Preliminary Results as of March 31, May 3, 2017

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Transcription:

Preliminary Results as of March 31, 2017 May 3, 2017

Variations Forward-Looking Statement & Cautionary Note If no further specification is included, comparisons are made against the same realized period of the last year. Rounding Numbers may not total due to rounding. Financial Information Excluding budgetary and volumetric information, the financial information included in this report and the annexes hereto is based on unaudited consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board ( IFRS ), which PEMEX has adopted effective January 1, 2012. Information from prior periods has been retrospectively adjusted in certain accounts to make it comparable with the unaudited consolidated financial information under IFRS. For more information regarding the transition to IFRS, see Note 23 to the consolidated financial statements included in Petróleos Mexicanos 2012 Form 20-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and its Annual Report filed with the Comisión Nacional Bancaria y de Valores (CNBV). EBITDA is a non-ifrs measure. We show a reconciliation of EBITDA to net income in Table 33 of the annexes to PEMEX s Results Report as of March 31, 2015. Budgetary information is based on standards from Mexican governmental accounting; therefore, it does not include information from the subsidiary companies or affiliates of Petróleos Mexicanos. It is important to mention, that our current financing agreements do not include financial covenants or events of default that would be triggered as a result of our having negative equity. Methodology We might change the methodology of the information disclosed in order to enhance its quality and usefulness, and/or to comply with international standards and best practices. Foreign Exchange Conversions Convenience translations into U.S. dollars of amounts in Mexican pesos have been made at the exchange rate at close for the corresponding period, unless otherwise noted. Due to market volatility, the difference between the average exchange rate, the exchange rate at close and the spot exchange rate, or any other exchange rate used could be material. Such translations should not be construed as a representation that the Mexican peso amounts have been or could be converted into U.S. dollars at the foregoing or any other rate. It is important to note that we maintain our consolidated financial statements and accounting records in pesos. As of March 31, 2017, the exchange rate of MXN 18.8092 = USD 1.00 is used. Fiscal Regime Beginning January 1, 2015, Petróleos Mexicanos fiscal regime is governed by the Ley de Ingresos sobre Hidrocarburos (Hydrocarbons Revenue Law). From January 1, 2006 and to December 31, 2014, PEP was subject to a fiscal regime governed by the Federal Duties Law, while the tax regimes of the other Subsidiary Entities were governed by the Federal Revenue Law. On April 18, 2016, a decree was published in the Official Gazette of the Federation that allows assignment operators to choose between two schemes to calculate the cap on permitted deductions applicable to the Profit-Sharing Duty: (i) the scheme established within the Hydrocarbons Revenue Law, based on a percentage of the value of extracted hydrocarbons; or (ii) the scheme proposed by the SHCP, calculated upon established fixed fees, USD 6.1 for shallow water fields and USD 8.3 for onshore fields. The Special Tax on Production and Services (IEPS) applicable to automotive gasoline and diesel is established in the Production and Services Special Tax Law Ley del Impuesto Especial sobre Producción y Servicios. As an intermediary between the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (SHCP) and the final consumer, PEMEX retains the amount of the IEPS and transfers it to the Mexican Government. In 2016, the SHCP published a decree trough which it modified the calculation of the IEPS, based on the past five months of international reference price quotes for gasoline and diesel. As of January 1 2016, and until December 31, 2017, the SHCP will establish monthly fixed maximum prices of gasoline and diesel based on the following: maximum prices will be referenced to prices in the U.S. Gulf Coast, plus a margin that includes retails, freight, transportation, quality adjustment and management costs, plus the applicable IEPS to automotive fuel, plus other concepts (IEPS tax on fossil fuel, established quotas on the IEPS Law and value added tax). PEMEX s producer price is calculated in reference to that of an efficient refinery operating in the Gulf of Mexico. Until December 31, 2017, the Mexican Government is authorized to continue issuing pricing decrees to regulate the maximum prices for the retail sale of gasoline and diesel fuel, taking into account transportation costs between regions, inflation and the volatility of international fuel prices, among other factors. Beginning in 2018, the prices of gasoline and diesel fuel will be freely determined by market conditions. However the Federal Commission for Economic Competition, based on the existence of effective competitive conditions, has the authority to declare that prices of gasoline and diesel fuel are to be freely determined by market conditions before 2018. Hydrocarbon Reserves In accordance with the Hydrocarbons Law, published in the Official Gazette on August 11, 2014, the National Hydrocarbons Commission (CNH) will establish and will manage the National Hydrocarbons Information Center, comprised by a system to obtain, safeguard, manage, use, analyze, keep updated and publish information and statistics related; which includes estimations, valuation studies and certifications. On August 13, 2015, the CNH published the Guidelines that rule the valuation and certification of Mexico s reserves and the related contingency resources. As of January 1, 2010, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) changed its rules to permit oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose not only proved reserves, but also probable reserves and possible reserves. Nevertheless, any description of probable or possible reserves included herein may not meet the recoverability thresholds established by the SEC in its definitions. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F and our Annual Report to the CNBV and SEC, available at http://www.pemex.com/. Forward-looking Statements This report contains forward-looking statements. We may also make written or oral forward-looking statements in our periodic reports to the CNBV and the SEC, in our annual reports, in our offering circulars and prospectuses, in press releases and other written materials and in oral statements made by our officers, directors or employees to third parties. We may include forward-looking statements that address, among other things, our: exploration and production activities, including drilling; activities relating to import, export, refining, petrochemicals and transportation, storage and distribution of petroleum, natural gas and oil products; activities relating to our lines of business, including the generation of electricity; projected and targeted capital expenditures and other costs, commitments and revenues; liquidity and sources of funding, including our ability to continue operating as a going concern; strategic alliances with other companies; and the monetization of certain of our assets. Actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements as a result of various factors that may be beyond our control. These factors include, but are not limited to: changes in international crude oil and natural gas prices; effects on us from competition, including on our ability to hire and retain skilled personnel; limitations on our access to sources of financing on competitive terms; our ability to find, acquire or gain access to additional reserves and to develop the reserves that we obtain successfully; uncertainties inherent in making estimates of oil and gas reserves, including recently discovered oil and gas reserves; technical difficulties; significant developments in the global economy; significant economic or political developments in Mexico; developments affecting the energy sector; and changes in our legal regime or regulatory environment, including tax and environmental regulations. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. In any event, these statements speak only as of their dates, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any of them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. These risks and uncertainties are more fully detailed in our most recent Annual Report filed with the CNBV and available through the Mexican Stock Exchange (http://www.bmv.com.mx/) and our most recent Form 20-F filing filed with the SEC (http://www.sec.gov/). These factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. 1

Index 1 2 3 4 5 Key Highlights Financial Results Exploration & Production Industrial Transformation Questions & Answers 2

Key Highlights 1Q17 Crude oil production averaged 2,018 Mbd, in line with 2017 goal Gas flaring decreased by 5.4% Crude oil processing increased by 21%, as compared to year-end 2016 Operating expenses decreased by 14% Positive net result for two quarters in a row Sales positively impacted due to updates in fuel prices and recognition of logistics costs The recovery of crude oil prices and FX positively impacted the financial results 3

Index 1 2 3 4 5 Key Messages Financial Results Exploration & Production Industrial Transformation Questions & Answers 4

Gross Income MXN billion 400 350 349 1Q16 1Q17 300 250 200 150 100 50-225 162 258 63 91 31 73 121 3 193 65 105 88-50 -100 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income (31) (18) General Expenses Operating Income (28) Net Financial Cost 1 2 Income before Taxes and Duties Taxes and Duties (62) Net Income (loss) 1 Includes distribution, transportation and sales expenses, administration expenses and other expenses (revenues). 2 Includes interest expense, interest income, income (cost) due to financial derivatives, foreign exchange profit (loss) and profit sharing in non-consolidated subsidiaries and affiliates. Note: Numbers may not total due to rounding. 5

Operating Income MXN billion 400 350 349 1Q16 1Q17 300 250 200 150 100 50-225 162 258 63 91 31 73 121 3 193 65 105 88-50 -100 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income (31) (18) General Expenses Operating Income (28) Net Financial Cost 1 2 Income before Taxes and Duties Taxes and Duties (62) Net Income (loss) 1 Includes distribution, transportation and sales expenses, administration expenses and other expenses (revenues). 2 Includes interest expense, interest income, income (cost) due to financial derivatives, foreign exchange profit (loss) and profit sharing in non-consolidated subsidiaries and affiliates. Note: Numbers may not total due to rounding. 6

Net Financial Cost MXN billion 400 350 349 1Q16 1Q17 300 250 200 150 100 50-225 162 258 63 91 31 73 121 3 193 65 105 88-50 -100 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income (31) (18) General Expenses Operating Income (28) Net Financial Cost 1 2 Income before Taxes and Duties Taxes and Duties (62) Net Income (loss) 1 Includes distribution, transportation and sales expenses, administration expenses and other expenses (revenues). 2 Includes interest expense, interest income, income (cost) due to financial derivatives, foreign exchange profit (loss) and profit sharing in non-consolidated subsidiaries and affiliates. Note: Numbers may not total due to rounding. 7

Net Income MXN billion 400 350 349 1Q16 1Q17 300 250 200 150 100 50-225 162 258 63 91 31 73 121 3 193 65 105 88-50 -100 Total Sales Cost of Sales Gross Income (31) (18) General Expenses Operating Income (28) Net Financial Cost 1 2 Income before Taxes and Duties Taxes and Duties (62) Net Income (loss) 1 Includes distribution, transportation and sales expenses, administration expenses and other expenses (revenues). 2 Includes interest expense, interest income, income (cost) due to financial derivatives, foreign exchange profit (loss) and profit sharing in non-consolidated subsidiaries and affiliates. Note: Numbers may not total due to rounding. 8

PEMEX records net income for two quarters in a row (360) (153) (168) (114) (81) (77) (101) (118) (85) (24) (26) (28) (49) (39) (62) (83) (4) (19) 4 9 33 23 16 73 88 Mexican Mix Price USD/b Net Income (loss) and Mexican Crude Oil Basket Price 120 Average: 76.6 USD/b 80 40 110 30 0 (50) Net Income 1 MXN billion (130) (210) (290) (370) (450) 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14 1Q15 3Q15 1Q16 3Q16 1Q17 1 Audited quarterly results, except for preliminary results as of March 31, 2017. 9

Positive Evolution Of Working Capital Evolution of Working Capital MXN billion 40 - (40) (80) (120) (160) (200) (83) (90) (176) 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 1 (71) (15) Composition of Working Capital as of March 31, 2017 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 - (50) 105 Cash & Cash Equivalents 152 Accounts, Notes Receivable and Other 44 7 5 Inventories Noncurrent Financial Derivative Assets Kept Instruments for Sale (141) Short-term Financial 1 Debt (85) Suppliers (39) Accounts and Accrued Expenses Payable (45) Taxes and Duties Payable Current Assets Current Liabilities (19) Derivative Financial Instruments (15) Working Capital 1 Audited quarterly results, except for preliminary results as of March 31, 2017. 2 Includes committed revolving credit lines. 10

Decreased Financial Debt Financial Debt MXN billion -6.4% 2,000 1,983 178 (152) ( 142) (11) 1,855 1,500 1,000 500 - Financial Debt as of December 31, 2016 Financing Activities 1 Amortizations 2 Foreign Exchange Fluctuation Others Financial Debt as of March 31, 2017 1 Includes Finance Public Works Contracts Program. 2 Includes accrued interests and amortized cost. 11

Index 1 2 3 4 5 Key Highlights Financial Results Exploration & Production Industrial Transformation Questions & Answers 12

Crude Oil Production Performance Crude Oil Production Mbd 2,500 2,230 2,176 2,138 2,070 2,018 Crude Oil Production 1Q17 2,000 1,500 12.9% 12.6% 12.2% 11.7% 11.1% 37.1% 36.9% 36.2% 35.6% 35.7% 19% 1,000 500 50.0% 50.5% 51.6% 52.7% 53.2% 81% 0 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 Heavy Light Extra-light Offshore Onshore Crude Oil Production by Asset Mbd 2,400 2,000 1,600 1,200 800 400-2,018 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 14% 5% 11% 18% 10% 43% Other Samaria-Luna Abkatún-Pol Chuc Litoral de Tabasco Cantarell Ku-Maloob-Zaap 13

Natural Gas Production Performance Natural Gas Production 1 MMcfd 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 5,174 Natural Gas Use MMcfd 600 4,946 4,770 4,580 4,367 27.3% 26.5% 24.9% 23.9% 23.7% 72.7% 73.5% 75.1% 76.1% 76.3% 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 Associated Non-Associated 91.4% 89.8% 91.2% 92.4% 94.6% 100.0% 80.0% Natural Gas Production 1Q17 50% Offshore 50% Onshore Gas Flaring (MMcfd) Natural Gas Use / Total Gas Produced 400 60.0% 200 525 599 502 420 288 40.0% 20.0% 0 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 1 Does not include nitrogen. 0.0% 14

Discoveries Confirm the Production Potential of the Southern Portion of the Gulf of Mexico Teekit-1001 Koban-1 Business Unit Well Geologic Age Initial Production Oil and Condensates (bd) Gas (MMcfd) Water Depth Litoral de Tabasco Koban-1 Late Jurassic Kimmeridgian 3,276.0 11.0 12 Meters Type of Hydrocarbons Gas and condensates Litoral de Tabasco Teekit-1001 Middle Pliocene 2,472.0 0.9 30 Oil and gas Total 5,748.0 11.9 15

Progress and Business Outlook 2017 PEMEX continues taking advantage of the flexibility and advantages brought forward by the Energy Reform, allowing it to share financial, technology and geological risks, that complement its operation and investment capabilities Farm-outs (Ronda 2) Ogarrio, Cárdenas-Mora & Ayín-Batsil Trion Maximino- Nobilis Board of Directors approves second deep-water farm-out Maximino-Nobilis Ayín-Batsil Ek-Balam San Ramón & Basilio Ogarrio & Cárdenas-Mora Migrations without a partner Ek-Balam May 2, 2017 Future case-by-case analysis CSIEE 1 Advanced model contract San Ramón and Blasillo to be signed during the 2H17 1 Exploration and Extraction Integrated Service Contracts. 16

Index 1 2 3 4 5 Key Highlights Financial Results Exploration & Production Industrial Transformation Questions & Answers 17

Crude Oil Processing & Petroleum Products Production Performance Crude Oil Processing Mbd 1,250 1,000 750 500 1,081 1,021 483 397 849 365 Heavy Crude Light Crude 948 784 395 356 Variable Refining Margin USD / b 7.71 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.50 5.01 4.91 250 598 624 484 428 552 2.0 2.65-1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 0.0 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 Production of Petroleum Products Mbd 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200-1,118 1,056 177 151 49 23 40 19 262 247 228 255 876 138 41 13 195 802 125 41 13 162 217 213 959 124 46 19 188 277 379 343 273 248 305 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 1 Includes mainly light cycle oil, dry gas, coke and asphalt. Other* 1 Crude oil processing rebounds after completion of maintenance cycles by yearend 2016 Jet Fuel LPG Diesel Fuel oil Automotive gasolines Stable variable refining margin, due to value maximization of production and the recovery of prices for refined products 18

Natural Gas Processing and Production Natural Gas Processing MMcfd 4,000 3,200 2,400 1,600 800-3,847 3,724 3,648 3,470 3,413 747 701 644 608 600 3,100 3,023 3,004 2,862 2,813 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 Sweet Wet Gas Sour Wet Gas Dry Natural Gas and Gas Liquids Production MMcfd 3,255 3,300 3,103 3,100 2,994 2,900 306 311 317 2,700 2,838 296 2,783 306 Mbd 430 400 370 340 310 Dry Gas from Plants (MMcfd) Natural Gas Liquids (Mbd) 1 2,500 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 280 1 Includes streams of condensates for fractionating. 19

Production of Petrochemicals Production of petrochemicals Mt Thousand tons 1,207 1,200 123 86 989 1,010 1,000 82 65 914 196 68 71 64 792 800 151 66 127 179 37 83 140 77 600 185 91 65 143 193 181 212 75 400 254 142 218 191 168 147 200 235 195 232 198 171-1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 1 Other* Carbon black Sulfur Propylene and Derivatives Aromatics and Derivatives Ethane Derivatives Methane Derivatives 1 Includes basic petrochemicals, muriatic acid, butadiene, polyethylene wax, petrochemical specialties, BTX liquids, hydrogen, isohexane, pyrolysis liquids, oxygen, CPDI, isopropyl alcohol, amorphous gasoline, octane basis gasoline and heavy naphtha. 20

Investor Relations (+52 55) 1944-9700 ri@pemex.com www.pemex.com/en/investors

Index 1 2 3 4 5 Key Highlights Financial Results Exploration & Production Industrial Transformation Questions & Answers 22

Questions & Answers Juan Pablo Newman Chief Financial Officer Luis Ramos Deputy Director of E&P Portfolio Management Carlos Murrieta Director General of Industrial Transformation 23