Restaurant Brands NZ Limited

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Transcription:

New horizons, new growth. Restaurant Brands NZ Limited 2018 Full Year Results Presentation Russel Creedy - Group CEO Grant Ellis Group CFO Hamish Stevens - Director Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited 1 17 April 2018

Presentation Outline Highlights Results Overview New Zealand Operations Australia Operations Hawaii Operations Growth Opportunities Outlook Questions Summary 2

Highlights Commentary (FY18 vs FY17) Group Sales +49.0% Reported NPAT (including non-trading) +36.6% NPAT (excluding non-trading) +32.0% Brand EBITDA +41.5% driven by PIR Hawaii Fully imputed 18.0cps final dividend bring full year to 28.0 cps (+21.7%) $387.6m $497.2m $740.8m $24.1m $26.0m $35.5m $24.2m $30.6m $40.4m $66.9m $86.2m $121.9m 21.0cps 23.0cps 28.0cps Hawaiian expansion with settlement of PIR acquisition Purchase of 18 KFC stores in Australia 3

RESULTS OVERVIEW 4

Australia (QSR) and Hawaii (PIR) added strongly to store sales and margin growth Sales Contribution ($NZm) 387.6 497.2 Australia, 97.2 740.8 Hawaii, 167.5 Australia, 151.8 EBITDA Contribution ($NZm) 86.2 66.9 Australia, 15.0 121.9 Hawaii, 24.1 Australia, 22.0 New Zealand, 387.6 New Zealand, 400.0 New Zealand, 421.4 New Zealand, 66.9 New Zealand, 71.2 New Zealand, 75.8 5

G&A costs were up to 4.4% of revenues with new acquisitions but will revert to targeted longer term norm of 4.0% G&A costs $NZm 34.1 3.7 7.5 20.4 3.6 16.4 16.8 4.9 18.0 4.4% 4.1% 3.9% G&A $m NZ G&A $m Australia G&A $m Hawaii G&A $m Corporate G&A % of Revenue 6

Non-trading item costs similar to prior year Non-trading items FY17 FY18 B/(W) $m $m Δ$m Net gain on sale of Pizza Hut stores (0.7) (0.5) (0.2) Gain on sale and leaseback (0.4) (0.4) - Acquisition costs 3.9 1.6 2.3 Store closure costs 1.7 0.3 1.4 ASX listing costs - 0.6 (0.6) Franchise rights amortisation 0.6 1.9 (1.3) Impairment of goodwill - 1.2 (1.2) Impairment of assets - 0.9 (0.9) FX Gain on acquisitions - (0.8) 0.8 5.1 4.8 0.3 7

Operating cash flows up 42% in line with profitability Investing cash flows (excluding acquisitions and divestments) in line with larger asset base Group Cash Flow Cash Flows $NZm 67.8 44.3 47.9 20.8 20.3 31.1 Operating Net Inflows Other Investing Net Outflows 8

Borrowings were up following acquisitions but well within facility levels ($253 million) Bank Debt $NZm 166.8 12.7 46.5 Ratios Net Debt: EBITDA 0.2 0.6 1.7 Gearing (D:D+E) 13% 19% 44% 9

Full year dividend up 21.7% to 28.0 cents per share commensurate with profitability (fully imputed at 28%) Earnings per share (excluding non-trading) cps 24.7 28.4 32.8 Total dividend cps 21.0 23.0 28.0 Payout ratio of NPAT (excluding non-trading) % 85% 81% 85% 10

New Zealand Operations 11

New Zealand total sales of $421.4m (+5.4%) led by KFC KFC Sales Pizza Hut Sales 6.3% 6.2% 3.6% 319.6 44.9 40.5 8.1% 41.1 282.5 296.5 2.6% 3.6% Total Sales $m Same Store Sales % Total Sales $m Same Store Sales % Starbucks Sales 6.9% Carl's Jr. Sales 26.8 4.5% 6.3% 26.7 25.8 33.4 36.3 34.9-5.1% -3.8% -2.6% Total Sales $m Same Store Sales % Total Sales $m Same Store Sales % 12

New Zealand earnings up similarly (+6.5%) KFC EBITDA Pizza Hut EBITDA 20.2% 20.7% 20.6% 10.9% 10.0% 57.2 61.4 66.0 4.9 4.1 7.4% 3.1 EBITDA $m EBITDA % of Sales EBITDA $m EBITDA % of Sales Starbucks EBITDA Carl's Jr. EBITDA 16.4% 4.4 17.8% 4.8 18.6% 4.8 1.3% 2.7% 1.0 5.7% 2.0 0.4 EBITDA $m EBITDA % of Sales EBITDA $m EBITDA % of Sales 13

KFC performance remains pivotal to NZ operations 400.0 Carl's Jr., 36.3 Starbucks, 26.7 Pizza Hut, 40.5 NZ Sales $m 421.4 Carl's Jr., 34.9 Starbucks, 25.8 Pizza Hut, 41.1 71.2 NZ EBITDA $m 75.8 Other, 9.9 Other, 9.9 KFC, 296.5 KFC, 319.6 KFC, 61.4 KFC, 66.0 FY17 FY18 FY17 FY18

KFC new store builds maintain momentum with 100 th store opened in FY18 FY17 FY18 FY19 RBD 92 Fort St* 94 Wellington Central * 96 Christchurch Airport Bombay Independent Franchisees 6 6 6 98 100 102 * Urban design (CBD) KFC Fort St 15

KFC sales up 7.8% on steady same store growth. Margins remain stable at upper end of range KFC Sales KFC EBITDA 6.3% 6.2% 20.2% 20.7% 20.6% 3.6% 319.6 57.2 61.4 66.0 282.5 296.5 Total Sales $m Same Store Sales % EBITDA $m EBITDA % of Sales Another year of record sales with successful promotions and increased and effective marketing spend EBITDA margin remains above 19-20% range assisted by sales leverage, and stable input costs, but labour and marketing expenditure

Pizza Hut system sales growth remains strong with total sales at $100m (+10%). RBD stores SSS +8.1% but margins tight with some pressure from ingredient and labour cost increases Pizza Hut EBITDA Pizza Hut Total System Sales ($m) 10.9% 86.1 +7.2% 91.6 +6.4% 100.7 +10.0% 4.9 10.0% 41.2 51.1 59.6 4.1 7.4% 3.1 44.9 40.5 41.1 EBITDA $m EBITDA % of Sales Sales ($m) RBD Owned Stores Sales ($m) IF Owned Stores 17

Sales of Pizza Hut stores to independent franchisees continues. Increased focus on new store builds. RBD on track to a concentrated core holding (c. 20 stores) with continued store growth in Pizza Hut network 89 93 97 50 58 61 39 35 36 RBD Independents 18

Starbucks Coffee cash cow Starbucks Sales 6.9% Starbucks EBITDA 6.3% 17.8% 18.6% 4.8 26.8 4.5% 26.7 25.8 16.4% 4.4 4.8 Total Sales $m Same Store Sales % EBITDA $m EBITDA % of Sales 19

Carl s Jr. saw a focus on margin improvement this year, more than doubling earnings. Still an ongoing project Carl's Jr. Sales Carl's Jr. EBITDA $NZM 5.7% 33.4 36.3 34.9-5.1% -3.8% -2.6% 2.7% 2.0 1.3% 1.0 0.4 Total Sales $m Same Store Sales % EBITDA $m EBITDA % of Sales 20

Strategic Agenda New Zealand Resolve Starbucks position Formalise master franchise for Pizza Hut Enhance Carl s Jr. profitability with a view to further development Build Pizza Hut network in NZ through independent franchisee ownership (120+ stores) Maintain KFC margins and sales growth over long term New KFC store builds (2+ pa) with wider store design options Introduce a further brand to NZ 21

Australian Operations 22

The KFC business saw solid sales and earnings growth SSS +4.9% 151.8 22.0 Sales NZ$m 97.2 EBITDA NZ$m 15.0 FY17 FY18 FY17 FY18 Sales EBITDA Total sales up 56% with organic growth, full year trading (vs FY17) and acquisitions EBITDA up 47% with some softening of margin but 15% of sales sustainable 23

Store growth by acquisition saw store numbers up 45% by year end 10 1 61 8 42 Store Numbers Original Acquisition 2017 Purchases From Smaller Franchises Acquired From Yum! New Store Builds Stores as at Feb 2018 24

Strategic Agenda - Australia Consolidate recent acquisitions and above store structure Continue to acquire smaller independent KFC franchisees (primarily NSW) New store builds in growth corridors and CBD locations Build KFC margins above current norms Acquire large parcels of KFC stores as and when opportunities permit Introduce another brand to Australia 25

Hawaii Operations 26

Total sales for FY18 delivered on business case with a stronger performance by Taco Bell Sales $USm 122.4 119.8 Pizza Hut, 55.6 Pizza Hut, 51.5 Taco Bell, 66.8 Taco Bell, 68.3 Yr 1 Business Case FY18 Actual 27

Taco Bell margins strengthened while Pizza Hut was impacted by US national value campaigns and labour cost pressures EBITDA $USm 19.0 17.2 Pizza Hut, 6.1 Pizza Hut, 3.3 Taco Bell, 12.9 Taco Bell, 13.9 Yr 1 Business Case FY18 Actual 28

The network transformation process is underway FY2018 FY2019 Pizza Hut - New Stores 1 2 - Minor refurbishments 1 - - Major refurbisments - 2 Taco Bell - New stores - 1 - Minor refurbishments 2 3 - Major refurbishments 3 4 - Transformations 1 2 Kailua Taco Bell YTD SSS +60% 29

Strategic Agenda - Hawaii Return Pizza Hut to positive SSS growth and margins above current levels Drive new store builds and transformations of Taco Bell brand Accelerate move out of large Pizza Hut red roof stores into smaller delcos Build new delcos KFC business in Hawaii (by acquisition or new store builds) 30

GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES There are considerable network growth possibilities in existing markets; however the US mainland presents a step-change opportunity New Zealand Australia Hawaii US Store builds Store builds Small franchisee acquisitions Large acquisition Potential acquisition New store builds Potential acquisition (beach head) Store builds (network) - Relocations New store builds Potential entry Potential entry New store builds Transformations Potential acquisition (beach head) 31

OUTLOOK Current strategies across all geographic markets are delivering positive results. The Taco Bell and Pizza Hut brands in Hawaii have delivered a solid contribution in the first period of ownership. The opportunity there, is network enhancement through new store builds and transformations Australian store acquisitions continue to add to growth in that market KFC New Zealand continues to strongly underpin continuation of profit growth in that market Absent any major changes to economic or market conditions, the Group will deliver a Net Profit after Tax (excluding non-trading items) for the FY19 year of at least 10% above current year s performance 32

QUESTIONS 33

SUMMARY FY18 a record year with sales of $741 million (+49%) and NPAT (excluding non-trading) of $40.4m (+32%) Hawaiian acquisition in nearly a full year s trading performed close to expectations Major expansion of Australia KFC beachhead with 18 stores acquired (increase of 43%) NZ business continues to provide a strong base Final dividend of 18 cps (+33%) for a full year of 28 cps Potential growth opportunities in the US 34