INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q3 2018

Similar documents
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q2 2018

INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q1 2018

CAPITAL MARKETS DAY 2017 DEVELOPING INTO A 200 MWP PLAYER

Annual Results 2015 & Outlook 2016 ANALYST CONFERENCE. 22 April, 2016

ANALYST CALL H RESULTS & OUTLOOK

CAPITAL MARKETS DAY Deutsches Eigenkapitalforum Frankfurt / Main,

Business Plan FOUNDATIONS FOR A STRATEGIC DEAL BY C Solarparken AG / BAYREUTH

5 November C Solarparken AG. FIRST BERLIN Equity Research

The niche player among PV operators

7C Solarparken GUIDANCE FOR 2016 INCREASED. FIRST BERLIN Equity Research. Preliminary 2014 PRICE TARGET 2.10

Capital Stage AG: Strategic Partnership with Solarcentury. November 2, 2017, 11:00 CET

Earnings Call FY2017. Hamburg, 23 March 2018

Earnings Call 6M 2018

PHOTON ENERGY N.V. MONTHLY REPORT. December 2014 for the period from 1 to 31 December January 2015 Amsterdam The Netherlands

Conference Call. Encavis AG Bold move into the PPA market. October 9, 2018

Q Earnings Call November 14, Misawa 1 site 1

PHOTON ENERGY N.V. MONTHLY REPORT

Unsubsidised rooftop PV markets in Singapore: when do we get grid parity back?

NEAS ENERGY - Route to Market

PHOTON ENERGY N.V. MONTHLY REPORT

FINANCIAL RESULTS Q4 2010

ADMIE (IPTO) Holding S.A. 1H 17 earnings presentation September 2017

FULL YEAR REPORT, 2017 TELEPHONE/AUDIO CONFERENCE 8 FEBRUARY 2018, AT CET TOMMY ANDERSSON, PRESIDENT AND CEO HELENA WENNERSTRÖM, EVP AND CFO

Origin Energy. Macquarie Australia Conference. Frank Calabria, CEO 1 May 2018

PHOTON ENERGY N.V. MONTHLY REPORT

9M 2016 Results. November 3rd, Conference call and webcast

Economic and financial feasibility of PV projects

Vattenfall Full Year 2011 results

Corporate Presentation March Powered by the Sun. Developing, building and operating solar power generation plants.

Statkraft Investor Update. March 2014

Joint venture for a PV project in Honduras. January 2015

Statkraft Investor Update. European Energy & Utilities Credit Conference 2013

Enel Green Power business plan. Rome - April 3 rd 2014

AFRICAN UTILITY WEEK 2009 At van der Merwe & Louis Fourie

FINANCIAL RESULTS Q CEO Christian Rynning-Tønnesen CFO Irene Egset 25 October 2018

Pareto Securities: Power and Renewable Energy Conference OSLO - JANUARY 11, 2018

RWE s Commodity Risk Management

Global Resilience Risk

QUARTERLY FINANCIAL REPORT June 30, 2017

H Results Presentation

Wholesale markets for electricity : The point of view of a trader

9M 2015 Results. October 28th, Conference call and webcast

FOCUS ON EDF EN Analyst Group Lunch Meeting - 6 July 2017

Unipro PJSC 2016 Full year results

Financial & Business Highlights For the Year Ended June 30, 2017

SECOND QUARTER 2017 RESULTS. August 3, 2017

XML Publisher Balance Sheet Vision Operations (USA) Feb-02

First Quarter Strategic Update & Financial Results MAY 10, 2018

Third Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. August 7, 2018

Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Call October 29, 2015

1Q 2016 Results. May 4th, Conference call and webcast

centrotherm photovoltaics AG Interim Report 1 January to 31 March May 2008

Half Year Results 6 Months Ended 30 June July 2018

April-September 2017 Results: short term impacts, long term actions. November 6, 2017

The Economics and Financing of Distributed Generation Investment. Budapest, Hungary November 17, 2016

SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG Analyst / Investor Presentation Financial Results 2017

Vattenfall Q2 and H1 results 2015

H results. innogy SE 11 August 2017 Bernhard Günther CFO

ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES (NYSE:ORA) BY: Kelvin Li

QUARTERLY FINANCIAL REPORT March 31, 2018

Investor presentation. December 2018

LARGE SCALE SOLAR INNOVATION SHOWCASE

Investor and Analyst presentation Senvion S.A.

SMA Solar Technology AG generates sales of EUR 1.4 billion in the first nine months

FIRST SOLAR Q3 17 EARNINGS CALL

3. TREASURY AND COMMODITIES GROUP

Release of EU Allowances in Germany

Feed-in tariff determination Best practice and cross-country coordination

Janda III - Cádiz - Spain 15:00 CET 14:00 UK / LISBON

Third Quarter 2016 Supplementary Slides

FIRST SOLAR Q3 16 EARNINGS CALL

Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy Q3 18 Results

Statkraft Investor Update Q3 2018

Singyes Solar (00750.HK/750 HK)

QUESTION 2. QUESTION 3 Which one of the following is most indicative of a flexible short-term financial policy?

TD Securities 2011 Calgary Unconventional Energy Conference July 7, Dawn Farrell Chief Operating Officer

Share Information. Key data per share

Gabriel Zeitouni, COWI A/S

Interim Report January September 2014

Q Supplemental Earnings Call Presentation. August 24, 2010

FINANCIAL RESULTS Q CEO Christian Rynning-Tønnesen CFO Irene Egset 26 October 2017

D2.6 Business Model Report

Half Year FY 2015 Results Presentation FEBRUARY 2015

Asset Optimisation and Trading

Fiscal year 2011 off to a strong start

Stormy Weathers in the European Wind Power sector how to keep the pace?

euromicron AG 2006 EUR m EUR m.

Our thesis considers the following:

9M 2017 results innogy SE 13 November 2017 Bernhard Günther CFO

Vattenfall Q results

Supply Chain. An Insurer Perspective. Willis Energy Summit 21 January 2016 Jamie Summons, Head of Weather Solutions, Asia Pacific

UK Onshore Wind. Investment Fundamentals

Fourth quarter 2016 Presentation to analysts and preliminary results 2016

Looking to the medium term

Solar PV Business Models & Investment

Capital Market Press Conference 2013 / Frankfurt, 5 December 2013

Ormat Technologies, Inc. December 2014

TGC-1 9M 2016 IFRS Results. November 21, 2016 Saint Petersburg

Enel Green Power 9M 2015 consolidated results

Historical Pricing PJM COMED, Around the Clock. Cal '15 Cal '16 Cal '17 Cal '18 Cal '19 Cal '20 Cal '21 Cal '22

Transcription:

INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q3 2018 7C Solarparken AG 2018 www.solarparken.com JULY 2018 1

INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q3 2018 EQUITY STORY 2

LONG-TERM CASH FLOWS, GROWTH AND DIVIDEND Pure-play owner-operator of PV parks of 150 MWp in Germany Stable cash flows through guaranteed fixed feed-in tariffs for 20 years Optimisation, project development and PV Estate drive long-term value Growth plan towards 200 MWp to enable improved valuation metrics Balanced capital structure and first-time dividend of EUR 0.10/share 3

INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q2 2018 BUSINESS 4

PURE-PLAY PV OWNER-OPERATOR IN GERMANY 1 2 3 4 Asset investment Optimisation Operations PV Estate COMMITMENT FOR VALUE CREATION THROUGHOUT THE PROJECT S LIFECYCLE 5

USP 1: WE CONTINUE TO EXPAND OUR IPP PORTFOLIO OF GERMAN PV PARKS PORTFOLIO GROWTH IN MWP 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10-32 18 14 15 71 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD 150 RECURRING GROWTH OF ~15 MW PER YEAR IN THE PERIOD 2014-17, ACCELERATION IN 2018 6

12-18 Months EQUITY STORY BUSINESS USP 2: THE ACQUISITION OF AMATEC S DEVELOPMENT BUSINESS ENABLES A NEW GROWTH CHANNEL Sourcing of investments: New-build development New-build turnkey Operating asset acquisition - Land identification - Lease contract - Construction plan - Permits - Grid rights - Ready for construction - Due diligence - EPC contract - Acquisition after construction - Due diligence - Identification of optimisation potential - SPA contract - Acquisition during operational phase AMATEC RATIONALE IN-HOUSE DEVELOPMENT - Relatively fierce competition among investors for the same projects offered by turnkey EPC suppliers - Synergies through in-house selection of EPC s and component suppliers - Recurring projects volume - Government opted for exceptional PV auctions in 2019-20 (2 GWp per year) - LCOE of PV power competitive to market rates AMATEC RANKS AS ONE OF GERMANY S MOST EXPERIENCED PV PLAYERS (> 1 GW) ACTIVE IN NEW -BUILD 7

USP 3: WE OPTIMISE PARKS OVERVIEW OPTIMISATION PLANS WITH RECURRING ANNUAL EBITDA GAIN 2014-18 IN EUR MIO 1.26 0.70 0.36 0.10 0.07 0.18 Plan 2014-16 "Colexon IPP" optimisation Plan 2015-17 "Miskina" optim Plan 2016-18 "Optim 2.0" Investment EBITDA PAYBACK IS LESS THAN 4 YEARS ON CAPEX AND OPEX ALLOCATED TO OPTIMISATION 8

USP 4: WE OPERATE THE PARKS AT HIGH PERFORMANCE RATIO 95% OVERVIEW PERFORMANCE RATIO 2017 OF ALL INSTALLATIONS AVERAGE PR PR = kwh/kwp (relative output yield) kwh/m² (irradiation on the panel) 90% 85% Weighted average Performance Ratio > 80% 95% of capacity has a PR of at least 75% There are no negative outliers (PR < 70 %) that signal abnormal underperformance PERFORMANCE RATIOS IN THE MARKET 80% 75% 70% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% Note: The size of the bubble represents the capacity of an installation AVERAGE PR OF >80% AND ABSENCE OF OUTLIERS DEMONSTRATE GOOD QUALITY OF THE PARKS 9

USP 5: WE BUY PV ESTATE TO SECURE LONG-TERM VALUE PV ESTATE PORTFOLIO PROJECT ESTATE REGION SIZE IN HA CAPACITY Sandersdorf Land Sachsen Anhalt 9,3 5.1 MWp Zerre Land Sachsen 28,5 8.0 MWp Hausen Building Bayern n.r. 0.1 MWp Bayreuth Building Bayern n.r. 0.1 MWp Pflugdorf Land Bayern 16,5 4.4 MWp Kettershausen Land Bayern 5,1 2.4 MWp Camp Astrid 2 Land NRW 1,0 0.6 MWp Grafentraubach Land Bayern 5,8 1.2 MWp Grafentraubach Building Bayern 3,6 1,5 MWp Grube Warndt Land Saarland 6,8 3.8 MWp Großfurra Land Thüringen 6,9 4.1 MWp Mühlgrün Land Sachsen 1,5 1.0 MWp Bitterfeld Land Sachsen Anhalt 12,1 4.6 MWp Umpferstedt Land Thüringen 2,1 1.0 MWp Calbe Land Sachsen Anhalt 1,8 0.7 MWp Zschornewitz Land Sachsen Anhalt 4,1 2.6 MWp PORTFOLIO 105.1 OWNERSHIP OF > 100 HA LAND & BUILDINGS WITH BOOK VALUE OF OVER EUR 8 MIO. 10

INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q3 2018 COMPANY 11

IPP PORTFOLIO OF 150 MWP GENERATES ANNUAL EBITDA OF APPROX EUR 32 MIO CAPACITY TARIFF YIELD REVENUES EBITDA Unit MWp EUR/MWh kwh/kwp EUR Mio EUR Mio Freefield 87 246 1,008 21.4 19.0 Rooftop 63 275 892 15.5 13.0 IPP PORTFOLIO 150 257 959 36.9 32.0 (*) Assuming normal weather conditions, and excluding corporate costs PROJECT LOCATIONS CHARACTERISTICS OF PORTFOLIO 97% located in Germany (3% in Belgium) Median size of installation: ~ 1,2 MWp Average year of commissioning: 2011 Average specific yield: ~ 959 kwh/kwp under normal w eather Average FIT: EUR 257/MWh (20 years + year of commissioning) Lease extension possibilities up to 2 x 5 years in most cases Largest panels suppliers: First Solar, Canadian Solar, Neo Solar Pow er Largest inverters suppliers: SMA, Siemens, Sungrow 12

WHY WE LIKE GERMANY Stable government, stable regulation Respect for capital Transparent and competitive power markets The heart of European energy flows Lowest government bond yields Largest PV market in Europe > 43 GWp 13

1-Jan-15 1-Feb-15 1-Mar-15 1-Apr-15 1-May-15 1-Jun-15 1-Jul-15 1-Aug-15 1-Sep-15 1-Oct-15 1-Nov-15 1-Dec-15 1-Jan-16 1-Feb-16 1-Mar-16 1-Apr-16 1-May-16 1-Jun-16 1-Jul-16 1-Aug-16 1-Sep-16 1-Oct-16 1-Nov-16 1-Dec-16 1-Jan-17 1-Feb-17 1-Mar-17 1-Apr-17 1-May-17 1-Jun-17 1-Jul-17 1-Aug-17 1-Sep-17 1-Oct-17 1-Nov-17 1-Dec-17 1-Jan-18 1-Feb-18 1-Mar-18 1-Apr-18 1-May-18 1-Jun-18 1-Jul-18 EQUITY STORY BUSINESS MANAGEMENT TRACK-RECORD 155 H1 2018 GROWTH TO 150 MWP THROUGH ALTERNATIVE FINANCING 145 135 125 2015-16 ACQUISITION & OPTIMISATION MISKINA (14 MWP) 2016-17 GROWTH TO 115 MWP THROUGH PRIVATE PLACEMENTS 115 105 95 2014-15 ACQUISITION & OPTIMISATION COLEXON (26 MWP) 85 75 65 55 Market cap in EUR Mio Capacity in MWp 45 MARKET CAP OF ~ EUR 135 MIO BACKED BY 150 MWP PORTFOLIO 14

SHAREHOLDERS STRUCTURE Share ISIN WKN Ticker 7C Solarparken AG DE000A11QW68 A11QW6 HRPK # shares 51,5 Mio Standard Trading platform Designated Sponsors Analyst coverage General Standard XETRA, Frankfurt Lang Schw arz MM Warburg Quirin Privatbank Investor contact E-mail address Website Steven De Proost, CEO info@solarparken.com www.solarparken.com OWNERSHIP DIVIDED BETWEEN RENOWNED EUROPEAN FAMILIES AND FREE FLOAT (>50%) 15

INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q3 2018 STRATEGY 16

MARKET OBSERVATION COMPETITIVENESS OF SOLAR POWER TREND OF FEED-IN TARIFFS FOR NEW-BUILD 2000-17 COST TO BUILD A NEW 100 KWP PV PLANT (IN EUR/KWP) 6,000 5,000 4,000 Modules BOS incl. Inverter 3,000 2,000 1,000 - Tariffs have reduced from over EUR 450/MWh for large parks in 2004 to under EUR 90/MWh in 2017 The new-build tariff for 2017 is below the net electricity price that industrial customers pay in the market Tender pricing now already close to wholesale peak price Cost price has fallen by 75% over the last ten years. The price for modules represents ca. 50% of the investment cost COST OF DISTRIBUTED PV GENERATION BELOW ELECTRICITY CUSTOMER PRICES 17

MARKET OBSERVATION COMPETITIVENESS OF SOLAR POWER LEVELISED COST OF NEW-BUILD ELECTRICITY (EUROCENT/KWH) WHOLESALE POWER PRICE DEVELOPMENT (EUR/MWH) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 - EEX base-load Auction price PV Source: Fraunhofer Institute, March 2018 FREEFIELD SOLAR POWER NOW SEEN AS THE CHEAPEST SOURCE OF NEW-BUILD POWER GENERATION 18

MARKET OBSERVATION M&A WILL DOMINATE THE RENEWABLES MARKET IRR of new-buildplants Valuation of portfolios Size of new-buildprojects Technical regulations Highly fragmented PV market in Germany M&A to drive growth and extract synergies 1/3 of existing PV parks run sub-optimally Limited availability of parks on secondarymarket Power price options will attract utilities 19

MARKET OBSERVATION VALUATION DISCOUNT FOR OPERATORS BELOW 200 MW TIER 1 > 500 MW TIER 2 > 200 MW Regular secondary offerings Regular secondary offerings International institutions Local institutional investors Market cap/mw ~ 1,2x Market cap/mw ~ 1,1x TIER 3: ~ 100 MW P/CF multiple ~7x P/CF multiple ~6x Limited liquidity in the share Limited institutional ownership 1 400 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 - Market cap EUR Mio MW Market cap /MWp < 1,0x P/CF multiple ~ 5x 200 MWP SEEN AS THE CRITICAL POINT TO TRIGGER AN IMPROVED COMPANY S VALUATION 20

PLAN 2017-19 7C SOLARPARKEN AIMS TO GROW TO 200 MW IN TWO STAGES THE 150 MWP CAPACITY TARGET FOR 2018 HAS BEEN REACHED IN ADVANCE 21

INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q3 2018 FINANCIALS & GUIDANCE 22

IMPROVED FINANCIAL PROFILE SINCE CHANGE OF MANAGEMENT IN 2014 30.0 RETURN ON ASSETS 12.0% COVERAGE RATIO 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 5.4% 11.2 7.6% 20.2 8.9% 25.3 9.6% 27,5 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 3.4 2.6 5.0 3.8 3.4 2.5 2.2 1.7-2014 2015 2016 2017 0.0% - 2014 2015 2016 2017 Clean EBITDA in EUR Mio EBITDA/total assets Clean EBITDA/Interest expenses Net debt/equity EQUITY RATIO CASH FLOW PER SHARE 85% 75% 65% 71% 73% 72% 69% 67% 65% 64% 61% 0.41 0.45 0.49 55% 45% 35% 25% 20% 18% 20% 24% 25% 25% 28% 29% 0.26 15% 2014 H1 2014 FY 2015 H1 2015 FY 2016 H1 2016 FY 2017 H1 2017 FY Debt / Assets Equity ratio 2014 2015 2016 2017 STRONGER CASH FLOWS AND BALANCE SHEET ENABLE A FIRST-TIME DIVIDEND OF EUR 0,10/SHARE 23

IPP PORTFOLIO: OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE 2017 961 982 +15% 102.5 104.4 88.9 92.5 390 359 372 337 131 157 100 98 2016 2017 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year GWh MWp weighted kwh/kwp 2016 kwh/kwp 2017 7C Solarparken produced 102,5 GWh in 2017 (prognosis: 101,9 GWh) based on a weighted average running capacity of 104 MWp during the year. The specific yield of our portfolio rose by 2% from 961 kwh/kwp in 2016 to 982 kwh/kwp in 2017 (prognosis: 970 kwh/kwp) reflecting: 1. Positive effects from Optim 2.0 which consisted of a series of improvement measures in existing PV parks 2. The absence of planned and unplanned outages in 2017 OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE FULLY IN LINE WITH PROGNOSIS 24

GROUP P&L (IFRS) In T EUR 2017 2016 Comment Revenues 32.988 30.294 EUR 32,6 Mio fromipp in 2017 (average tariff: EUR 318/MWh) EBITDA 29.864 27.949 including positive one-time effects D&A - 17.287-15.956 Reflects increase in underlying assets EBIT 12.577 11.993 Financial income 976 855 Incl. non-cash income from re-financing the Moorenw eis project loan Financial expenses -6.093-6.620 EUR 5,6 Mio interest expenses in 2017 Pre-tax profit 7.460 6.228 Tax -1.425-1.522 of w hich EUR 0,4 Mio current taxes, remainder is deferred Consolidated profit 6.036 4.706 Net profit, group 6.019 4.708 Minorities 16-2 EBITDA OF EUR 29,9 MIO VERSUS REVISED GUIDANCE OF EUR 28,5 MIO 25

CLEAN EBITDA AND CASH FLOW PER SHARE In Mio EUR 2017 2016 Comment EBITDA 29,9 27,9 Including one-time effects Transaction & restructuring expenses 1,0 0,2 Compensation for damage -1,6 0,0 Incl. settlement w ith equipment supplier resulting from OPTIM 2.0 Gain fromsale of assets -0,4-0,4 Incl. sale of Leo plant in Italy at the end of 2017 Gain on bargain purchase (PPA) -0,5-1,9 Net effect of provisions -0,1-0,6 Clean EBITDA 28,2 25,4 Cash interest paid -5,9-6,2 Cash tax paid -0,4-0,2 Net cash flow 21,9 19,0 Weighted average # shares (in mio) 44,4 42,3 Cash Flow Per Share (CFPS) 0,49 0,45 Cash flow per share improved to EUR 0,49/share, in line with the guidance of EUR 0,48-0,50/share. Value creation per share in spite of capital increases (from 42,3 Mio to 44,4 Mio weighted shares) CLEAN EBITDA CLIMBED FROM EUR 25,4 MIO TO EUR 28,2 MIO 26

GROUP BALANCE SHEET (IFRS) In T EUR 2017 2016 Comment ASSETS 294.438 285.063 Land & Property 8.183 7.889 PV Estate Solarparks 240.517 233.937 Solar installations incl under construction Financial investment 31 183 Inventory 1.637 408 mainly modules Cash & cash equivalents 34.068 29.896 includes restricted cash of EUR 15,9 Mio LIABILITIES 294.438 285.063 Equity 86.413 70.628 Minority interest 482 386 Financial debt 180.711 186.548 Long-term provisions 8.507 7.744 Dismantling, EPC risk, O&M losses, contingent liabilities Net financial debt 146.643 156.652 Net debt/ebitda 4,9 5,6 Equity ratio 29,5% 24,8% FURTHER STRENGTHENING OF BALANCE SHEET WITH EQUITY RATIO AT 29,5% 27

PROVISIONS AND OLD LEGACY COLEXON In T EUR 2017 2016 Comment LONG TERM PROVISIONS 8.507 7.744 Rückbau 6.330 5.443 Normal dismantling provisions Technical w arranties 1.429 1.463 EPC risks O&M contracts 14 98 Unprofitable O&M contracts Contingent liabilities 688 697 Mainly litigation and claims outside EPC contracts Others 47 44 Most unprofitable O&M contracts and EPC guarantees had alreadyexpired at year-end 2016, sothat no additional projects risks and related provisions have arisen during 2017 The last unprofitable O&M contract will expire during H1 18 EXISTING RISKS RELATED TO COLEXON S EPC HISTORY HAVE SLIGHTLY REDUCED TO EUR 2,1 MIO 28

GUIDANCE 29

INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q3 2018 7C SOLARPARKEN AG An der Feuerwache 15-95445 Bayreuth Steven De Proost, CEO sdp@solarparken.com +49 (0) 921 230 557 77 CONTACT 30