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Euro Health Consumer Index 2016 The Main challenges in Serbian Healthcare Zlatibor June 28, 2017 Prof. Arne Björnberg, PhD info@healthpowerhouse.com

About Health Consumer Powerhouse Comparing healthcare systems performance in 35 countries from a consumer/patient view. Since 2004, more than 40 index editions, available for free. Index projects financed through unconditional development grants, similar to medical faculty sponsored research. Europe Euro Health Consumer Index 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2012 2017 Euro Consumer Heart Index 2008, 2016-2017 Euro Diabetes Care Index 2008, 2014 Euro HIV Index 2009 Euro Patient Empowerment Index 2009 Nordic COPD Index 2010 Tobacco Harm Prevention Index 2011 Euro Headache Index 2011 Euro Hepatitis Index 2012 Euro Vision Scorecard 2013 Euro Pancreatic Cancer Index 2014 Sweden, others Health Consumer Index Sweden 2004, 2005, 2006 Diabetes Care Index Sweden 2006, 2007, 2008 Breast Cancer Index Sweden 2006 Vaccination Index Sweden 2007, 2008 Renal Care Index Sweden 2007, 2008 Smoke Cessation Index Sweden 2008 COPD Index Sweden 2009, Nordic 2010 Advanced Home Care Index Sweden 2010 Euro-Canada Health Consumer Index Canada 2008, 2009 Provincial Health Consumer Index Canada 2008, 2009, 2010 All Hospitals Index Sweden 2011

EHCI 2016 sub-disciplines Sub-discipline Weight (points out of 1000 for full score) Patient rights, information and e-health 125 Waiting times / Access Outcomes Range & Reach of services provided Prevention 225 300 125 125 Doing well Norway Belgium, FYR Macedonia, Switzerland Finland, Iceland, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, Switzerland Netherlands, Sweden Norway Pharmaceuticals deployment 100 France, Germany, Ireland, Netherlands, Switzerland A total of 48 indicators in six sub-disciplines And we have really tried to be inventive and make the Index more challenging, but there is no stopping The Netherlands!

EHCI Beveridge vs. Bismarck systems Beveridge: Financing and running healthcare institutions under the same hat(s): Centralized Beveridge: UK, Ireland, Portugal, many CEE countries (incl. all of ex-yugoslavia) De-centralized Beveridge: Spain, Italy, the Nordics Bismarck: Financing from separate insurers, normally remunerating healthcare institutions on an equal basis for what they do for patients Much less micro-managing based on costs Germany, Austria, Belgium, Netherlands, France, Switzerland, Slovakia(!) Out-of-pocket: Cyprus, Malta Welcome back to the stone age!

EHCI 2016 Important trends Treatment results in European healthcare keep improving essentially everywhere! Some indicators in the EHCI are becoming less distinctive; too many Green scores! EHCI 2017 will be overhauled, to become more challenging less opportunity for longitudinal analysis! Savings on pharmaceuticals the most obvious effect of austerity Some patterns remarkably stable over time waiting lists a mental condition? Accessibility has no correlation with finances, mainly because operating a healthcare system without waiting lists is inherently cheaper than having them

Total scores in EHCI 2016 Green; countries scoring >800 points out of a maximum 1000 ( all Green on the 38 indicators)!

What can Europe learn from The Netherlands? Chaos systems, where patients can choose where to seek care, do better than planned systems; but chaos needs to be managed, and the NL does that very well: Amateurs at a safe distance from operative decision-making in healthcare institutions Choice and competition! (and remember that this has to have a grandfather function managing the system!)

So what could be the improvement potential for the European Champions? The Netherlands tops 3 sub-disciplines, and has really no weak points historic waiting time problems largely rectified

PPP: Purchasing Power Parity adjusted dollars; an unadjusted dollar goes much farther to buy Healthcare services in a country where a nurse is paid 400/month (CEE) than where she is paid > 4000 (e.g. Norway, Switzerland) The Netherlands used to have significantly higher healthcare costs than comparable countries.

Other countries, particularly Germany and Sweden, have caught up!

Macedonia no longer winning only because limited finances! Estonia, Czech Republic, Serbia, (and Albania; could be an effect of the model) seem to give good value for money in healthcare!

MDD (22): Structural Antiquity Index or why the Dutch healthcare system is expensive

Savings potential if Dutch healthcare would approach the in/out-patient mix of Sweden EUR 8 billion/year? At the Future Health Summit, Dublin 2016, Prof. Nico van Meeteren, referring to the EHCI, presented that the Netherlands is launching a new cost reduction scheme to save EUR 12 billion through care restructuring!

Iceland Europe is divided into waiting list territory (Red) and non-waiting list territory (Green). Accessibility in EHCI Ireland United Kingdom France Denmark Netherlands Belgium Luxembourg Switzerland Norway Germany Sweden Czech Rep Austria Slovenia Croatia Poland Slovakia Hungary Finland Latvia Lithuania Estonia Romania This is independent of Europe GDP/capita. Bismarck systems beat the living daylights out of Beveridge systems! Portugal Spain Italy Montenegro Serbia Bulgaria Macedonia Greece Albania Malta Cyprus

Accessibility not really related to number of doctors!

Money does not necessarily buy better access to healthcare! BE CH MK CZ PL UK IE SE

Almost all countries show a positive EHCI scores trend over time exceptions are Sweden and Romania.

Treatment results keep improving! In 12 European countries, heart disease is no longer the biggest cause of death!

Treatment results keep improving! In EHCI 2006, there were 9 Green scores, using the same cut-offs

And yes; wealthy countries have better Outcomes but not all! Portugal, Slovenia and the U.K. move into Green for the first time in EHCI.

Money does buy better Treatment Results R = +83 %

An example of a LAP Indicator; Level of Attention to the Problem. Wealthy countries can afford admitting patients on weaker indications, but there are deviations! Greek hospitals have press gangs roaming city streets?

Greeks can somehow carry on spending on drugs and hospital admissions There is no evidence which supports that public health benefits from dispensing drugs to deceased patients

Bismarck Beats Beveridge Bismarck systems dominate the top of EHCI ranking Beveridge systems offer conflicts between loyalty to citizens and loyalty to healthcare system/organisation ( politician home town job preservation ) lack of business acumen in Beveridge systems; efficiency gains and cutbacks frequently not differentiated! small Beveridge systems (the Nordic countries) can compete 100 s of thousands of professionals take better decisions and drive development better than central bodies The essential characteristic of Bismarck systems is the separation of financing decisions and operative decisions finansors should not micro-manage hospitals

What can/should Serbia do? Not centralize budgeting 1. Budgeting and management based on performance (DRG's etc), not on costs. 2. Separate decision-making on financing, from decision-making on the operation of Healthcare institutions the latter is unlikely to be done optimally by anybody who ever worked for a central NHS for any length of time. 3. Maintain a clear line of command in the healthcare provision system institutions must be protected against micro-management from financing bodies. This is the most important property of Bismarck systems. 4. Purchase and implement the FYROM e-referral and e-prescription solution»pinga«- total elimination of waiting lists in less than a year!

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