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UNITAR Mustofi Fellowship Hiroshima, Japan 18 22 February 2012! Index! Overview and Objectives! Limitations and Problems! Public Financial Systems! Financial Management System Boundaries! Framework! Government Budget Cycle! National and Sub-national Financial Roles and Responsibilities! Reforms! Key Performance Indicators 1

! Objectives Budget Realism: Is the budget realistic, and implemented as intended in a predictable manner? Comprehensive, Policy-based, budget: Does the budget capture all relevant fiscal transactions, and is the process giving regard to government policy? Six core objectives of PFM system Accountability and Transparency : Are effective external financial accountability and transparency arrangements in place? Control : Is effective control and stewardship exercised in the use of public funds? Comprehensive fiscal risk oversight : Is oversight of fiscal risk arising from public enterprises and sub-national governments adequate? Information: Is adequate fiscal, revenue and expenditure information produced and disseminated to meet decision-making and management purposes? Source: Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005.! Overview and Objectives! Financial System Framework In other words...! Macrofiscal discipline! Strategic allocation of resources! Technical efficiency! What are the roles of! Office of the President! Parliament / Legislators! International Financial Institutions! Minister of Finance! Mustofis / Governors! Other agencies at the provincial level 2

Government and Financial Systems Management! Strategic Planning! Translate political priorities into implementation! Negotiate budgetary resources! Determine size of the budget! Assess the feasibility of the resources you are trying to raise and spend! Get approval of budget composition (e.g. recurrent, capital, and public sector salaries)! Maintain balance between national and subnational priorities Government and Financial Systems Management! Management Control! Organize work and use information! Make the fiscal management system deal with international obligations (e.g. World Bank, IMF, ADB)! Criteria to determine efficiency of expenditure proposals! Operational Control! Appropriate and evaluate budgets! Transfer money to other ministries / provinces! Transparency, accountability, anti-corruption 3

Financial Systems Management Challenges Limitations and Problems Communicating value Resistance to change Focus on diagnostics over implementation of reforms Low Income Groups struggle to get basics in place Limited short-term resources versus high costs of investments/ reforms Short-term focus versus longterm vision Difficult to determine the extent of improvement in a country s PFM performance over time Possible Solutions Accountability and transparency gain credibility Right-sizing reforms, measures Holistic views of PFM systems, focus on weakest links Limiting adverse impact of supply-push, transplanting of advanced reforms to weak environments Redefining ownership as helping the country solve practical financial management challenges simply, directly Sequencing reforms Realistic time horizons Financial Systems Management Challenges Resistance Limited monitoring of progress, mainly concentrated on inputs -> no lessonlearning and did not encourage focus on results on the ground Technical reform versus systemic/ institutional change Fragmented approach to reforms and limited leadership in government Unhelpful donor practices Inadequate sequencing of reforms due to donor pressure or difficulties in gov t Unrealism, optimism fades, difficult to see pace of change Possible Solutions Accountability and transparency gain credibility Holistic views of PFM systems, focus on weakest links Limiting adverse impact of supplypush, transplanting of advanced reforms to weak environments Redefining ownership as helping the country solve practical financial management challenges simply, directly Sequencing reforms Realistic time horizons 4

! Public Financial Systems! Financial System Framework Revenue Resource Generation Budget Constraints Resource Allocation Resource Utilization Expenditure Management Government Operations Income Distribution Output Consumption Investment Transfer Payments Examples Services & goods used now Services & goods spent on future gains Welfare, redistribution, aid Financial Management System Boundaries Planning system Project appraisal Medium term plans, e.g. three year rolling plans Resource allocation Annual budgets Development, recurrent and revenue Expenditure review Liquidity management Public expenditure review Accountability Institutions Fund release procedure, e.g... warranting Audit system Post event review Project monitoring Reports and financial statements Monitoring & controlling Accounting for revenue and expenditure Source: Adapted from Integrated Financial Management. Michael Parry, International Management Consultants Limited. Training Workshop on Government Budgeting in Developing Countries. THE UNITED NATIONS. December 1997. 5

Execution Legislation Control and Accountability Preparation 6

! National and Sub-national Financial Roles and Responsibilities! Budget design! Legislative oversight, involvement! Civil society oversight, participation! Sub-national budgeting! Debt sustainability analysis! Sectoral measures (e.g. health, education, infrastructure)! Anti-corruption! Decentralization A vs B! De-concentration! Public-Private Partnerships! Monitoring and Evaluation! Long-term planning Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005.! National and Sub-national Financial Roles and Responsibilities! Changing role of MoF! From control only to also monitoring/oversight and advisory role! Risk management: analysis of emerging issues, problems, and health of decision-making and finance system! From excessive budget detail to policy analysis and development! Shifting authority and accountability towards line ministries! Emphasizing MoF training and guidance! Performance over compliance! New Public Management! Separating policy from implementation! Balancing national and sub-national priorities! Empowering line ministries for efficiency Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005. 7

! National and Sub-national Financial Roles and Responsibilities! Must avoid fragmenting of MoF! Separate debt agency! Separate procurement function! Separate treasury! Separate budget! Separate revenue authority! Separate planning and policy processes! All tend to weaken the MoF! Effect on financial management unclear! Frequently done to improve pay or improve independence! Reflect political interference Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005.! Public Financial Systems Improvement The Way Forward: A Strengthened Approach! A country-led agenda including a PFM reform strategy and action plan with inputs from the Mustofiates! A donor coordinated program of support coordinated, coherent, multi-year program of PFM work that supports and is aligned with the government s PFM strategy! A shared information pool a common framework and information set for measuring and monitoring results over time! Mustofis are at the center of the system at the sub-national level you are the main actor and must create a virtuous cycle Mustofi Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005. 8

! Public Financial Systems Improvement The Way Forward: A Strengthened Approach! A provincial agenda including a Mustofiate revised strategy and action plan! Follows government-led reform program! Includes planning and undertaking diagnostic work on a long-term scenario! Includes a prioritized and sequenced reform program! Gives authority to implement reforms! Monitors progress over time! Includes donor coordination around the PFM reform agenda of the government at the sub-national level Mustofi Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005.! Public Financial Systems Improvement The Way Forward: A Strengthened Approach! Monitoring progress including Mustofiate specific monitoring and evaluation! M&E Systems! Enables decision-makers in government and donor agencies to assess the success and difficulties of the reform process and make decisions accordingly! Ensure that reform measures and activities are closely followed (training, new laws, etc.)! Implement institutional and system changes (IFMS, new budget calendar, etc.)! Builds upon changes in the performance of the PFM system over the years Mustofi Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005. 9

! PFM Reforms! Good reforms generally try to change incentives to better meet objectives by changing rules, roles and information! Communicate value of expenditures (whether consumption, investments)! PFM Reforms! Performance Assessment Framework Macrofiscal Discipline Strategic Allocation Operational Efficiency Medium-Term Expenditure Frameworks Performance, Program budgeting IFMIS, automation Fiscal Responsibility Laws Treasury Single Account Budget classification, chart of account Reporting/ Transparency Procurement Internal control/audit External audit Accrual Accounting??? Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005. 10

! PFM Reforms! Performance Assessment Framework! Structure of the indicator set Policybased budgeting C. Budget Cycle External Scrutiny and Audit B. Key crosscutting features Comprehensiveness Transparency Budget Execution A. PFM Out-turns Credibility Accounting and Reporting Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005.! Public Financial Systems Indicators and Performance A standard set of high level indicators Widely accepted but limited in number Broad measures of performance relative to the key PFM system characteristics Enabling credible monitoring of performance and progress over time. A PFM Performance Report Integrative, narrative report based on the indicators and assessing performance; based on observable, empirical evidence. Updated periodically, depending on country circumstances and operational needs Contributing to coordinated assessment Feeds into governmentdonor policy dialogue An explicit performance measurement framework focuses on capacity-building and results on the ground. Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005. 11

Performance indicators PI-1 PI-2 PI-3 PI-4 A. PFM-OUT-TURNS: Credibility of the budget Aggregate expenditure out-turn compared to original approved budget Composition of expenditure out-turn compared to original approved budget Aggregate revenue out-turn compared to original approved budget Stock and monitoring of expenditure payment arrears B. KEY CROSS-CUTTING ISSUES: Comprehensiveness and Transparency PI-5 Classification of the budget PI-6 Comprehensiveness of information included in budget documentation PI-7 Extent of unreported government operations PI-8 Transparency of inter-governmental fiscal relations PI-9 Oversight of aggregate fiscal risk from other public sector entities. PI-10 Public access to key fiscal information Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005. Performance indicators PI-11 PI-12 PI-13 PI-14 PI-15 PI-16 PI-17 PI-18 PI-19 PI-20 PI-21 C. BUDGET CYCLE C(i) Policy-Based Budgeting Orderliness and participation in the annual budget process Multi-year perspective in fiscal planning, expenditure policy and budgeting C(ii) Predictability and Control in Budget Execution Transparency of taxpayer obligations and liabilities Effectiveness of measures for taxpayer registration and tax assessment Effectiveness in collection of tax payments Predictability in the availability of funds for commitment of expenditures Recording and management of cash balances, debt and guarantees Effectiveness of payroll controls Competition, value for money and controls in procurement Effectiveness of internal controls for non-salary expenditure and assets management Effectiveness of internal audit Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005. 24 12

Performance indicators C(iii) Accounting, Recording and Reporting PI-22 Timeliness and regularity of accounts reconciliation PI-23 Availability of information on resources received by service delivery units PI-24 Quality and timeliness of in-year budget reports PI-25 Quality and timeliness of annual financial statements C(iv) External Scrutiny and Audit PI-26 Scope, nature and follow-up of external audit PI-27 Legislative scrutiny of the annual budget law PI-28 Legislative scrutiny of external audit reports Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005. Performance indicators And three donor practice indicators D. DONOR PRACTICES D-1 Predictability of Direct Budget Support D-2 Financial information provided by donors for budgeting and reporting on project and program aid D-3 Proportion of aid that is managed by use of national procedures Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005. 13

Performance indicators PI-1 Aggregate expenditure out-turn compared to original approved budget Dimensions to be assessed: The difference between actual primary expenditure and primary budgeted expenditure (i.e. excluding debt service charges, but also excluding externally financed project expenditure). Score Minimum Requirements (Scoring Method M1) (i) In no more than one out of the last three years has the actual expenditure deviated A from budgeted expenditure by an amount equivalent to more than 5% of budgeted expenditure. (i) In no more than one out of the last three years has the actual expenditure deviated B from budgeted expenditure by an amount equivalent to more than 10 % of budgeted expenditure. (i) In no more than one of the last three years has the actual expenditure deviated from C budgeted expenditure by more than an amount equivalent to 15% of budgeted expenditure. (i) In two or all of the last three years did the actual expenditure deviate from D budgeted expenditure by an amount equivalent to more than 15% of budgeted expenditure. Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005. Performance indicators PI-22. Timeliness and regularity of accounts reconciliation Dimensions to be assessed: Regularity of bank reconciliations Regularity of reconciliation and clearance of suspense accounts and advances. Score Requirements: Scoring Methodology M2 A The average of the numerical scores of the dimensions is 86-100 B The average score of the dimensions is 56-85 (assign B+ if the average is above 70) C The average score of the dimensions is 26-55 (assign C+ if the average is above 40) D The average score of the dimensions is 00-25 (assign D+ if the average is above 10) Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005. 14

Performance indicators Dimension (i) Regularity of bank reconciliations Minimum requirements for dimension score Score = 100: Bank reconciliation for all central government bank accounts take place at least monthly at aggregate and detailed levels, usually within 4 weeks of end of period. Score = 67: Bank reconciliation for all Treasury managed bank accounts take place at least monthly, usually within 4 weeks from end of month. Score = 33: Bank reconciliation for all Treasury managed bank accounts take place quarterly, usually within 8 weeks of end of quarter. Score = 0: Bank reconciliation for all Treasury managed bank accounts take place less frequently than quarterly OR with backlogs of several months. (ii) Regularity of reconciliation and clearance of suspense accounts and advances Score = 100: Reconciliation and clearance of suspense accounts and advances take place at least quarterly, within a month from end of period and with few balances brought forward. Score = 67: Reconciliation and clearance of suspense accounts and advances take place at least annually within two months of end of period. Some accounts have uncleared balances brought forward. Score = 33: Reconciliation and clearance of suspense accounts and advances take place annually in general, within two months of end of year, but a significant number of accounts have uncleared balances brought forward. Score = 0: Reconciliation and clearance of suspense accounts and advances take place either annually with more than two months delay, OR less frequently. Source: Adapted from Monitoring System Performance: Lessons and Future Directions. Bill Dorotinsky. World Bank. 2005. UNITAR Mustofi Fellowship Hiroshima, Japan 18 22 February 2012 15