Deutsche Bank Conference. 17 June 2010

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Transcription:

Deutsche Bank Conference 17 June 2010

Casino s new profile Solid fundamentals to drive growth Appendices 2

Until 1997, Casino was a purely French, mediumsize player, concentrated on hypermarket and supermarket formats From 1997, Casino extended its asset portfolio beyond its traditional businesses in France and carried out a development strategy in emerging markets 3

GROWING CONTRIBUTION OF INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS TO GROUP SALES Breakdown of Group sales Other International Emerging markets France 11% 13% 76% 3% 33% 64% 2000 Q1 2010 Selective acquisitions strategy Acquisition of Big C in 1999 First stake in Exito in 1999 & acquisition of a majority stake in 2007 First stake in GPA in 1999 and acquisition of co-control in 2005 Remodelled asset portfolio Disposal of Poland & Taïwan (2006), Smart & Final (2007), and Super de Boer (2009) 1/3 of sales in high growth emerging markets 4

FRANCE: INCREASING EXPOSURE TO CONVENIENCE AND DISCOUNT FORMATS Breakdown of sales in France Others 6% 2% 8% Convenience 35% 35% 38% FP/LP 6% 19% 23% HM 53% 44% 31% 1997 2000 2009 In France, the Group has aligned its asset portfolio with shopper expectations Acquisition of FP/LP, of Cdiscount and of joint control of Monoprix during the period 1997-2000 and benefits from a favourable mix of formats Proximity and discount formats represent 2/3 of sales.and are the most buoyant and profitable formats 5

THE REMODELING OF THE PORTFOLIO HAS LED TO A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN TRADING PROFIT SINCE 2000 Trading Profit m Trading Margin International France 1,209 2000 2009 653 406 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 70 583 804 3.4% 4.0% 1.5% 2000 2009 Group France International 40% growth in consolidated net sales from 19.1bn in 2000 to 26.8bn in 2009 Trading profit nearly doubled over the period Tangible improvement in trading margin in France and in international markets 6

AND TO A TANGIBLE ENHANCEMENT OF FINANCIAL FLEXIBILITY Reduction in Net Debt ( bn) 5.2* 5.4 DFN/EBITDA 5.0x 4.1 3.5x 2.2x 2000 2005 2009 The Group has now digested its acquisitions (FP/LP, Monoprix, Brazil, Colombia ) Since 2005, the net debt/ebitda ratio has fallen sharply as a result of: Asset disposals Steady growth in EBITDA * Restated on an IFRS basis 7

Casino s new profile Solid fundamentals to drive growth Appendices 8

THE GROUP HAS TODAY STRONG FUNDAMENTALS TO DRIVE FUTURE GROWTH Leader in fast growing countries representing 400m inhabitants N 1 in Brazil, Colombia and on hypermarkets in Vietnam N 2 in Thailand In France A mix heavily weighted towards convenience and discount formats Leader in the convenience segment Leader in B-to-C non-food e-commerce Leader in private label penetration rate Recognized expertise in leveraging property assets to create value Solid financial position 9

INTERNATIONAL: A HIGH QUALITY ASSET PORTFOLIO Q1 2010 Breakdown of International sales International sales organic growth Vietnam 3% Thailand 16% Others 9% Brazil 39% 6.4% 10.0% 11.2% 11.7% 4.9% 10.6% Uruguay 4% Argentina 3% Colombia 26% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Q1 2010 Presence refocused on high potential markets Large and young population Fast growing economies Formal distribution still in a minority.leading to continued robust growth 10

GPA: LARGEST RETAILER IN BRAZIL 2009* sales: c. 10 bn 1,300 stores, located in 18 States and the Federal District Strong positions in Sao Paulo & Rio de Janeiro, the two most dynamic states A multi-format portfolio Food Retailing leadership gained in 2009 with 14.8% market share Strategic step in Non Food with the acquisition of Ponto Frio in July 2009 N 2 player in consumer electronics/household appliances Fast-growing segments: 15% CAGR expected over the next five years * 2010 proforma including Ponto Frio on a full-year basis 11

GPA: GAINING MARKET SHARE IN FOOD AND CAPTURING BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES IN NON FOOD Growth in same-store sales Ambitious expansion programme Focus on wholesale (Assaï) and Proximity (Extra Facil) formats Accelerate expansion Banner rationalization FOOD Conversion of Sendas and Comprebem stores into Extra Leveraging scale and expertise NON FOOD Purchasing gains and cost synergies Bringing specialist expertise to develop non food sales in HM Financial services, as a growth pillar Strengthening # 2 position in e-commerce 12

EXITO : THE UNDISPUTABLE LEADER IN THE COLOMBIAN RETAIL MARKET 2009 sales: 2.3bn N 1 position in every retailing format: hypers, supers and discount 38% market share Nationwide footprint: 260 stores located across 51cities Development of complementary businesses: Finance retail (Exito card N 3 after Visa & Mastercard), insurance, gas stations Accelerating expansion: 4-5 openings in 2010 Pursuing banner rationalization (20 conversions in 2010) Expanding offer Development of private label and financial services Deployment of dunnhumby Developing retail property business 13

BIG C: A DUAL RETAIL & PROPERTY BUSINESS MODEL 2009 sales: 1.5bn A differentiated positioning: value for money, Thainess, fun shopping N 2 on large trading formats (26% market share) A dual retail and property business model, driving profitable growth (67 hypermarkets and 66 shopping centres) 5 openings per year in the next 3 years (both hypers & shopping centres) Enlarging shopping centres Developing new formats (convenience & combo) Stepping up marketing initiatives (private label, loyalty programme) 14

BIG C VIETNAM: BECOME THE REFERENCE AND THE BEST RETAILER 2009 sales: c. 180m (> 30% growth vs 2008) N 1 retailer on hypermarket format 10 hypermarkets at end-march 2010 A profitable business Achieving high profitable growth Ambitious expansion policy 5 openings per year over the next 3 years Leveraging the strengths of the Casino model Dual retail and property business model Development of private label and financial services Introduction of a loyalty card 15

FRANCE: FASTER EXPANSION IN THE CONVENIENCE AND DISCOUNT FORMATS IN 2010 Formats well aligned with consumers expectations Profitable, cash efficient business models Around 100 new Franprix and Leader Price stores Ongoing expansion of Casino Supermarkets and Monoprix Development of the Spar and Vival superette franchise network 16

CASINO: N 1 RETAILER IN TERMS OF PRIVATE-LABEL PENETRATION RATE Private label products > 50% of total Group volumes, withvery high penetration rates across all formats Leader Price: 100% Franprix & Superettes: > 50% Géant Casino & supermarkets: c. 45% Monoprix: c. 30% Stepped up initiatives Innovation Sustainable development 17

IMPROVING THE BANNERS PRICE COMPETITIVENESS Significant potential for pooling private label and value line purchases Savings from pooling purchases reinvested in prices, notably at Géant Casino and Leader Price allowing a tangible improvement in both banners price positioning 18

MORE COMPETITIVE PRICES AT GEANT CASINO AND LEADER PRICE 19

ONGOING TRANSFORMATION OF THE HYPERMARKET BUSINESS MODEL Ongoing repositioning of the non-food offer, focusing on the most promising product families (textile, homeware) Reduction in capital employed Lower inventories Transfer of hypermarket surfaces to Mercialys Hypermarket surface reduced to allow 2,500 m² extension of shopping centre Lanester New HM/SM organisation to drive increased sales momentum 20

CDISCOUNT: STRENGTHENING LEADERSHIP Leader in the French B-to-C e-commerce market Strong price image Present across all non-food segments Sales including tax ( m) x7 >1,000 Double-digit sales growth in 2009, outstripping the competition* 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 New initiatives to further extend Cdiscount s leadership Instore pick-up points in Géant Casino hypermarkets and the superettes Private label development Speeding up release of purchasing and logistics synergies with the Group * ICE 30 survey 21

RECOGNIZED EXPERTISE IN LEVERAGING PROPERTY ASSETS TO CREATE VALUE Mercialys: continuing deployment of the Alcudia/ Esprit Voisin" project 25 Alcudia/ Esprit Voisin" projects with considerable restructuring potential transferred by Casino in 2009 7 projects to be completed in 2010 (adding 22,000 sqm) Ongoing asset rotation strategy Sale of mature property assets in France Sale of two shopping centres in Poland through the partnership with Whitehall Launch of solar power system development business (GreenYellow) Group property portfolio valued at 6.3bn at 31 December 2009 22

FASTER ORGANIC GROWTH IN Q1 2010 Reported Net Sales Organic Sales growth (excluding petrol) Change in scope -1.2% Currency effect +3.4% Organic growth +3.5% +5.6% 6 609 Q1 2010 Q4 2009 2.6% 4.7% 10.2% 6 256-0.2% -2.7% -0.9% Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Group France International Sustained growth in first quarter consolidated net sales at +5.6% Tangible improvement in the sales trend in France Good performance by the convenience formats Gradual improvement of the sales trend at Géant and Leader Price over the quarter Double-digit growth in International operations, driven by Very strong growth in South-America (+13.3%), lifted by an excellent performance in Brazil Robust organic growth in Asia (+7.3%) 23

CONCLUSION Casino met its operating targets in 2009 (costs, inventories, capex) The Group has considerably increased its financial flexibility and confirms its target of a net debt/ebitda ratio of less than 2.2x at end-2010, to be achieved notably by continuing the 1 billion programme of asset sales In France, Casino intends to strengthen market share by improving the banners price competitiveness and speeding up the expansion of the convenience and discount formats Internationally, the quality of the Group s assets in high potential markets should drive strong and profitable business growth in 2010 24

Casino s new profile Solid fundamentals to drive growth Appendices 25

2009 KEY FIGURES (continuing operations) Consolidated net sales EBITDA 26,757m 1,849m % change vs. 2008-1.2% -1.0% organic* -3.2% -1.0% organic* EBITDA margin 6.9% Trading profit Trading margin Attributable profit Net debt 1,209m 4.5% 543m 4,072m Net debt/ebitda 2.2x Diluted EPS 4.75 vs 7.1% in 2008 stable on an organic basis* -4.5% -2.5% organic* vs 4.7% in 2008-7 bp organic* vs 499m in 2008 +8.6% vs 4,851m in 2008 vs 2.5x (31 Dec. 08) +12.2% * Excluding the effects of changes in exchange rates and in the scope of consolidation (mainly the deconsolidation of two FP/LP franchisees and the consolidation of Ponto Frio) 26

NET SALES BY SEGMENT In million 2008 2009 Change (reported) Change (organic, excl. petrol) Géant Casino 6,121 5,548-9.4% -7.4% Convenience stores 6,842 6,690-2.2% -1.7% Casino Supermarkets 3,441 3,355-2.5% -1.4% Monoprix 1,830 1,829-0.1% -0.1% Superettes 1,570 1,506-4.1% -4.1% Franprix-Leader Price 4,260 4,007-5.9% -1.4% Other businesses 1,335 1,420 +6.4% +6.8% France 18,557 17,664-4.8% -2.7% South America 6,084 6,563 +7.9% +5.8% Asia 1,583 1,686 +6.5% +5.1% Other regions 852 844-1.0% -0.6% International 8,520 9,093 +6.7% +5.0% GROUP 27,076 26,757-1.2% -0.1% 27

FRANCE: RESILIENT TRADING MARGIN, REFLECTING FAVOURABLE MIX OF FORMATS In million 2008 Margin 2009 Margin Margin change (on an organic basis) Convenience 352 5.1% 330 4.9% -16 bp Franprix / Leader Price 273 6.4% 243 6.1% -34 bp Géant Casino 195 3.2% 115 2.1% -112 bp Other businesses 85 n/a 115 n/a n/a FRANCE 904 4.9% 804 4.5% -30 bp Continued high trading margin for the Convenience formats Solid margin at Franprix-Leader Price despite decline in same-store sales at Leader Price Lower trading margin at Géant Casino Significant cost savings helped to offset the impact of decline in sales Increased contribution to trading profit from other businesses, led by Mercialys (boosted by transfers of assets from Casino) and retail-related businesses 28

SHARPLY HIGHER TRADING PROFIT FROM INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS In million 2008 Margin 2009 Margin Margin change (on an organic basis) South America 254 4.2% 248 3.8% -14 bp Asia 81 5.1% 92 5.4% +34 bp Other segments 28 n/a 66 n/a n/a INTERNATIONAL 362 4.3% 406 4.5% +41 bp Excluding Venezuela, significant margin improvement in South America, up 28 bp on an organic basis Decline in reported margin due to consolidation of Ponto Frio and margin drop in Venezuela Sharply higher margin in Brazil on an organic basis Stable margin in Colombia, helped by cost savings Strong margin improvement in Asia, led by both Vietnam and Thailand Higher trading profit in other segments, notably reflecting the impact of property development operations in Poland 29

SHARP RISE IN THE MARKET VALUE OF LISTED SUBSIDIARIES Listed companies Share price 15 June 2010 Market cap. (100%, m) %-owned Casino s share ( m) Delta vs 1 Jan. 2009 ( m) Net debt* 31 Dec. 2009 ( m) Contribution to Group s EV ( m) Mercialys 23.4 2,147 51.1% 1,097 40 8 1,105 GPA (Brazil) BRL 60.8 7,064 33.7% 2,375** 1,553 119 2,494 Exito (Colombia) COP 17,700 2,503 54.8% 1,371 814 54 1,425 Big C (Thailand) THB 53.0 1,067 63.2% 674 273 (41) 633 TOTAL 5,517 2,680 5,657 * 100% basis, except for GPA (33.7%) ** Based on preferred non-voting share price 30

PUTS INCLUDED IN NET DEBT In m Company Franprix/ Leader Price Exito Uruguay (Devoto) % capital Franprix Holding 95% 100% Leader Price Holding 75% 100% Value at 31 Dec. 2008 Value at 31 Dec. 2009 420 18 (1) Majority-owned franchise stores 56 50 Carulla Vivero put (77.5% 100%) 111 0 (2) 12 12 Exercise period Various dates At any time 2021 Assai (GPA) 60% 100% 26 0 (3) TOTAL 626 80 (1) On 12 November 2009, the Group acquired the Baud family s remaining interests in Franprix and Leader Price for 428.6 million. The price was calculated by an independent expert based on the pricing formula agreed between the parties and was close to the 413.4 million recorded in short-term debt at 30 June 2009. The remaining 18 million corresponds to late interest. (2) Exito announced the buyout of minority interests in Carulla Vivero in December 2009. (3) GPA announced the buyout of minority interests in Assaï in July. 31

OFF-BALANCE SHEET PUTS in m Company % capital Value at 31 Dec. 2008 Value at 31 Dec. 2008 Exercise period Monoprix 50% 100% 1,200 (1) 1,200 (1) 2012-2028 Franprix Leader Price Majority-owned franchise stores 236 194 Various dates Uruguay (Disco) 49 49 At any time 2021 Sendas (2) (GPA) 57.4% 100% 55 108 At any time TOTAL (off-b/s) 1,540 1,551 (1) In December 2008, Casino and Galeries Lafayette signed an addendum to their strategic agreement of March 2003, deferring the exercise period for Casino s call option on 10% of Monoprix s capital and Galeries Lafayette s put option on 50% of Monoprix s capital until 1 January 2012. All the other terms and conditions are unchanged. The put option exercise price will be based on an independent valuation of Monoprix. (2) Put option on GPA, shares taken into account on a 33.7% basis. 32

PROPERTY ASSETS MAKING A SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTION TO THE GROUP S TOTAL VALUE STORE PROPERTIES France 3.3bn International 1.3bn SHOPPING CENTRES 1.2bn 0.4bn 4.6bn 1.7bn A property portfolio valued at 6.3bn at 31 December 2009 The decrease compared with 6.7bn at end-2008 reflects: Sales of properties in France and abroad for 0.2bn Transfers of properties from Casino to Mercialys and distribution of an exceptional dividend for 0.2bn Note: estimates based on appraisal values, corresponding to Casino s economic interest 33

NUMBER OF STORES France 31 Dec. 2008 31 Dec. 2009 Géant Casino 131 122 Casino Supermarkets 401 390 Franprix 702 789 Monoprix 377 463 Leader Price 530 559 Superettes 6,092 6,751 Other 368 290 TOTAL FRANCE 8,601 9,364 International Argentina 65 49 Uruguay 52 53 Venezuela 60 41 Brazil 597 1,080 Thailand 79 78 Vietnam 8 9 Indian Ocean 51 50 Colombia 264 260 TOTAL INTERNATIONAL 1,176 1,620 34