Estimation of Population Variance Utilizing Auxiliary Information

Similar documents
An Improved Estimator of Population Variance using known Coefficient of Variation

A RATIO-CUM-PRODUCT ESTIMATOR OF POPULATION MEAN IN STRATIFIED RANDOM SAMPLING USING TWO AUXILIARY VARIABLES

Bayes Estimator for Coefficient of Variation and Inverse Coefficient of Variation for the Normal Distribution

Estimation of Population Variance Using the Coefficient of Kurtosis and Median of an Auxiliary Variable Under Simple Random Sampling

5. Best Unbiased Estimators

Statistics for Economics & Business

Control Charts for Mean under Shrinkage Technique

14.30 Introduction to Statistical Methods in Economics Spring 2009

Sampling Distributions and Estimation

Lecture 5 Point Es/mator and Sampling Distribu/on

Chapter 8. Confidence Interval Estimation. Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 8, Slide 1

An Empirical Study of the Behaviour of the Sample Kurtosis in Samples from Symmetric Stable Distributions

NOTES ON ESTIMATION AND CONFIDENCE INTERVALS. 1. Estimation

point estimator a random variable (like P or X) whose values are used to estimate a population parameter

5 Statistical Inference

1 Random Variables and Key Statistics

4.5 Generalized likelihood ratio test

Introduction to Probability and Statistics Chapter 7

Sampling Distributions and Estimation

18.S096 Problem Set 5 Fall 2013 Volatility Modeling Due Date: 10/29/2013

Combining imperfect data, and an introduction to data assimilation Ross Bannister, NCEO, September 2010

Department of Mathematics, S.R.K.R. Engineering College, Bhimavaram, A.P., India 2

Institute of Actuaries of India Subject CT5 General Insurance, Life and Health Contingencies

Lecture 4: Parameter Estimation and Confidence Intervals. GENOME 560 Doug Fowler, GS

Subject CT5 Contingencies Core Technical. Syllabus. for the 2011 Examinations. The Faculty of Actuaries and Institute of Actuaries.

Unbiased estimators Estimators

A New Approach to Obtain an Optimal Solution for the Assignment Problem

EFFICIENT ESTIMATORS FOR THE POPULATION MEAN

Exam 1 Spring 2015 Statistics for Applications 3/5/2015

Research Article The Probability That a Measurement Falls within a Range of n Standard Deviations from an Estimate of the Mean

ON DIFFERENTIATION AND HARMONIC NUMBERS

(Received: March, 1988)

BIOSTATS 540 Fall Estimation Page 1 of 72. Unit 6. Estimation. Use at least twelve observations in constructing a confidence interval

Lecture 5: Sampling Distribution

. (The calculated sample mean is symbolized by x.)

x satisfying all regularity conditions. Then

A CLASS OF PRODUCT-TYPE EXPONENTIAL ESTIMATORS OF THE POPULATION MEAN IN SIMPLE RANDOM SAMPLING SCHEME

STAT 135 Solutions to Homework 3: 30 points

Outline. Populations. Defs: A (finite) population is a (finite) set P of elements e. A variable is a function v : P IR. Population and Characteristics

AY Term 2 Mock Examination

ii. Interval estimation:

A Bayesian perspective on estimating mean, variance, and standard-deviation from data

ECON 5350 Class Notes Maximum Likelihood Estimation

COMPARISON OF RATIO ESTIMATORS WITH TWO AUXILIARY VARIABLES K. RANGA RAO. College of Dairy Technology, SPVNR TSU VAFS, Kamareddy, Telangana, India

Inferential Statistics and Probability a Holistic Approach. Inference Process. Inference Process. Chapter 8 Slides. Maurice Geraghty,

Confidence Intervals based on Absolute Deviation for Population Mean of a Positively Skewed Distribution

Estimation of Parameters of Three Parameter Esscher Transformed Laplace Distribution

Sampling Distributions & Estimators

FINM6900 Finance Theory How Is Asymmetric Information Reflected in Asset Prices?

Ecient estimation of log-normal means with application to pharmacokinetic data

Kernel Density Estimation. Let X be a random variable with continuous distribution F (x) and density f(x) = d

ON THE COMPARISON OF SOME METHODS OF ALLOCATION IN STRATIFIED RANDOM SAMPLING FOR SKEWED POPULATION

Topic 14: Maximum Likelihood Estimation

r i = a i + b i f b i = Cov[r i, f] The only parameters to be estimated for this model are a i 's, b i 's, σe 2 i

Confidence Intervals. CI for a population mean (σ is known and n > 30 or the variable is normally distributed in the.

A random variable is a variable whose value is a numerical outcome of a random phenomenon.

Generalized Modified Ratio Type Estimator for Estimation of Population Variance

A New Constructive Proof of Graham's Theorem and More New Classes of Functionally Complete Functions

Systematic and Complex Sampling!

Parametric Density Estimation: Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Topic-7. Large Sample Estimation

Hopscotch and Explicit difference method for solving Black-Scholes PDE

Random Sequences Using the Divisor Pairs Function

Neighboring Optimal Solution for Fuzzy Travelling Salesman Problem

A STOCHASTIC GROWTH PRICE MODEL USING A BIRTH AND DEATH DIFFUSION GROWTH RATE PROCESS WITH EXTERNAL JUMP PROCESS *

Proceedings of the 5th WSEAS Int. Conf. on SIMULATION, MODELING AND OPTIMIZATION, Corfu, Greece, August 17-19, 2005 (pp )

Chpt 5. Discrete Probability Distributions. 5-3 Mean, Variance, Standard Deviation, and Expectation

Linear Programming for Portfolio Selection Based on Fuzzy Decision-Making Theory

1 Estimating sensitivities

Maximum Empirical Likelihood Estimation (MELE)

Introduction to Econometrics (3 rd Updated Edition) Solutions to Odd- Numbered End- of- Chapter Exercises: Chapter 2

SELECTING THE NUMBER OF CHANGE-POINTS IN SEGMENTED LINE REGRESSION

CHAPTER 8 Estimating with Confidence

Chapter 8: Estimation of Mean & Proportion. Introduction

Chapter 10 - Lecture 2 The independent two sample t-test and. confidence interval

These characteristics are expressed in terms of statistical properties which are estimated from the sample data.

Chapter 8 Interval Estimation. Estimation Concepts. General Form of a Confidence Interval

Lecture 9: The law of large numbers and central limit theorem

Basic formula for confidence intervals. Formulas for estimating population variance Normal Uniform Proportion

Lecture 4: Probability (continued)

An Empirical Study on the Contribution of Foreign Trade to the Economic Growth of Jiangxi Province, China

Exam 2. Instructor: Cynthia Rudin TA: Dimitrios Bisias. October 25, 2011

CHAPTER 8: CONFIDENCE INTERVAL ESTIMATES for Means and Proportions

EXERCISE - BINOMIAL THEOREM

Problem Set 1a - Oligopoly

Confidence Intervals Introduction

Journal of Statistical Software

BASIC STATISTICS ECOE 1323

Research Article The Average Lower Connectivity of Graphs

1. Find the area under the standard normal curve between z = 0 and z = 3. (a) (b) (c) (d)

5 Decision Theory: Basic Concepts

We analyze the computational problem of estimating financial risk in a nested simulation. In this approach,

Summary. Recap. Last Lecture. .1 If you know MLE of θ, can you also know MLE of τ(θ) for any function τ?

Estimating Proportions with Confidence

Monetary Economics: Problem Set #5 Solutions

Math 124: Lecture for Week 10 of 17

Today: Finish Chapter 9 (Sections 9.6 to 9.8 and 9.9 Lesson 3)

The Likelihood Ratio Test

Monopoly vs. Competition in Light of Extraction Norms. Abstract

FOUNDATION ACTED COURSE (FAC)

Transcription:

Iteratioal Joural of Statistics ad Systems ISSN 0973-675 Volume 1, Number (017), pp. 303-309 Research Idia Publicatios http://www.ripublicatio.com Estimatio of Populatio Variace Utilizig Auxiliary Iformatio Sheela Misra 1, * Dipika ad Dharmedra Kumar Yadav 3 Departmet of Statistics, Uiversity of Luckow, Luckow-6007, Idia. (* Correspodig author) Abstract I this article, a estimatio procedure for the populatio variace utilizig auxiliary iformatio ad kow coefficiet of variatio is proposed. The Bias ad mea square error of proposed estimator are foud up to first order of approximatio. A comparative study with the usual ubiased estimator ad usual ratio estimator for populatio variace has bee made. Numerical study is also give at the ed of the article to support the theoretical fidigs. Keywords: Bias, Coefficiet of Variatio, Efficiecy, Mea Square Error, Simple Radom Samplig. 1. INTRODUCTION Sometimes, additioal iformatio o some other variable highly correlated with the characteristic uder study is available. This additioal iformatio is kow as auxiliary or acillary or priori iformatio ad the character o which additioal iformatio is provided kow as auxiliary or acillary character. This auxiliary iformatio may be kow i advace from the past data, pilot survey or from the experiece of the observer. Auxiliary iformatio is used to improve the efficiecy of the estimator. I statistics it is proved that use of auxiliary iformatio i probability samplig cosiderably reduces the variace of the estimator of populatio parameter. Such as i may agricultural surveys for estimatig total productio of

30 Sheela Misra, Dipika ad Dharmedra Kumar Yadav ay crop, area of crop cultivatio are used as auxiliary iformatio Here our proposed estimator uses the auxiliary iformatio available o variable uder study. Let the study variable y ad auxiliary variable takig the values Yi ad Xi respectively for the ith (i=1,,..., N) uit of the populatio of size N. Such that N N i=1, Y = 1 Y N i=1 i, X = 1 X N i μ rs = 1 N (X i X ) r (Y i Y ) s C y = σ y Y, β y = μ 0, γ 1y = μ 03 3/ μ 0 μ 0 C x = σ x X, β x = μ 0, γ 1x = μ 30 3/ N σ y = 1 N (Y i Y ) i=1 μ 0 N μ 0, σ x = 1 N (X i X ) Let yi ad xi are the observatio of sample values of study ad auxiliary variables respectively. For estimatig populatio variace the proposed estimator is s yα = s y (x C x α s ) x Where α is the characterizig scalar chose suitably. i=1 (1). BIAS AND MEAN SQUARE ERROR OF PROPOSED ESTIMATOR For the sake of simplicity we are assumig that the populatio size N is large as compared to sample size so that fiite populatio correctio is igored. Let, So that x = X (1 + e 0 ) s y = σ y (1 + e 1 ) s x = σ x (1 + e ) E(e 0 ) = E(e 1 ) = E(e ) = 0

Estimatio of Populatio Variace Utilizig Auxiliary Iformatio 305 E(e 0 ) = C x E(e 1 ) = γ y + E(e ) = γ x + E(e 0 e 1 ) = λc x Also, we have E(e 0 e ) = γ 1xC x E(e 1 e ) = δ 1 δ = μ σ x σ, λ = μ 1 y σ x σ, γ x = μ 0 3, γ y = μ 0 3 y From (1), writig s yα i terms of ei s = σ y (1 + e 1 ) (1 αe + μ 0 μ 0 α s yα = σ y (1 + e 1 ) [X (1 + e 0 ) C x σ x (1 + e ) ] +.. ) α(α + 1) e + αe 0 α e 0 e + α(α 1)e 0 (s yα σ y ) = σ y (αe 0 + e 1 αe + α(α 1)e 0 + Takig α e 0 e αe 1 e ) () α(α + 1) e + αe 0 e 1 Expectatio o both sides of (), we get bias up to I st order of approximatio Bias(s yα ) = σ y [αe(e 0 ) + E(e 1 ) αe(e ) + α(α 1)E(e 0 ) + α(α + 1) E(e ) + αe(e 0 e 1 ) α E(e 0 e ) αe(e 1 e )]

306 Sheela Misra, Dipika ad Dharmedra Kumar Yadav = σ y α (C x + γ x γ 1x C x + ) σ y (C x λc x γ x + δ ) (3) Now for mea square error squarig ad takig expectatio o both sides of () we get MSE of s yα as MSE(s yα ) = σ y [k E(e 0 ) + E(e 1 ) + k E(e ) + ke(e 0 e 1 ) k E(e 0 e ) ke(e 1 e )] = σ y (γ y + ) + σ y α (C x + γ x + γ 1x C x ) + σ y α(λc x δ + ) () The optimum value of α which miimizes the mea square error of s yα i () is give by α 0 = λc y δ+1 C x γ 1x C x +γ x + (5) The miimum value of mea square error of proposed estimator s yα for α 0 is give by MSE(s yα ) = σ y mi (γ y + ) σ y ( (λc y δ + 1) C x γ 1x C x + γ x + ) (6) 3. THEORETICAL EFFICIENCY COMPARISON (a) Efficiecy compariso of proposed estimator to usual ubiased estimator for populatio variace MSE(s yα ) mi MSE(s y ) < 0 σ y (γ y + ) σ y ( (λc y δ + 1) C x γ 1x C x + γ x + ) σ y (γ y + ) < 0 δ λc x > 1 (7) (b) Efficiecy compariso of proposed estimator with ratio estimator of populatio variace MSE(s yα ) mi MSE(s R ) < 0

Estimatio of Populatio Variace Utilizig Auxiliary Iformatio 307 Where, σ y (γ y + ) σ y ( (λc y δ + 1) C x γ 1x C x + γ x + ) σ y [(γ y + ) + (γ x + ) (δ 1)] < 0C > (AB) 1 (8) A = γ 1x C x γ x C x B = γ x δ + 1 C = λc x δ + 1 Proposed estimator is better that usual ubiased estimator of populatio variace ad ratio estimator if the data follows the coditios defied i (7) ad (8) respectively.. ILLUSTRATION For the umerical compariso betwee proposed estimator to sample variace ad ratio estimator, we cosider the data give i Cochra (1977, page 181) dealig with paralytic polio cases placebo (y) group, computatio of required values have bee doe ad we have, Y =.588, X =.9, σ y = 9.890, σ x =.639, C x = 0.6387 β 1y =.318, β y =.337, β 1x = 3.9, β x = 6.391 γ 1y = 1.5, γ y = 1.337, γ 1x = 1.981, γ x = 3.391, δ = 3.85, λ = 1.11 Table 1: MSE s of Estimator Estimators Mea Square Error MSE(s y ) 9.601 MSE(s R ) 10.36 MSE(s yα ) mi 6.757

308 Sheela Misra, Dipika ad Dharmedra Kumar Yadav The percet relative efficiecy (PRE) of the proposed estimator over the usual ubiased estimator for populatio variace is 1% ad the percet relative efficiecy (PRE) of the proposed estimator over ratio estimator of populatio variace is 153%. 5. CONCLUDING REMARKS (a) From (6), for the optimum value of α, the miimum mea square error attaied by estimator s yα is give by MSE(s yα ) mi = σ y (γ y + ) σ y ( (λc y δ + 1) C x γ 1x C x + γ x + ) (b) The coditios i which proposed estimator will perform better tha usual ubiased estimator ad ratio estimator are derived i (7) ad (8). (c) From umerical illustratio it is observed that proposed estimator is 133% efficiet from usual ubiased estimator for populatio Variace ad 153% efficiet from Ratio estimator. REFERENCES [1] Agrawal, M. C. ad Pada, K. B. (1999): A predictive justificatio for variace estimatio usig auxiliary iformatio. Jour. Id. Soc. Ag. Stat.,5(), 19 00 [] Biradar, R. S. ad Sigh, H. P. (1998): Predictive estimatio of fiite populatio variace. Cal. Statist. Assoc. Bull., 8, 9 35. [3] Blad, J. M. ad Altma, D. G. (1986): Statistical method for assessig agreemet betwee two methods of cliical measuremet, Lace, 1(876), 307 310. [] Cochra, W.G.(1963), Samplig Techiques, Secod Editio, Wiley Easter Private Limited, New Delhi. [5] Chaudhury, A. (1978): O estimatig the variace of a fiite populatio. Metrika, 5, 66 67. [6] Das, A. K. ad Tripathi, T. P. (1977): Admissible estimators for quadratic forms i fiite populatios. Bull. Iter. Stat. Ist., 7(), 13 135.

Estimatio of Populatio Variace Utilizig Auxiliary Iformatio 309 [7] Das, A. K. ad Tripathi, T. P. (1978), Use of auxiliary iformatio i estimatig the fiite populatio variace, Sakhya, c,,139-18. [8] Gupta, S. ad Shabbir, J. (008).Variace estimatio i simple radom samplig usig auxiliary iformatio. Hacettepe Joural of Mathematics ad Statistics, 37, 57-67. [9] Isaki, C.T.(1983), Variace estimatio usig Auxiliary Iformatio. Jour. Amer. Statist. Asssoct., 78, 117-13. [10] Kadilar, C. ad Cigi, H. (006a). Improvemet i variace estimatio usig auxiliary iformatio. Joural of Mathematics ad Statistics, 35(1), 111-115. [11] Kadilar, C. ad Cigi, H. (006 b).ratio estimators for populatio variace i simple ad stratified samplig. Applied Mathematics ad Computatio, 173, 107-1058. [1] Liu, T. P (197): A geeralized ubiased estimator for the variace of a fiite populatio, Sakhya, 36, C, 3 3. [13] Mukhopadhyay, P. (1978): Estimatig a fiite populatio variace uder a super populatio model, Metrika, 5, 115 1. [1] Mukhopadhyay, P. (198): Optimum Strategies for estimatig the variace of a fiite populatio uder a super populatio model, Metrika, 9, 13 158. [15] Padmwar, V. R. ad MukhopadhyaY, P. (1981): Estimatio of symmetric fuctios of a fiite populatio, Metrika, 31, 89 97. [16] Sukhatme P.V., Sukhatme B.V., Sukhatme, S. ad Ashok, C. (198), Samplig Theory of Surveys with Applicatios, Iowa State Uiversity Press, Ams. [17] Swai, A. K. P. C. ad Mishra, G. (199): Estimatio of populatio variace uder uequal probability samplig, Sakhya, Ser B, 56, 37 38. [18] Tripathi, T. P., Sigh, H. P. ad Upadhyaya, L. N. (00): A geeral method of estimatio ad its applicatio to the estimatio of coefficiet of variatio, Statistics i Trasitio, 5(6), 1081 110. [19] Wakimoto, K. (1971): Stratified radom samplig (I): Estimatio of Populatio variace, A. Ist. Stat. Math., 3, 33 5. [0] Wolter, K. M. (1985). Itroductio to variace estimatio. New York, NY: Spriger- Verlag.

310 Sheela Misra, Dipika ad Dharmedra Kumar Yadav