Q4 and FY/2012 Preliminary Results Analyst and Investor Conference 20 February 2013

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Transcription:

Q4 and FY/ Preliminary Results Analyst and Investor Conference 20 February 2013

Overview Q4 And FY/ Preliminary Results Conference Solid financial performance in difficult environment ( 661 million adjusted net income) Dividend proposal of 2.10 reflects weaker business activity in (58% pay-out ratio) Deutsche Börse Group has the most complete business model in the exchange industry Efficiency measures create flexibility to increase investments in growth and infrastructure Some major milestones of the growth strategy already achieved over the last 12 months Refinancing of debt will reduce financing expenses significantly in H2/2013 and beyond 1

Deutsche Börse Group Maintained Solid Financial Performance During Challenging Environment Many factors negatively influenced business activity in... Continued uncertainty regarding the global economic development Uncertainty about regulation of financial markets Historically low interest rates in Europe and the US... but Deutsche Börse Group maintained solid net revenue: m, % of net revenue Group: 1,932.3 million Xetra (11%) Eurex (44%) Clearstream (34%) MD&A (11%) 301 252 267 213 851 892 940 843 703 668 695 661 185 204 220 215 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 2

Net Revenue And EBIT In FY/ Segmental Overview Group Segments Net revenue 1,932.3 million (-9%) Net interest income 52.0 million (-31%) Operating costs 1 922.4 million (+5%) EBIT 1 1,005.6 million (-19%) Xetra Eurex Clearstream MD&A 267 Net rev. -20% EBIT -35% 213 940 Net rev. -10% EBIT -20% 843 695 Net rev. -5% EBIT -13% 661 220 Net rev. -2% EBIT -16% 215 Tax rate 1,2 26% (stable) Net income 1,2 660.9 million (-21%) 152 99 570 457 377 327 147 124 Earnings per share 1,2 3.53 ( -22%) m Net revenue EBIT 1 1) Adjusted for costs for efficiency programs ( 23.1m) and merger related cost ( 13.1m) 2) Adjusted for a) financial expense relating to the revaluation of the purchase price liability of the agreement with SIX ( 27.4m), b) one-off effects relating to the bond refinancing ( 12.4m), c) gain from reversal of deferred tax liabilities for STOXX ( 20.7m; shared with SIX Group), and d) creation of deferred taxes relating to full acquisition of Eurex ( 37.1m) 3

Income Statement Details In The Fourth Quarter Net revenue and EBIT m 510.1 506.9 506.7 471.0 447.7 Revenue Net revenue: 447.7m (-12% y-o-y) - Net interest income: 8.4m (-56% y-o-y) - Volume related costs: 69.4m (3% y-o-y) Costs Operating costs (adjusted): 247.1m (3% y-o-y) - Adjustments: Costs for efficiency programs ( 10.0m); merger related costs (- 3.4m) 259.1 282.9 283.7 247.2 Exchange rate EURUSD: Q4/: 1.3402, Q3/: 1.2569, Q4/: 1.3068 1) Adjusted for costs for efficiency programs and merger related costs 191.8 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Net revenue EBIT 1 Earnings EBIT (adjusted): 191.8m (-26% y-o-y) - Equity result includes impairment of Quadriserv ( 10.8m) Financial result (adjusted): - 27.5m - Adjustments: Bond refinancing ( 12.4m) Income tax expense (adjusted): 42.6m - Adjustments: Gains from a) reversal of deferred tax liabilities for STOXX ( 20.7m; shared with SIX Group) and b) creation of deferred taxes relating to full acquisition of Eurex ( 37.1m) Net income (adjusted): 119.3m (-29% y-o-y) EPS (adjusted): 0.64 (-29% y-o-y) 4

Dividend Proposal Of 2.10 For Reflects Weaker Business Activity In Net income m 1 Regular dividend per share Pay-out ratio (%) 49 50 51 38 56 54 52 58 912 1,033 839 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.30 2.10 669 700 722 661 1.70 427 1.05 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1) Adjusted for ISE impairment (2009-2010), costs for efficiency measures (2010-), merger related costs (-) and one-off effects relating to the full acquisition of Eurex (-) 5

First Tranche Of Refinancing Already Completed In Debt Financing Expenses Will Decrease Significantly Overview bond issuance Debt financing expenses 1 m First tranche of refinancing completed already in due to favourable market environment 86-24 Terms of first tranche: 600 million, term of 10 years, 2.375 % coupon 62-13 In order to limit negative carry, a simultaneously tender offer for the outstanding euro senior and hybrid bonds has been conducted 49 Second tranche of refinancing is planned for Q2/2013 Ramp-up of full benefits of refinancing after Q2 maturities 2013E 2014E 1) Model calculation: issuance of second refinancing tranche in April 2013, issue size 600m, coupon ~2.4%; implied exchange rate EURUSD of 1.30 6

Strategic Roadmap Investments In Growth And Infrastructure Will Be Further Increased In 2013 Growth strategy 1 2 3 Extend products and services to unregulated/unsecured markets Expand Eurex clearing/risk management capabilities Global roll-out of collateral and liquidity management services Expand technological leadership Foster product, process and system innovation Combine market data and IT in one segment Increase reach in new customer groups and growth regions Expand customer reach Partnerships and M&A Effective cost management Commitment to capital management Cost discipline remains key priority Further efficiency gains targeted Maintain strong credit rating profile Continue attractive capital management policy 7

Some Major Milestones Of Growth Strategy Already Achieved Over The Last 12 Months Agreement with major derivatives dealers on EurexOTC Clear offering for interest rate swaps in May ; launch of service in November ; first buy-side clients connected Significant progress in Clearstream s Liquidity Hub by attracting additional partners including CSDs of South Africa, Canada, Spain and Hong Kong as well as agent banks BNP Paribas and Citi Expansion of services offered as part of the unique combination of Eurex Clearing and Clearstream, e.g. introduction of money market transaction offering to corporates and investors: GC Pooling Select Combination of IT and market data and analytics business under leadership of new Executive Board member Ms Hauke Stars; expansion of external IT services over the mid-term Further expansion of geographic coverage, mainly in Asia; e.g. further build-up of Clearstream s operations in Singapore; record volumes in KOSPI products traded on Eurex; TAIFEX cooperation 8

Implementation Of Efficiency Measures Over The Years Prepared Deutsche Börse Well For Current Environment Track record for effective cost management Cost growth of key exchange organisations Operating costs 1, m CAGR 2007-2, % Ø 11 1,025 995 981-10% 936 890 922-3 1 7 8 8 13 13 16 23 2007 2008 2009 2010 25 1) Adjusted for ISE impairment (2009-2010), costs for efficiency measures (2007-) and merger related costs (-) 2) Operating costs vs. 2007; DB1 excluding volume related costs; NYX excluding section 31, liquidity payment, routing and clearing fees; NDAQ excluding liquidity rebates and brokerage clearance and exchange fees; LSE FY until 31 Mar ; ASX & SGX FY until 30 Jun 9

Measures To Further Increase The Operating Efficiency Create Flexibility To Increase Investments In Growth Efficiency measures Ramp-up of cost savings Planned savings in personnel and non-personnel costs of 70 million per annum by 2016 100% 70m Non-personnel cost: 40 million, e.g. through a reduction of expenditure for external consulting as well as IT operating cost ~80% Personnel cost: 30 million, voluntary leaver program for around 200 staff members and around 50 executives ~60% Implementation costs for the measures of around 90 to 120 million expected Intention to implement the measures without forced redundancies ~30% 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 10

Further Increase Of Investments In Growth And Infrastructure Result In Moderate Increase Of Operating Costs In 2013 Deutsche Börse Group has been the only major exchange organisation that reduced operating costs since 2007 Track record for effective cost management continued with incremental 70 million efficiency measures announced early February Measures will allow for full mitigation of inflationary pressures on business as usual (BAU) operating costs, resulting in flat BAU operating costs in 2013 Furthermore, the measures ensure the flexibility to continue the growth and infrastructure investments with a step-up of around 40 million planned for 2013 Exceptional cost items expected for 2013: restructuring costs (~ 90 million), costs/provisions in relation to the OFAC investigation and potential consolidation effects 11

Appendix Deutsche Börse Group, Q4 and FY/ Preliminary Results, 20 February 2013 12

Income Statement Group Level Q4/ Q4/ FY/ FY/ Sales revenue 507.2 541.4 2,145.3 2,233.3 Net interest income from banking business 8.4 19.3 52.0 75.1 Other operating income 1.5 16.5 11.7 57.0 Total revenue 517.1 577.2 2,209.0 2,365.4 Volume-related costs -69.4-67.1-276.7-244.0 Net revenue (total revenue less volume-related costs) 447.7 510.1 1,932.3 2,121.4 Staff costs -108.1-98.7-414.2-385.8 Depreciation, amortization and impairment losses -28.6-24.3-105.0-91.4 Other operating expenses -117.0-146.0-439.4-485.0 Operating costs 1-253.7-269.0-958.6-962.2 Result from equity investments -8.8-10.2-4.3 3.6 Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) 185.2 230.9 969.4 1,162.8 Financial income 0.4 0.4 12.3 135.1 Financial expense -40.3-40.5-145.0-138.9 Earnings before tax (EBT) 145.3 190.8 836.7 1,159.0 Income tax expense 20.1-39.6-166.9-281.2 Net profit for the period 165.4 151.2 669.8 877.8 thereof shareholders of parent company (net income for the period) 152.7 143.7 645.0 855.2 thereof non-controlling interests 12.7 7.5 24.8 22.6 Earnings per share (basic) ( ) 0.82 0.78 3.44 4.60 13

Income Statement Sales Revenue And Net Revenue Per Product Sales revenue per product ( m) Xetra Eurex Clearstream Q4/ Q4/ SUM 51.9 60.0 Trading 23.6 29.0 CCP 7.5 9.7 Connectivity 5.8 5.3 Other 15.0 16.0 Net revenue per product ( m) Xetra Q4/ Q4/ SUM 47.6 56.8 Trading 19.3 24.9 CCP 7.5 9.7 Connectivity 5.8 5.3 Other 15.0 16.9 Q4/ Q4/ SUM 208.6 221.9 Index 84.6 105.8 Fixed income 38.1 37.8 Equity 10.5 8.9 US Options 40.5 38.6 Other 34.9 30.8 Eurex Q4/ Q4/ SUM 187.0 218.3 Index 83.2 105.8 Fixed income 38.1 37.8 Equity 10.1 8.5 US Options 23.0 30.2 Other 32.6 36.0 Q4/ Q4/ SUM 187.6 197.8 Custody 108.6 109.3 Settlement 26.9 26.2 GSF 20.4 28.0 Other 31.7 34.3 Clearstream Q4/ Q4/ SUM 158.2 176.9 Custody 82.4 83.5 Settlement 23.8 23.1 GSF 13.3 17.3 Other 30.3 33.7 Net interest income 8.4 19.3 14

Disclaimer Deutsche Börse Group, Q4 and FY/ Preliminary Results, 20 February 2013 Cautionary note with regard to forward-looking statements This document contains forward-looking statements and statements of future expectations that reflect management's current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Such statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied and that are beyond Deutsche Börse AG's ability to control or estimate precisely. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, the words 'may, will, should, expects, plans, intends, anticipates, believes, estimates, predicts, potential, or continue' and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, (ii) future performance of financial markets, (iii) interest rate levels (iv) currency exchange rates (v) the behaviour of other market participants (vi) general competitive factors (vii) changes in laws and regulations (viii) changes in the policies of central banks, governmental regulators and/or (foreign) governments (ix) the ability to successfully integrate acquired and merged businesses and achieve anticipated synergies (x) reorganization measures, in each case on a local, national, regional and/or global basis. Deutsche Börse AG does not assume any obligation and does not intend to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of these materials. No obligation to update information Deutsche Börse AG does not assume any obligation and does not intend to update any information contained herein. No investment advice This presentation is for information only and shall not constitute investment advice. It is not intended for solicitation purposes but only for use as general information. All descriptions, examples and calculations contained in this presentation are for illustrative purposes only. Deutsche Börse AG 2013. All rights reserved. 15