B. Riley Investor Conference. May 23, 2018

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Transcription:

B. Riley Investor Conference May 23, 2018

About This Presentation Safe Harbor Statement This presentation includes forward-looking statements (statements which are not historical facts) within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements concerning the Company's prospects, resources, capabilities, anticipated future financial trends or operating results, long-term growth capability, demand for the Company s products, future plans for introduction of new products and the anticipated outcome of new business initiatives, estimates of market size and opportunities for growth, planned capital expenditures, and potential uses of our capital resources, including statements regarding potential share repurchases, acquisitions or dividend programs. Factors that could cause Nautilus, Inc.'s actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements include our ability to acquire inventory from sole source foreign manufacturers at acceptable costs, within timely delivery schedules and that meet our quality control standards, availability and price of media time consistent with our cost and audience profile parameters, a decline in consumer spending due to unfavorable economic conditions in one or more of our current or target markets, failure to successfully integrate acquired businesses, an adverse change in the availability of credit for our customers who finance their purchases, our ability to pass along vendor raw material price increases and increased shipping costs, our ability to effectively develop, market and sell future products, our ability to protect our intellectual property, and the introduction of competing products. Additional assumptions, risks and uncertainties are described in detail in our registration statements, reports and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the "Risk Factors" set forth in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, as supplemented by our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. Such filings are available on our website or at www.sec.gov. You are cautioned that such statements are not guarantees of future performance and that actual results or developments may differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances. Financial Information Unless otherwise indicated, all information regarding our operating results pertain to continuing operations. Nautilus, Inc. 2018 5/23/2018 2

Agenda Overview Financial Performance Growth Drivers 2018 Outlook and Guidance Long-term Goals Key Takeaways 5/23/2018 3

Who We Are Mission is to provide innovative solutions that make fitness more attainable and motivate people to live healthier lives We have a strong portfolio of brands, including three of the top five in the industry* Consumer insights driven innovation and new products pipeline Multichannel growth strategy to meet consumer needs wherever they shop Focused on profitable growth and increasing shareholder value $ Millions Double-digit Revenue Growth Coupled with Even Faster Adjusted EBITDA* Growth $194 $14 $219 $19 $274 $34 $336 $43 $406 $406 $61 $54 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Revenue Adjusted EBITDA* *Adjusted EBITDA from Continuing Operations; Non- GAAP information, see Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP *Based on a 2016 national consumer research study 5/23/2018 4

Strong Brands Innovation Quick, Proven Results Quality and Value High Awareness Authentic Professional Grade Leader in Zero Impact Cardio 5/23/2018 5

Industry Leading Product Quality & Innovation Octane Fitness Max Trainer High Intensity Interval Training for the commercial gym, launching Fall 2018 Bowflex HVT TM Strength and cardio in one workout, launched May 2017 Octane XT-ONE TM, the next generation cross-trainer Walk, run, hike, and climb on one machine 560 SelectTech Dumbells Award winning first ever smart dumbbells Bowflex Results Series TM Premium treadmills and ellipticals, launched Fall 2017 First of a kind Zero Runner ZR8000 Enabling everyone to run safely and comfortably 5/23/2018 6

Diversified Multichannel Growth Strategy Direct to Consumer Unique innovative products Sold directly to consumers Significant investment in media Retail Channel Wide assortment of fitness products Sold to distributors, retailers, and specialty fitness International sales and commercial 2017 Revenue Channel Mix 1% 45% 54% Royalty License revenue related to trademarks and patents Direct Retail Royalty 5/23/2018 7

Embracing Ecommerce Robust Direct Channel Web Sales Growth 69% 63% 60% $152 56% $143 $136 51% 52% $98 Balanced Mix of Growth with Ecom and Bricks & Mortar Customers $63 $71 $ Millions $ Millions 50% 44% 51% 59% $58 61% $64 54% $62 $43 $31 $32 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Web Sales % of Direct 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 N. American Retail Ecom % of N. American Mass Retail 5/23/2018 8

$ Millions Delivering Solid Financial Performance $ Millions $ Millions Balanced revenue growth Coupled with strong profitability metrics Resulted in robust cash generation 13.1% $406 $406 11.0% 12.0% $53 11.1% $46 $41 $194 $219 12.8% $274 $336 25.4%22.3% 20.9% 5.5% 7.2% $30 $40 $45 $21 $34 $35 7.5% $16 $13 $11 0.0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Revenue Revenue Growth 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Adjusted operating Income* % of Revenue *2017 adjusted to exclude $8.8 million asset impairment charge; see Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Cash Flow From Operations 5/23/2018 9

Reported Q1 Results Exceeded Guidance $ Millions $113 $115 Q1 2018 revenue growth led by gains in Retail o o Retail growth of 14% with strong growth across several product lines and specialty & commercial customers Direct decline of 5% due to phase-down of TreadClimber product sales $13 $11 Operating Income impacted by product mix and higher product costs o o o Retail margins down due to higher product costs (FX related) Direct down due to product mix OPEX down $0.9M, in part from a $1.2M reserve charge in Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Guidance Revenue $110-$113M Operating Income $8.5-$9.5M Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Revenue Operating Income 5/23/2018 10

Five Key Growth Drivers Innovation Innovation Continued investments in R&D to create new product categories International Reinvent consumer experience with real-time coaching, tracking, and motivation Retail New Distribution Opportunities Strategic Opportunities Innovating with apps and connectivity options Partnering with leading platforms to seamlessly sync and share workout data Q4 2018 targeted launch of new digital platform including subscription model HOME GOAL AWARD JOURNAL 5/23/2018 11

Five Key Growth Drivers Innovation Large potential opportunity outside North America to grow low current market share EMEA, $3.0B International Estimated Global Market Size by Region* Asia Pacific, $1.1B Latin America, $0.4B International Retail New Distribution Opportunities Strategic Opportunities Nautilus and Octane brands well recognized worldwide Key initiatives & investments in 2018 to target doubling of international revenue to $60M by 2020: Restructured Octane and organic teams under a single leader Increased investment in local sales teams Investment in localized marketing material North America, $5.5B 2017 Nautilus Regional Mix EMEA 4% APLA 3% North America 93% *Compilation of industry and internal data; values reflect wholesale pricing 5/23/2018 12

Five Key Growth Drivers Retail Innovation Current small market share provides opportunity for growth within existing market 3% $3.8B North America Market Size* Nautilus Market Share International Balance of sales between traditional storefront and faster growing e-commerce Retail New Distribution Opportunities Strategic Opportunities Broaden assortment of SKUs among existing customers Expand use of brand portfolio to address new price points and consumer segments North America Largest Cardio Categories* $0.9B $0.4B $1.0B Treadmills Exercise Bikes Ellipticals *Based on SFIA 2017 Manufacturers Sales by Category Report; values reflect wholesale pricing of consumer fitness equipment 5/23/2018 13

Five Key Growth Drivers New Distribution Opportunities Innovation International Retail Expansion into specialty retail and commercial club markets with Octane Increasing presence in cross-fit studios with Air-Dyne products Higher leverage of Direct media spend via Dick s Sporting Goods instore sales of Max Trainer US Specialty Market*, $0.3B US Commercial Market**, $1.4B New Distribution Opportunities Strategic Opportunities Entry into hand held and shelf fitness products with Modern Movement Commitment to e-commerce growth in Direct. 69% of Direct channel sales are online. More than 54% of visitors are on mobile devices. *Based on internal analysis; values reflect wholesale pricing; **Based on SFIA 2017 Manufacturers Sales by Category Report 5/23/2018 14

Five Key Growth Drivers Strategic Opportunities Innovation International Retail New Distribution Opportunities Company in solid position to expand Strong balance sheet with >$92M in cash Significant cash generation Leverageable infrastructure to capture synergies Opportunities to accelerate existing strategies through further acquisitions Invest in intellectual property portfolio to drive new product innovation and potentially increase royalty stream Explore opportunities in incremental adjacent categories Strategic Opportunities 5/23/2018 15

Long-term Goals 2018 Plan and Guidance

2018 Plan Focus 2018 incorporates multifaceted plan to make targeted investments, return business to revenue growth and position NLS for future accelerated OI growth Approximately $3 - $4 M of incremental expense and $5 - $6 M of incremental CAPEX will be invested in 4 key areas: Building out new digital technology platforms to support subscription models launch Q4 2018 Realignment and restructuring of International business model complete during Q3 2018 Consolidate warehouse facilities and supply chain optimization complete during Q3 2018 Complete ERP and other systems integration of Octane Fitness acquisition complete during Q2 2018 5/23/2018 17

Anticipated Outcomes from 2018 Investments Incremental investment in Product Innovation starting to deliver upgraded digital platforms More integrated & efficient operational infrastructure Broader market access points Position Company for accelerated growth 5/23/2018 18

$ Millions FY 2018 Guidance $ Millions $406 Revenue $428 -$437 Operating Income* $45 $42 - $45 Full year revenue guidance range of $428M - $437M o o o o Steady growth projected in Mass Retail with larger second half growth anticipated Direct growth projected to be higher in backend with launch of new product TreadClimber decline only material through Q2 2018 Specialty Retail and Commercial channel anticipated to return to growth mode in 2018 2017 2018 Guidance 2017* 2018 Guidance *2017 Operating income is adjusted to exclude an $8.8 million asset impairment charge Full year operating income guidance range of $42M - $45M o o Investments in international, supply chain enhancements, and technology initiatives partially offsetting profit growth Higher product costs expected due to unfavorable exchange rates and material cost increases 5/23/2018 19

Long-term Goals Long-term Goals

The Road Map for Profitable Growth Our approach to profitable growth focuses on three major areas: New Product Innovation Process Rigor IP Portfolio Brand Engagement Margin Discipline Footprint Expansion Operational Excellence New Price Points New Core Categories Plus Growth Opportunities Access to Broader Audience Leverage Infrastructure Continuous Cost Improvements Supply Chain Efficiency Media Planning 5/23/2018 21

Targeted Operating Metrics Revenue Growth Operating Income Growth Operating Income % of Revenue EBITDA** % of Revenue Long-term Run Rate 10-12% Growth in excess of revenue growth 11-15% 13-17% 2013 Results 12.8% 48.5% 7.2% 8.9% 2014 Results 25.4% 91.8% 11.0% 12.5% 2015 Results 22.3% 33.6% 12.0% 12.9% 2016 Results 20.9% 32.6% 13.1% 15.1% 2017 Results 0.0% -15.5%* 11.1%* 13.3%* *Excludes 2017 $8.8 million asset impairment charge **Reflects EBITDA from continuing operations excluding the 2017 $8.8 million asset impairment charge Long-term Run Rate reflects management assessment of Nautilus organic growth capability over the next 3-5 years Annual results will fluctuate within stated Long-term Run Rate due to industry dynamics, specific product life cycles, and other factors 5/23/2018 22

Capital Deployment Initiatives Organic Growth Acquisition Strategy Return Capital to Shareholders New Product Introductions Expanding Distribution Infrastructure Investments Enhance or Accelerate Revenue Growth Drivers Opportunistically Expand IP Portfolio Add l $15M Share Buyback Program Announced Q1 2018 Potential for Special/Ongoing Dividend Program Priority #1 #2 #3 5/23/2018 23

Key Takeaways Leading portfolio of fitness brands Unique & innovative products and IP Solid sales & earnings growth; significantly improved profitability Strong financial condition Scalable platform & infrastructure Experienced management team that delivers on expectations 5/23/2018 24

THANK YOU 5/23/2018 25

Appendix

P&L Summary All values in $ millions except per share amounts 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Retail Revenue $ 63.9 $ 76.8 $ 93.2 $ 106.2 $ 177.9 $ 183.9 $ 37.8 $ 43.0 Direct Revenue 125.0 136.7 175.6 225.6 225.1 219.4 74.7 71.2 Royalties 5.1 5.4 5.6 4.0 3.1 2.9 0.7 0.6 Total Revenue 193.9 218.8 274.4 335.8 406.0 406.2 113.3 114.8 Retail Gross Margin 14.4 19.5 23.7 26.9 58.8 60.3 12.1 13.4 % of Retail Rev 22.5% 25.3% 25.4% 25.3% 33.1% 32.8% 32.0% 31.2% Direct Gross Margin 71.6 81.7 111.2 142.4 149.7 140.7 48.9 44.8 % of Direct Rev 57.3% 59.7% 63.3% 63.1% 66.5% 64.1% 65.5% 63.0% Royalty 5.1 5.4 5.6 4.0 3.0 2.9 0.7 0.6 Total Gross Margin 91.0 106.5 140.6 173.2 211.5 203.9 61.7 58.9 % of Rev 46.9% 48.7% 51.2% 51.6% 52.1% 50.2% 54.5% 51.3% Selling and Marketing 58.6 66.5 81.1 101.6 115.4 116.2 37.7 36.8 General and Administrative 17.7 18.7 22.1 21.4 28.8 27.1 7.5 6.9 Research and Development 4.2 5.6 7.2 9.9 13.9 15.4 3.9 4.5 Asset impairment - - - - - 8.8 - - Total Operating Expense 80.4 90.8 110.4 133.0 158.1 167.6 49.1 48.2 % of Rev 41.5% 41.5% 40.2% 39.6% 38.9% 41.3% 43.3% 42.0% Retail Operating Income (Loss) 7.9 11.4 13.3 12.9 29.5 27.5 2.2 3.9 % of Retail Rev 12.3% 14.9% 14.2% 12.1% 16.6% 15.0% 5.9% 9.1% Direct Operating Income (Loss) 12.5 14.1 29.3 39.9 43.2 34.9 15.3 11.3 % of Direct Rev 10.0% 10.3% 16.7% 17.7% 19.2% 15.9% 20.5% 15.9% Royalties and Unallocated Corporate (9.7) (9.8) (12.5) (12.5) (19.3) (26.1) (4.9) (4.5) Total Operating Income (Loss) $ 10.6 $ 15.7 $ 30.2 $ 40.3 $ 53.4 $ 36.3 $ 12.7 $ 10.7 % of Rev 5.5% 7.2% 11.0% 12.0% 13.2% 8.9% 11.2% 9.3% Other Expense (Income) 0.2 (0.3) (0.1) 0.2 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.0 Pretax Income (Loss) $ 10.4 $ 16.0 $ 30.2 $ 40.0 $ 51.6 $ 35.7 $ 12.3 $ 10.7 Pretax Income (Loss) per Diluted share $ 0.34 $ 0.51 $ 0.95 $ 1.27 $ 1.65 $ 1.15 $ 0.40 $ 0.35 Income Tax Expense (Benefit) (0.2) (32.1) 9.8 13.2 16.5 8.1 4.1 2.5 Net Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations $ 10.6 $ 48.1 $ 20.4 $ 26.8 $ 35.1 $ 27.6 $ 8.2 $ 8.1 Net Income (Loss) per Diluted share $ 0.34 $ 1.53 $ 0.64 $ 0.85 $ 1.12 $ 0.89 $ 0.26 $ 0.27 5/23/2018 27

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures Adjusted Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) from Continuing Operations (unaudited): Values in $ millions 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net income (loss) from continuing operations $ 10.6 $ 48.1 $ 20.4 $ 26.8 $ 35.1 $ 27.6 Interest expense (income), net (0.1) 0.0 (0.0) (0.2) 1.7 0.9 Income tax expense (benefit) of continuing operations (0.2) (32.1) 9.8 13.2 16.5 8.1 Depreciation and amortization 3.3 3.3 4.0 3.4 7.9 8.6 Asset impairment charge - - - - - 8.8 Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations (1) $ 13.6 $ 19.4 $ 34.2 $ 43.2 $ 61.1 $ 54.0 (1) May not add due to rounding Adjusted Operating Income (unaudited): Values in $ millions 2017 Operating income $ 36.3 Asset impairment charge 8.8 Adjusted operating income $ 45.1 Adjusted Operating Income Growth % (unaudited): 2017 Operating income growth % (32.0%) Asset impairment charge 16.5% Adjusted operating income growth % (15.5%) Adjusted Operating Income % of Revenue (unaudited): 2017 Operating income % of revenue 8.9% Asset impairment charge % of revenue 2.2% Adjusted operating income % of revenue 11.1% 5/23/2018 28