SALES AND HIGHLIGHTS 2017 FIRST QUARTER

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Transcription:

SALES AND HIGHLIGHTS 2017 FIRST QUARTER

DISCLAIMER This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell securities in the United States or any other jurisdiction. No reliance should be placed on the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation, and none of EDF representatives shall bear any liability for any loss arising from any use of this presentation or its contents. The present document may contain forward-looking statements and targets concerning the Group s strategy, financial position or results. EDF considers that these forward-looking statements and targets are based on reasonable assumptions as of the present document publication, which can be however inaccurate and are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties. There is no assurance that expected events will occur and that expected results will actually be achieved. Important factors that could cause actual results, performance or achievements of the Group to differ materially from those contemplated in this document include in particular the successful implementation of EDF strategic, financial and operational initiatives based on its current business model as an integrated operator, changes in the competitive and regulatory framework of the energy markets, as well as risk and uncertainties relating to the Group s activities, its international scope, the climatic environment, the volatility of raw materials prices and currency exchange rates, technological changes, and changes in the economy. Detailed information regarding these uncertainties and potential risks are available in the reference document (Document de référence) of EDF filed with the Autorité des marchés financiers on 6 March 2017, which is available on the AMF's website at www.amffrance.org and on EDF s website at www.edf.com. EDF does not undertake nor does it have any obligation to update forward-looking information contained in this presentation to reflect any unexpected events or circumstances arising after the date of this presentation. Q1 2017 SALES 2

STRATEGIC HIGHLIGHTS RENEWABLE ENERGIES ENERGY SERVICES NEW NUCLEAR Acceleration of strategic capital allocation to renewables Start of exclusive talks on 25 April 2017 by EDF Énergies Nouvelles, with a view to acquiring a majority stake in the onshore wind energy specialist Futuren (1) Entering on 22 March 2017 in the Masdar-led consortium developing the third phase of a 800MW solar park in Dubai Expansion in renewable energies Commissioning of: 189MW gross, especially in India (solar and wind) 98MW in the UK in April 2017 (wind) Construction start for 242MW of new projects, mainly located in the USA Development of Dalkia s business: Maintenance and management contract renewed for the cooling of the CERN, the European organisation for nuclear research in Geneva Extension of the heat network of Limoges city (France) Acquisition of Froid Climatisation Service 84 entity, a cooling and air treatment specialist located in South-East of France Flamanville 3: system performance tests launched, in line with timetable Taishan: start of primary system loading for hot functional testing, and start of First-Plant-Only-Test (2) (1) Futuren operates in France, Germany, Morocco and Italy. It owns 389MW of gross wind energy capacity, operates 357MW for third parties and is developing wind energy projects representing over 168MW in capacity (2) First-Plant-Only-Test: Testing on the internal structures vibrations Q1 2017 SALES 3

KEY ACHIEVEMENTS IN PERFORMANCE PLAN CAPITAL INCREASE Final gross proceeds: 4,018m resulting in the issuance of 633 million new shares Market subscription rate: 185.9% Use of proceeds: Finance the Group s development operations during the 2017-2020 period, in line with the CAP 2030 strategy Strengthen the Group s financial flexibility DISPOSAL PLAN Sale on 31 March 2017 to Caisse des Dépôts and CNP Assurances of a 49.9% stake in the company holding owning 100% of RTE Valuation of RTE: 8.2bn, with a potential value complement for EDF of up to 100m Sale of EDF Trading s coal and freight assets to JERA Trading, with EDF receiving on 4 April 2017 a 33.3% stake in JERA Trading Disposal on 31 January 2017 of the whole of EDF s stake in EDF DEMASZ to ENKSZ Q1 2017 SALES 4

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS 2016 DIVIDEND Proposal of a 0.90 dividend per share for 2016 at AGM on 18 May 2017-0.50 interim dividend paid in October 2016 Option to receive the dividend in new shares confirmed by the French State Ex-dividend date for final dividend of 0.40: 6 June 2017 Payment date and settlement of shares: 30 June 2017 LONG-TERM FINANCING 137bn or 1.1bn raised in January 2017, through a series of Samurai senior bond issues, ranging from 10 to 20 years First public Samurai Green Bonds, with the issuance of two green tranches totalling 26bn (or ~ 210m) dedicated to the financing of renewable investments Total Green Bonds issued to date by EDF group: ~ 4.5bn Q1 2017 SALES 5

OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS SALES PERFORMANCE Group sales: 21.1bn, flat in organic terms compared to Q1 2016 France Generation & supply activities: +1.7% in particular due to ARENH sales Dalkia: +15.4% benefitting mostly from favourable price effects Italy: -10.4% penalised by realised gas price level OPERATING PERFORMANCE Nuclear generation France: -7.6TWh in line with expectations considering outages for additional controls initiated in 2016 United Kingdom: +0.3TWh Q1 2017 SALES 6

GROUP SALES STABLE IN ORGANIC TERMS (1) In m Organic change: +0.0% (1) 21,442-285 +188 +78-54 -324 Scope, forex and inter-segment operations (2) France - Generation and supply activities France - Regulated activities United Kingdom Italy +118-35 Other activities Other international 21,128 Mainly UK forex O/w Dalkia (+ 155m) Q1 2016 Q1 2017 (1) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates financial information reflecting the new segmental reporting since 31.12.2016 (2) As of 2016, breakdown of sales across the segment, before inter-segment eliminations Q1 2017 SALES 7

FRANCE GENERATION AND SUPPLY ACTIVITIES In m Organic change: +1.7% (1) +849-895 11,166-171 -37 +17 +425 11,354 Weather (+0.8TWh) and 2016 leap year Tariffs Downstream market conditions ARENH sales Net sales on markets (2) Other 6.16 Competition (-3.4TWh) offset by positive volume and price effects Mainly generation and ARENH supply O/w purchase obligations (+ 159m) Q1 2016 Q1 2017 (1) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates - financial information reflecting the new segmental reporting since 31.12.2016 (2) Excluding additional required energy purchases on markets Q1 2017 SALES 8

FRANCE: UPSTREAM/DOWNSTREAM BALANCE In TWh OUTPUT/PURCHASES Q1 2017 vs. Q1 2016 CONSUMPTION/SALES Q1 2017 vs. Q1 2016 Purchase obligations LT & structured purchases Fossil-fired Hydropower (1) 14 25 11 141-7 - +3 - -2 Net market sales ARENH supply Structured sales, auctions and other (2) 13 20 11 141-7 -24 +20-1 Nuclear 109-8 End-customers 97-2 NB: EDF excluding French islands electrical activities (1) Hydro output after deduction of pumped volumes: 9TWh (2) Including hydro pumped volumes of 2TWh Q1 2017 SALES 9

FRANCE NUCLEAR OUTPUT: IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS CONSIDERING OUTAGES FOR ADDITIONAL CONTROLS INITIATED IN H2 2016 Monthly nuclear output (in TWh) Cumulative nuclear output (in TWh) 45 40 35 2015 H1 2016 H2 Nuclear shortfall 2016 vs. 2015 2016 2017-6.0% 116.1-6.5% 108.5-4.7% 147.1 140.2 30 2017-2.6% 78.9 74.2 25 41.6 40.5 20 Jan. Feb. March April May June July August Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. March April 2017 nuclear output target confirmed: 390 400 TWh Q1 2017 SALES 10

FRANCE HYDRO OUTPUT: HYDRO CONDITIONS BELOW AVERAGE In TWh 2016 cumulative output (1) 2017 cumulative output (1) 12.3 (2) 10.8 (2) -17.0% 16.5 180% Normal hydro productibility levels Seasonal mins. and maxs. between 2007 and 2017-12.2% 13.7 140% 2016 +11.4% 3.5 3.9-13.9% 7.9 6.8 100% 60% 2017 January February March April 20% March June Sept. Dec. (1) Hydropower excluding French islands electrical activities, before deduction of pumped volumes (2) Output after deduction of pumped volumes: 10.4TWh in Q1 2016 and 8.9TWh in Q1 2017 Q1 2017 SALES 11

FRANCE REGULATED ACTIVITIES In m Organic change: +1.6% (1) 4,784-31 +42 +57 +10 Other 4,862 Weather and 2016 leap year Tariffs Price and volume effects (2) Q1 2016 Q1 2017 (1) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates - financial information reflecting the new segmental reporting since 31.12.2016 (2) Excluding weather and tariff effects Q1 2017 SALES 12

UNITED KINGDOM: LOWER MARKET PRICES, OPERATING PERFORMANCE OF NUCLEAR FLEET REMAINING VERY HIGH In m Q1 2016 Q1 2017 % % Org. (1) SALES 2,929 2,568-12.3-1.8 Negative impact of lower realised prices Nuclear output at 16.0TWh (+0.3TWh vs. Q1 2016) due to a favourable phasing effect from refuelling Stable residential customer base in Q1 2017 (1) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates - financial information reflecting the new segmental reporting since 31.12.2016 Q1 2017 SALES 13

ITALY: DECREASE IN SALES WILL NOT IMPACT PROFITABILITY In m Q1 2016 Q1 2017 % % Org. (1) SALES 3,119 2,797-10.3-10.4 Electricity activity: lower sales volumes, partially offset by increase in power sales prices Hydrocarbons activity Strong decrease in realised gas prices with no major impact on profitability thanks to hedging Increase in gas volumes thanks to rising demand, in line with higher thermal generation and industrial consumption E&P business benefitting from higher Brent prices (1) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates - financial information reflecting the new segmental reporting since 31.12.2016 Q1 2017 SALES 14

EDF ÉNERGIES NOUVELLES: BENEFITS OF 2016 COMMISSIONINGS In m Q1 2016 Q1 2017 % % Org. (1) SALES 282 306 +8.5-0.4 Generation affected by unfavourable wind conditions in France and the UK Positive impact of net capacities commissioned in 2016 Gross commissioning of 189MW during Q1 2017, especially in India (wind and solar) Significant portfolio of projects under construction: 1.8GW gross (1) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates - financial information reflecting the new segmental reporting since 31.12.2016 Q1 2017 SALES 15

OTHER ACTIVITIES: SOLID OPERATING PERFORMANCE OF DALKIA, UNFAVOURABLE PRICE ENVIRONMENT FOR EDF TRADING In m Q1 2016 Q1 2017 1,999 282-0.4% (1) 2,153 306 1,006 +15.4% (1) 1,222 173-30.6% (1) 121 538 +3.1% (1) 504 EDF Énergies Nouvelles Dalkia % EDF Trading % Org. (1) SALES 1,999 2,153 +7.7 +5.9 Other (Gas business, etc.) Dalkia Sales lifted by positive price impact due to fuel price increase and favourable services contracts indexations More favourable weather conditions on heat volumes EDF Trading Low volatility and unfavourable price environment in Europe due to mild weather in February and March Decrease in coal business due to lower prices and mild weather Lower gas prices in Canada Q1 2016 Q1 2017 (1) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates - financial information reflecting the new segmental reporting since 31.12.2016 Q1 2017 SALES 16

OTHER INTERNATIONAL: ONGOING DEVELOPMENT OF RENEWABLES AND SERVICES, NEGATIVE PRICE EFFECT In m Q1 2016 Q1 2017 1,546 1,467 % % Org. (1) SALES 1,546 1,467-5.1-2.3 Belgium Increase in wind capacities to ~300MW (+14% compared to Q1 2016) Gas: decrease in prices and volumes Electricity: increase in volumes sold, more than mitigated by lower prices Ongoing development of service business 993 +0.1% (1) 997 305 +1.5%(1) 313 248 (2) -16.5% (1) 157 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Belgium Poland (3) Other (Brazil, Asia, etc.) Poland Other Higher electricity and heat volumes thanks to improved availability of generation assets, favourable weather and commercial expansion Negative price effect on electricity sales Brazil: negative impact of annual PPA-price review, combined with lower output due to system operator dispatch (1) Organic change at constant scope and exchange rates - financial information reflecting the new segmental reporting since 31.12.2016 (2) Including EDF Demasz sales in Q1 2016, with no equivalent in Q1 2017 considering the sale of the subsidiary on 31 January 2017 (3) Polish activities of EDF EN and Dalkia part of the Other activities segment Q1 2017 SALES 17

2017 TARGETS & 2018 ROAD MAP CONFIRMED NUCLEAR OUTPUT EBITDA (1) 2017 NET FINANCIAL DEBT/EBITDA (2) PAYOUT RATIO OF NET INCOME EXCLUDING NON-RECURRING ITEMS (3) 390 400 TWh 13.7bn 14.3bn 2.5x 55% to 65% 2018 OPEX (4) NET INVESTMENTS EXCLUDING LINKY, NEW DEVELOPMENTS AND ASSET DISPOSALS EBITDA (5) CASH FLOW (5)(6) NET FINANCIAL DEBT/EBITDA (5)(6) PAYOUT RATIO OF NET INCOME EXCLUDING NON-RECURRING ITEMS (3) - 0.7bn vs. 2015 ~ 10.5bn 15.2bn 0 2.5x 50% (1) At 2016 exchange rate (2) At 2016 exchange rate and at an assumed discount rate on nuclear provisions of 4.1% in 2017 (3) Adjusted for the remuneration of hybrid bonds accounted for in equity (4) At constant scope, exchange and hypothesis of pensions discount rates. Excluding change in operating expenses of service activities (5) At 2016 exchange rate and assumption for 2018 power prices in France on volumes not hedged as of 31.12.2016: 36/MWh (6) At 2016 exchange rate. Cash flow excluding Linky, new developments and asset disposals, with an assumed discount rate on nuclear provisions of 4.1% in 2017 and 3.9% in 2018, excluding interim dividend for fiscal year 2018, which will be decided in H2 2018 Q1 2017 SALES 18

BEYOND 2018 OPEX REDUCTION (1) in 2019 vs. 2015 At least 1bn BEYOND 2018 ASSET DISPOSALS OVER 2015-2020 PAYOUT RATIO OF NET INCOME EXCLUDING NON- RECURRING ITEMS (2) At least 10bn 45% to 50% (1) At constant scope, exchange and hypothesis of pensions discount rates. Excluding change in operating expenses of service activities (2) Adjusted for the remuneration of hybrid bonds accounted for in equity Q1 2017 SALES 19

SALES AND HIGHLIGHTS 2017 FIRST QUARTER