Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. JPMorgan Aviation & Transportation Conference 11 March Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc.

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Transcription:

JPMorgan Aviation & Transportation Conference 11 March 2009

Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains certain statements that may be deemed to be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities Acts. Forward-looking statements reflect management s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and may include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in our records and other data available from third parties. Although believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, because these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond our control, cannot assure you that it will achieve or accomplish these expectations, beliefs or projections. Important factors that, in our view, could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the forwardlooking statements include the strength of world economies and currencies, general market conditions, including changes in charterhire rates and vessel values, changes in demand that may affect attitudes of time charterers to scheduled and unscheduled drydocking, changes in our vessel operating expenses, including dry-docking and insurance costs, or actions taken by regulatory authorities, ability of our counterparties to perform their obligations under sales agreements, charter contracts, and other agreements on a timely basis, potential liability from future litigation, domestic and international political conditions, potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents and political events or acts by terrorists. Risks and uncertainties are further described in reports filed by with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. 1

Agenda Investment Thesis The Fleet Industry View Financial Overview Conclusion 2

Investment Thesis

Eagle Bulk A Clear, Focused Investment Story New York-based owner of a large modern Supramax fleet Ideally suited for volatile markets Chartering strategy provides stability Revenue visibility to 2018 Over $1 billion in contracted revenues 74% charter cover for 2009 Charterer default insurance in place through July 2011 Newbuilding program contracted at reasonable prices Extensive long-term charter cover Management Experienced in Value Creation through Drybulk Market Cycles 4

4Q 2008 and Full Year 2008 Results 4Q Net Income of $15.1 million or $0.32 per share, adjusted for nonrecurring charges Gross Time Charter Revenues of $62.4 million, up 64% Q-on-Q EBITDA 1 of $33.5 million, increased 20% Q-on-Q Fleet Utilization of 99.5% 2008 Net Income of $67.6 million or $1.44 per share, adjusted for nonrecurring charges Gross Time Charter Revenues of $194.3 million, up 43% Y-on-Y EBITDA 1 of $127.7 million, increased 28% Y-on-Y Fleet Utilization of 99.5% 1 EBITDA, as defined by our credit agreement, is Net Income plus Interest Expense, Depreciation and Amortization, and Exceptional Items Solid Earnings Achieved in Volatile Market 5

The Fleet

Current Fleet Over 90% Built After 2000 On The Water Vessels SUPRAMAX CLASS Deadweight Tons Year Length Ship s Cargo Gear (Dwt) Built in meters Cranes Grabs (in cubic meters) Crested Eagle 55,989 2009 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12.5 m 3 Crowned Eagle 55,940 2008 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12.5 m 3 Woodstar 53,390 2008 190 m 4 x 35 Tons 4 x 14 m 3 Wren 53,349 2008 190 m 4 x 35 Tons 4 x 14 m 3 Redwing 53,411 2007 190 m 4 x 36 Tons 4 x 12.5 m 3 Cardinal 55,362 2004 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12.5 m 3 Jaeger 52,248 2004 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12 m 3 Kestrel I 50,326 2004 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12 m 3 Skua 53,350 2003 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12 m 3 Shrike 53,343 2003 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12 m 3 Tern 50,200 2003 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12 m 3 Kittiwake 53,146 2002 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 8 m 3 Osprey I 50,206 2002 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12.5 m 3 Goldeneye 52,421 2002 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 15 m 3 Condor 50,296 2001 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12 m 3 Falcon 51,268 2001 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12 m 3 Harrier 50,296 2001 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12 m 3 Hawk I 50,296 2001 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12 m 3 Merlin 50,296 2001 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12 m 3 Heron 52,827 2001 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12 m 3 Peregrine 50,913 2001 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 12 m 3 HANDYMAX CLASS Sparrow 48,225 2000 189 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 10 m 3 Kite 47,195 1997 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 10 m 3 Griffon 46,635 1995 190 m 4 x 30 Tons 4 x 10 m 3 7

Supramax Newbuildings 3 Groups of Sister Vessels No. of Vessels Deadweight Tons (dwt) Vessel Type Delivery 3 Vessels 0.16 million dwt 53,100 dwt Series 2009-10 4 Vessels* 0.22 million dwt 56,000 dwt Series 2009-10 17 Vessels 0.99 million dwt 58,000 dwt Series 2009-11 * Crested Eagle delivered in January 2009, Stellar Eagle expected to deliver in March 2009 19 Vessels Have Long-term Charter Contracts 8

Newbuildings Purchased at Reasonable Shipyard Contract Prices $ M 180 Prompt Delivery $ M 110 Newbuilding Contract 160 100 140 90 120 80 100 70 80 60 60 50 40 40 20 Oct-07 Jan-08 Jun-08 Oct-08 Dec-08 Feb-09 30 Oct-07 Jan-08 Jun-08 Oct-08 Dec-08 Feb-09 Capesize Panamax Supramax Eagle Capesize Panamax Supramax Eagle Source: various broker reports 9

Liquidity Position Liquidity Position as of 12/31/08 Revolving Credit Facility $1,350,000,000 Drawn Portion (789,601,403) Undrawn Portion 560,398,597 Free Cash 9,208,862 Total Liquidity 569,607,459 Total Commitment through 2011 $625,362,547 Contracted Revenue through 2011 $391,000,000 *Open Days Revenue through 2011 $239,000,000 Capex 1Q09 $40,119,580 2Q09 36,225,000 3Q09 70,067,500 4Q09 102,114,035 Total 2009 248,526,115 Total 2010 182,591,432 Total 2011 194,245,000 TOTAL $625,362,547 Average Capex per vessel is $26 m * Open Days Revenue at today's charter rates of $12,000 per day Adequate Liquidity for Newbuildings 10

Charter Cover Provides Stability Crested Eagle Crowned Eagle Woodstar Wren Goldeneye Cardinal Jaeger *Kestrel I Skua Shrike Tern Kittiwake Osprey I Redwing Condor Falcon Harrier Hawk I Merlin Heron Peregrine Sparrow Kite Griffon 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 Daily Charter Rates TC Expiration Earliest Latest $10,500 Jan-10 Mar-10 $16,000 Sep-09 Dec-09 $18,300 Dec-18 Apr-19 $24,750 Dec-18 Apr-19 $61,000 May-09 Jul-09 $62,000 Jun-09 Sep-09 $10,100 Oct-09 Jan-10 $15,250 Apr-09 Apr-09 $25,200 May-09 Aug-09 $24,600/$25,600 May-10 Aug-10 $8,500 Dec-09 Mar-10 $56,250 Jul-09 Sep-09 $25,000 Oct-09 Dec-09 $50,000 Aug-09 Oct-09 $20,500/$22,000 May-10 Jul-10 $39,500 Apr-10 Jun-10 $24,000 Jun-09 Sep-09 $22,000 Apr-09 Jun-09 $25,000 Dec-10 Mar-11 $26,375 Jan-11 Mar-11 $8,500 Dec-09 Mar-10 $34,500 Feb-10 May-10 $21,000 Sep-09 Jan-10 $20,075 Mar-09 Jun-09 Current on-the-water fleet * Kestrel I is currently undertaking two short term time charters. The average charter rate is approximately $15,250 per day. 2009 Charter Cover Is Approximately 74% 11

Charter Default Insurance One of the world s largest credit insurers underwriting more than 30% of the world s credit insurance Rated A by S&P and A2 by Moody s, reaffirmed in October and November 2008 Annual revenues in excess of 1.8 billion (approx. $2.2billion) Has no material exposure to large troubled financial institutions and credit derivatives* Insurance placed by Seacurus in London * Trade press Insurance in Place through July 2011 12

Industry View

Current Market Discussion BDI is up 200% since December Chinese iron ore inventories dropped to 59.31m tons on Feb 27, down 16.7m tons from last September Commodities prices rebound Chinese steel prices have risen to 4-month high Copper futures in Shanghai have increased 20% this year China s Purchasing Managers Index showed a second monthly increase in January after a record low in November Market Weakness Will Persist if Global credit crisis worsens Chinese economic growth much slower than expected Source: Bloomberg News, National Bureau of Statistics of China, Interfax Limited Market Visibility Persists 14

Stimulus Package to Secure China s GDP Growth $586b stimulus plan: China announced stimulus package to boost economy in December 2008 Fresh stimulus measures: Premiere Wen Jiabao pledged fresh measures to support the 8% GDP growth target during Davos 2009 meeting Stimulus package is taking effect: COSCO CEO Wei Jiafu says stimulus plan is beginning to buoy demand and lift the dry bulk market Infrastructure investment: China plans to almost double its investment in railways to about RMB600 bn ($88 bn), add 3,200 miles of new lines in 2009 Bank lending: Chinese banks more than doubled lending in January to $237 billion, in an effort to bolster funds for infrastructure projects Source: Financial Times, Dow Jones, The Wall Street Journal, Lloyd's List 15

Flexible Fleet Ideally Suited for Volatile Markets Handymax/Supramax Capesize Panamax IRON ORE COAL GRAINS 4Q08 Cargoes OTHER ORES CEMENT COKE STEELS SCRAP IRON AGGREGATES SUGAR MISC. In m tons 323,537 394,630 200,087 44,055 295,499 173,072 80,222 61,679 100,717 195,557 354,243 Cardinal Condor Crowned Eagle Falcon Goldeneye Griffon Harrier Hawk I Heron Jaeger Kestrel I Kite Kittiwake Merlin Osprey I Peregrine Redwing Shrike Skua Sparrow Tern Woodstar Wren Eagle vessels carried 2.2 million tons of cargo in 4Q 2008 MISC. cargoes include potash and alumina Supramaxes Move Back into Protected Sub-Panamax Trades 16

Charterers Attracted by Versatility of Supramax Vessels Capesize Panamax IRON ORE COAL GRAINS Handymax/Supramax 2008 Cargoes OTHER ORES CEMENT COKE STEELS SCRAP IRON AGGREGATES SUGAR MISC. In m tons 1,719,555 1,372,539 869,896 618,960 585,012 455,968 403,349 189,429 201,721 245,432 1,227,433 Cardinal Condor Crowned Eagle Falcon Goldeneye Griffon Harrier Hawk I Heron Jaeger Kestrel I Kite Kittiwake Merlin Osprey I Peregrine Redwing Shrike Skua Sparrow Tern Woodstar Wren Eagle vessels carried 7.9 million tons of cargo in 2008 MISC. cargoes include potash and alumina 50% of Eagle s 2008 Cargoes Were Capesize and Panamax Cargoes 17

Orderbook in Flux Ship cancellations accelerate as financial crisis deepens Ship engine maker Wartsila confirmed $428 m in newbuilding cancellations and warned of an additional $1bn at risk (supramax vessel engine approx. $3-4m) MAN B&W reported in December that approx. $500 million order could be cancelled or postponed 40% of global drybulk orderbook for 2009-2010 is with greenfield and newly established yards Based on January deliveries, slippage and cancellations are approximately 45% Global drybulk fleet contracted 0.6m dwt in January to 417.6m dwt Source: Company releases, Clarksons, CLS Market February Report, Goldman Sachs Global Vessel Supply to Drop 18

Dramatic Increase in Demolition Expected Indian Subcontinent: 90% market share India 200 yards Bangladesh 50 yards China/Turkey 25 yards Increased Efficiency Drybulk handysize vessels breakup time decreased from 60 days to 40 days, much better than container vessels at 6 months Alang expects to scrap record number of ships, with more than 600 vessels available for dismantling Average scrapping age for bulk carriers in mid-80s was 20 years old Source: GMS (Global Marketing Systems, Inc.), Lloyd's List, DVB GMS Estimates Over 1,000 Vessels* Set to be Scrapped in 2009 * All vessel types 19

Financial Overview

4 th Quarter and Full Year 2008 Earnings Three Months Ended Year Ended (in $000's) Dec. 31, 2008 Dec. 31, 2008 REVENUES, NET OF COMMISSIONS $59,962 $185,425 EXPENSES Vessel Expenses 11,338 36,270 Depreciation & Amortization 10,230 33,949 General & Administrative Expenses 18,088 34,567 Write-off advances for vessel construction 3,883 3,883 Total Operating Expenses 43,539 108,669 OPERATING INCOME 16,423 76,756 Interest Expense 5,302 15,816 Write-off deferred financing costs 2,090 2,090 Interest Income (128) (2,783) Net Interest Expenses 7,264 15,123 NET INCOME $9,159 $61,633 NET INCOME adjusted for non-recurring charges $15,132 $67,606 EBITDA* $33,474 $127,683 * EBITDA, as defined by our credit agreement, is Net Income plus Interest Expense, Depreciation and Amortization, and Exceptional Items 21

Balance Sheet BALANCE SHEET DATA December 31, 2008 (in $ 000's) Cash $9,209 Other Current Assets 7,656 Vessels, net 874,675 Advances for Vessel Construction 1 411,063 Restricted Cash 11,776 Other Assets 47,797 TOTAL ASSETS 1,362,176 Current Liabilities 21,404 Long-term Debt 789,602 Other Liabilities 79,743 Stockholders' Equity 471,427 1 Newbuild Costs to be Capitalized eliminating any impact on current cash flows 22

2009 Estimated Cash Break-Even Levels $ 11,097 per day cash breakeven cost for 2009 Daily Expenses by Category Free Cash Flow Vessel Expenses 4,792 Technical Mgt Fees 302 Gen. & Admin. Exp. 2,286 Cash Interest (net) 3,181 Drydocking 536 Daily Break-Even 11,097 Vessel expenses include crew wages and related costs, the cost of insurance including credit risk insurance, expenses relating to repairs and maintenance, the cost of spares and consumable stores and related inventory, tonnage taxes, pre-operating costs associated with the delivery of acquired vessels including providing the newly acquired vessels with initial provisions and stores, and other miscellaneous expenses. The Company is anticipating higher crewing costs and higher costs for oil based supplies including lubes and paints. The Company is also making allowance for constraints in yard drydocking capacity which have driven up drydocking costs. 23

Conclusion

Key Indicators Going Forward Quality of management team Experience managing through multiple drybulk cycles Revenue visibility Over $1 bn contracted revenues 2009 charter coverage 74% Charter insurance Policy in place through July 2011 Bank financing & low cost breakeven Adequate liquidity for newbuildings Modern Supramax fleet Serves volatile markets well Financial performance Maintained profitability in challenging markets Focus on Long-term Shareholder Value Creation 25