Making the Permian Great Again Zane Arrott, Chief Operating Officer January 18, 2017

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Transcription:

Making the Permian Great Again Zane Arrott, Chief Operating Officer January 18, 217

Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements and information in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. The words believe, expect, anticipate, plan, intend, foresee, should, would, could or other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, which are generally not historical in nature. These forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effect on us. While management believes that these forward-looking statements are reasonable as and when made, there can be no assurance that future developments affecting us will be those that we anticipate. Our forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties (some of which are beyond our control) and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially from our historical experience and our present expectations or projections. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the volatility of commodity prices, product supply and demand, competition, access to and cost of capital, uncertainties about estimates of reserves and resource potential and the ability to add proved reserves in the future, the ability to assimilate acquisitions into our operations, the assumptions underlying production forecasts, our hedging strategy and results, the quality of technical data, environmental and weather risks, the ability to obtain environmental and other permits and the timing thereof, other government regulation or action, the costs and results of drilling and operations, the availability of equipment, services, resources and personnel required to complete RSP s operating activities, access to and availability of transportation, processing and refining facilities, the financial strength of counterparties to the RSP s credit facility and derivative contracts and the purchasers of RSP s production and third parties providing services to RSP and acts of war or terrorism. Furthermore, we may not be able to close the Silver Hill E&P II, LLC (SHEP II) transaction in a timely manner or at all, the ultimate funding sources for the SHEP II transaction may differ from our current expectations, we may not be able to recognize the expected benefits from the Silver Hill Energy Partners, LLC and SHEP II transactions (including our expectations for production growth) and our capital program may exceed budgeted amounts. For additional information regarding known material factors that could cause our actual results to differ from our projected results, please see our filings with the United States Securities and Exchange Commisson (SEC), including our Annual Reports on Form 1-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 1-Q. Existing and prospective investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements after the date they are made, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 2

Important Information for Investors and Stockholders This communication does not constitute an offer to buy or sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or a solicitation of any vote or approval. In connection with the SHEP II transaction, RSP has filed with the SEC a preliminary proxy statement. RSP also plans to file other relevant documents with the SEC regarding the SHEP II transaction. Any definitive proxy statement for RSP (if and when available) will be mailed to RSP's stockholders. INVESTORS AND SECURITY HOLDERS OF RSP ARE URGED TO READ THE PROXY STATEMENT(S) AND OTHER DOCUMENTS THAT MAY BE FILED WITH THE SEC CAREFULLY AND IN THEIR ENTIRETY IF AND WHEN THEY BECOME AVAILABLE BECAUSE THEY WILL CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION ABOUT THE SHEP II TRANSACTION AND ITS FINANCING. Investors and security holders will be able to obtain free copies of these documents (if and when available) and other documents containing important information about RSP, once such documents are filed with the SEC through the website maintained by the SEC at http://www.sec.gov. Copies of the documents filed with the SEC by RSP will be available free of charge on RSP's internet website at http://www.rsppermian.com or by contacting RSP's Investor Relations Department by email at IR@rspermian.com or by phone at 214-252-279. RSP and certain of its directors and executive officers may be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of proxies in respect of the SHEP II transaction. Information about the directors and executive officers of RSP is set forth in RSP's proxy statement for its 216 annual meeting of stockholders, which was filed with the SEC on April 29, 216. This document can be obtained free of charge from the sources indicated above. Other information regarding the participants in the proxy solicitations and a description of their direct and indirect interests, by security holdings or otherwise, will be contained in the proxy statement and other relevant materials to be filed with the SEC when such materials become available. Investors should read the proxy statement carefully when it becomes available before making any voting or investment decisions. You may obtain free copies of this document from RSP using the sources indicated above. 3

MBoe/d RSP Permian Has Been a Strong Growth Story in the E&P Sector October 21: RSP formation with NGP investment December 212: $34mm asset divestiture January 214: RSP $448mm Initial Public Offering August 215: Bolt-on Midland Basin acquisitions for $274mm October 216: Silver Hill Delaware Basin acq. for ~$2.4b (1) 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 December 21: $325mm Patriot acquisition September 213: Spanish Trail acquisition for $155mm July 214: N. Midland Basin acquisition for $259mm October 215: $137mm bolt-on acquisition from WPR 55 5 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 Historical Monthly Net Production Pro forma for Silver Hill acquisition, ~52M Boe/d at 9/3/16 Shift to Hz drilling IPO Process 211 212 213 214 215 216 (1) First part of Silver Hill acquisition (SHEP I) closed 11/28/16, second part (SHEP II) expected to close in Q1 217. $5 $45 $4 $35 $3 $25 $2 $15 RSP Stock Price Since IPO (Monthly Avg.) $42.41 as of 1/13/17 +117% since IPO Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec 214 215 216 4

RSP Permian Overview (NYSE: RSPP) Large, contiguous acreage blocks in the core of the Midland and Delaware Basins (1) Contiguous Acreage Position in Core of Permian Basin Midland: ~6,7 net surface acres and ~27, net effective horizontal acres (2) ~96% operated Delaware: ~41, net surface acres and ~25, net effective horizontal acres ~8% operated ~5,8 horizontal locations in inventory with significant upside 217 Development Plans Rigs: Midland Basin - 4; Delaware Basin - 2, 4 by YE 17 217 Production: 52 56 MBoe/d (72% - 74% oil) 217 Development Capital: $57 - $63 million D&C: $52 - $56MM % Non-Operated: 1% - 15% Key Statistics Delaware Basin Acquisition (1) ~41, net acres ~3,2 gross locations Midland Basin ~6,7 net acres ~2,6 gross locations in focus area Market Capitalization (1/13/17): 3Q16 Average Production: 3Q16 Avg Production pro forma Silver Hill: Elected Credit Facility Borrowing Base: $6. billion 3 MBoe/d 5 Mboe/d $9 million >1, largely contiguous net surface acres and >5, net effective horizontal acres in the core of each basin (1) First part of Silver Hill acquisition (SHEP I) closed 11/28/16, second part (SHEP II) expected to close in Q1 217. (2) Combined horizontal acreage position that Management believes is prospective for hydrocarbon production across each target horizontal zone. 5

RSP Has Used Many Forms of Capital to Fuel Its Growth $9.8 billion of financings, acquisitions, and divestitures since formation Private Equity, Net Profits Interest, Term-B Bank, Credit Facility, Asset Sales, Public Equity, High Yield Market Considered several other financing options, eg. Bridge Loans, Convertibles, Joint Ventures, etc. $5.8 Billion in Financings $4. Billion in Acquisitions/Divestitures Date 4Q1 4Q1 3Q11 3Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14 3Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 3Q15 4Q15 3Q16 4Q16 4Q16 Transactions: $185MM Private Equity / Management Equity $9MM Term-B Facility $175MM Net Profits Interest $6MM Credit Facility (212 Today) $125MM Term-B Facility (Spanish Trail Pre-IPO) $448MM IPO (Primary / Secondary) $3MM Follow-on (Primary / Secondary) $5MM High Yield $256MM Follow-on $126MM Secondary (NGP Block) $181MM Follow-on (Primary) $2MM High-Yield add-on $223MM Follow-on (Primary) $1,6MM Follow-on (Primary) $45MM High Yield $95MM Credit Facility (elected $9MM) Date 4Q1 4Q12 3Q13 1Q14 2Q14 2Q15 3Q15 4Q16 Transactions: $325MM Patriot Acquisition $34MM Divestiture $155MM Spanish Trail Acquisition $84MM Glasscock, Martin, Dawson County Acq. $259MM Adventure Acquisition $274MM Glass Ranch Acquisition $137MM Wolfberry Partners Acquisition $2,4MM Silver Hill Acquisitions 6

Graphic X-Section of Delaware Basin to Midland Basin Delaware Basin Central Basin Platform Midland Basin 7

Delaware Core vs. Midland Core Core Delaware Basin Type Log Core Midland Basin Type Log 8

Delaware and Midland Basin Core: Potential Recoverable Resource ~9MM core acres (~14, sections) in the Delaware and Midland Basins combined, based on concentration of rigs Due to logistical, leasehold, or geologic issues, ~25% of the acreage cannot be developed Leaving ~75%, or 1,5 sections, able to be developed Assuming average OIP/section of 15MMBbls, we estimate over 1.5 trillion Bbls total OIP Assuming a 1% recovery factor, results in 15 Billion BBLs recoverable resource potential Estimate an additional ~22, horizontal wells needed to recover all available resource Delaware and Midland Core Acreage Based on Current Rig Activity 9

Cum Hz Wells Drilled Optimizing Execution: Evolution of RSP s Horizontal Development Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Late 212 - Mid 213 Mid 213-214 215 216 Exploring the potential of horizontal drilling in the Spraberry and Wolfcamp Shales One-well pads Develop understanding of Midland Basin potential No development of individual leases or areas Delineating and defining productivity of individual zones and their extent Multi-well pads Use micro seismic and drill multi-zone pads to determine best development methods IPO Process Construct full lease facility requirements Implement lessons learned in the first two phases Move to simultaneous primary development of WB/WA/LS Begin full lease drilling Start spacing pilots Focus on service cost savings and capital efficiencies Continue spacing pilots Develop high density frac design Use fiber optics and tracer science to refine and confirm frac designs Prepare for manufacturing phase of development Continue to focus on cost reductions and efficiency Drilling Cost $/Ft: ~$7 Completion Cost $/Ft: ~$675 Proppant Lbs/Ft: ~1, Average Lateral: ~5,5 Drilling Cost $/Ft: ~$54 Completion Cost $/Ft: ~$63 Proppant Lbs/Ft: ~1,35 Average Lateral: ~7,1 Drilling Cost $/Ft: ~$395 Completion Cost $/Ft: ~$535 Proppant Lbs/Ft: ~1,5 Average Lateral: ~7,8 Drilling Cost $/Ft: ~$345 Completion Cost $/Ft: ~$4 Proppant Lbs/Ft: ~1,7 Average Lateral: ~7,3 15 1 5 Cumulative Horizontal Wells & Feet Drilled Since 212 116 124 132 14 93 79 66 54 36 42 2 2 3 4 7 11 16 24 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 212 213 214 215 216 1,2 1, 8 6 4 2 Cum Hz Feet Drilled ( s) Hz Op Wells Drilled Hz Op Feet Drilled 1

After Before Avg Cum 18/1, Stimulation Evolution Accelerating 213-14 Mid 214 to YE15 Q1 216 Q2 216 2H 216 to Present 3-4 clusters 1#/ft Hybrid Fluid 2% 1 Mesh 4 clusters 125#/ft SW with light gel 2% 1 Mesh 6-8 clusters 16#/ft SW & diverter 5% 1 Mesh 14 clusters 19#/ft Slickwater only No RCS Additional testing planned to increase diversion efficiency, optimize prop placement, & test other high density frac concepts Illustrative Design Evolution Well Performance Improvement with Proppant Load Increases 14, 2, 12, 1, 8, 6, 1,5 1, 4, 5 2, 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 3Q 212 213 214 215 216 Avg Prop #/ft Avg Cum 18/1,' Avg Prop #/ft 11

Depth (ft) Drilling Efficiency Improvements On an ongoing basis, RSP evaluates each section of the well (intermediate, curve & lateral) independently, looking for ways to optimize drilling and completion efficiency Historical focus has been on casing design, mud system, mud weight, bit selection, BHA design & rig performance 214: Transitioned from 4-string to 3-string design 215: BHA & bit selection improvements in intermediate; standardized BHA & mud systems to increase ROP pad drilling 216: Further improved BHA design to increase curve efficiency; better ROP; 1 bit curves; upgraded rig mud system to 7,5 PSI, allowing for high flow rates in longer laterals; reduction in rig downtime; BHA stabilization in lateral sections resulting in less slide to rotate ratio, increasing ROP and less bit run 2, 4, 6, 8, 1, 12, 14, 16, 18, 2, Annual Rate of Penetration Evolution Days 5 1 15 2 25 3 35 4 213 214 215 216 12

Rig Count Permian Production (MBO/d & MMcf/d Permian Innovation & Resilience Through Commodity Price Downturn 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 55 5 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 Permian Gas Production (MMcfd) Permian Oil Production (MBopd) WTI Spot ($/Bbl) '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Peak Permian vertical rig count occurs in June 212 average monthly vertical rig count of 365 WTI Oil Price (1) vs. Permian Production (2) Permian Rig Count (1) '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 (1) Per Bloomberg Financial. (2) Per EIA December 216 Permian Region Drilling Productivity Report. Thanksgiving 214 Vertical rig count collapses in tandem with drop in oil price Horizontal rig count begins to bounce back $12 $1 $8 $6 $4 $2 $ Horizontal Permian Rigs Vertical Permian Rigs WTI Oil Price ($/Bbl) 13

Permian Oil Production (MBo/d) MBO/d Potential Permian Rig Additions and Possible Oil Production Growth Existing ~2 HZ Permian rigs are currently holding flat/slightly increasing oil production An average RSP rig continuously drilling in the Permian over a 36 month period will increase oil production by ~11 MBO/d by the 36 th month (chart to right) Utilizing in-house Permian type curves and assuming 1 rig increases the well count by +15/year If Permian rig count doubles in 24 months (2 rigs added evenly over 24 month period) and holds flat at ~4 total horizontal rigs thereafter, Permian oil production would be 3,9 MBO/d by 12/31/19 Permian Oil Production Growth w/ 2 Rig Additions in 217 Production Add from Continuously Drilling Permian Rig 12 1 8 6 4 2 Production from Typical RSP Gross Rig 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 3 33 36 Months 4,5 4, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 Hypothetical Production Increase w/ Added Rigs Permian Base Production Held w/ 15-2 HZ Rigs Projected Takeaway Capacity HZ Rig Count '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 5 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 HZ Rig Count Potential Constraints When Moving to 4 Rigs 1. Goods & Services 2. CAPEX Requirement 3. Water 4. Sand 5. Pipeline Takeaway 14

Additional Disclosures Supplemental Non-GAAP Financial Measures We define Adjusted EBITDAX as oil and gas revenues including net cash receipts (payments) on settled derivative instruments and premiums paid on put options that settled during the period, less lease operating expenses, production and ad valorem taxes, and general and administrative expenses excluding stock based compensation. Adjusted net income deducts from Adjusted EBITDAX depreciation, depletion, and amortization, accretion on asset retirement obligations, exploration expenses, interest expense, stock-based compensation and adjusted income tax expense. Management believes Adjusted EBITDAX and adjusted net income are useful because they allow us to more effectively evaluate our operating performance and compare the results of our operations from period to period without regard to our financing methods or capital structure. We exclude the items listed above in arriving at Adjusted EBITDAX and adjusted net income because these amounts can vary substantially from company to company within our industry depending upon accounting methods and book values of assets, capital structures and the method by which the assets were acquired. Adjusted EBITDAX and adjusted net income should not be considered as an alternative to, or more meaningful than, net income as determined in accordance with GAAP or as an indicator of our operating performance or liquidity. Certain items excluded from Adjusted EBITDAX and adjusted net income are significant components in understanding and assessing a company's financial performance, such as a company's cost of capital and tax structure, as well as the historic costs of depreciable assets, none of which are components of Adjusted EBITDAX. Our computations of Adjusted EBITDAX and adjusted net income may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies. Certain Reserve Information Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors: The SEC prohibits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, from disclosing estimates of oil or gas resources other than reserves, as that term is defined by the SEC. This presentation discloses estimates of quantities of oil and gas using certain terms, such as resource potential, net recoverable resource potential, resource base, estimated ultimate recovery, EUR or other descriptions of volumes of reserves, which terms include quantities of oil and gas that may not meet the SEC s definitions of proved, probable and possible reserves, and which the SEC s guidelines strictly prohibit the Company from including in filings with the SEC. These estimates are by their nature more speculative than estimates of proved reserves and accordingly are subject to substantially greater risk of being recovered by the Company. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosures in the Company s periodic filings with the SEC. Such filings are available from the Company at 3141 Hood Street, Suite 5, Dallas, Texas 75219, Attention: Investor Relations, and the Company s website at www.rsppermian.com. These filings also can be obtained from the SEC by calling 1-8-SEC-33. 15