Non-prioritized (NP) Cervical Cancer Eligibility: This will be covered further in the CDPHE budget documents and events. If the proposed reduction in age eligibility for screening from age 40 to age 21 is approved, there would be a resulting increase in the number of women eligible for the Medicaid Breast and Cervical Cancer Treatment Program, thus requiring additional funds for Medicaid. JBC staff develops and discusses Issue Briefs to provide more information on specific topics. A summary and the page numbers of the Issue Briefs follow. Issue: Forecast Trends (pages 22-37) This Issue Brief includes 15 pages of data and information about caseload, per capita costs, federal and state share, and a variety of issues impacting the budget: Historical chart of annual change in expenditures (p. 23) showing a total increase of only $3M requested for FY16-17 and a GF increase of $136M. This is the lowest requested increase since FY11-12 due to assumptions that caseload will not continue to increase as fast as it has in recent years Medicaid is the largest health insurer in Colorado, covering 1 in 5 residents. This is up from 1 in 7 just prior to the SB13-200 expansion effective January 2014. When Medicare and CHP+ are included, 1 in 3 residents are covered by publiclyfunded insurance. This data is from the Colorado Health Institute (CHI) Colorado Health Access Survey (CHAS) report Proportion of population insured by Medicaid varies considerably by county from ~7% in Douglas County to more than 50% in Costilla County (map on page 24) According to CHI, the number of eligible but not enrolled in NE Colorado is higher than other parts of state Medicaid covers 43% of all births in Colorado 20% of utilizers account for 79% of costs in FY2014-15 and the top 1% accounted for 23% of all expenditures Expansion population has reduced per capita costs in the Medicaid program since low-income adults are less costly than elderly and disability clients. An estimate of future state share for the expansion population shows an estimated state cost of $144.2M annually when the federal match is phased down to the lowest level of 90% (FY20-21). It was noted that the state share would be from the Hospital Provider Fee, not GF Charts and discussion on changes in enrollment, expenditures and per capita costs (pages 27-31). For example, the rate of enrollment is expected to taper off as the pool of people potentially eligible but not enrolled is shrinking. According to CHI CHAS report, Colorado has a record low of uninsured, with only 6.7% of Coloradoans uninsured and only 2.5% of kids

CHP+ Forecast Issues Funding of $28M per year comes from the tobacco settlement. Expected costs are less than CHP+ Trust Fund balance. Fund balance will grow over time. Legislature could use the tobacco settlement that goes into the trust fund for another purpose, but this would require statutory change. See table on page 36 for the ending fund balance amounts over time. CHP+ caseload is dropping due to Medicaid expansions that moved some from CHP+ clients to Medicaid and because federal policy change increased federal match rate for CHP+ to 88% (from 66%) reducing the required state share. Staff expressed surprise that Governor s budget did not propose using these funds for another purpose. HCPF has indicated that CHP+ caseload can be quite volatile and the future of CHP+ federal funding is uncertain, pointing to a need to maintain a fund balance. Issue: Hospital Provider Fee (pages 38-52) Readers interested in the Hospital Provider Fee (HPF) are advised to read this section in depth. It provides background information on the HPF, a policy analysis on the creation of an HPF Enterprise, and the Governor s proposed budget cut to the HPF. This section also includes background and a description of the methodology, as well as a list of funds received by hospital. The issue will be discussed further at the hearing. Senator Lambert noted that a Denver Post article reported that hospital profits have increased by $1B and wondered if this the intent of the HPF. Staff responded that it increased the Medicaid reimbursement to hospitals significantly, but it still does not cover their costs of serving Medicaid patients. Issue: Federal Approval Process for Changes to Medicaid (pages 53-59) This section describes the federal approval process for changes to Medicaid to shed light on recent delays the Department has experienced in implementing new policies approved through bills or budget items. It also provides an update on the implementation status of new policies approved by the legislature. Staff notes that there is wide variation in the amount of time required to receive federal approval, with some predictability based on the issue, but some changing priorities of the federal agency. It is also noted that none of the eligibility and benefit changes approved by the legislature have been approved yet, except reimbursement rate changes. Issue: Provider Rate Review (pages 60-66) This section provides a status update on the provider rate review process created by SB15-228 and summarizes a HCPF report to the JBC on Medicaid reimbursement rates by service area compared to other benchmarks. The HCPF comparison of Medicaid rates to Medicare or usual and customary rates found that transportation, dental, and practitioner rates were more than 70% below the benchmark, and that rates for home health and private duty nursing were above the benchmark. The benchmark was usually Medicaid or usual and customary in the case of dental rates. JBC staff indicated that the committee may want to consider engaging the advisory committee informally to provide feedback on the Governor s proposed rate reductions. JBC members agreed to ask the Department if this would be helpful and appropriate.

Issue: Primary Care Rates (pages 67-71) This issue brief discusses the sunset of a policy that increased Medicaid primary care rates to the equivalent Medicare rate beginning in January 1, 2013 that is scheduled to expire at the end of FY 2015-16. This bump impacts private providers and communitybased safety net clinics, but does not impacts FQHCs or RHCs. The forecasted expenditures in the Medical Services Premiums are lower by $145.1M TF and $49.5M GF due to the end of the primary care rate bump The cut to providers is difficult to estimate since the bump increased reimbursement for specific evaluation and management billing codes, not to every code a provider might bill. Overall expenditures for eligible codes were increased 23.2% due to the rate bump. The primary care rate bump was time limited because it was financed with short duration funding from an increase in the federal match rate for Medicaid and due to insufficient evidence about the policy's effect on access to care A contracted study of the primary care rate bump provides a mixed assessment. By some measures it found no evidence that the rate bump changed client outcomes or provider behaviors, but one statistical model suggested it increased the number of bump-eligible services by providers receiving the increase. The report also found that client outcomes and provider behaviors remained stable during a period of dramatic enrollment increases and suggested that the primary care rate bump may have contributed to maintaining access Costs of various options for mitigating the effect of the end of the primary care rate bump are estimated and provided for the JBC (page 71) It was obvious that JBC staff and members had heard concerns from providers in their communities and lobbyists about the sunset of the primary care rate bump. The Department was asked to address this issue and the impact on providers, particularly smaller providers and those in rural areas, as well as the impact on provision of primary care that avoids more costly care later. Issue: Optional Eligibility and Benefits (pages 72-80) This issue brief provides a list of the eligibility criteria and benefits Colorado has implemented that are optional for participation in Medicaid and provides rough cost estimates for each. Staff indicates that while Colorado has implemented some eligibility criteria and benefits that are optional for participation in Medicaid that could be reduced or eliminated, eliminating an optional service does not necessarily result in savings, and eliminating some optional services would drastically change the quality of care and could result in higher cost services. Requests for Information (pages 115-125) This section reviews the reports submitted by HCPF in response to Requests for Information. Notably, staff indicates that the report on performance and policy issues associated with emergency and non-emergency transportation services (NEMT) indicates that continued legislative investigation of this service benefit appears warranted. For specific findings on contract problems, variation across the state, wait time, time to complete a request, and HCPF s recommendations see pages 118-120.