INTERIM RESULTS. Interim Results.

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Transcription:

INTERIM RESULTS. RESULTS. 2017 Interim Results. Results. 2017 1

Agenda Chairman s introduction Financial review Operational update Plumbing & Heating transformation Robert Walker Alan Williams John Carter Tony Buffin p3 p4 p12 p21 Appendices p28 Interim Results.. 2017 2

Chairman s introduction Executing well against a challenging market backdrop Strong cash generation and balance sheet History of nurturing, growing and transforming businesses Interim Results.. 2017 3

FINANCIAL REVIEW. ALAN WILLIAMS Interim Results.. 2017 4

Key financial highlights Six months ended 30 June H1 2017 H1 2016 Year-on on-year change Revenue 3,221m 3,113m 3.5% Like-for for-like sales growth 2.7% 3.1% (0.4)ppt Adjusted EBITA 190m 194m (2.1)% Adjusted EBITA excluding property profits 183m 191m (4.2)% Adjusted earnings per share 55.8p 58.4p (4.5)% Underlying free cash flow (excluding exceptional tax payment in 2016) 188m 165m + 23m Dividends per share 15.5p 15.25p 1.6% Lease adjusted ROCE 10.6% 10.9% (30)bps Solid overall performance with strong cash generation Interim Results.. 2017 5

Good sales growth despite market conditions 3,113m H1 2016 (6)m Volume Group revenue growth 90m 3.5% Price / mix 25m Net new space n/a Trading days 3,221m H1 2017 LFL Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 H2 FY 2015 5.1% 6.3% 5.7% 2.6% 1.4% 2.0% 3.8% 2016 4.2% 2.3% 3.1% 2.0% 2.5% 2.2% 2.7% 2017 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2yr LFL Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 H2 FY 2016 9.5% 8.7% 9.0% 4.7% 3.9% 4.2% 6.6% 2017 7.0% 5.1% 5.9% Like-for-like sales growth of 2.7% Stable volumes as business recovered input cost inflation Overall sales growth of 3.5% Continued investment in new space in advantaged businesses Interim Results.. 2017 6

Gross margins maintained, investing in propositions H1 2016 adjusted operating margin (excluding property profits) General Merchanting Plumbing & Heating Contracts Consumer Group 9.6% 2.8% 5.9% 5.7% 6.1% Change in gross margin 0.0% (1.0)% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% Margin impact of change in operating costs (0.4)% 0.1% (0.1)% (0.2)% (0.5)% H1 2017 adjusted operating margin (excluding property profits) 9.2% 1.9% 6.1% 5.5% 5.7% GM gross margins flat with operating cost investment to drive growth P&H margin decline primarily due to challenging market conditions Contracts margins reflect volume growth and recovery of cost inflation Consumer margins reflect investment in new stores and refits Interim Results.. 2017 7

Property investment supports strategic plans Investing in property to support future business growth 10 freehold properties purchased in H1 2017 at cash cost of 19m 4m spent on site construction and development Property profits of 7m recognised in H1 2017 ( 3m H1 2016) Property transactions generate additional cash Disposal of non-strategic sites released 50m for investment in the first half Sale & lease back transaction on 8 Wickes stores Net cash release of 27m through property recycling activity Recycling property to deploy capital efficiently and realise value Interim Results.. 2017 8

Strong cash flow generated 65m 54m 25m 2m 27m Free cash flow 188m Growth capex (56)m Dividends (75)m Freehold investments (23)m 190m Acquisitions (7)m 188m Pension contributions (5)m Exceptional cash costs (6)m (2016: Other items (21)m (2016: 194m) Change in cash position (5)m 165m) Adjusted EBITA Depreciation & non-cash 25m Excellent cash 41m conversion of 99% Net disposals Working capital* Maintenance CapEx Interest Tax Free cash flow Selective investments in growth capex and freeholds Further opportunities to optimise working capital *2017 change in net working capital net working capital figure excludes 5m in relation to the development of cloud-based software Interim Results.. 2017 9

Debt metrics continue to improve Mid-term ambition ambition H1 2017 FY 2016 Net debt - 377m 378m (1)m Lease debt - 1,502m 1,506m (4)m Lease adjusted debt - 1,879m 1,884m (5)m LA gearing - 43.4% 45.3% (190)bps Fixed charge cover 3.5x 3.3x 3.3x - LA Debt : EBITDAR 2.5x 2.6x 2.7x (0.1)x Maintaining balance sheet strength Net debt 133m lower than June 2016 and in line with December 2016 Continued steady reduction in LA gearing Significant liquidity headroom with long term funding in place Interim Results.. 2017 10

Financial summary & outlook Solid trading performance based on good execution Strong cash generation funding selective investments Balance sheet strength provides security and flexibility Investments made in recent years leave the Group well positioned for the future Technical guidance for 2017 is provided in Appendix I Interim Results.. 2017 11

OPERATIONAL UPDATE. JOHN CARTER Interim Results.. 2017 12

Operational update 1 Long term market opportunity remains compelling, despite near-term macro uncertainty 2 Resilient performance by adopting appropriate trading stances 3 Continue to invest selectively to drive long-term shareholder value Interim Results.. 2017 13

Market fundamentals strong; near-term uncertain Long-term market drivers are strong Annual new household formation remains above 230k New house building c.160k p.a. Chronic UK housing shortage, over 2.5m over last 20 years Structural underinvestment in residential RMI continues but markets uncertain in the near-term Market uncertainty stems from macro events data mixed GDP growth slowing through H1 Consumer confidence falling: -12 in July lowest since Brexit vote Inflation eroding consumers real disposable income Secondary housing transactions steady but mortgage approvals falling Interim Results.. 2017 14

Market lead indicators give mixed picture of future Site visitors 19pt Consumer confidence (12) pt Site reservations 25pt Climate for purchases (1) pt Mortgage approvals (1)% Equity withdrawal 0% Housing transactions* 1% Retail Sales growth 1.2% Housing prices +3% Architect work load 64% Construction output 2% Expected workload 42pt Trade confidence (16)pt New construction orders 4% Interim Results.. 2017 15

General Merchanting gross margins maintained Six months ended 30 June H1 2017 H1 2016 Revenue 1,055m 1,045m 1.0% Like-for-like growth (0.1)% 2.9% (3.0)ppt Adjusted EBITA ex- property profits 97m 100m (3.0)% Underlying EBITA margin 9.2% 9.6% (40)bps Lease adjusted ROCE 15% 15% - Branch network 851 833 18 Deliberate trading stance taken to recover cost price inflation Operating cost investment in distribution network and IT Further expansion of Benchmarx network with 11 new branches opened Interim Results.. 2017 16

General Merchanting investments to drive growth Pricing framework Cost efficiencies Range & availability Digital & IT capability Provides better information for managers to make informed pricing decisions Improved pricing consistency for customers Leveraging scale to drive cost efficiencies and sourcing benefits Optimising delivery vehicle utilisation Extension of range centre service to cover all TP branches in England & Wales Leverage distribution network to extend range breadth and improve availability Online transactional capability supported by the distribution network Significant on-going investment in Merchant IT systems Proposition underpins sustainable returns and future growth Interim Results.. 2017 17

Contracts stand-out performance Six months ended 30 June H1 2017 H1 2016 Revenue 675m 623m 8.3% Like-for-like growth 9.1% 2.7% 6.4ppt Adjusted EBITA ex- property profits 41m 37m 10.8% Underlying EBITA margin 6.1% 5.9% 20bps Lease adjusted ROCE 13% 12% 1ppt Branch network 168 167 1 2-year LFL growth of 12% Continued momentum and share gains in Keyline & CCF Encouraging performance in BSS Profitability improving through volume and efficiency LAROCE up to 13% Interim Results.. 2017 18

Consumer continuing strong growth Six months ended 30 June H1 2017 H1 2016 Revenue 822m 766m 7.3% Like-for-like growth 4.7% 6.5% (1.8)ppt Adjusted EBITA ex- property profits 45m 44m 2.3% Underlying EBITA margin 5.5% 5.7% (20)bps Lease adjusted ROCE 8% 8% - Store network 642 617 25 Strong market share gains in both Wickes and Toolstation 18 Wickes store refits completed in H1, 82 new format stores now in operation Accelerating LFL in Toolstation and 19 new stores opened Increasing investment in Toolstation Europe Interim Results.. 2017 19

Plumbing & Heating tough market Six months ended 30 June H1 2017 H1 2016 Revenue 669m 679m (1.5)% Like-for-like growth (1.2)% 0.4% (1.6)ppt Adjusted EBITA ex- property profits 13m 19m (31.6)% Underlying EBITA margin 1.9% 2.8% (90)bps Lease adjusted ROCE 8% 10% (2)ppt Branch network 428 439 (11) Positive like-for-like growth in City Plumbing and wholesale businesses Contract installer revenue decline despite growth in new housing Operating profit impacted by volume reduction and competitive market Strategic review undertaken in Q2 as planned actions underway Interim Results.. 2017 20

PLUMBING & HEATING REVIEW. TONY BUFFIN Interim Results.. 2017 21

P&H challenging market, complex business model Transformation plan builds on good work completed over the last 3 years: Branch rationalisation, acquired digital businesses and invested in specialist categories Traditional merchant channel challenged Overcapacity from Government incentives Supplier strength Aggressive price competition Fixed price generalists targeting higher margin consumable categories Rapid growth of online specialists Areas requiring focus Discrete contract & installer businesses has created customer confusion Fragmented supply chain with high fixed costs and variable service Multiple specialist businesses not integrated - complex organisation Faster evolution of proposition needed Interim Results.. 2017 22

P&H stabilising profit, creating options to grow 4 3 Dedicated supply chain Online 3 Decouple wholesale business 1 Easier for customers Integrated branch network Our people 3 Simplified operating model Customer and category adjacencies Focus on customer service and selling 2 3 Category specialisms Value, range and service Capacity and cost reduction Reduced capital employed P&L charge 30-40m over next 12 months Broadly cash neutral Interim Results.. 2017 23

P&H early changes show encouraging signs Simplified operating, sales and commercial team structures Branch manager incentives restructured to reward outperformance Extended bathroom showroom opening hours to meet end-consumer needs Rolling out over 1,100 best- selling lines to all City Plumbing branches An enhanced promotional programme, doubling customer participation in Q2 Improved digital capabilities - launch of a transactional City Plumbing website, upgrade of specialist channel websites Improved customer service and upselling in the wholesale business H2 trading expected to continue to soften before stabilising in 2018 Interim Results.. 2017 24

SUMMARY. JOHN CARTER Interim Results.. 2017 25

Disciplined investment to drive shareholder value Merchanting Investments in freehold property: Pipeline of high quality operating sites Increase in multi-fascia trade parks Long-term ownership of strategic sites Selective network investment in Benchmarx and Contracts Investment in IT platforms and digital capability to improve customer service Continue to use Group scale to gain sourcing benefits Consumer Maintain Wickes outperformance: Store refit programme Selective store openings Further enhance digital capabilities Increased investment in advantaged Toolstation model: Accelerated UK investment Ramp up of Dutch branch openings Next test market is France first physical branches opening in H2 2017 Interim Results.. 2017 26

Summary 1 Long term market opportunity remains compelling, despite near-term macro uncertainty 2 Resilient performance by adopting appropriate trading stances 3 Continue to invest selectively to drive long-term shareholder value Interim Results.. 2017 27

QUESTIONS. Interim Results.. 2017 28

APPENDICES. I. Technical guidance II. Revenue analysis III. Branch numbers IV. Sales drivers by Division V. Like-for for-like sales growth VI. Definitions Interim Results.. 2017 29

I. Technical guidance Tax consistent at ~20% Interest similar to 2016 Capex of 170-190m excluding freehold purchases Property profits of ~ 20m Progressive dividend policy underpinned by strong cash flows Interim Results.. 2017 30

II. Revenue analysis 30 June 2017 General Merchanting Geography Category Payment Delivery Northern Midlands 20.9 23.8 Timber Forest 11.7 9.4 Cash 22.8 Collected 45.0 South West 21.4 Heavyside 47.7 Lightside 11.5 Credit 77.2 Delivered 55.0 South East 33.9 P&H / Other 19.7 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Contracts Northern Midlands South West South East Geography 32.9 18.7 16.9 30.8 Timber Forest Heavyside Lightside P&H / Other Category 66.9 29.1 Cash Credit Payment 3.8 96.2 Collected Delivered Delivery 22.2 77.8 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Plumbing & Heating Geography Category Payment Delivery Northern Midlands South West South East 32.5 26.9 24.9 12.2 P&H 98.4 Cash Credit 11.7 88.3 Collected Delivered 30.5 69.5 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Consumer Northern Midlands South West South East Geography 19.9 23.7 14.7 41.7 Timber Forest Heavyside Lightside P&H Category 8.4 8.4 11.9 36.6 34.7 Payment Cash 87.2 Credit 12.8 Collected Delivered Delivery 63.0 37.0 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Interim Results.. 2017 31

III. Branch numbers 31 December 2016 New Closures Acquisitions 30 June 2017 Travis Perkins 661 9 (2) - 668 Historical network growth 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 H1 Benchmarx 172 11 - - 183 General Merchanting 833 20 (2) - 851 City Plumbing 336 1 (2) - 335 PTS 84 - (6) - 78 Other 19 - (4) - 15 Opening 1,262 1,303 1,813 1,868 1,896 1,939 1,975 2,028 2,056 New 46 519 120 48 58 101 124 85 48 Closures (5) (9) (65) (20) (15) (65) (71) (57) (18) Closing 1,303 1,813 1,868 1,896 1,939 1,975 2,028 2,056 2,089 Plumbing & Heating 439 1 (12) - 428 Keyline & Rudridge 65 - - - 65 BSS & TF Solutions 61 - (2) 3 62 CCF 41 - - - 41 Contracts 167 - (2) 3 168 Wickes 241 2 - - 243 Toolstation 267 24 - - 291 Tile Giant 109 1 (2) - 108 Consumer 617 27 (2) - 642 Group 2,056 48 (18) 3 2,089 Branch numbers exclude City Heating Spares and Toolhire implants Interim Results.. 2017 32

IV. Sales drivers by Division 6 months ended 30 June 2017 General Merchanting P&H Contracts Consumer Group Volume (2.5)% (4.4)% 4.2% 3.0% (0.2)% Price / mix 2.4% 3.2% 4.9% 1.7% 2.9% Like-for for-like sales (0.1)% (1.2)% 9.1% 4.7% 2.7% Expansion 1.1% (0.3)% (1.2)% 2.6% 0.7% Acquisitions - - 0.4% - 0.1% Total sales growth 1.0% (1.5)% 8.3% 7.3% 3.5% Interim Results.. 2017 33

V. Like-for for-like sales growth Like-for for-like by quarter Like-for for-like by half year Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 General 8.1% 5.3% 1.7% 1.0% 4.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% (0.3)% 0.3% General 14.6% 11.3% 6.7% 1.4% 2.9% 0.5% (0.1)% P&H (6.1)% 1.0% 1.7% (1.9)% 2.2% (1.4)% (4.1)% (2.7)% (1.1)% (1.9)% P&H 7.4% (9.7)% (2.9)% (0.3)% 0.4% (3.4)% (1.2)% Contracts 15.1% 12.9% 5.5% 1.5% 2.1% 3.1% 5.7% 9.2% 12.1% 6.4% Contracts 11.1% 12.4% 13.9% 3.6% 2.7% 7.3% 9.1% Consumer 6.0% 6.9% 2.3% 6.1% 7.3% 6.4% 6.3% 5.8% 2.9% 6.5% Consumer 6.8% 6.4% 6.5% 4.2% 6.5% 6.2% 4.7% Group 5.1% 6.3% 2.6% 1.4% 4.2% 2.3% 2.0% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% Group 10.2% 4.6% 5.7% 2.0% 3.1% 2.2% 2.7% Interim Results.. 2017 34

VI. Definitions Metric EBITA Earning per share ( EPS ) Adjusted EBITA / Adjusted EPS Lease adjusted ROCE Lease adjusted debt LA Gearing Fixed charge cover LA Debt : EBITDAR Dividend cover Free cash flow ( FCF ) Total Shareholder Return ( TSR ) WALE Definition Earnings before interest, tax and amortisation Ratio of net profit after taxation to weighted number of ordinary shares outstanding EBITA or EPS adjusted for exceptional items and amortisation (see Appendix II for reconciliation) Ratio of earnings before interest, tax, amortisation and 50% of annual property rental expense to debt plus equity plus eight times annual property rental expense On-balance sheet debt (excluding derivative fair valuation adjustments) plus eight times annual property rental expense Ratio of lease adjusted debt to equity plus lease adjusted debt Ratio of earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and property rentals to interest plus property rentals Ratio of lease adjusted debt to earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and property rentals Ratio of earnings per share to dividends per share Net cash flow before dividends, growth capital expenditure, pension contributions & financing cash flows Ratio of opening market price per share to closing market price per share less opening market price per share plus dividends per share during the period Weighted average expiry of property leases Interim Results.. 2017 35

VI. Definitions (continued) Metric Site visitors Site reservations Mortgage approvals Housing transactions Housing prices Consumer confidence Climate for purchases Equity withdrawal Retail sales growth Architect work load Construction output Trade confidence Expected workload New construction orders Definition House Builders Federation Survey / monthly / May 2017 / Balance score compared to a year ago House Builders Federation Survey / monthly / May 2017 / Balance score compared to a year ago Bank of England / monthly / June 2017 / number of approvals % change year on year HM Revenue & Customers / monthly / June 2017 / number of houses sold above 40k % change year on year Nationwide / monthly / June 2017/ house price inflation % change year on year GFK / monthly / July 2017 / index score GFK / monthly / July 2017 / index score Bank of England / quarterly / Q1 2017 / Change in Equity withdrawal as % of net earnings compared to previous quarter British Retail Consortium / monthly / June 2017 / LFL % change year on year Mirza and Nacey Survey / quarterly / Q1 2017 / Index Construction output YTD ONS / monthly / May 2017 / % change year on year Travis Perkins survey materials spend / quarterly / Q2 2017 view of Q3 2017 / Balance score Federation of Master Builders / quarterly / Q1 2017 view of Q2 2017 / Balance score Office for National Statistics / quarterly / Q1 2017 / % change year on year Interim Results.. 2017 36

CONTACT. investor.relations@travisperkins.co.uk Graeme Barnes +44 7469 401 819 Graeme.barnes@travisperkins.co.uk Interim Results.. 2017 37